Terrence Swan

Terrence Swan

W

Louisville Colonels · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Duke · Jacksonville, Florida

Smooth 3-and-d wing

A solid scoring shooting guard averaging 17.9 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 5.0 APG. Excels in stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl), passing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and endurance (18 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by rim protection (2 rating, 15th pctl) and strength (5 rating, 15th pctl).

53
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
27
Age
$25.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 17.9 92
RPG 4.7 72
APG 5.0 89
SPG 1.70 93
BPG 0.14 36
MPG 34.2 98
Shooting
FG% .463 50
3P% .362 58
FT% .887 83
TS% 0.584 57
Impact
Impact 53 64
Off Impact 60 89
Def Impact 39 8
Advanced
PER 17.0 77
WS 7.1 91
BPM 3.0 82
VORP 3.4 93

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Pick & Roll Execution 18 (coef=0.0152)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Endurance 18 (coef=0.0092)
Foul Drawing 16 (coef=0.0080)
Spacing 18 (coef=0.0059)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 12 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0122)
Post Defense 4 (coef=0.0057)
Finishing 12 (coef=0.0033)
Strength 5 (coef=0.0031)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
5%
Roll : Pop
30:70
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
45:55
Corner 3 : Above the Break
74:26

Positional Fit

Guard 70%
Wing 80%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by strong win-model ratings. Offense is the primary value driver.

53 / 100 #196 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.14z
EPM -0.37 (Off +0.80, Def -1.27)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.76z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0628
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.04z
WS/48 residual: -0.0049 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
39
#473
Confidence
100%
2705 min
Tendencies
Salary
$25.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Player Option
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.452

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $25,000,000 Player Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.561
Expected WM
2.619
Dev Residual
-0.0589
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.646
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
C
Chavis Weddle Salt Lake City Saints 26 3.0 98.7% Secondary Creator / Chaser
K
Kahlil Justice Salt Lake City Saints 21 3.5 98.4% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
E
Erickson Wirth Houston Lightning 24 3.5 98.4% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
T
Tyree Bruner Minneapolis Blizzards 28 4.0 98.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
C
Carsen Christos Oklahoma City Barons 25 3.5 98.2% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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