Kahlil Justice

Kahlil Justice

W

Salt Lake City Saints · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: BYU · Cincinnati, Ohio

Polished shoot-and-defend guard

A rotation scoring shooting guard averaging 20.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 5.4 APG. Excels in perimeter defense (19 rating, 100th pctl), 20.4 PPG (96th pctl) and endurance (17 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (8 rating, 25th pctl) and post defense (4 rating, 25th pctl).

45
Impact
3.5
CA
4.5
PA
21
Age
$5.7M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 20.4 96
RPG 3.4 57
APG 5.4 91
SPG 1.76 94
BPG 0.27 48
MPG 33.7 97
Shooting
FG% .451 41
3P% .359 56
FT% .861 69
TS% 0.572 49
Impact
Impact 45 25
Off Impact 61 91
Def Impact 25 0
Advanced
PER 17.4 81
WS 3.9 71
BPM -1.8 27
VORP 0.2 45

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Pick & Roll Execution 16 (coef=0.0152)
Athleticism 15 (coef=-0.0111)
Endurance 17 (coef=0.0092)
Isolation Execution 16 (coef=0.0096)
Foul Drawing 17 (coef=0.0080)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0145)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 11 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0122)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
6%
Roll : Pop
26:74
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
64:36
Corner 3 : Above the Break
77:23

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 70%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest on-court impact (EPM). Offense is the primary value driver.

45 / 100 #397 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.47z
EPM -1.26 (Off +1.87, Def -3.13)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.02z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0155
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.39z
WS/48 residual: -0.0253 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
61
#53
Defense
25
#502
Confidence
100%
2761 min
Tendencies
Salary
$5.7M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Team Option
Status
Franchise Player
Trade Value
0.413

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.421
Expected WM
2.477
Dev Residual
-0.0566
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.750
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Tyree Bruner Minneapolis Blizzards 28 4.0 98.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
T
Terrence Swan Louisville Colonels 27 4.0 98.4% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jeron Davis Louisville Colonels 22 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
C
Carsen Christos Oklahoma City Barons 25 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
E
Erickson Wirth Houston Lightning 24 3.5 97.8% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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