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24 core analytics + 35 opponent scouting reports

01 Team Correlations
========================================================================================== TEAM-LEVEL CORRELATIONS WITH WIN PERCENTAGE (n = 36) ========================================================================================== FULL RANKED TABLE (sorted by |Pearson r|) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rank Variable Group r p rho p_sp ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 shooting_Inside Shooting wt_rating 0.733 0.0000 0.692 0.0000 2 shooting_Inside Shooting team_avg_rating 0.693 0.0000 0.662 0.0000 3 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding team_avg_rating 0.668 0.0000 0.651 0.0000 4 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding wt_rating 0.667 0.0000 0.680 0.0000 5 defense_Help Defense wt_rating 0.642 0.0000 0.605 0.0001 6 execution_Pick & Roll Execution wt_rating 0.636 0.0000 0.594 0.0001 7 defense_Help Defense team_avg_rating 0.634 0.0000 0.605 0.0001 8 execution_Pick & Roll Execution team_avg_rating 0.595 0.0001 0.581 0.0002 9 shooting_3PT Shooting wt_rating 0.590 0.0002 0.637 0.0000 10 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding team_avg_rating 0.568 0.0003 0.566 0.0003 11 execution_Isolation Execution wt_rating 0.560 0.0004 0.518 0.0012 12 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding wt_rating 0.558 0.0004 0.558 0.0004 13 defense_Rim Protection team_avg_rating 0.517 0.0012 0.440 0.0073 14 pace_and_space proficiency 0.510 0.0015 0.524 0.0010 15 physical_Endurance wt_rating 0.468 0.0040 0.489 0.0025 16 creation_Shoot Off Dribble wt_rating 0.462 0.0046 0.397 0.0165 17 shooting_3PT Shooting team_avg_rating 0.461 0.0047 0.498 0.0020 18 creation_Finishing wt_rating 0.458 0.0049 0.402 0.0152 19 creation_Ball Dominance wt_rating 0.454 0.0054 0.474 0.0035 20 execution_Isolation Execution team_avg_rating 0.438 0.0075 0.453 0.0056 21 defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense wt_rating 0.436 0.0079 0.408 0.0135 22 defense_Rim Protection wt_rating 0.426 0.0096 0.396 0.0168 23 playmaking_Playmaking wt_rating 0.421 0.0106 0.401 0.0154 24 playmaking_Ball Handling wt_rating 0.401 0.0153 0.435 0.0080 25 creation_Finishing team_avg_rating 0.400 0.0156 0.339 0.0434 26 creation_Self-Creation wt_rating 0.400 0.0157 0.429 0.0090 27 creation_Ball Dominance team_avg_rating 0.391 0.0184 0.402 0.0151 28 playmaking_Spacing wt_rating 0.366 0.0283 0.383 0.0212 29 creation_Shoot Off Dribble team_avg_rating 0.349 0.0370 0.350 0.0367 30 defense_Stealing wt_rating 0.340 0.0423 0.232 0.1734 31 execution_Post Execution team_avg_rating 0.338 0.0436 0.340 0.0426 32 playmaking_Gravity wt_rating 0.333 0.0473 0.351 0.0358 33 physical_Endurance team_avg_rating 0.326 0.0527 0.308 0.0679 34 defense_Off-Ball Defense wt_rating 0.323 0.0550 0.303 0.0726 35 physical_Strength wt_rating 0.312 0.0643 0.291 0.0853 36 playmaking_Spacing team_avg_rating 0.309 0.0666 0.296 0.0797 37 execution_Basketball IQ wt_rating 0.308 0.0672 0.249 0.1435 38 physical_Strength team_avg_rating 0.298 0.0772 0.272 0.1079 39 playmaking_Passing wt_rating 0.297 0.0786 0.197 0.2483 40 execution_Post Execution wt_rating 0.295 0.0810 0.323 0.0544 41 shooting_Free Throws wt_rating 0.291 0.0851 0.397 0.0166 42 defense_Post Defense team_avg_rating 0.291 0.0852 0.292 0.0845 43 perimeter_centric proficiency -0.285 0.0918 -0.407 0.0136 44 morey_ball proficiency 0.271 0.1098 0.247 0.1457 45 defense_Off-Ball Defense team_avg_rating 0.264 0.1202 0.218 0.2016 46 execution_Basketball IQ team_avg_rating 0.262 0.1234 0.221 0.1949 47 defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense team_avg_rating 0.243 0.1533 0.211 0.2164 48 playmaking_Playmaking team_avg_rating 0.235 0.1681 0.243 0.1535 49 defense_Stealing team_avg_rating 0.232 0.1742 0.149 0.3858 50 grit_and_grind proficiency 0.231 0.1761 0.296 0.0792 51 creation_Foul Drawing team_avg_rating 0.218 0.2012 0.131 0.4461 52 physical_Athleticism team_avg_rating -0.215 0.2086 -0.234 0.1699 53 defense_Post Defense wt_rating 0.213 0.2114 0.227 0.1839 54 playmaking_Passing team_avg_rating 0.213 0.2124 0.182 0.2893 55 playmaking_Ball Handling team_avg_rating 0.205 0.2304 0.272 0.1081 56 physical_Athleticism wt_rating -0.195 0.2535 -0.202 0.2380 57 physical_Speed wt_rating 0.192 0.2619 0.182 0.2869 58 creation_Self-Creation team_avg_rating 0.188 0.2725 0.189 0.2702 59 physical_First Step wt_rating 0.185 0.2796 0.221 0.1962 60 creation_Foul Drawing wt_rating 0.183 0.2847 0.077 0.6554 61 playmaking_Gravity team_avg_rating 0.172 0.3158 0.206 0.2280 62 shooting_Mid-Range Shooting wt_rating 0.165 0.3377 0.134 0.4372 63 shooting_Free Throws team_avg_rating 0.130 0.4501 0.251 0.1392 64 triangle proficiency 0.118 0.4920 0.116 0.5001 65 physical_Speed team_avg_rating 0.117 0.4982 0.119 0.4904 66 physical_Quickness wt_rating 0.084 0.6247 -0.023 0.8933 67 physical_First Step team_avg_rating 0.084 0.6256 0.110 0.5236 68 shooting_Mid-Range Shooting team_avg_rating 0.076 0.6598 0.036 0.8352 69 balanced proficiency 0.051 0.7692 0.079 0.6470 70 seven_seconds proficiency -0.046 0.7909 0.032 0.8515 71 physical_Quickness team_avg_rating 0.008 0.9648 -0.036 0.8334 72 post_centric proficiency 0.007 0.9674 -0.084 0.6264 TOP-10 WITH BOOTSTRAP 95% CI (5000 resamples) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rank Variable r 95% CI ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.733 [+0.489, +0.887] 2 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.693 [+0.465, +0.852] 3 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.668 [+0.494, +0.806] 4 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.667 [+0.501, +0.798] 5 defense_Help Defense 0.642 [+0.428, +0.797] 6 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.636 [+0.389, +0.811] 7 defense_Help Defense 0.634 [+0.403, +0.792] 8 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.595 [+0.315, +0.812] 9 shooting_3PT Shooting 0.590 [+0.323, +0.783] 10 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding 0.568 [+0.341, +0.760] GROUP AVERAGES -------------------------------------------------- wt_rating mean |r| = 0.387 max |r| = 0.733 (n=32 vars) team_avg_rating mean |r| = 0.317 max |r| = 0.693 (n=32 vars) proficiency mean |r| = 0.190 max |r| = 0.510 (n=8 vars)
02 Rating Stat Mapping
========================================================================================== RATING-TO-STAT MAPPING (n = 379 players, min 20 GP) ========================================================================================== Total correlation tests: 480 Significant at p < 0.05 (uncorrected): 356 Significant at q < 0.05 (BH FDR): 349 ========================================================================================== BEST RATING PREDICTOR FOR EACH STAT ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Stat Best Rating Predictor r p q ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PTS creation_Ball Dominance 0.268 1.18e-07 3.10e-07 *** TRB rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.672 3.27e-51 3.14e-49 *** AST playmaking_Passing 0.640 3.93e-45 1.89e-43 *** STL defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense 0.739 1.54e-66 2.46e-64 *** BLK defense_Rim Protection 0.829 5.50e-97 1.32e-94 *** FG% execution_Post Execution 0.652 3.26e-47 2.23e-45 *** 3P% shooting_3PT Shooting 0.649 1.05e-46 5.58e-45 *** FT% shooting_Free Throws 0.862 3.03e-113 1.45e-110 *** TOV physical_Athleticism 0.279 3.51e-08 1.01e-07 *** eFG% execution_Post Execution 0.359 5.87e-13 2.27e-12 *** PER execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.164 1.38e-03 2.18e-03 ** TS% execution_Post Execution 0.415 3.03e-17 1.50e-16 *** WS/48 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.273 6.75e-08 1.83e-07 *** BPM shooting_Inside Shooting 0.308 8.47e-10 2.79e-09 *** VORP playmaking_Passing 0.324 1.05e-10 3.69e-10 *** ========================================================================================== BEST STAT PREDICTED BY EACH RATING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rating Best Stat r p q ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ creation_Ball Dominance VORP 0.289 1.05e-08 3.20e-08 *** creation_Finishing WS/48 0.133 9.71e-03 1.41e-02 * creation_Foul Drawing FG% 0.370 9.20e-14 3.81e-13 *** creation_Self-Creation STL 0.476 7.76e-23 6.43e-22 *** creation_Shoot Off Dribble STL 0.572 2.36e-34 4.93e-33 *** defense_Help Defense VORP 0.278 3.87e-08 1.09e-07 *** defense_Off-Ball Defense STL 0.613 1.51e-40 5.16e-39 *** defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense STL 0.739 1.54e-66 2.46e-64 *** defense_Post Defense BLK 0.734 2.58e-65 3.09e-63 *** defense_Rim Protection BLK 0.829 5.50e-97 1.32e-94 *** defense_Stealing STL 0.664 1.93e-49 1.54e-47 *** execution_Basketball IQ VORP 0.098 5.55e-02 7.45e-02 execution_Isolation Execution STL 0.437 4.59e-19 2.65e-18 *** execution_Pick & Roll Execution AST 0.273 6.49e-08 1.77e-07 *** execution_Post Execution FG% 0.652 3.26e-47 2.23e-45 *** physical_Athleticism STL 0.405 2.25e-16 1.05e-15 *** physical_Endurance STL 0.270 9.71e-08 2.56e-07 *** physical_First Step STL 0.385 8.40e-15 3.60e-14 *** physical_Quickness STL 0.487 5.56e-24 5.23e-23 *** physical_Speed STL 0.568 9.49e-34 1.90e-32 *** physical_Strength TRB 0.482 1.95e-23 1.74e-22 *** playmaking_Ball Handling AST 0.634 4.35e-44 1.74e-42 *** playmaking_Gravity STL 0.516 3.40e-27 3.98e-26 *** playmaking_Passing AST 0.640 3.93e-45 1.89e-43 *** playmaking_Playmaking AST 0.597 6.53e-38 1.57e-36 *** playmaking_Spacing STL 0.546 7.32e-31 1.00e-29 *** rebounding_Defensive Rebounding TRB 0.672 3.27e-51 3.14e-49 *** rebounding_Offensive Rebounding TRB 0.606 2.51e-39 7.10e-38 *** shooting_3PT Shooting 3P% 0.649 1.05e-46 5.58e-45 *** shooting_Free Throws FT% 0.862 3.03e-113 1.45e-110 *** shooting_Inside Shooting BPM 0.308 8.47e-10 2.79e-09 *** shooting_Mid-Range Shooting STL 0.434 7.10e-19 4.01e-18 *** ========================================================================================== TOP 20 STRONGEST INDIVIDUAL CORRELATIONS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rating Stat r q ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ shooting_Free Throws FT% 0.862 1.45e-110 *** defense_Rim Protection BLK 0.829 1.32e-94 *** defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense STL 0.739 2.46e-64 *** defense_Post Defense BLK 0.734 3.09e-63 *** rebounding_Defensive Rebounding TRB 0.672 3.14e-49 *** defense_Stealing STL 0.664 1.54e-47 *** execution_Post Execution FG% 0.652 2.23e-45 *** execution_Post Execution BLK 0.651 2.57e-45 *** shooting_3PT Shooting 3P% 0.649 5.58e-45 *** playmaking_Passing AST 0.640 1.89e-43 *** defense_Rim Protection TRB 0.638 4.00e-43 *** playmaking_Ball Handling AST 0.634 1.74e-42 *** defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense FG% -0.619 8.21e-40 *** defense_Off-Ball Defense STL 0.613 5.16e-39 *** execution_Post Execution TRB 0.608 4.20e-38 *** playmaking_Ball Handling STL 0.606 6.91e-38 *** rebounding_Offensive Rebounding TRB 0.606 7.10e-38 *** execution_Post Execution STL -0.603 1.90e-37 *** defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense BLK -0.602 2.66e-37 *** playmaking_Playmaking AST 0.597 1.57e-36 ***
03 Regression Model
========================================================================================== A. BIVARIATE OLS: each predictor vs win_pct (n = 36) ========================================================================================== Rank Variable R2 adj_R2 slope p ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.537 0.524 0.1562 0.0000 *** 2 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.480 0.465 0.1677 0.0000 *** 3 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.446 0.430 0.0919 0.0000 *** 4 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.445 0.428 0.0926 0.0000 *** 5 defense_Help Defense 0.412 0.395 0.0971 0.0000 *** 6 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.404 0.387 0.0773 0.0000 *** 7 defense_Help Defense 0.402 0.384 0.1078 0.0000 *** 8 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.354 0.335 0.0744 0.0001 *** 9 shooting_3PT Shooting 0.348 0.329 0.1048 0.0002 *** 10 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding 0.323 0.303 0.0680 0.0003 *** 11 execution_Isolation Execution 0.313 0.293 0.0743 0.0004 *** 12 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding 0.311 0.291 0.0691 0.0004 *** 13 defense_Rim Protection 0.268 0.246 0.0847 0.0012 ** 14 physical_Endurance 0.219 0.196 0.0752 0.0040 ** 15 creation_Shoot Off Dribble 0.213 0.190 0.0558 0.0046 ** 16 shooting_3PT Shooting 0.212 0.189 0.0881 0.0047 ** 17 creation_Finishing 0.210 0.187 0.0641 0.0049 ** 18 creation_Ball Dominance 0.206 0.183 0.0616 0.0054 ** 19 execution_Isolation Execution 0.192 0.168 0.0640 0.0075 ** 20 defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense 0.190 0.166 0.0580 0.0079 ** 21 defense_Rim Protection 0.182 0.157 0.0704 0.0096 ** 22 playmaking_Playmaking 0.177 0.153 0.0577 0.0106 * 23 playmaking_Ball Handling 0.161 0.136 0.0568 0.0153 * 24 creation_Finishing 0.160 0.135 0.0578 0.0156 * 25 creation_Self-Creation 0.160 0.135 0.0803 0.0157 * 26 creation_Ball Dominance 0.153 0.128 0.0588 0.0184 * 27 playmaking_Spacing 0.134 0.108 0.0533 0.0283 * 28 creation_Shoot Off Dribble 0.122 0.096 0.0464 0.0370 * 29 defense_Stealing 0.116 0.090 0.0408 0.0423 * 30 execution_Post Execution 0.114 0.088 0.0523 0.0436 * ========================================================================================== B. FORWARD STEPWISE SELECTION (max 4 predictors, adj-R2) ========================================================================================== Step 1: +shooting_Inside Shooting adj-R2 = 0.4646 Step 2: +rebounding_Defensive Rebounding adj-R2 = 0.6488 Step 3: +execution_Pick & Roll Execution adj-R2 = 0.6965 Step 4: +physical_Athleticism adj-R2 = 0.7236 Final stepwise model variables: - shooting_Inside Shooting - rebounding_Defensive Rebounding - execution_Pick & Roll Execution - physical_Athleticism R2 = 0.7551 adj-R2 = 0.7236 F-stat = 23.90 p(F) = 4.2860e-09 Variable coef std_err t p -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- const -1.8350 0.4366 -4.20 0.0002 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.0923 0.0255 3.62 0.0010 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.0557 0.0135 4.11 0.0003 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.0380 0.0130 2.93 0.0063 physical_Athleticism -0.0317 0.0156 -2.03 0.0509 ========================================================================================== C. RIDGE & LASSO WITH LOOCV (n = 36, 32 predictors) ========================================================================================== Ridge regression grid search... Best alpha = 51.7947 LOOCV RMSE = 0.1190 Top 10 Ridge coefficients (standardised): Variable coef ---------------------------------------------------------- rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.0253 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.0184 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding 0.0171 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.0160 defense_Help Defense 0.0152 shooting_3PT Shooting 0.0146 physical_Athleticism -0.0138 defense_Rim Protection 0.0135 physical_Endurance 0.0107 execution_Isolation Execution 0.0105 Lasso regression grid search... Best alpha = 0.0139 LOOCV RMSE = 0.1214 Lasso selected 13 non-zero predictors: Variable coef ---------------------------------------------------------- rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.0481 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.0375 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.0335 defense_Help Defense 0.0189 physical_Athleticism -0.0185 shooting_3PT Shooting 0.0140 creation_Foul Drawing 0.0110 defense_Rim Protection 0.0108 creation_Shoot Off Dribble 0.0092 rebounding_Offensive Rebounding 0.0081 execution_Isolation Execution 0.0073 physical_Endurance 0.0031 defense_Off-Ball Defense 0.0003 ========================================================================================== D. PLAYER-LEVEL RIDGE: adv_WS/48 ~ 32 ratings (n = 379) ========================================================================================== Valid observations: 379 Ridge grid search (LOOCV on player data)... Best alpha = 85.3168 10-fold CV RMSE = 0.0460 Top 10 player-level Ridge coefficients (standardised, predicting WS/48): Variable coef ---------------------------------------------------------- creation_Foul Drawing 0.0096 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.0083 execution_Post Execution 0.0083 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.0079 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.0063 playmaking_Passing 0.0058 defense_Help Defense 0.0052 playmaking_Playmaking 0.0049 shooting_Free Throws 0.0044 defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense -0.0043 Full-sample R2 = 0.3099 [Section E skipped — C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\draft_eligible_2050.json not found] ========================================================================================== F. RATING INTERACTION EFFECTS (player-level, n = 379) ========================================================================================== Players for interaction validation: 379 Testing 10 candidate interaction pairs Baseline 32-rating Ridge: CV R² = 0.1868 (sd=0.1014) Pair CV R² gain Coef Status ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ On-Ball Perimeter Defense x Rim Protection +0.0202 -0.0082 VALIDATED Off-Ball Defense x Isolation Execution +0.0132 +0.0059 VALIDATED Self-Creation x Athleticism -0.0005 +0.0026 rejected Help Defense x Offensive Rebounding +0.0022 +0.0027 VALIDATED Ball Handling x Defensive Rebounding +0.0247 -0.0087 VALIDATED Inside Shooting x 3PT Shooting +0.0002 +0.0013 VALIDATED Pick & Roll Execution x Passing +0.0131 +0.0051 VALIDATED Speed x Rim Protection +0.0165 -0.0075 VALIDATED Playmaking x Help Defense -0.0038 -0.0010 rejected Spacing x Post Execution +0.0113 -0.0055 VALIDATED Validated: 8 of 10 pairs --- Final model: 32 main effects + validated interactions --- Combined CV R² = 0.2722 (sd=0.1032) Total CV R² gain over baseline: +0.0853 Interaction Coef Direction -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- On-Ball Perimeter Defense x Rim Protection -0.0054 anti-synergy Off-Ball Defense x Isolation Execution +0.0054 synergy Help Defense x Offensive Rebounding +0.0014 synergy Ball Handling x Defensive Rebounding -0.0076 anti-synergy Inside Shooting x 3PT Shooting +0.0021 synergy Pick & Roll Execution x Passing +0.0044 synergy Speed x Rim Protection -0.0056 anti-synergy Spacing x Post Execution -0.0038 anti-synergy --- Validated interaction coefficients for config.py --- INTERACTION_SYNERGIES = { ("Off-Ball Defense", "Isolation Execution"): 0.005398, ("Help Defense", "Offensive Rebounding"): 0.001364, ("Inside Shooting", "3PT Shooting"): 0.002072, ("Pick & Roll Execution", "Passing"): 0.004389, } INTERACTION_ANTI_SYNERGIES = { ("On-Ball Perimeter Defense", "Rim Protection"): -0.005388, ("Ball Handling", "Defensive Rebounding"): -0.007591, ("Speed", "Rim Protection"): -0.005648, ("Spacing", "Post Execution"): -0.003808, } --- Extreme mismatch analysis (>=16 in one, <=8 in other) --- High Rating Low Rating N Avg BPM Balanced BPM Delta ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Ball Handling Defensive Rebounding 64 -0.76 +1.73 -2.49 Defensive Rebounding Ball Handling 75 -0.12 +1.73 -1.85 Speed Rim Protection 58 +0.60 +0.92 -0.31 Rim Protection Speed 79 +0.56 +0.92 -0.35 Spacing Post Execution 89 +1.30 +0.00 +1.30 Post Execution Spacing 50 +0.11 +0.00 +0.11 Inside Shooting 3PT Shooting 25 -0.06 +0.97 -1.03 Self-Creation Help Defense 5 -1.66 +0.90 -2.56 Help Defense Self-Creation 15 +0.20 +0.90 -0.70 --- Mismatch penalties for config.py --- MISMATCH_PENALTIES = [ {"high": "Ball Handling", "low": "Defensive Rebounding", "bpm_delta": -2.49}, {"high": "Defensive Rebounding", "low": "Ball Handling", "bpm_delta": -1.85}, {"high": "Speed", "low": "Rim Protection", "bpm_delta": -0.31}, {"high": "Rim Protection", "low": "Speed", "bpm_delta": -0.35}, {"high": "Spacing", "low": "Post Execution", "bpm_delta": 1.3}, {"high": "Post Execution", "low": "Spacing", "bpm_delta": 0.11}, {"high": "Inside Shooting", "low": "3PT Shooting", "bpm_delta": -1.03}, {"high": "Self-Creation", "low": "Help Defense", "bpm_delta": -2.56}, {"high": "Help Defense", "low": "Self-Creation", "bpm_delta": -0.7}, ] ========================================================================================== G. BOOTSTRAP COEFFICIENT VALIDATION ========================================================================================== Running team-level bootstrap (n=36, iterations=1000)... Running player-level bootstrap (n=379, iterations=500)... Rating Mean Std CV CI Low CI High Rank Status -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.02045 0.00458 0.224 0.01164 0.02885 1 STABLE execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.01524 0.00471 0.309 0.00581 0.02449 2 STABLE rebounding_Offensive Rebounding 0.01454 0.00405 0.279 0.00720 0.02284 3 STABLE shooting_Inside Shooting 0.01451 0.00383 0.264 0.00667 0.02177 4 STABLE defense_Help Defense 0.01342 0.00390 0.291 0.00570 0.02042 5 STABLE shooting_3PT Shooting 0.01224 0.00525 0.429 0.00200 0.02304 6 STABLE defense_Rim Protection 0.01216 0.00412 0.338 0.00358 0.01971 7 STABLE physical_Athleticism -0.01106 0.00491 0.444 -0.02026 -0.00134 8 STABLE execution_Isolation Execution 0.00963 0.00423 0.439 0.00174 0.01772 9 STABLE physical_Endurance 0.00924 0.00506 0.548 -0.00102 0.01871 10 UNSTABLE creation_Foul Drawing 0.00796 0.00503 0.632 -0.00259 0.01711 11 UNSTABLE creation_Shoot Off Dribble 0.00712 0.00521 0.733 -0.00361 0.01655 12 UNSTABLE creation_Ball Dominance 0.00692 0.00388 0.561 -0.00068 0.01431 13 UNSTABLE execution_Post Execution 0.00606 0.00399 0.658 -0.00180 0.01404 14 UNSTABLE playmaking_Spacing 0.00595 0.00529 0.890 -0.00449 0.01650 15 UNSTABLE defense_Post Defense 0.00569 0.00386 0.679 -0.00188 0.01339 16 UNSTABLE playmaking_Passing 0.00532 0.00542 1.019 -0.00619 0.01537 17 UNSTABLE shooting_Mid-Range Shooting 0.00515 0.00471 0.915 -0.00417 0.01382 18 UNSTABLE shooting_Free Throws 0.00451 0.00541 1.199 -0.00546 0.01559 19 UNSTABLE defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense 0.00434 0.00384 0.885 -0.00305 0.01156 20 UNSTABLE execution_Basketball IQ 0.00395 0.00485 1.227 -0.00578 0.01259 21 UNSTABLE defense_Off-Ball Defense 0.00386 0.00448 1.161 -0.00583 0.01155 22 UNSTABLE defense_Stealing 0.00358 0.00487 1.360 -0.00586 0.01252 23 UNSTABLE creation_Finishing 0.00335 0.00406 1.212 -0.00528 0.01074 24 UNSTABLE physical_Strength 0.00313 0.00486 1.554 -0.00638 0.01234 25 UNSTABLE physical_Quickness -0.00271 0.00505 1.861 -0.01298 0.00670 26 UNSTABLE playmaking_Ball Handling 0.00224 0.00490 2.186 -0.00686 0.01176 27 UNSTABLE physical_Speed 0.00179 0.00481 2.689 -0.00797 0.01067 28 UNSTABLE playmaking_Playmaking 0.00138 0.00408 2.948 -0.00671 0.00923 29 UNSTABLE physical_First Step 0.00077 0.00503 6.515 -0.00915 0.01097 30 UNSTABLE playmaking_Gravity 0.00075 0.00381 5.115 -0.00628 0.00875 31 UNSTABLE creation_Self-Creation -0.00062 0.00579 9.346 -0.01146 0.01040 32 UNSTABLE 9/32 coefficients stable (CV < 0.50) PLAYER-LEVEL STABILITY (top 15 by |mean|): Rating Mean Std CV CI Low CI High ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- creation_Foul Drawing 0.00921 0.00212 0.231 0.00479 0.01339 rebounding_Defensive Rebounding 0.00806 0.00213 0.264 0.00401 0.01213 execution_Post Execution 0.00790 0.00224 0.283 0.00360 0.01203 execution_Pick & Roll Execution 0.00749 0.00205 0.274 0.00374 0.01141 shooting_Inside Shooting 0.00617 0.00204 0.330 0.00209 0.01035 playmaking_Passing 0.00550 0.00215 0.392 0.00137 0.00966 defense_Help Defense 0.00493 0.00198 0.401 0.00129 0.00857 playmaking_Playmaking 0.00450 0.00217 0.482 0.00046 0.00863 shooting_Free Throws 0.00413 0.00215 0.520 -0.00028 0.00836 defense_On-Ball Perimeter Defense -0.00412 0.00225 0.547 -0.00834 0.00022 physical_Endurance 0.00382 0.00187 0.490 0.00007 0.00751 creation_Shoot Off Dribble 0.00357 0.00218 0.610 -0.00078 0.00774 shooting_3PT Shooting 0.00313 0.00206 0.657 -0.00075 0.00688 physical_First Step -0.00302 0.00195 0.645 -0.00707 0.00088 physical_Athleticism -0.00263 0.00185 0.706 -0.00629 0.00092 Validated coefficients exported to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\validated_coefs.json Chart saved: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts\03_predicted_vs_actual.png Chart saved: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts\03_coefficient_importance.png Chart saved: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts\03_interaction_effects.png
04 Denver Gap Analysis
================================================================================ 04 - DENVER DRAGONS GAP ANALYSIS ================================================================================ League: 36 teams Top-3 by win%: Seattle Thunder, Chicago Jailbirds, Kansas City Knights -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: Denver vs Top-3 & League Avg (simple roster means) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rating Denver Top3 Lg Avg Gap Rank -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 10.71 12.57 11.76 -1.85 27 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.50 13.28 12.51 -1.78 33 defense / Stealing 13.50 14.96 13.20 -1.46 16 playmaking / Playmaking 10.00 11.38 11.16 -1.38 31 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.57 12.89 12.43 -1.32 27 execution / Post Execution 7.00 8.32 8.07 -1.32 30 creation / Foul Drawing 12.50 13.81 14.04 -1.31 36 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.07 15.02 14.11 -0.95 16 defense / Help Defense 14.21 15.04 14.01 -0.82 13 playmaking / Passing 12.57 13.35 13.73 -0.78 29 creation / Self-Creation 13.79 14.54 14.06 -0.76 24 playmaking / Gravity 12.86 13.56 13.43 -0.71 29 defense / Post Defense 10.93 11.63 11.12 -0.70 16 shooting / Free Throws 15.07 15.75 15.58 -0.68 28 playmaking / Spacing 10.36 11.00 10.92 -0.64 25 creation / Finishing 15.43 15.94 15.01 -0.51 13 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.14 13.57 12.16 -0.43 9 creation / Ball Dominance 13.57 13.91 13.41 -0.34 15 shooting / Inside Shooting 16.79 17.01 16.73 -0.23 17 defense / Rim Protection 10.93 10.89 10.33 +0.04 6 physical / Athleticism 13.79 13.73 12.90 +0.06 7 execution / Basketball IQ 15.21 15.11 15.02 +0.11 17 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.36 14.21 13.47 +0.14 9 physical / Speed 12.00 11.66 10.97 +0.34 7 execution / Isolation Execution 14.07 13.54 13.20 +0.53 7 physical / Quickness 13.36 12.53 12.63 +0.82 6 physical / Endurance 12.71 11.88 11.20 +0.84 1 shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 12.29 11.40 12.15 +0.89 15 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.93 12.91 12.29 +1.02 3 physical / First Step 13.29 12.12 11.44 +1.16 2 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.57 10.39 9.52 +1.18 1 physical / Strength 13.07 11.05 11.55 +2.02 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: Minutes-Weighted Gap Analysis (ratings weighted by s49_MP) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rating Den(wt) T3(wt) Lg(wt) WtGap WtRnk -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- creation / Foul Drawing 11.72 14.47 14.35 -2.76 36 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.83 14.32 12.79 -2.49 31 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.56 13.88 12.90 -2.32 30 rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 10.79 13.04 11.92 -2.25 28 playmaking / Playmaking 10.01 12.19 11.52 -2.18 33 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.91 15.75 14.41 -1.84 25 defense / Stealing 13.92 15.66 13.48 -1.74 14 creation / Self-Creation 13.54 15.20 14.33 -1.66 32 execution / Post Execution 6.74 8.15 8.03 -1.41 34 creation / Finishing 14.94 16.17 15.11 -1.24 22 defense / Help Defense 14.54 15.71 14.31 -1.17 15 playmaking / Gravity 13.22 14.23 13.72 -1.01 24 playmaking / Passing 13.10 13.98 14.10 -0.88 30 playmaking / Spacing 10.99 11.86 11.29 -0.86 24 execution / Isolation Execution 14.00 14.80 13.50 -0.80 16 shooting / Inside Shooting 16.39 17.15 16.82 -0.76 26 shooting / Free Throws 15.24 16.00 15.69 -0.76 26 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.25 14.95 13.91 -0.70 16 creation / Ball Dominance 13.30 13.93 13.81 -0.63 21 defense / Post Defense 11.38 11.96 11.34 -0.58 16 shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 11.68 12.05 12.27 -0.36 23 execution / Basketball IQ 15.63 15.61 15.26 +0.01 15 physical / Speed 12.44 12.29 11.21 +0.14 4 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.70 11.48 9.87 +0.22 3 physical / Athleticism 14.06 13.74 13.16 +0.32 6 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.35 14.00 12.69 +0.35 4 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.08 13.62 12.44 +0.46 3 physical / Endurance 13.00 12.53 11.31 +0.47 3 defense / Rim Protection 11.68 11.13 10.61 +0.55 3 physical / First Step 13.52 12.52 11.63 +1.01 2 physical / Quickness 14.13 12.83 12.84 +1.30 2 physical / Strength 13.93 11.35 11.88 +2.58 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: Ratings Most Correlated with Winning + Denver Gap -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rating r(win%) p-val Denver Top3 Gap -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- execution / Pick & Roll Execution +0.589 0.0002 13.14 13.57 -0.43 *** shooting / Inside Shooting +0.517 0.0013 16.79 17.01 -0.23 *** shooting / 3PT Shooting +0.466 0.0041 14.07 15.02 -0.95 *** rebounding / Defensive Rebounding +0.464 0.0044 11.50 13.28 -1.78 *** creation / Shoot Off Dribble +0.455 0.0053 11.57 10.39 +1.18 *** defense / Help Defense +0.424 0.0099 14.21 15.04 -0.82 *** playmaking / Spacing +0.397 0.0165 10.36 11.00 -0.64 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense +0.383 0.0210 13.93 12.91 +1.02 execution / Isolation Execution +0.378 0.0229 14.07 13.54 +0.53 rebounding / Offensive Rebounding +0.364 0.0292 10.71 12.57 -1.85 physical / Speed +0.359 0.0316 12.00 11.66 +0.34 defense / Stealing +0.350 0.0365 13.50 14.96 -1.46 playmaking / Playmaking +0.323 0.0544 10.00 11.38 -1.38 playmaking / Ball Handling +0.322 0.0559 11.57 12.89 -1.32 defense / Off-Ball Defense +0.322 0.0553 14.36 14.21 +0.14 creation / Finishing +0.320 0.0569 15.43 15.94 -0.51 creation / Ball Dominance +0.306 0.0692 13.57 13.91 -0.34 physical / First Step +0.260 0.1250 13.29 12.12 +1.16 playmaking / Gravity +0.249 0.1438 12.86 13.56 -0.71 playmaking / Passing +0.247 0.1460 12.57 13.35 -0.78 physical / Endurance +0.243 0.1529 12.71 11.88 +0.84 creation / Foul Drawing +0.199 0.2444 12.50 13.81 -1.31 physical / Quickness +0.185 0.2810 13.36 12.53 +0.82 shooting / Free Throws +0.178 0.2981 15.07 15.75 -0.68 shooting / Mid-Range Shooting +0.118 0.4927 12.29 11.40 +0.89 physical / Strength +0.107 0.5355 13.07 11.05 +2.02 defense / Rim Protection +0.106 0.5393 10.93 10.89 +0.04 defense / Post Defense +0.105 0.5427 10.93 11.63 -0.70 execution / Post Execution +0.101 0.5579 7.00 8.32 -1.32 creation / Self-Creation +0.086 0.6178 13.79 14.54 -0.76 physical / Athleticism +0.010 0.9517 13.79 13.73 +0.06 execution / Basketball IQ -0.022 0.8966 15.21 15.11 +0.11 *** = |r| >= 0.40 (strongly correlated with winning) PRIORITY GAPS (r >= 0.30 AND gap < -0.50): shooting / 3PT Shooting r=+0.466 gap=-0.95 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding r=+0.464 gap=-1.78 defense / Help Defense r=+0.424 gap=-0.82 playmaking / Spacing r=+0.397 gap=-0.64 rebounding / Offensive Rebounding r=+0.364 gap=-1.85 defense / Stealing r=+0.350 gap=-1.46 playmaking / Playmaking r=+0.323 gap=-1.38 playmaking / Ball Handling r=+0.322 gap=-1.32 creation / Finishing r=+0.320 gap=-0.51 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: Spacing Deep Dive -- Every Denver Player -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Player Spacing MPG Games CA Position -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Garrick Jurkin 18.0 31.5 82 3.5 Big Kaimyn Fry 2.0 31.2 77 3.5 Big Tyrae Lewis 10.0 30.7 78 2.5 Guard LaMarcus Quinn 14.0 30.7 82 3.0 Guard Pedro Santos 18.0 29.7 82 4.0 Big Domonkos Biro 11.0 25.8 81 3.5 Wing Brandon Leslie 1.0 17.3 82 4.0 Big Kel Pendergast 19.0 16.7 54 4.0 Wing Zach Camara 9.0 16.6 81 3.5 Guard Hudson Leonard 9.0 13.6 49 4.0 Wing Robert Alcegaire 3.0 11.3 54 3.5 Big Devaugntah Litton 7.0 6.5 31 2.5 Big Marquill Edmunds 7.0 4.1 27 2.5 Wing Tyrique Beaudean 17.0 3.7 26 3.0 Guard Denver Simple Avg Spacing: 10.36 Denver Wt-Avg Spacing: 10.99 Top-3 Simple Avg Spacing: 11.00 League Simple Avg Spacing: 10.92 Gap vs Top-3: -0.64 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: Key Takeaways -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Top-5 biggest deficits vs Top-3 teams: 1. rebounding / Offensive Rebounding gap = -1.85 rank = 27/36 2. rebounding / Defensive Rebounding gap = -1.78 rank = 33/36 3. defense / Stealing gap = -1.46 rank = 16/36 4. playmaking / Playmaking gap = -1.38 rank = 31/36 5. playmaking / Ball Handling gap = -1.32 rank = 27/36 Gaps that are BOTH large AND strongly correlated with winning: - shooting / 3PT Shooting (gap=-0.95, r=+0.466) - rebounding / Defensive Rebounding (gap=-1.78, r=+0.464) - defense / Help Defense (gap=-0.82, r=+0.424) - playmaking / Spacing (gap=-0.64, r=+0.397) - rebounding / Offensive Rebounding (gap=-1.85, r=+0.364) - defense / Stealing (gap=-1.46, r=+0.350) - playmaking / Playmaking (gap=-1.38, r=+0.323) - playmaking / Ball Handling (gap=-1.32, r=+0.322) - creation / Finishing (gap=-0.51, r=+0.320) Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\04_denver_gap_analysis.txt
05 Archetype System
================================================================================ 05 - ARCHETYPE & PROFICIENCY SYSTEM ANALYSIS ================================================================================ League: 36 teams Top-3 by win%: Seattle Thunder, Chicago Jailbirds, Kansas City Knights -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: Offensive Archetype Counts by Team -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Team Glue Guy Interior Pla Movement Sho Pick-and-Pop Post Bully Post Scorer Primary Ball Roll-and-Cut Secondary Cr Shot Creator Slasher Stationary S Stretch Big Versatile Bi ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Atlanta Devils 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 3 2 1 1 0 2 Austin Rockets 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 2 1 0 0 0 Baltimore Bullets 0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 5 1 1 0 1 1 Boston Crusaders 2 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 3 1 0 0 1 1 Charlotte Drones 1 1 0 1 1 1 3 1 3 0 1 0 0 0 Chicago Jailbirds 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 2 4 1 0 2 0 2 Cincinnati Kings 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 2 1 2 1 0 Cleveland Giants 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 5 0 0 0 1 1 Dallas Predators 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 2 4 1 2 0 0 2 Denver Dragons 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 5 1 0 0 0 0 Detroit Mustangs 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 5 0 1 0 1 1 Houston Lightning 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 4 6 2 0 1 0 0 Indiana Stonecutters 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 6 1 0 0 2 2 Kansas City Knights 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 2 5 1 0 1 0 1 Las Vegas Scorpions 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 5 2 0 0 1 2 Los Angeles Fireballs 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 1 4 1 0 0 1 2 Louisville Colonels 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 5 1 0 0 1 0 Mexico City Jaguars 1 0 1 0 1 2 1 2 4 2 0 0 0 0 Miami Cyclones 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 5 2 0 1 0 1 Minneapolis Blizzards 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 2 4 1 0 1 1 1 Nashville Stars 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3 1 1 1 0 3 New Orleans Hurricanes 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 2 6 0 0 0 1 0 New York Renegades 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 1 5 0 0 0 0 1 Oakland Tritons 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 3 6 0 0 1 0 1 Oklahoma City Barons 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 5 2 0 0 0 0 Philadelphia Warriors 3 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 0 1 Phoenix Vultures 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 0 4 3 0 0 0 0 Pittsburgh Vipers 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 6 0 1 1 0 0 Portland Lumberjacks 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 1 2 2 0 2 0 2 Salt Lake City Saints 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 6 1 0 0 1 1 San Diego Calaveras 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 1 6 1 0 0 3 0 Seattle Thunder 0 0 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 3 0 2 0 0 St Louis Skyhawks 2 1 0 0 2 2 3 0 4 1 0 0 0 0 Toronto Huskies 0 0 0 1 0 2 3 3 6 0 0 0 0 0 Vancouver Wolves 2 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 4 2 0 1 0 0 Washington Pilots 0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 6 1 0 0 0 3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: Defensive Archetype Counts by Team -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Team Anchor Big Chaser Helper Low Activity Mobile Big Point Of Att Wing Stopper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Atlanta Devils 2 1 2 0 2 2 6 Austin Rockets 3 1 1 0 1 4 4 Baltimore Bullets 4 1 1 0 1 1 5 Boston Crusaders 3 0 2 0 2 4 4 Charlotte Drones 1 3 0 0 4 2 3 Chicago Jailbirds 1 2 0 0 5 2 5 Cincinnati Kings 2 0 3 0 1 2 7 Cleveland Giants 3 3 1 0 3 2 3 Dallas Predators 3 4 1 0 2 3 2 Denver Dragons 3 0 1 0 1 3 6 Detroit Mustangs 3 0 4 0 1 2 5 Houston Lightning 4 2 0 0 1 2 6 Indiana Stonecutters 3 1 0 1 3 2 4 Kansas City Knights 1 1 2 0 3 3 3 Las Vegas Scorpions 4 1 2 0 1 4 3 Los Angeles Fireballs 4 2 0 0 3 2 3 Louisville Colonels 2 0 2 0 3 4 4 Mexico City Jaguars 2 0 0 1 2 3 6 Miami Cyclones 1 1 1 0 3 2 6 Minneapolis Blizzards 4 1 1 0 2 3 4 Nashville Stars 2 0 3 0 2 3 5 New Orleans Hurricanes 3 1 0 0 2 3 5 New York Renegades 2 0 0 0 3 1 8 Oakland Tritons 3 2 0 0 3 1 6 Oklahoma City Barons 3 1 1 0 1 2 6 Philadelphia Warriors 1 0 1 0 3 4 5 Phoenix Vultures 2 0 1 0 1 4 5 Pittsburgh Vipers 3 1 1 0 1 1 7 Portland Lumberjacks 2 0 2 0 2 4 3 Salt Lake City Saints 3 1 4 0 1 3 3 San Diego Calaveras 3 1 2 0 2 3 4 Seattle Thunder 3 0 0 0 1 3 7 St Louis Skyhawks 2 0 1 0 2 4 6 Toronto Huskies 4 0 2 0 1 3 5 Vancouver Wolves 1 0 1 0 2 3 6 Washington Pilots 3 1 1 0 2 3 5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: Archetype Count Correlations with Win% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Archetype r(win%) p-value ------------------------------------------------------- Off: Shot Creator +0.333 0.0473 Off: Stationary Shooter +0.318 0.0585 Off: Movement Shooter +0.292 0.0843 Off: Interior Playmaker +0.277 0.1019 Def: Point Of Attack +0.167 0.3313 Def: Mobile Big +0.065 0.7081 Off: Pick-and-Pop Big +0.054 0.7533 Def: Helper +0.007 0.9666 Off: Glue Guy -0.020 0.9063 Off: Post Scorer -0.050 0.7735 Off: Slasher -0.052 0.7650 Off: Roll-and-Cut Big -0.060 0.7268 Off: Stretch Big -0.086 0.6171 Def: Wing Stopper -0.097 0.5754 Def: Low Activity -0.111 0.5188 Def: Chaser -0.121 0.4835 Off: Primary Ballhandler -0.155 0.3672 Off: Versatile Big -0.167 0.3300 Def: Anchor Big -0.226 0.1857 Off: Post Bully -0.330 0.0492 Off: Secondary Creator -0.386 0.0201 ** ** = |r| >= 0.35 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: Proficiency Averages Correlated with Win% -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Proficiency r(win%) p-val Denver Top3 Gap ---------------------------------------------------------------------- pace_and_space +0.387 0.0196 8.79 17.96 -9.17 grit_and_grind +0.236 0.1663 5.64 3.09 +2.55 morey_ball +0.230 0.1779 12.50 13.96 -1.46 triangle +0.059 0.7337 2.36 1.25 +1.11 balanced -0.064 0.7094 20.00 15.36 +4.64 post_centric -0.098 0.5709 1.00 2.45 -1.45 seven_seconds -0.230 0.1777 1.29 2.38 -1.09 perimeter_centric -0.319 0.0581 1.00 1.14 -0.14 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: Denver vs Top-3 Archetype Mix -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- OFFENSIVE ARCHETYPES: Archetype Denver Top3/team Diff ------------------------------------------------------------ Glue Guy 2 0.0 +2.0 Interior Playmaker 0 1.0 -1.0 Movement Shooter 0 1.0 -1.0 Post Scorer 2 0.7 +1.3 Primary Ballhandler 2 1.0 +1.0 Roll-and-Cut Big 2 2.7 -0.7 Secondary Creator 5 3.3 +1.7 Shot Creator 1 1.7 -0.7 Stationary Shooter 0 1.7 -1.7 Versatile Big 0 1.0 -1.0 DEFENSIVE ARCHETYPES: Archetype Denver Top3/team Diff ------------------------------------------------------------ Anchor Big 3 1.7 +1.3 Chaser 0 1.0 -1.0 Helper 1 0.7 +0.3 Mobile Big 1 3.0 -2.0 Point Of Attack 3 2.7 +0.3 Wing Stopper 6 5.0 +1.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 6: Archetypes Denver is MISSING that Winners Have -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Offensive archetypes (0 on Denver, >= 1.0 avg on Top-3): - Interior Playmaker (Top-3 avg: 1.0 per team) - Movement Shooter (Top-3 avg: 1.0 per team) - Stationary Shooter (Top-3 avg: 1.7 per team) - Versatile Big (Top-3 avg: 1.0 per team) Defensive archetypes (0 on Denver, >= 1.0 avg on Top-3): - Chaser (Top-3 avg: 1.0 per team) Under-represented archetypes (Denver count < Top-3 avg by >= 1.5): Off: Stationary Shooter Denver=0, Top3 avg=1.7 Def: Mobile Big Denver=1, Top3 avg=3.0 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 7: Key Takeaways -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Archetypes positively correlated with winning: + Off: Shot Creator r=+0.333 + Off: Stationary Shooter r=+0.318 + Off: Movement Shooter r=+0.292 + Off: Interior Playmaker r=+0.277 Archetypes negatively correlated with winning: - Def: Anchor Big r=-0.226 - Off: Post Bully r=-0.330 - Off: Secondary Creator r=-0.386 Proficiencies most correlated with winning: pace_and_space r=+0.387 Denver=8.8 Top3=18.0 grit_and_grind r=+0.236 Denver=5.6 Top3=3.1 morey_ball r=+0.230 Denver=12.5 Top3=14.0 Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\05_archetype_system.txt
06 Player Valuation
================================================================================ 06 - PLAYER VALUATION & TRADE TARGET IDENTIFICATION ================================================================================ League: 36 teams, 516 total players, 379 with 20+ games Top-5 by win%: Seattle Thunder, Chicago Jailbirds, Kansas City Knights, Cincinnati Kings, Vancouver Wolves -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: Value-Over-Expected Model (OLS: WS/48 ~ Current Ability) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Qualified players (20+ games): n = 379 Regression: WS/48 = 0.0305 * CA + (-0.0032) R = 0.399, R-squared = 0.159 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: Top 25 Overperformers (all 273 players, by residual) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rank Player Team CA WS/48 Exp Resid G ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Julian Preuß Pittsburgh Vipers 2.5 0.401 0.073 +0.328 1 2 Zafer Aynaoglu Cleveland Giants 3.0 0.361 0.088 +0.273 1 3 Jarion Swerlein Cincinnati Kings 3.0 0.264 0.088 +0.176 3 4 Stephon Carlton Cincinnati Kings 4.0 0.257 0.119 +0.138 82 5 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons 4.5 0.263 0.134 +0.129 58 6 Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors 3.5 0.230 0.104 +0.126 74 7 McKinley Power Cleveland Giants 2.5 0.198 0.073 +0.125 82 8 Akani Adekoya Kansas City Knights 3.0 0.213 0.088 +0.125 76 9 Brayden Burgess Los Angeles Fireballs 3.0 0.208 0.088 +0.120 32 10 Marquill Edmunds Denver Dragons 2.5 0.192 0.073 +0.119 27 11 Jonathan Lokru Chicago Jailbirds 3.0 0.206 0.088 +0.118 7 12 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds 3.0 0.204 0.088 +0.116 82 13 Desmond NGanga Seattle Thunder 3.0 0.203 0.088 +0.115 75 14 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings 3.5 0.215 0.104 +0.111 82 15 Aleksei Zarva Las Vegas Scorpions 3.0 0.195 0.088 +0.107 3 16 Dominykas Gečas Houston Lightning 3.0 0.193 0.088 +0.105 3 17 Stefano Severini Salt Lake City Saints 3.0 0.193 0.088 +0.105 24 18 Trip Kreisberg Las Vegas Scorpions 2.0 0.161 0.058 +0.103 82 19 Evann Fagan Philadelphia Warriors 2.5 0.176 0.073 +0.103 13 20 Rosario Silvestro Cincinnati Kings 3.0 0.188 0.088 +0.100 55 21 Chris Middlebrooks Cincinnati Kings 3.5 0.203 0.104 +0.099 60 22 Gage Woodward Chicago Jailbirds 3.5 0.202 0.104 +0.098 74 23 Reid Frahm Cincinnati Kings 3.0 0.185 0.088 +0.097 82 24 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders 4.0 0.215 0.119 +0.096 72 25 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 3.5 0.197 0.104 +0.093 76 Bottom 15 Underperformers: Rank Player Team CA WS/48 Exp Resid G ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 502 Quantez Franklin Indiana Stonecutters 3.5 -0.018 0.104 -0.122 72 503 Tiago Fernandes Nashville Stars 4.0 -0.004 0.119 -0.123 66 504 Sasha Ravnic New York Renegades 4.0 -0.008 0.119 -0.127 40 505 Duran Hamdy Detroit Mustangs 2.5 -0.054 0.073 -0.127 2 506 Kepa Lagares San Diego Calaveras 3.5 -0.030 0.104 -0.134 28 507 Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras 3.0 -0.048 0.088 -0.136 75 508 Laurynas Linartas Atlanta Devils 3.5 -0.048 0.104 -0.152 33 509 Tyrique Beaudean Denver Dragons 3.0 -0.066 0.088 -0.154 26 510 Kahale North Miami Cyclones 2.5 -0.082 0.073 -0.155 5 511 Trey Barrington Oakland Tritons 2.0 -0.119 0.058 -0.177 9 512 Reetu Minkenen Las Vegas Scorpions 2.5 -0.107 0.073 -0.180 1 513 Pierre Moraschini Philadelphia Warriors 2.0 -0.131 0.058 -0.189 15 514 Dylan Shenton New Orleans Hurricanes 2.5 -0.122 0.073 -0.195 12 515 Rocket Moor Seattle Thunder 2.0 -0.200 0.058 -0.258 11 516 Dalton Dumas New Orleans Hurricanes 3.0 -0.391 0.088 -0.479 4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: Trade Target Identification -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Criteria: NOT on top-5 teams, age 25-33, positive residual, fills Denver gaps (high spacing OR 3PT shooting OR playmaking) Player Team Age CA PA Resid Spac 3PT Plmk Score ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones 30 3.5 3.5 +0.017 19 18 19 56 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Barons 32 4.0 4.5 +0.068 18 19 19 56 Solomon McIlvaine Indiana Stonecutters 30 3.5 3.5 +0.036 18 19 18 55 Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 26 3.0 3.0 +0.061 18 19 18 55 Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators 28 4.0 4.0 +0.037 18 18 18 54 Jarrett Sutherland Toronto Huskies 25 3.5 5.0 +0.056 17 19 18 54 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurricanes 30 4.0 4.0 +0.062 18 19 17 54 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders 26 3.5 5.0 +0.037 18 17 18 53 Abdoulaye Planincic San Diego Calaveras 30 3.0 3.0 +0.031 18 18 17 53 Nyika Nnamoko Minneapolis Blizzards 29 3.5 3.5 +0.058 19 18 16 53 Devante Parker Jr Austin Rockets 29 3.5 3.5 +0.039 16 18 18 52 Darius Stephenson Las Vegas Scorpions 31 3.5 4.5 +0.000 16 18 18 52 Cardez Moss Austin Rockets 29 4.0 4.0 +0.006 16 18 17 51 Lincoln Rutherford St Louis Skyhawks 30 3.5 4.0 +0.010 16 18 17 51 Josh Vickery Detroit Mustangs 32 3.5 3.5 +0.063 15 18 18 51 Scoochie Hope Atlanta Devils 27 3.5 3.5 +0.000 19 18 14 51 Keyon McCoy Houston Lightning 26 3.5 3.5 +0.012 14 18 18 50 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants 28 4.0 4.5 +0.045 17 19 14 50 Devin Emery Oakland Tritons 29 3.5 3.5 +0.005 16 18 16 50 Terrance Brown New York Renegades 28 3.5 3.5 +0.021 16 17 17 50 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: Denver Dragons Asset Valuation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Player CA PA WS/48 Expected Residual MPG Verdict ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Marquill Edmunds 2.5 2.5 0.192 0.073 +0.119 4.1 OVERPERFORMER Devaugntah Litton 2.5 2.5 0.156 0.073 +0.083 6.5 OVERPERFORMER LaMarcus Quinn 3.0 3.5 0.118 0.088 +0.030 30.7 OVERPERFORMER Kaimyn Fry 3.5 3.5 0.121 0.104 +0.017 31.2 As expected Brandon Leslie 4.0 4.0 0.119 0.119 +0.000 17.3 As expected Robert Alcegaire 3.5 3.5 0.095 0.104 -0.009 11.3 As expected Garrick Jurkin 3.5 5.0 0.084 0.104 -0.020 31.5 As expected Domonkos Biro 3.5 3.5 0.067 0.104 -0.037 25.8 UNDERPERFORMER Hudson Leonard 4.0 4.0 0.081 0.119 -0.038 13.6 UNDERPERFORMER Zach Camara 3.5 3.5 0.051 0.104 -0.053 16.6 UNDERPERFORMER Pedro Santos 4.0 4.5 0.047 0.119 -0.072 29.7 UNDERPERFORMER Tyrae Lewis 2.5 5.0 -0.015 0.073 -0.088 30.7 UNDERPERFORMER Kel Pendergast 4.0 4.0 0.025 0.119 -0.094 16.7 UNDERPERFORMER Tyrique Beaudean 3.0 3.5 -0.066 0.088 -0.154 3.7 UNDERPERFORMER Denver overperformers (trade value): 3 + Marquill Edmunds (residual=+0.119) + Devaugntah Litton (residual=+0.083) + LaMarcus Quinn (residual=+0.030) Denver underperformers: 7 - Domonkos Biro (residual=-0.037) - Hudson Leonard (residual=-0.038) - Zach Camara (residual=-0.053) - Pedro Santos (residual=-0.072) - Tyrae Lewis (residual=-0.088) - Kel Pendergast (residual=-0.094) - Tyrique Beaudean (residual=-0.154) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: Age-Ability Curve -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Age Mean CA N Players Std ----------------------------------- 18 2.17 3 0.29 19 2.40 5 0.96 20 2.67 59 0.56 21 2.79 40 0.69 22 2.84 29 0.75 23 3.02 62 0.66 24 3.44 55 0.64 25 3.45 32 0.46 26 3.50 27 0.55 27 3.63 23 0.43 28 3.69 35 0.57 29 3.70 40 0.50 30 3.61 46 0.35 31 3.68 11 0.46 32 3.33 18 0.51 33 3.11 18 0.50 34 3.25 4 0.65 35 2.21 7 0.64 36 1.25 2 1.06 Peak age for current_ability: 29 (mean CA = 3.70, n = 40) Denver age profile: Tyrae Lewis age=20 CA=2.5 LaMarcus Quinn age=21 CA=3.0 Kaimyn Fry age=22 CA=3.5 Pedro Santos age=22 CA=4.0 Devaugntah Litton age=22 CA=2.5 Domonkos Biro age=23 CA=3.5 Tyrique Beaudean age=24 CA=3.0 Kel Pendergast age=24 CA=4.0 Robert Alcegaire age=28 CA=3.5 Hudson Leonard age=28 CA=4.0 Brandon Leslie age=29 CA=4.0 Zach Camara age=30 CA=3.5 Garrick Jurkin age=30 CA=3.5 Marquill Edmunds age=32 CA=2.5 Average age: 25.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 6: Key Takeaways -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Value model: WS/48 = 0.0305 * CA + (-0.0032), R-sq = 0.159 Peak development age: 29 (mean CA = 3.70) Denver avg age: 25.4 Top trade targets (gap-filling, overperforming, age 25-33): Paolo Belli (Charlotte Drones) CA=3.5 resid=+0.017 gap_score=56 Marco De Luca (Oklahoma City Barons) CA=4.0 resid=+0.068 gap_score=56 Solomon McIlvaine (Indiana Stonecutters) CA=3.5 resid=+0.036 gap_score=55 Tawaski Casuga (Detroit Mustangs) CA=3.0 resid=+0.061 gap_score=55 Jamaria Flagg (Dallas Predators) CA=4.0 resid=+0.037 gap_score=54 Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\06_player_valuation.txt
07 Executive Summary
################################################################################ # DENVER DRAGONS -- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY # # Season 2049 End-of-Year Analytics Report # ################################################################################ ================================================================================ 1. SITUATION ASSESSMENT ================================================================================ Record: 29-53 (0.354) Standing: 27 of 36 teams Point Differential: -4.8 ppg Scoring: 108.0 scored / 112.8 allowed per game Home Record: 22-19 Away Record: 7-34 Roster Size: 14 players Top Scorer: Pedro Santos (16.7 ppg) Avg Current Ability:3.36 (league avg: 3.23) Avg Potential: 3.75 Average Age: 25.4 Draft Pick: #10 overall Context: Denver is in a rebuilding phase with significant young talent but lacks the depth and specific skill profiles needed to compete with the league's elite. The gap vs the Top-3 (Thunder, Jailbirds, Knights) is substantial. ================================================================================ 2. KEY STATISTICAL FINDINGS ================================================================================ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2a. Top 5 Attributes Most Correlated with Winning -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. execution / Pick & Roll Execution r=+0.589 Denver=13.1 Top3=13.6 Gap=-0.4 Rank=9/36 2. shooting / Inside Shooting r=+0.517 Denver=16.8 Top3=17.0 Gap=-0.2 Rank=17/36 3. shooting / 3PT Shooting r=+0.466 Denver=14.1 Top3=15.0 Gap=-0.9 Rank=16/36 4. rebounding / Defensive Rebounding r=+0.464 Denver=11.5 Top3=13.3 Gap=-1.8 Rank=33/36 5. creation / Shoot Off Dribble r=+0.455 Denver=11.6 Top3=10.4 Gap=+1.2 Rank=1/36 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2b. Denver's 5 Biggest Rating Gaps vs Top-3 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1. rebounding / Offensive Rebounding gap=-1.85 Denver=10.7 Top3=12.6 Rank=27/36 2. rebounding / Defensive Rebounding gap=-1.78 Denver=11.5 Top3=13.3 Rank=33/36 3. defense / Stealing gap=-1.46 Denver=13.5 Top3=15.0 Rank=16/36 4. playmaking / Playmaking gap=-1.38 Denver=10.0 Top3=11.4 Rank=31/36 5. execution / Post Execution gap=-1.32 Denver=7.0 Top3=8.3 Rank=30/36 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2c. Priority Gaps (Win-Correlated AND Large Deficit) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- These are the attributes that BOTH strongly predict winning AND where Denver has a large deficit -- the highest-leverage improvement areas: >>> rebounding / Offensive Rebounding r(win%)=+0.364 gap=-1.85 rank=27/36 >>> rebounding / Defensive Rebounding r(win%)=+0.464 gap=-1.78 rank=33/36 >>> defense / Stealing r(win%)=+0.350 gap=-1.46 rank=16/36 >>> playmaking / Playmaking r(win%)=+0.323 gap=-1.38 rank=31/36 >>> playmaking / Ball Handling r(win%)=+0.322 gap=-1.32 rank=27/36 >>> shooting / 3PT Shooting r(win%)=+0.466 gap=-0.95 rank=16/36 >>> defense / Help Defense r(win%)=+0.424 gap=-0.82 rank=13/36 >>> playmaking / Spacing r(win%)=+0.397 gap=-0.64 rank=25/36 >>> creation / Finishing r(win%)=+0.320 gap=-0.51 rank=13/36 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2d. Spacing Analysis -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Denver avg spacing rating: 10.36 (rank 25/36) Top-3 avg spacing rating: 11.00 Gap: -0.64 Spacing has been identified as a key hypothesis for Denver's struggles. Players with lowest spacing on Denver's roster: Brandon Leslie spacing=1 MPG=17.3 Kaimyn Fry spacing=2 MPG=31.2 Robert Alcegaire spacing=3 MPG=11.3 Marquill Edmunds spacing=7 MPG=4.1 Devaugntah Litton spacing=7 MPG=6.5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2e. Value Model Summary -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Model: WS/48 = 0.0305 * CA + (-0.0032) R-squared: 0.159 (n = 379 qualified players) Peak development age: 29 (mean CA = 3.70) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 2f. Proficiency System Insights -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- pace_and_space r(win%)=+0.387 Denver=8.8 Top3=18.0 grit_and_grind r(win%)=+0.236 Denver=5.6 Top3=3.1 morey_ball r(win%)=+0.230 Denver=12.5 Top3=14.0 ================================================================================ 3. SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS (PRIORITIZED) ================================================================================ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3a. Priority 1 -- Address Spacing & Shooting Gaps -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RATIONALE: Spacing and shooting ratings are among the strongest predictors of team success. Denver's spacing/shooting profile is well below the Top-3 average and contributes directly to offensive inefficiency. ACTIONS: - Target players with elite spacing (15+) and 3PT shooting (15+) in trades or free agency. - Top external trade targets (overperforming, gap-filling, age 25-33): Paolo Belli (Charlotte Drones) age=30 CA=3.5 spacing=19 3PT=18 resid=+0.017 Marco De Luca (Oklahoma City Barons) age=32 CA=4.0 spacing=18 3PT=19 resid=+0.068 Solomon McIlvaine (Indiana Stonecutters) age=30 CA=3.5 spacing=18 3PT=19 resid=+0.036 Tawaski Casuga (Detroit Mustangs) age=26 CA=3.0 spacing=18 3PT=19 resid=+0.061 Jamaria Flagg (Dallas Predators) age=28 CA=4.0 spacing=18 3PT=18 resid=+0.037 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3b. Priority 2 -- Roster Moves & Asset Management -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Denver players OVERPERFORMING (trade value -- could yield returns): + Marquill Edmunds CA=2.5 residual=+0.119 + Devaugntah Litton CA=2.5 residual=+0.083 + LaMarcus Quinn CA=3.0 residual=+0.030 Denver players UNDERPERFORMING (consider replacing or developing): - Domonkos Biro CA=3.5 residual=-0.037 - Hudson Leonard CA=4.0 residual=-0.038 - Zach Camara CA=3.5 residual=-0.053 - Pedro Santos CA=4.0 residual=-0.072 - Tyrae Lewis CA=2.5 residual=-0.088 - Kel Pendergast CA=4.0 residual=-0.094 - Tyrique Beaudean CA=3.0 residual=-0.154 NOTE: Overperformers who are NOT part of the long-term core could be traded for draft capital or younger prospects from contenders. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3c. Priority 3 -- Draft Strategy (#10 Pick) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- With the #10 overall pick, Denver should prioritize: 1. Spacing-capable wings or guards (high Spacing + 3PT ratings) 2. Players with high potential (PA >= 4.5) even if CA is lower 3. Archetype fit: target archetypes Denver is missing or under-representing Missing/under-represented archetypes on Denver that winners have: Off: Stationary Shooter (Top-3 avg 1.7 per team, Denver has 0) Off: Interior Playmaker (Top-3 avg 1.0 per team, Denver has 0) Off: Versatile Big (Top-3 avg 1.0 per team, Denver has 0) Off: Movement Shooter (Top-3 avg 1.0 per team, Denver has 0) Def: Chaser (Top-3 avg 1.0 per team, Denver has 0) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 3d. Priority 4 -- System Alignment -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The proficiency system analysis suggests the following system fits correlate most with winning: pace_and_space r=+0.387 Denver=8.8 vs Top3=18.0 gap=-9.2 grit_and_grind r=+0.236 Denver=5.6 vs Top3=3.1 gap=+2.6 morey_ball r=+0.230 Denver=12.5 vs Top3=14.0 gap=-1.5 RECOMMENDATION: Evaluate whether Denver's coaching system aligns with the proficiency profiles that correlate with winning. Recruit players who score highly in the top-correlated proficiency categories. ================================================================================ 4. DEVELOPMENT PRIORITIES ================================================================================ Current Denver players with the most upside potential: Player CA PA Gap Age Position Notes ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tyrae Lewis 2.5 5.0 +2.5 20 Guard HIGHEST UPSIDE - invest heavily Garrick Jurkin 3.5 5.0 +1.5 30 Big Upside exists but past peak age Pedro Santos 4.0 4.5 +0.5 22 Big Moderate upside LaMarcus Quinn 3.0 3.5 +0.5 21 Guard Moderate upside Tyrique Beaudean 3.0 3.5 +0.5 24 Guard Moderate upside Robert Alcegaire 3.5 3.5 +0.0 28 Big Near ceiling Kaimyn Fry 3.5 3.5 +0.0 22 Big Young, may still develop Marquill Edmunds 2.5 2.5 +0.0 32 Wing Near ceiling Zach Camara 3.5 3.5 +0.0 30 Guard Near ceiling Domonkos Biro 3.5 3.5 +0.0 23 Wing Young, may still develop Brandon Leslie 4.0 4.0 +0.0 29 Big Near ceiling Hudson Leonard 4.0 4.0 +0.0 28 Wing Near ceiling Kel Pendergast 4.0 4.0 +0.0 24 Wing Young, may still develop Devaugntah Litton 2.5 2.5 +0.0 22 Big Young, may still develop KEY DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS: - League peak development age is 29 (confirmed by data). - Denver's average age is 25.4, meaning the core has development runway if managed correctly. - Tyrae Lewis: CA 2.5 -> PA 5.0 (age 20, ~9 years to peak) - Garrick Jurkin: CA 3.5 -> PA 5.0 (age 30, ~0 years to peak) STRATEGY: Prioritize development minutes for high-upside players who still have runway before the peak development age (29). Development investments: Tyrae Lewis (CA 2.5 -> PA 5.0, age 20); Pedro Santos (CA 4.0 -> PA 4.5, age 22); LaMarcus Quinn (CA 3.0 -> PA 3.5, age 21). NOTE: Garrick Jurkin (CA 3.5 -> PA 5.0, age 30) has +1.5 upside gap on paper, but is past peak dev age. Other GMs may overvalue that ceiling -- consider as a trade asset. Pedro Santos (CA 4.0, PA 4.5) is the most complete player and should anchor the lineup. ================================================================================ APPENDIX: DATA SOURCES & METHODOLOGY ================================================================================ - All data from JBL Season 2049 exports (league_players.jsonl, league_summary.json) - Total players in league: 516 - Qualified players (20+ games): 379 - Teams: 36 - Value model: OLS regression WS/48 ~ current_ability (R-sq = 0.159) - Correlations: Pearson r with two-tailed p-values - Gaps computed as Denver value minus Top-3 average - Minutes-weighted ratings use s49_MP as weight Full analysis details available in individual module reports: 04_denver_gap_analysis.txt 05_archetype_system.txt 06_player_valuation.txt Report generated and saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\07_executive_summary.txt ################################################################################ # END OF EXECUTIVE SUMMARY # ################################################################################
08 Epm
============================================================================================================== JBL ESTIMATED PLUS-MINUS (EPM) -- 2049 Season ============================================================================================================== MODEL DIAGNOSTICS -------------------------------------------------- Training set: 371 players (500+ min) Prediction set: 503 players Best Ridge alpha: 0.5 CV R-squared: 0.227 Features: 21 Blend midpoint: 1500 min Box Prior -- Top 10 Feature Weights: PTS/36 : +3.548 FTA/36 : -2.151 3PAr : +1.966 STL% : +1.835 STL/36 : -1.668 AST/36 : +1.649 FTr : +1.414 DRB/36 : +1.376 3PA/36 : -1.248 AST% : -0.925 LEAGUE EPM RANKINGS -- Top 50 (200+ min) ============================================================================================================== Rk Player Team Pos GP MPG EPM OEPM DEPM RAPM BPM Wt -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Saints Big 82 25.8 +7.63 +5.02 +2.61 +8.2 +1.8 0.86 2 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds Wing 82 33.5 +7.07 +4.92 +2.25 +7.2 +7.4 0.98 3 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons Big 58 33.1 +6.40 +3.40 +3.08 +6.8 +9.1 0.78 4 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds Guard 77 32.8 +6.19 +2.35 +3.84 +6.4 +4.3 0.96 5 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights Big 81 29.4 +5.77 +2.85 +2.91 +5.9 +4.4 0.93 6 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants Guard 81 34.4 +5.51 -0.18 +5.59 +5.6 +1.7 0.98 7 Darrell Ray Indiana Stonecutters Big 51 4.8 +5.12 +4.16 +0.96 +7.4 +3.3 0.02 8 Daniel Cazorla Phoenix Vultures Guard 81 22.3 +5.09 +3.24 +1.85 +6.4 +0.1 0.72 9 Damir Markovic San Diego Calaveras Big 82 13.2 +5.08 +4.39 +0.69 +2.9 -0.5 0.22 10 Cedric Rodgers Los Angeles Fireballs Wing 80 33.4 +4.77 +0.68 +3.99 +4.9 +5.0 0.97 11 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder Wing 81 25.3 +4.70 +0.55 +4.15 +5.5 +3.4 0.84 12 JB Winn Minneapolis Blizzards Big 82 26.2 +4.53 +3.04 +1.48 +5.0 -0.5 0.87 13 Waylan Loftin Dallas Predators Big 82 28.0 +4.17 +3.68 +0.50 +4.4 -0.5 0.92 14 Demitrius Burns Portland Lumberjacks Big 79 29.8 +4.15 +1.03 +3.13 +4.4 +1.9 0.93 15 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings Big 82 31.1 +4.14 +1.99 +2.15 +4.2 +7.9 0.96 16 Evan Lieberman Oklahoma City Barons Wing 78 31.4 +3.99 +2.46 +1.53 +4.1 +4.2 0.95 17 Khadim Flowers New York Renegades Wing 61 32.7 +3.91 +1.42 +2.49 +4.5 +3.2 0.81 18 Austin Ross Baltimore Bullets Wing 80 31.7 +3.90 +2.12 +1.87 +4.0 +4.1 0.96 19 Dutch Ruise Jr Los Angeles Fireballs Big 33 8.1 +3.89 +3.70 +0.19 +1.0 +1.6 0.02 20 Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder Wing 74 35.7 +3.80 +0.37 +3.43 +3.9 +6.7 0.97 21 Lorenzo Wade Philadelphia Warriors Big 80 24.5 +3.79 +2.07 +1.64 +4.6 +1.1 0.80 22 Joseph Swan Salt Lake City Saints Guard 38 6.6 +3.77 +2.18 +1.57 +4.0 +3.6 0.02 23 Xavier Lowe Philadelphia Warriors Wing 82 30.0 +3.74 +4.14 -0.40 +3.9 +3.0 0.95 24 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurricanes Guard 71 12.2 +3.73 +2.64 +1.10 +6.8 +3.6 0.13 25 Jimmy Cougar III Cincinnati Kings Wing 79 27.8 +3.70 +1.44 +2.17 +3.9 +4.8 0.89 26 Dimitris Makryonitis Kansas City Knights Guard 79 19.7 +3.69 +4.57 -0.88 +3.8 +3.6 0.54 27 Kostas Zonas Vancouver Wolves Wing 82 33.3 +3.65 +2.08 +1.57 +3.7 +6.1 0.98 28 Sergio Ortuño Vancouver Wolves Big 82 32.4 +3.62 +2.39 +1.23 +3.6 +5.1 0.97 29 Drake Walter Vancouver Wolves Big 81 32.5 +3.58 +1.03 +2.55 +3.7 +5.3 0.97 30 Adonis Walters Pittsburgh Vipers Wing 81 22.2 +3.56 +2.60 +0.96 +4.9 +0.8 0.71 31 Kylan Cassier Portland Lumberjacks Wing 82 31.8 +3.56 +2.27 +1.29 +3.6 +3.2 0.97 32 Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder Wing 81 37.6 +3.48 +1.00 +2.49 +3.5 +4.8 0.99 33 Leon Hawthorne Oklahoma City Barons Wing 74 33.4 +3.48 +1.94 +1.54 +3.6 +2.8 0.95 34 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets Wing 82 28.2 +3.26 +1.73 +1.53 +3.4 +3.4 0.92 35 Rahsool Kellar Dallas Predators Wing 82 30.8 +3.24 +0.26 +2.97 +3.4 +0.3 0.96 36 Lazar Dragovic Louisville Colonels Big 73 12.5 +3.23 +3.22 -0.00 +3.1 +7.0 0.15 37 Quinn Alston Pittsburgh Vipers Wing 81 28.0 +3.14 +2.98 +0.16 +3.3 +3.3 0.91 38 Tommy Mock Cincinnati Kings Big 79 25.8 +3.14 +3.93 -0.71 +3.5 +2.5 0.83 39 Caius Thompson Philadelphia Warriors Big 80 33.0 +3.11 +0.78 +2.33 +3.2 +2.3 0.97 40 Nyika Nnamoko Minneapolis Blizzards Guard 82 27.7 +3.09 +1.77 +1.32 +3.2 +2.6 0.91 41 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Barons Guard 80 31.3 +3.05 +1.41 +1.64 +3.1 +5.0 0.95 42 Jaleel Usher Oklahoma City Barons Guard 81 31.8 +3.03 +3.14 -0.20 +3.1 +1.7 0.96 43 Houston Chong-Qui San Diego Calaveras Big 67 7.5 +3.01 +2.93 +0.07 +3.9 +0.2 0.05 44 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants Wing 75 28.6 +2.97 +2.74 +0.23 +3.1 +4.9 0.87 45 Reid Frahm Cincinnati Kings Guard 82 15.9 +2.90 +3.01 -0.06 +4.8 +3.3 0.35 46 Emeka Nyambi Mexico City Jaguars Big 78 30.3 +2.89 +1.37 +1.52 +3.1 +0.5 0.93 47 Kahlil Sinclair Oakland Tritons Wing 14 16.0 +2.83 +2.49 +0.34 +1.4 +1.7 0.02 48 Ish Hampton Atlanta Devils Guard 77 16.3 +2.83 +2.00 +0.83 +4.4 -1.2 0.32 49 Adam Hines Seattle Thunder Wing 46 18.1 +2.78 +2.66 +0.12 +4.0 +4.8 0.12 50 Marcel Richter Baltimore Bullets Big 51 34.8 +2.77 +0.28 +2.49 +3.5 +0.6 0.69 DENVER DRAGONS -- EPM Roster Breakdown ============================================================================================================== Rk Player Pos GP MPG EPM OEPM DEPM RAPM BPM CA Wt -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 83 Pedro Santos Big 82 29.7 +2.30 -0.26 +2.56 +2.4 +1.2 4.0 0.94 120 Domonkos Biro Wing 81 25.8 +1.59 +1.45 +0.14 +1.8 -0.4 3.5 0.85 199 Devaugntah Litton Big 31 6.5 +0.72 +2.24 -1.49 +1.1 +0.2 2.5 0.02 214 Marquill Edmunds Wing 27 4.1 +0.50 +1.96 -1.47 -0.1 +2.5 2.5 0.02 231 Hudson Leonard Wing 49 13.6 +0.28 +1.01 -0.74 +1.6 -0.3 4.0 0.08 238 Robert Alcegaire Big 54 11.3 +0.17 +0.38 -0.21 +0.0 -3.8 3.5 0.06 246 Garrick Jurkin Big 82 31.5 -0.02 +0.63 -0.65 -0.1 +2.3 3.5 0.96 287 Zach Camara Guard 81 16.6 -0.43 -0.09 -0.33 +1.1 -3.5 3.5 0.38 312 Kel Pendergast Wing 54 16.7 -0.74 -0.40 -0.35 +0.0 -2.3 4.0 0.14 335 Brandon Leslie Big 82 17.3 -0.97 -0.57 -0.44 -2.1 -0.9 4.0 0.44 388 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 82 30.7 -1.68 -1.41 -0.27 -1.8 +0.2 3.0 0.95 392 Kaimyn Fry Big 77 31.2 -1.74 -0.67 -1.07 -1.9 -3.0 3.5 0.94 406 Tyrique Beaudean Guard 26 3.7 -2.01 -2.54 +0.54 -0.3 -6.0 3.0 0.01 472 Tyrae Lewis Guard 78 30.7 -3.70 -4.12 +0.42 -3.8 -3.4 2.5 0.94 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TEAM TOTAL -5.74 METRIC CORRELATIONS (500+ min players) ============================================================ EPM vs RAPM : r = +0.907 EPM vs BPM : r = +0.559 EPM vs WS/48: r = +0.531 EPM vs VORP : r = +0.534 EPM vs PER : r = +0.127 RAPM vs BPM : r = +0.439 RAPM vs WS/48: r = +0.395 RAPM vs VORP : r = +0.436 RAPM vs PER : r = +0.052 BPM vs WS/48: r = +0.745 BPM vs VORP : r = +0.921 BPM vs PER : r = +0.218 WS/48 vs VORP : r = +0.676 WS/48 vs PER : r = +0.321 VORP vs PER : r = +0.286 BIGGEST EPM vs BPM DIVERGENCES (500+ min) ==================================================================================================== EPM higher than BPM (box score UNDERVALUES these players): Jarvis Cannon EPM=+2.58 BPM=-4.80 diff=+7.38 RAPM= +2.8 Thiago Andrade EPM=-0.06 BPM=-6.50 diff=+6.44 RAPM= +0.0 Raul Cardona EPM=+0.73 BPM=-5.60 diff=+6.33 RAPM= +2.3 Cole Kopelani EPM=+7.63 BPM=+1.80 diff=+5.83 RAPM= +8.2 Jaxson Booker EPM=+1.36 BPM=-4.40 diff=+5.76 RAPM= +1.1 Denis Molodtsov EPM=-1.15 BPM=-6.90 diff=+5.75 RAPM= -1.1 Mathieu Rogers EPM=+1.46 BPM=-4.20 diff=+5.66 RAPM= +3.6 Damir Markovic EPM=+5.08 BPM=-0.50 diff=+5.58 RAPM= +2.9 JB Winn EPM=+4.53 BPM=-0.50 diff=+5.03 RAPM= +5.0 Daniel Cazorla EPM=+5.09 BPM=+0.10 diff=+4.99 RAPM= +6.4 EPM lower than BPM (box score OVERVALUES these players): Patrik Jurecka EPM=-4.69 BPM=+3.10 diff=-7.79 RAPM= -4.8 Stephon Carlton EPM=+0.62 BPM=+8.00 diff=-7.38 RAPM= +0.6 Kenan Aleksic EPM=-4.51 BPM=+2.60 diff=-7.11 RAPM= -5.3 Gage Woodward EPM=-1.80 BPM=+5.10 diff=-6.90 RAPM= -2.2 Evan McGowan EPM=-7.40 BPM=-0.50 diff=-6.90 RAPM= -7.8 CJ LaCruz EPM=-0.39 BPM=+5.70 diff=-6.09 RAPM= -0.4 Tyree Bruner EPM=-2.33 BPM=+3.30 diff=-5.63 RAPM= -2.4 Xavier Yates EPM=-2.36 BPM=+3.20 diff=-5.56 RAPM= -4.7 Kelvin Page EPM=-0.91 BPM=+4.60 diff=-5.51 RAPM= -1.0 Zion Buckner EPM=-1.13 BPM=+4.10 diff=-5.23 RAPM= -1.2 TEAM EPM RANKINGS ===================================================================================== Rk Team Total EPM Avg EPM # W-L Win% ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Kansas City Knights +22.38 +1.86 12 76-27 0.738 2 Cincinnati Kings +21.39 +1.53 14 74-28 0.725 3 Seattle Thunder +18.55 +1.85 10 83-24 0.776 4 Cleveland Giants +15.30 +1.39 11 59-35 0.628 5 Vancouver Wolves +14.36 +1.44 10 66-30 0.688 6 Louisville Colonels +13.14 +1.01 13 65-32 0.670 7 Las Vegas Scorpions +12.82 +1.07 12 59-37 0.615 8 Philadelphia Warriors +12.46 +1.25 10 56-34 0.622 9 Oklahoma City Barons +11.83 +0.91 13 61-29 0.678 10 Detroit Mustangs +11.40 +0.88 13 57-32 0.640 11 Los Angeles Fireballs +11.36 +0.87 13 49-36 0.576 12 Chicago Jailbirds +11.35 +1.13 10 78-27 0.743 13 Portland Lumberjacks +10.37 +0.94 11 59-30 0.663 14 Baltimore Bullets +5.69 +0.52 11 51-38 0.573 15 Salt Lake City Saints +5.44 +0.49 11 30-53 0.361 16 Minneapolis Blizzards +4.77 +0.43 11 51-39 0.567 17 Dallas Predators +3.60 +0.36 10 32-51 0.386 18 Boston Crusaders +2.83 +0.20 14 45-44 0.506 19 Phoenix Vultures +2.42 +0.22 11 46-37 0.554 20 Miami Cyclones +0.13 +0.01 10 33-50 0.398 21 Mexico City Jaguars -1.21 -0.12 10 48-35 0.578 22 Austin Rockets -2.73 -0.30 9 52-38 0.578 23 New Orleans Hurricanes -3.86 -0.32 12 44-40 0.524 24 Indiana Stonecutters -3.89 -0.30 13 21-62 0.253 25 Denver Dragons -4.23 -0.35 12 29-53 0.354 26 Atlanta Devils -4.49 -0.35 13 23-60 0.277 27 Oakland Tritons -4.55 -0.38 12 19-64 0.229 28 Pittsburgh Vipers -5.09 -0.46 11 31-52 0.373 29 Toronto Huskies -7.20 -0.60 12 25-58 0.301 30 Charlotte Drones -7.98 -0.66 12 41-44 0.482 31 San Diego Calaveras -9.55 -0.73 13 18-65 0.217 32 New York Renegades -9.61 -0.74 13 35-48 0.422 33 St Louis Skyhawks -13.71 -1.05 13 19-64 0.229 34 Houston Lightning -13.74 -1.25 11 26-57 0.313 35 Washington Pilots -14.92 -1.15 13 27-56 0.325 36 Nashville Stars -21.23 -1.42 15 19-64 0.229 Team EPM vs Win% correlation: r = 0.863 TOP 15 GUARDS BY EPM (500+ min) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rk Player Team GP MPG EPM OEPM DEPM 1 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 77 32.8 +6.19 +2.35 +3.84 2 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants 81 34.4 +5.51 -0.18 +5.59 3 Daniel Cazorla Phoenix Vultures 81 22.3 +5.09 +3.24 +1.85 4 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurricanes 71 12.2 +3.73 +2.64 +1.10 5 Dimitris Makryonitis Kansas City Knights 79 19.7 +3.69 +4.57 -0.88 6 Nyika Nnamoko Minneapolis Blizzards 82 27.7 +3.09 +1.77 +1.32 7 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Barons 80 31.3 +3.05 +1.41 +1.64 8 Jaleel Usher Oklahoma City Barons 81 31.8 +3.03 +3.14 -0.20 9 Reid Frahm Cincinnati Kings 82 15.9 +2.90 +3.01 -0.06 10 Ish Hampton Atlanta Devils 77 16.3 +2.83 +2.00 +0.83 11 Mandela Marsh-Kittrell Kansas City Knights 76 31.4 +2.69 +2.40 +0.39 12 Akani Adekoya Kansas City Knights 76 15.0 +2.47 +1.37 +1.12 13 Tawaski Casuga Detroit Mustangs 77 21.1 +2.41 +0.79 +1.63 14 Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors 74 20.3 +2.36 +0.34 +2.04 15 Orkun Ozcan Vancouver Wolves 82 33.2 +2.18 +0.63 +1.55 TOP 15 WINGS BY EPM (500+ min) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rk Player Team GP MPG EPM OEPM DEPM 1 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds 82 33.5 +7.07 +4.92 +2.25 2 Cedric Rodgers Los Angeles Fireballs 80 33.4 +4.77 +0.68 +3.99 3 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder 81 25.3 +4.70 +0.55 +4.15 4 Evan Lieberman Oklahoma City Barons 78 31.4 +3.99 +2.46 +1.53 5 Khadim Flowers New York Renegades 61 32.7 +3.91 +1.42 +2.49 6 Austin Ross Baltimore Bullets 80 31.7 +3.90 +2.12 +1.87 7 Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder 74 35.7 +3.80 +0.37 +3.43 8 Xavier Lowe Philadelphia Warriors 82 30.0 +3.74 +4.14 -0.40 9 Jimmy Cougar III Cincinnati Kings 79 27.8 +3.70 +1.44 +2.17 10 Kostas Zonas Vancouver Wolves 82 33.3 +3.65 +2.08 +1.57 11 Adonis Walters Pittsburgh Vipers 81 22.2 +3.56 +2.60 +0.96 12 Kylan Cassier Portland Lumberjacks 82 31.8 +3.56 +2.27 +1.29 13 Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 81 37.6 +3.48 +1.00 +2.49 14 Leon Hawthorne Oklahoma City Barons 74 33.4 +3.48 +1.94 +1.54 15 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets 82 28.2 +3.26 +1.73 +1.53 TOP 15 BIGS BY EPM (500+ min) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Rk Player Team GP MPG EPM OEPM DEPM 1 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Saints 82 25.8 +7.63 +5.02 +2.61 2 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons 58 33.1 +6.40 +3.40 +3.08 3 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights 81 29.4 +5.77 +2.85 +2.91 4 Damir Markovic San Diego Calaveras 82 13.2 +5.08 +4.39 +0.69 5 JB Winn Minneapolis Blizzards 82 26.2 +4.53 +3.04 +1.48 6 Waylan Loftin Dallas Predators 82 28.0 +4.17 +3.68 +0.50 7 Demitrius Burns Portland Lumberjacks 79 29.8 +4.15 +1.03 +3.13 8 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings 82 31.1 +4.14 +1.99 +2.15 9 Lorenzo Wade Philadelphia Warriors 80 24.5 +3.79 +2.07 +1.64 10 Sergio Ortuño Vancouver Wolves 82 32.4 +3.62 +2.39 +1.23 11 Drake Walter Vancouver Wolves 81 32.5 +3.58 +1.03 +2.55 12 Lazar Dragovic Louisville Colonels 73 12.5 +3.23 +3.22 -0.00 13 Tommy Mock Cincinnati Kings 79 25.8 +3.14 +3.93 -0.71 14 Caius Thompson Philadelphia Warriors 80 33.0 +3.11 +0.78 +2.33 15 Houston Chong-Qui San Diego Calaveras 67 7.5 +3.01 +2.93 +0.07
09 Ideal Profiles
================================================================================ 09 - IDEAL PLAYER PROFILES BY POSITION ================================================================================ Methodology: - Players filtered by true_position (highest positional_fit), min 20 games - Win-correlation: Pearson r between rating and team win_pct (per player) - Top-3 benchmark: Avg ratings of rotation players (15+ MPG) on Seattle Thunder, Chicago Jailbirds, Kansas City Knights - Composite: 50% win-correlation + 50% Top-3 benchmark - Top 10 skills per position by composite importance ================================================================================ GUARD PROFILE (75 players league-wide) ================================================================================ Top 10 Most Important Skills for Guards: # Rating Win r Top3 Avg Lg Avg Composite -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 defense / Post Defense +0.161 7.17 4.79 0.895 2 playmaking / Spacing +0.148 16.33 14.04 0.871 3 creation / Shoot Off Dribble +0.222 15.00 13.68 0.860 4 shooting / Inside Shooting +0.250 17.83 17.09 0.836 5 shooting / 3PT Shooting +0.201 18.00 17.07 0.797 6 defense / Help Defense +0.083 15.00 13.13 0.751 7 execution / Basketball IQ +0.102 16.67 15.33 0.720 8 playmaking / Playmaking +0.169 15.67 15.12 0.720 9 physical / Strength +0.106 9.83 8.59 0.716 10 execution / Pick & Roll Execution +0.176 14.00 13.59 0.715 Ideal Guard Target Ratings (Top-3 benchmark for top-10 skills): Rating Target -------------------------------------------------- defense / Post Defense 7.2 playmaking / Spacing 16.3 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 15.0 shooting / Inside Shooting 17.8 shooting / 3PT Shooting 18.0 defense / Help Defense 15.0 execution / Basketball IQ 16.7 playmaking / Playmaking 15.7 physical / Strength 9.8 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.0 Denver Guards vs Ideal (Top-10 skills): Player MPG CA defense / Po playmaking / creation / S shooting / I shooting / 3 defense / He execution / playmaking / physical / S execution / ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** IDEAL (Top-3) ** 7.2 16.3 15.0 17.8 18.0 15.0 16.7 15.7 9.8 14.0 Tyrae Lewis 30.7 2.5 1.0- 10.0- 14.0 15.0- 14.0- 11.0- 14.0- 9.0- 16.0+ 15.0 LaMarcus Quinn 30.7 3.0 6.0 14.0- 17.0+ 14.0- 18.0 13.0- 16.0 17.0 12.0+ 16.0+ Zach Camara 16.6 3.5 2.0- 9.0- 18.0+ 19.0 17.0 18.0+ 14.0- 18.0+ 7.0- 18.0+ Denver Guard Gaps vs Ideal (sorted by deficit): Rating Denver Ideal Gap Win r ---------------------------------------------------------------------- playmaking / Spacing 11.36 16.33 -4.97 +0.148 defense / Post Defense 3.18 7.17 -3.99 +0.161 *** shooting / Inside Shooting 15.46 17.83 -2.38 +0.250 *** execution / Basketball IQ 14.79 16.67 -1.88 +0.102 shooting / 3PT Shooting 16.21 18.00 -1.79 +0.201 *** defense / Help Defense 13.28 15.00 -1.72 +0.083 playmaking / Playmaking 14.06 15.67 -1.60 +0.169 *** creation / Shoot Off Dribble 16.03 15.00 +1.03 +0.222 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 16.03 14.00 +2.03 +0.176 physical / Strength 12.51 9.83 +2.68 +0.106 *** = gap > 1.0 AND skill correlated with winning ================================================================================ WING PROFILE (152 players league-wide) ================================================================================ Top 10 Most Important Skills for Wings: # Rating Win r Top3 Avg Lg Avg Composite -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding +0.299 16.18 11.82 0.975 2 execution / Isolation Execution +0.315 15.64 14.76 0.707 3 rebounding / Offensive Rebounding +0.198 13.00 10.73 0.647 4 execution / Pick & Roll Execution +0.243 14.36 12.95 0.643 5 defense / Help Defense +0.246 16.00 14.68 0.639 6 defense / Off-Ball Defense +0.238 17.27 16.43 0.588 7 creation / Ball Dominance +0.227 14.73 14.31 0.536 8 shooting / 3PT Shooting +0.188 17.18 16.07 0.534 9 playmaking / Ball Handling +0.185 16.82 15.68 0.532 10 defense / Stealing +0.184 17.18 16.07 0.528 Ideal Wing Target Ratings (Top-3 benchmark for top-10 skills): Rating Target -------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 16.2 execution / Isolation Execution 15.6 rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 13.0 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.4 defense / Help Defense 16.0 defense / Off-Ball Defense 17.3 creation / Ball Dominance 14.7 shooting / 3PT Shooting 17.2 playmaking / Ball Handling 16.8 defense / Stealing 17.2 Denver Wings vs Ideal (Top-10 skills): Player MPG CA rebounding / execution / rebounding / execution / defense / He defense / Of creation / B shooting / 3 playmaking / defense / St ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** IDEAL (Top-3) ** 16.2 15.6 13.0 14.4 16.0 17.3 14.7 17.2 16.8 17.2 Domonkos Biro 25.8 3.5 5.0- 17.0 6.0- 19.0+ 15.0 16.0 16.0 15.0- 8.0- 17.0 Kel Pendergast 16.7 4.0 17.0 16.0 6.0- 11.0- 11.0- 18.0 11.0- 19.0+ 18.0 19.0+ Hudson Leonard 13.6 4.0 9.0- 18.0+ 17.0+ 9.0- 15.0 19.0+ 14.0 17.0 18.0 18.0 Denver Wing Gaps vs Ideal (sorted by deficit): Rating Denver Ideal Gap Win r ---------------------------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 9.54 16.18 -6.64 +0.299 *** rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 8.67 13.00 -4.33 +0.198 *** playmaking / Ball Handling 13.40 16.82 -3.42 +0.185 *** defense / Help Defense 13.81 16.00 -2.19 +0.246 *** creation / Ball Dominance 14.03 14.73 -0.70 +0.227 shooting / 3PT Shooting 16.68 17.18 -0.51 +0.188 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.19 14.36 -0.17 +0.243 defense / Off-Ball Defense 17.32 17.27 +0.05 +0.238 defense / Stealing 17.84 17.18 +0.66 +0.184 execution / Isolation Execution 16.94 15.64 +1.31 +0.315 *** = gap > 1.0 AND skill correlated with winning ================================================================================ BIG PROFILE (152 players league-wide) ================================================================================ Top 10 Most Important Skills for Bigs: # Rating Win r Top3 Avg Lg Avg Composite -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 rebounding / Offensive Rebounding +0.380 17.30 15.64 0.800 2 physical / Speed +0.109 10.20 6.74 0.723 3 defense / Stealing +0.095 12.30 9.25 0.664 4 creation / Finishing +0.218 16.30 14.49 0.651 5 defense / Rim Protection +0.301 17.50 16.59 0.636 6 defense / Help Defense +0.208 16.00 14.31 0.628 7 shooting / Inside Shooting +0.278 17.90 16.86 0.628 8 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense +0.117 8.60 6.33 0.599 9 defense / Off-Ball Defense +0.090 12.50 10.21 0.574 10 physical / Endurance +0.148 11.40 9.93 0.543 Ideal Big Target Ratings (Top-3 benchmark for top-10 skills): Rating Target -------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 17.3 physical / Speed 10.2 defense / Stealing 12.3 creation / Finishing 16.3 defense / Rim Protection 17.5 defense / Help Defense 16.0 shooting / Inside Shooting 17.9 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 8.6 defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.5 physical / Endurance 11.4 Denver Bigs vs Ideal (Top-10 skills): Player MPG CA rebounding / physical / S defense / St creation / F defense / Ri defense / He shooting / I defense / On defense / Of physical / E ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** IDEAL (Top-3) ** 17.3 10.2 12.3 16.3 17.5 16.0 17.9 8.6 12.5 11.4 Garrick Jurkin 31.5 3.5 15.0- 11.0 16.0+ 8.0- 18.0 14.0- 17.0 19.0+ 16.0+ 19.0+ Kaimyn Fry 31.2 3.5 15.0- 16.0+ 8.0- 19.0+ 19.0 16.0 16.0- 8.0 10.0- 7.0- Pedro Santos 29.7 4.0 11.0- 13.0+ 15.0+ 15.0 19.0 17.0 16.0- 19.0+ 8.0- 15.0+ Brandon Leslie 17.3 4.0 18.0 5.0- 9.0- 18.0+ 19.0 18.0+ 19.0 9.0 9.0- 19.0+ Robert Alcegaire 11.3 3.5 13.0- 15.0+ 3.0- 19.0+ 18.0 16.0 15.0- 5.0- 17.0+ 11.0 Denver Big Gaps vs Ideal (sorted by deficit): Rating Denver Ideal Gap Win r ---------------------------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 14.26 17.30 -3.04 +0.380 *** shooting / Inside Shooting 16.60 17.90 -1.30 +0.278 *** creation / Finishing 15.01 16.30 -1.29 +0.218 *** defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.58 12.50 -0.92 +0.090 defense / Stealing 11.48 12.30 -0.82 +0.095 defense / Help Defense 16.01 16.00 +0.01 +0.208 defense / Rim Protection 18.65 17.50 +1.15 +0.301 physical / Speed 12.30 10.20 +2.10 +0.109 physical / Endurance 14.18 11.40 +2.78 +0.148 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.43 8.60 +4.83 +0.117 *** = gap > 1.0 AND skill correlated with winning ================================================================================ POSITION ARCHETYPES ON TOP-3 TEAMS ================================================================================ Guard archetypes on Top-3 teams (15+ MPG): Offensive: Primary Ballhandler (2), Stationary Shooter (2), Secondary Creator (1), Shot Creator (1) Defensive: Point Of Attack (4), Wing Stopper (2) Wing archetypes on Top-3 teams (15+ MPG): Offensive: Secondary Creator (4), Stationary Shooter (2), Movement Shooter (2), Shot Creator (2), Interior Playmaker (1) Defensive: Wing Stopper (9), Chaser (1), Point Of Attack (1) Big archetypes on Top-3 teams (15+ MPG): Offensive: Roll-and-Cut Big (3), Versatile Big (3), Post Scorer (2), Interior Playmaker (1), Secondary Creator (1) Defensive: Mobile Big (5), Anchor Big (4), Wing Stopper (1) ================================================================================ CROSS-POSITION INSIGHTS ================================================================================ Skills important EVERYWHERE (top-10 composite at all 3 positions): - defense / Help Defense Skills uniquely important for Guards: - defense / Post Defense - playmaking / Spacing - execution / Basketball IQ - creation / Shoot Off Dribble - physical / Strength - playmaking / Playmaking Skills uniquely important for Wings: - rebounding / Defensive Rebounding - creation / Ball Dominance - playmaking / Ball Handling - execution / Isolation Execution Skills uniquely important for Bigs: - physical / Speed - creation / Finishing - defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense - physical / Endurance - defense / Rim Protection ================================================================================ DENVER ACTION ITEMS BY POSITION ================================================================================ Guard - Target these skills in FA/Draft/Trade: -> playmaking / Spacing gap=-4.97 target=16.3 win-r=+0.148 -> defense / Post Defense gap=-3.99 target=7.2 win-r=+0.161 -> shooting / Inside Shooting gap=-2.38 target=17.8 win-r=+0.250 -> execution / Basketball IQ gap=-1.88 target=16.7 win-r=+0.102 -> shooting / 3PT Shooting gap=-1.79 target=18.0 win-r=+0.201 -> defense / Help Defense gap=-1.72 target=15.0 win-r=+0.083 -> playmaking / Playmaking gap=-1.60 target=15.7 win-r=+0.169 Wing - Target these skills in FA/Draft/Trade: -> rebounding / Defensive Rebounding gap=-6.64 target=16.2 win-r=+0.299 -> rebounding / Offensive Rebounding gap=-4.33 target=13.0 win-r=+0.198 -> playmaking / Ball Handling gap=-3.42 target=16.8 win-r=+0.185 -> defense / Help Defense gap=-2.19 target=16.0 win-r=+0.246 -> creation / Ball Dominance gap=-0.70 target=14.7 win-r=+0.227 -> shooting / 3PT Shooting gap=-0.51 target=17.2 win-r=+0.188 Big - Target these skills in FA/Draft/Trade: -> rebounding / Offensive Rebounding gap=-3.04 target=17.3 win-r=+0.380 -> shooting / Inside Shooting gap=-1.30 target=17.9 win-r=+0.278 -> creation / Finishing gap=-1.29 target=16.3 win-r=+0.218 -> defense / Off-Ball Defense gap=-0.92 target=12.5 win-r=+0.090 -> defense / Stealing gap=-0.82 target=12.3 win-r=+0.095 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\09_ideal_profiles.txt
10 Trade Watchlist
==================================================================================================== 10 - TRADE TARGET WATCHLIST ==================================================================================================== Methodology: - Gap analysis: Denver's minutes-weighted averages vs Top-3 benchmarks by position - Top-3 teams: Seattle Thunder, Chicago Jailbirds, Kansas City Knights - Team classification: Seller (<40%), Neutral, Contender (>60%) - Trade candidates: non-Denver, 10+ games, CA >= 2.0, with availability reason - Composite score: Gap-Fill 40% + Ability 25% + Contract 20% + Upside 15% Denver Cap Situation: - Total roster salary: $142,750,000 - Cap with holds: ~$142.75M (target: under $135M) - Above hard trading limit Denver's Top Gap Priorities by Position: Guard: playmaking / Spacing (-4.72), defense / Post Defense (-3.90), shooting / Inside Shooting (-2.31), defense / Help Defense (-1.87), shooting / 3PT Shooting (-1.75) Wing: rebounding / Defensive Rebounding (-6.74), rebounding / Offensive Rebounding (-4.38), playmaking / Ball Handling (-3.58), defense / Help Defense (-2.31), execution / Pick & Roll Execution (-0.80) Big: rebounding / Offensive Rebounding (-3.00), creation / Finishing (-1.39), shooting / Inside Shooting (-1.33), defense / Off-Ball Defense (-1.30), defense / Stealing (-0.95) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 1: TEAM LANDSCAPE ==================================================================================================== Team W L Win% Class Avg CA ----------------------------------------------------------------- Seattle Thunder 83 24 0.776 Contender 3.32 Chicago Jailbirds 78 27 0.743 Contender 3.43 Kansas City Knights 76 27 0.738 Contender 3.58 Cincinnati Kings 74 28 0.725 Contender 3.40 Vancouver Wolves 66 30 0.688 Contender 3.42 Oklahoma City Barons 61 29 0.678 Contender 3.50 Louisville Colonels 65 32 0.670 Contender 3.33 Portland Lumberjacks 59 30 0.663 Contender 3.50 Detroit Mustangs 57 32 0.640 Contender 3.33 Cleveland Giants 59 35 0.628 Contender 3.50 Philadelphia Warriors 56 34 0.622 Contender 3.25 Las Vegas Scorpions 59 37 0.615 Contender 3.37 Austin Rockets 52 38 0.578 Neutral 3.00 Mexico City Jaguars 48 35 0.578 Neutral 3.04 Los Angeles Fireballs 49 36 0.576 Neutral 3.43 Baltimore Bullets 51 38 0.573 Neutral 3.54 Minneapolis Blizzards 51 39 0.567 Neutral 3.23 Phoenix Vultures 46 37 0.554 Neutral 3.15 New Orleans Hurricanes 44 40 0.524 Neutral 3.50 Boston Crusaders 45 44 0.506 Neutral 3.17 Charlotte Drones 41 44 0.482 Neutral 3.23 New York Renegades 35 48 0.422 Neutral 3.43 Miami Cyclones 33 50 0.398 Seller 3.39 Dallas Predators 32 51 0.386 Seller 3.20 Pittsburgh Vipers 31 52 0.373 Seller 2.93 Salt Lake City Saints 30 53 0.361 Seller 3.20 Denver Dragons 29 53 0.354 Seller 3.36 Washington Pilots 27 56 0.325 Seller 3.10 Houston Lightning 26 57 0.313 Seller 3.00 Toronto Huskies 25 58 0.301 Seller 2.57 Atlanta Devils 23 60 0.277 Seller 2.77 Indiana Stonecutters 21 62 0.253 Seller 3.39 Nashville Stars 19 64 0.229 Seller 2.97 Oakland Tritons 19 64 0.229 Seller 3.07 St Louis Skyhawks 19 64 0.229 Seller 2.77 San Diego Calaveras 18 65 0.217 Seller 3.03 Summary: 14 Sellers, 10 Neutral, 12 Contenders ==================================================================================================== SECTION 2: TOP 25 OVERALL TRADE TARGETS ==================================================================================================== # Name Team Pos Age CA PA Salary Yrs Tags GapFill Score ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders Wing 26 3.5 5.0 $30.0M 2 SURPLUS 19.80 0.752 2 Jaaron Hyde Portland Lumberjack Wing 29 4.5 4.5 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 15.61 0.734 3 Nicolas Deprez Baltimore Bullets Wing 23 4.5 5.0 $6.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.89 0.720 4 Stanley Ogide Charlotte Drones Wing 27 4.5 4.5 $30.0M 3 SURPLUS 17.32 0.709 5 Arif Langston Chicago Jailbirds Wing 29 4.0 4.0 $6.0M 2 SURPLUS 15.02 0.686 6 Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions Wing 24 4.5 5.0 $30.0M 2 PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 13.78 0.663 7 Adam Hines Seattle Thunder Wing 30 4.0 4.0 $6.0M 2 SURPLUS 13.57 0.656 8 Yuri Maksimov Cleveland Giants Wing 24 4.0 4.0 $1.8M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.10 0.652 9 LaBradford Reath Detroit Mustangs Wing 24 4.0 5.0 $5.3M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 10.66 0.649 10 Luke Venizelos Pittsburgh Vipers Wing 29 4.0 4.0 $20.0M 2 SELLER + SURPLUS 14.88 0.646 11 Patrik Jurecka New Orleans Hurrica Guard 21 3.5 4.0 $6.0M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.24 0.641 12 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings Wing 28 3.5 4.0 $27.0M 1 EXPIRING + PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 16.25 0.639 13 Vitaliy McCarty New Orleans Hurrica Wing 28 4.0 4.0 $9.8M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 12.78 0.630 14 Tre Braun Phoenix Vultures Wing 30 4.0 4.0 $35.0M 2 SURPLUS 15.87 0.626 15 LaMarcus Coleman Cleveland Giants Wing 29 4.0 4.0 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 11.68 0.623 16 Andre Griffin Kansas City Knights Wing 28 4.5 4.5 $27.0M 1 EXPIRING + PLAYER_OPT 12.36 0.616 17 Lonzo Waterman New Orleans Hurrica Wing 25 4.0 4.0 $2.5M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 11.28 0.615 18 Payton Oyediran Mexico City Jaguars Wing 28 4.0 4.0 $6.0M 2 SURPLUS 11.43 0.613 19 Dimitris Karras Charlotte Drones Wing 20 3.0 3.5 $5.0M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 12.85 0.602 20 Hasheem Black Dallas Predators Wing 25 4.0 4.0 $4.0M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 10.59 0.601 21 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder Wing 28 3.0 3.0 $3.5M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.72 0.600 22 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurrica Guard 30 4.0 4.0 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 10.47 0.599 23 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds Guard 24 4.0 5.0 $25.0M 1 EXPIRING + PLAYER_OPT 10.68 0.598 24 Laurynas Linartas Atlanta Devils Wing 21 3.5 4.5 $6.2M 1 SELLER + EXPIRING + SURPLUS 9.86 0.597 25 Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels Wing 31 3.5 3.5 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 11.79 0.594 Top 10 — Key Gap-Filling Ratings: 1. Karim Zouita (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 18, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 19, playmaking / Ball Handling 18, defense / Help Defense 19 2. Jaaron Hyde (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 17, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 17, playmaking / Ball Handling 18, defense / Help Defense 16 3. Nicolas Deprez (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 14, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 15, playmaking / Ball Handling 18, defense / Help Defense 19 4. Stanley Ogide (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 17, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 17, playmaking / Ball Handling 19, defense / Help Defense 18 5. Arif Langston (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 18, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 19, playmaking / Ball Handling 18, defense / Help Defense 17 6. Zaire Phifer (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 19, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 12, playmaking / Ball Handling 18, defense / Help Defense 15 7. Adam Hines (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 17, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 14, playmaking / Ball Handling 14, defense / Help Defense 18 8. Yuri Maksimov (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 17, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 18, playmaking / Ball Handling 16, execution / Pick & Roll Execution 17 9. LaBradford Reath (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 18, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 14, defense / Help Defense 17, execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14 10. Luke Venizelos (Wing): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 18, rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 16, defense / Help Defense 18, execution / Pick & Roll Execution 18 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 3: POSITION-SPECIFIC TOP 10 ==================================================================================================== --- GUARD TARGETS (Denver's top gaps: playmaking / Sp, defense / Post , shooting / Insi, defense / Help , shooting / 3PT ) --- # Name Team Age CA Salary Tags GapFill ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Patrik Jurecka New Orleans Hurrica 21 3.5 $6.0M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.24 2 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurrica 30 4.0 $3.2M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 10.47 3 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 24 4.0 $25.0M EXPIRING + PLAYER_OPT 10.68 4 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones 30 3.5 $3.5M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 11.21 5 Gage Woodward Chicago Jailbirds 26 3.5 $17.5M EXPIRING 11.83 6 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Baron 32 4.0 $32.5M PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 12.75 7 Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators 28 4.0 $10.0M SELLER + EXPIRING 9.74 8 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants 28 4.0 $24.0M EXPIRING 10.22 9 Mandela Marsh-Kittrel Kansas City Knights 25 3.5 $6.5M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 9.41 10 Orkun Ozcan Vancouver Wolves 29 3.5 $25.8M SURPLUS 11.32 Gap skill breakdown (top 3): 1. Patrik Jurecka: playmaking / Spaci 17 (DEN avg 11.6); defense / Post Def 17 (DEN avg 3.3); shooting / Inside 19 (DEN avg 15.5) 2. Jonny Caruthers: playmaking / Spaci 18 (DEN avg 11.6); defense / Post Def 12 (DEN avg 3.3); shooting / Inside 18 (DEN avg 15.5) 3. Devonte Bell: playmaking / Spaci 18 (DEN avg 11.6); shooting / Inside 18 (DEN avg 15.5); defense / Help Def 19 (DEN avg 13.1) 4. Paolo Belli: playmaking / Spaci 19 (DEN avg 11.6); defense / Post Def 14 (DEN avg 3.3); shooting / Inside 18 (DEN avg 15.5) 5. Gage Woodward: playmaking / Spaci 18 (DEN avg 11.6); defense / Post Def 9 (DEN avg 3.3); shooting / Inside 19 (DEN avg 15.5) --- WING TARGETS (Denver's top gaps: rebounding / De, rebounding / Of, playmaking / Ba, defense / Help , execution / Pic) --- # Name Team Age CA Salary Tags GapFill ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders 26 3.5 $30.0M SURPLUS 19.80 2 Jaaron Hyde Portland Lumberjack 29 4.5 $3.2M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 15.61 3 Nicolas Deprez Baltimore Bullets 23 4.5 $6.2M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.89 4 Stanley Ogide Charlotte Drones 27 4.5 $30.0M SURPLUS 17.32 5 Arif Langston Chicago Jailbirds 29 4.0 $6.0M SURPLUS 15.02 6 Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions 24 4.5 $30.0M PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 13.78 7 Adam Hines Seattle Thunder 30 4.0 $6.0M SURPLUS 13.57 8 Yuri Maksimov Cleveland Giants 24 4.0 $1.8M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.10 9 LaBradford Reath Detroit Mustangs 24 4.0 $5.3M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 10.66 10 Luke Venizelos Pittsburgh Vipers 29 4.0 $20.0M SELLER + SURPLUS 14.88 Gap skill breakdown (top 3): 1. Karim Zouita: rebounding / Defen 18 (DEN avg 9.4); rebounding / Offen 19 (DEN avg 8.6); playmaking / Ball 18 (DEN avg 13.2) 2. Jaaron Hyde: rebounding / Defen 17 (DEN avg 9.4); rebounding / Offen 17 (DEN avg 8.6); playmaking / Ball 18 (DEN avg 13.2) 3. Nicolas Deprez: rebounding / Defen 14 (DEN avg 9.4); rebounding / Offen 15 (DEN avg 8.6); playmaking / Ball 18 (DEN avg 13.2) 4. Stanley Ogide: rebounding / Defen 17 (DEN avg 9.4); rebounding / Offen 17 (DEN avg 8.6); playmaking / Ball 19 (DEN avg 13.2) 5. Arif Langston: rebounding / Defen 18 (DEN avg 9.4); rebounding / Offen 19 (DEN avg 8.6); playmaking / Ball 18 (DEN avg 13.2) --- BIG TARGETS (Denver's top gaps: rebounding / Of, creation / Fini, shooting / Insi, defense / Off-B, defense / Steal) --- # Name Team Age CA Salary Tags GapFill ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 LeAndre Kokal New York Renegades 25 4.0 $2.5M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 6.30 2 TreDarius Love Los Angeles Firebal 24 4.0 $6.0M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 6.24 3 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights 24 5.0 $30.0M SURPLUS 5.17 4 Dominic Vukcevic Washington Pilots 28 4.5 $6.0M SELLER + SURPLUS 3.56 5 Zeke Barry Kansas City Knights 24 5.0 $25.0M SURPLUS 3.80 6 Talis Kalemba Boston Crusaders 23 4.0 $5.3M SURPLUS 2.41 7 Ambrose Udoh Chicago Jailbirds 33 4.0 $6.0M EXPIRING + SURPLUS 4.96 8 Dion Sowder Los Angeles Firebal 29 5.0 $35.0M PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 4.57 9 Javar Bonham Chicago Jailbirds 26 4.5 $30.0M PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 5.94 10 Tyrone George Louisville Colonels 24 4.5 $30.0M PLAYER_OPT + SURPLUS 5.82 Gap skill breakdown (top 3): 1. LeAndre Kokal: rebounding / Offen 19 (DEN avg 14.3); creation / Finishi 19 (DEN avg 14.9); shooting / Inside 19 (DEN avg 16.6) 2. TreDarius Love: rebounding / Offen 19 (DEN avg 14.3); creation / Finishi 19 (DEN avg 14.9); shooting / Inside 19 (DEN avg 16.6) 3. Kavian Hawes: rebounding / Offen 18 (DEN avg 14.3); creation / Finishi 17 (DEN avg 14.9); shooting / Inside 19 (DEN avg 16.6) 4. Dominic Vukcevic: rebounding / Offen 17 (DEN avg 14.3); creation / Finishi 18 (DEN avg 14.9); shooting / Inside 18 (DEN avg 16.6) 5. Zeke Barry: rebounding / Offen 17 (DEN avg 14.3); creation / Finishi 15 (DEN avg 14.9); shooting / Inside 19 (DEN avg 16.6) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 4: HIGH-UPSIDE TARGETS (Age <= 25, PA > CA + 0.5) ==================================================================================================== # Name Team Pos Age CA PA Gap Salary Yrs Tags --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Kylian Fontaine Phoenix Vultures Big 18 2.5 5.0 2.5 $4.9M 3 SURPLUS 2 Trip Kreisberg Las Vegas Scorpions Guard 20 2.0 4.5 2.5 $2.4M 2 SURPLUS 3 Óscar Salvatierra San Diego Calaveras Wing 19 2.0 4.0 2.0 $6.0M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 4 Triston Dantley Los Angeles Firebal Big 20 3.0 5.0 2.0 $4.8M 2 SURPLUS 5 McKinley Power Cleveland Giants Wing 20 2.5 4.5 2.0 $4.5M 2 SURPLUS 6 Keon Wallace Phoenix Vultures Guard 22 2.0 4.0 2.0 $1.8M 2 SURPLUS 7 Bryce Ham Los Angeles Firebal Big 20 2.0 4.0 2.0 $3.5M 3 SURPLUS 8 Merlin Rooks Toronto Huskies Guard 20 2.0 4.0 2.0 $2.5M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 9 Denis Molodtsov St Louis Skyhawks Big 19 2.5 4.5 2.0 $5.2M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 10 Fabio Tinto Salt Lake City Sain Wing 21 2.5 4.0 1.5 $1.8M 2 SELLER + SURPLUS 11 Evan Lucarotti Oakland Tritons Big 20 2.5 4.0 1.5 $5.5M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 12 Gleb Luzan Indiana Stonecutter Big 20 3.0 4.5 1.5 $1.8M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 13 Kaleb Sterling St Louis Skyhawks Wing 21 2.0 3.5 1.5 $2.5M 2 SELLER + SURPLUS 14 Trenard Noble New York Renegades Wing 23 2.0 3.5 1.5 $1.8M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 15 Waylan Loftin Dallas Predators Big 21 3.0 4.5 1.5 $4.8M 1 SELLER + EXPIRING + SURPLUS ==================================================================================================== SECTION 5: CAP-FRIENDLY TARGETS (Salary <= $5M, CA >= 3.0) ==================================================================================================== # Name Team Pos Age CA PA Salary Yrs Tags Score --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Jaaron Hyde Portland Lumberjack Wing 29 4.5 4.5 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.734 2 Yuri Maksimov Cleveland Giants Wing 24 4.0 4.0 $1.8M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.652 3 LaMarcus Coleman Cleveland Giants Wing 29 4.0 4.0 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.623 4 Lonzo Waterman New Orleans Hurrica Wing 25 4.0 4.0 $2.5M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.615 5 Hasheem Black Dallas Predators Wing 25 4.0 4.0 $4.0M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 0.601 6 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder Wing 28 3.0 3.0 $3.5M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.600 7 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurrica Guard 30 4.0 4.0 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.599 8 Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels Wing 31 3.5 3.5 $3.2M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.594 9 Sasha Kukoc Cincinnati Kings Wing 26 3.5 3.5 $1.8M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.584 10 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones Guard 30 3.5 3.5 $3.5M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.583 11 Kourtlin Bechard Toronto Huskies Wing 20 3.5 5.0 $2.9M 2 SELLER + SURPLUS 0.567 12 Anvar Makiev Oakland Tritons Wing 21 3.0 4.5 $4.8M 3 SELLER + SURPLUS 0.566 13 Arik Mills Minneapolis Blizzar Wing 27 3.5 3.5 $2.5M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.555 14 Tykee Lovely Portland Lumberjack Wing 24 3.0 3.0 $1.8M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.552 15 T.J. Kyungu Phoenix Vultures Wing 25 4.0 4.0 $4.0M 1 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 0.548 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 6: DENVER ROSTER CONTEXT ==================================================================================================== Name Pos Age CA PA MPG Salary Yrs Option Status ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Garrick Jurkin Big 30 3.5 5.0 31.5 $27,500,000 1 Player Option Franchise P Kaimyn Fry Big 22 3.5 3.5 31.2 $4,900,000 1 Starter Tyrae Lewis Guard 20 2.5 5.0 30.7 $6,250,000 3 Team Option Rotation LaMarcus Quinn Guard 21 3.0 3.5 30.7 $4,600,000 2 Team Option Rotation Pedro Santos Big 22 4.0 4.5 29.7 $25,000,000 2 Important P Domonkos Biro Wing 23 3.5 3.5 25.8 $5,200,000 1 Rotation Brandon Leslie Big 29 4.0 4.0 17.3 $13,500,000 2 Starter/Six Kel Pendergast Wing 24 4.0 4.0 16.7 $19,000,000 2 Starter Zach Camara Guard 30 3.5 3.5 16.6 $8,000,000 1 Rotation Hudson Leonard Wing 28 4.0 4.0 13.6 $12,000,000 3 Rotation Robert Alcegaire Big 28 3.5 3.5 11.3 $6,000,000 2 Backup/Rota Devaugntah Litton Big 22 2.5 2.5 6.5 $1,750,000 2 Team Option Backup/Rota Marquill Edmunds Wing 32 2.5 2.5 4.1 $5,650,000 1 Backup/Rota Tyrique Beaudean Guard 24 3.0 3.5 3.7 $3,400,000 1 Team Option Rotation Total Roster Salary: $142,750,000 Roster Size: 14 Potential Trade Chips (expiring contracts): - Garrick Jurkin (Big, CA 3.5, $27,500,000) - Kaimyn Fry (Big, CA 3.5, $4,900,000) - Domonkos Biro (Wing, CA 3.5, $5,200,000) - Zach Camara (Guard, CA 3.5, $8,000,000) - Marquill Edmunds (Wing, CA 2.5, $5,650,000) - Tyrique Beaudean (Guard, CA 3.0, $3,400,000) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Total trade candidates evaluated: 442 Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\10_trade_watchlist.txt
11 Defensive Composition
==================================================================================================== 11 - DEFENSIVE TEAM COMPOSITION ==================================================================================================== Methodology: - All ratings are minutes-weighted (total minutes = MPG x GP) - Rotation players: 15+ MPG, 10+ games played - Top-5 defensive teams: ranked by average points allowed - Top-5 benchmark: Austin Rockets, Charlotte Drones, Mexico City Jaguars, Detroit Mustangs, Cincinnati Kings Denver Defensive Context: - 2049 Record: 29-53 (27th of 36) - Pts Allowed: 112.8 (rank 22/36) - Wt DRtg: 118.1 (rank 23/36) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 1: LEAGUE DEFENSIVE RANKINGS ==================================================================================================== Rk Team PtsA DRtg Win% HelpDef DefReb RimPro OffBDef TopDefArch ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Austin Rockets 104.3 114.3 0.578 14.6 13.4 9.7 14.3 Wing Stopper (2) 2 Charlotte Drones 107.5 118.8 0.482 14.5 13.4 11.0 15.1 Mobile Big (3) 3 Mexico City Jaguars 108.6 115.3 0.578 14.6 12.4 12.9 15.0 Wing Stopper (3) 4 Detroit Mustangs 108.8 114.0 0.640 14.6 12.2 11.4 15.7 Wing Stopper (4) 5 Cincinnati Kings 109.0 112.8 0.725 14.0 15.8 11.1 13.1 Wing Stopper (5) 6 Oklahoma City Barons 109.1 113.3 0.678 15.9 13.7 10.1 13.8 Wing Stopper (4) 7 Baltimore Bullets 109.9 113.5 0.573 14.7 13.5 11.4 14.6 Wing Stopper (3) 8 Las Vegas Scorpions 110.1 113.5 0.615 13.7 13.6 11.1 14.2 Wing Stopper (3) 9 Kansas City Knights 110.3 115.1 0.738 16.0 13.0 11.3 15.9 Point Of Attack (3) 10 Louisville Colonels 110.4 115.0 0.670 14.3 12.4 10.8 14.1 Wing Stopper (4) 11 Nashville Stars 110.5 121.1 0.229 14.7 11.6 11.5 12.3 Wing Stopper (3) 12 Philadelphia Warriors 110.5 112.7 0.622 16.3 13.3 10.4 15.0 Wing Stopper (3) 13 Seattle Thunder 110.5 110.5 0.776 15.3 16.0 10.9 14.4 Wing Stopper (5) 14 Cleveland Giants 110.6 116.6 0.628 14.6 13.7 11.4 13.1 Wing Stopper (2) 15 New Orleans Hurricanes 110.7 115.7 0.524 15.2 13.9 12.4 12.4 Wing Stopper (4) 16 Phoenix Vultures 110.7 116.3 0.554 13.2 12.5 10.6 13.9 Wing Stopper (5) 17 Portland Lumberjacks 111.0 114.7 0.663 15.2 11.9 9.8 12.2 Point Of Attack (3) 18 Chicago Jailbirds 111.0 112.3 0.743 16.2 15.0 12.1 14.8 Wing Stopper (5) 19 Vancouver Wolves 111.0 112.1 0.688 16.5 13.7 12.0 14.8 Wing Stopper (4) 20 Miami Cyclones 111.4 116.8 0.398 15.7 12.7 12.6 13.8 Wing Stopper (4) 21 Boston Crusaders 111.8 118.1 0.506 15.5 12.6 11.9 14.9 Wing Stopper (3) 22 Denver Dragons 112.8 118.1 0.354 14.7 11.8 11.9 14.2 Wing Stopper (4) <-- 23 New York Renegades 113.2 118.0 0.422 14.2 12.5 11.9 15.2 Wing Stopper (5) 24 Toronto Huskies 113.7 120.4 0.301 11.7 12.1 8.8 14.0 Wing Stopper (3) 25 Dallas Predators 113.9 118.8 0.386 13.8 13.8 10.2 14.8 Anchor Big (3) 26 Minneapolis Blizzards 113.9 114.6 0.567 14.0 13.4 9.7 13.2 Wing Stopper (4) 27 Washington Pilots 114.5 119.6 0.325 15.3 12.1 10.1 13.4 Point Of Attack (2) 28 Los Angeles Fireballs 114.8 115.4 0.576 14.3 12.7 10.8 14.8 Chaser (2) 29 Houston Lightning 115.2 119.8 0.313 14.3 13.3 10.2 11.9 Wing Stopper (3) 30 Pittsburgh Vipers 115.6 119.2 0.373 14.3 10.8 10.8 15.7 Wing Stopper (5) 31 St Louis Skyhawks 115.9 122.0 0.229 12.2 12.2 10.9 15.3 Point Of Attack (4) 32 Salt Lake City Saints 116.7 121.0 0.361 13.0 10.5 8.5 14.4 Point Of Attack (2) 33 Atlanta Devils 116.9 120.2 0.277 12.4 12.3 10.7 12.7 Wing Stopper (4) 34 Indiana Stonecutters 118.4 121.0 0.253 13.1 11.1 9.3 13.5 Wing Stopper (3) 35 San Diego Calaveras 119.9 120.9 0.217 12.8 12.1 10.9 11.7 Wing Stopper (3) 36 Oakland Tritons 124.1 121.3 0.229 14.1 12.7 9.8 12.6 Wing Stopper (4) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 2: DEFENSIVE ARCHETYPE BLUEPRINT ==================================================================================================== Defensive archetype composition — Top-5 defensive teams vs Denver (rotation, 15+ MPG): Team Anchor Big Chaser Helper Mobile Big Point Of Att Wing Stopper Total ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Austin Rockets 1 0 1 1 1 2 6 Charlotte Drones 1 2 0 3 1 3 10 Mexico City Jaguars 2 0 0 2 1 3 8 Detroit Mustangs 3 0 3 1 2 4 13 Cincinnati Kings 1 0 2 0 1 5 9 Denver Dragons 1 0 1 1 2 4 9 <-- Denver Denver vs Top-5 Avg archetype counts: Anchor Big Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 1.6 Diff: -0.6 *** Chaser Denver: 0 Top5 Avg: 0.4 Diff: -0.4 Helper Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 1.2 Diff: -0.2 Mobile Big Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 1.4 Diff: -0.4 Point Of Attack Denver: 2 Top5 Avg: 1.2 Diff: +0.8 Wing Stopper Denver: 4 Top5 Avg: 3.4 Diff: +0.6 *** = Denver has fewer than Top-5 average ==================================================================================================== SECTION 3: POSITION-GROUP DEFENSIVE PROFILES ==================================================================================================== --- GUARD DEFENSIVE PROFILE --- Rating Denver Top5 Gap Rank -------------------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Post Defense 3.23 8.31 -5.08 20/36 *** defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.84 16.87 -2.03 33/36 *** rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 7.59 9.36 -1.77 22/36 *** defense / Stealing 15.15 16.21 -1.06 25/36 *** defense / Rim Protection 3.15 2.94 +0.21 16/36 defense / Help Defense 13.31 12.99 +0.32 17/36 defense / Off-Ball Defense 16.83 15.76 +1.07 18/36 *** = gap > 1.0 rating points --- WING DEFENSIVE PROFILE --- Rating Denver Top5 Gap Rank -------------------------------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 8.62 12.56 -3.94 34/36 *** defense / Help Defense 13.79 15.19 -1.40 27/36 *** defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15.90 16.93 -1.02 32/36 *** defense / Off-Ball Defense 16.60 16.72 -0.12 19/36 defense / Rim Protection 10.40 9.46 +0.93 10/36 defense / Stealing 17.60 16.32 +1.28 12/36 defense / Post Defense 13.30 8.58 +4.73 5/36 *** = gap > 1.0 rating points --- BIG DEFENSIVE PROFILE --- Rating Denver Top5 Gap Rank -------------------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.04 11.95 -0.91 15/36 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 15.80 16.63 -0.83 25/36 defense / Post Defense 16.45 17.14 -0.69 25/36 defense / Help Defense 16.01 14.66 +1.35 11/36 defense / Rim Protection 18.71 17.22 +1.49 1/36 defense / Stealing 12.43 10.62 +1.81 7/36 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.41 8.82 +5.58 2/36 *** = gap > 1.0 rating points ==================================================================================================== SECTION 4: DEFENSIVE WIN CORRELATIONS ==================================================================================================== Pearson r between minutes-weighted team defensive ratings and win_pct: Rating r Verdict --------------------------------------------------------------------------- rebounding / Defensive Rebounding +0.634 STRONG defense / Help Defense +0.604 STRONG defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense +0.491 MODERATE defense / Stealing +0.372 MODERATE defense / Off-Ball Defense +0.348 MODERATE defense / Rim Protection +0.277 WEAK physical / Strength +0.274 WEAK physical / Speed +0.270 WEAK physical / Quickness +0.134 NEGLIGIBLE physical / Athleticism -0.124 NEGLIGIBLE defense / Post Defense +0.114 NEGLIGIBLE Key insight: Help Defense and Defensive Rebounding consistently rank as the strongest defensive win predictors — target these in roster construction. ==================================================================================================== SECTION 5: DENVER'S BEST DEFENSIVE LINEUPS (SIMULATED) ==================================================================================================== Composite formula: 30% Help Def + 25% Def Reb + 15% Rim Pro + 15% Off-Ball Def + 10% On-Ball Peri Def + 5% Stealing --- Best Defense (2G/2W/1B) --- Name Pos MPG CA HelpD DefRb RimPr OBDef OnBDf Steal Comp ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Zach Camara Guard 16.6 3.5 18.0 6.0 2.0 18.0 18.0 14.0 12.40 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 30.7 3.0 13.0 9.0 2.0 17.0 13.0 14.0 11.00 Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 4.0 11.0 17.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 19.0 14.35 Hudson Leonard Wing 13.6 4.0 15.0 9.0 5.0 19.0 18.0 18.0 13.05 Garrick Jurkin Big 31.5 3.5 14.0 18.0 18.0 16.0 19.0 16.0 16.50 Lineup avg vs Top-5 defensive benchmark (all positions combined): Help Defense Lineup: 14.2 Top5: 14.3 Gap: -0.1 Def Rebounding Lineup: 11.8 Top5: 12.8 Gap: -1.0 Rim Protection Lineup: 7.2 Top5: 9.9 Gap: -2.7 Off-Ball Defense Lineup: 17.6 Top5: 14.8 Gap: +2.8 On-Ball Peri Def Lineup: 17.2 Top5: 14.2 Gap: +3.0 Stealing Lineup: 16.2 Top5: 14.4 Gap: +1.8 Combined MPG in 2049: 109.1 (240 available per game) --- Big Ball (1G/2W/2B) --- Name Pos MPG CA HelpD DefRb RimPr OBDef OnBDf Steal Comp ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Zach Camara Guard 16.6 3.5 18.0 6.0 2.0 18.0 18.0 14.0 12.40 Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 4.0 11.0 17.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 19.0 14.35 Hudson Leonard Wing 13.6 4.0 15.0 9.0 5.0 19.0 18.0 18.0 13.05 Garrick Jurkin Big 31.5 3.5 14.0 18.0 18.0 16.0 19.0 16.0 16.50 Brandon Leslie Big 17.3 4.0 18.0 18.0 19.0 9.0 9.0 9.0 15.45 Lineup avg vs Top-5 defensive benchmark (all positions combined): Help Defense Lineup: 15.2 Top5: 14.3 Gap: +0.9 Def Rebounding Lineup: 13.6 Top5: 12.8 Gap: +0.8 Rim Protection Lineup: 10.6 Top5: 9.9 Gap: +0.7 Off-Ball Defense Lineup: 16.0 Top5: 14.8 Gap: +1.2 On-Ball Peri Def Lineup: 16.4 Top5: 14.2 Gap: +2.2 Stealing Lineup: 15.2 Top5: 14.4 Gap: +0.8 Combined MPG in 2049: 95.7 (240 available per game) --- Small Ball (2G/3W/0B) --- Name Pos MPG CA HelpD DefRb RimPr OBDef OnBDf Steal Comp ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Zach Camara Guard 16.6 3.5 18.0 6.0 2.0 18.0 18.0 14.0 12.40 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 30.7 3.0 13.0 9.0 2.0 17.0 13.0 14.0 11.00 Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 4.0 11.0 17.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 19.0 14.35 Hudson Leonard Wing 13.6 4.0 15.0 9.0 5.0 19.0 18.0 18.0 13.05 Domonkos Biro Wing 25.8 3.5 15.0 5.0 11.0 16.0 15.0 17.0 12.15 Lineup avg vs Top-5 defensive benchmark (all positions combined): Help Defense Lineup: 14.4 Top5: 14.3 Gap: +0.1 Def Rebounding Lineup: 9.2 Top5: 12.8 Gap: -3.6 Rim Protection Lineup: 5.8 Top5: 9.9 Gap: -4.1 Off-Ball Defense Lineup: 17.6 Top5: 14.8 Gap: +2.8 On-Ball Peri Def Lineup: 16.4 Top5: 14.2 Gap: +2.2 Stealing Lineup: 16.4 Top5: 14.4 Gap: +2.0 Combined MPG in 2049: 103.4 (240 available per game) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 6: DEFENSIVE IMPROVEMENT TARGETS ==================================================================================================== Top trade/FA candidates who most improve Denver's defensive composition. Scored by defensive gap-fill value (how much they close Denver's defensive gaps vs Top-5). # Name Team Pos CA Salary HelpD DefRb RimPr OBDef Tags DefFill ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones Guard 3.5 $3.5M 8.0 19.0 3.0 18.0 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 13.875 2 Ruben Miramontes Seattle Thunder Guard 3.5 $3.0M 10.0 18.0 5.0 18.0 EXPIRING 12.821 3 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders Wing 3.5 $30.0M 19.0 18.0 9.0 19.0 SURPLUS 10.137 4 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder Wing 3.0 $3.5M 19.0 19.0 16.0 14.0 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 10.104 5 Luke Venizelos Pittsburgh Vipers Wing 4.0 $20.0M 18.0 18.0 10.0 18.0 SELLER + SURPLUS 9.470 6 Patrik Jurecka New Orleans Hurricane Guard 3.5 $6.0M 16.0 11.0 15.0 9.0 EXPIRING + SURPLUS 9.243 7 Daevon Nash New Orleans Hurricane Wing 4.0 $25.0M 19.0 16.0 13.0 16.0 PLAYER_OPT + SURPLU 9.042 8 Arif Langston Chicago Jailbirds Wing 4.0 $6.0M 17.0 18.0 8.0 18.0 SURPLUS 8.839 9 Stanley Ogide Charlotte Drones Wing 4.5 $30.0M 18.0 17.0 18.0 14.0 SURPLUS 8.765 10 Keyon McCoy Houston Lightning Guard 3.5 $27.0M 19.0 17.0 4.0 18.0 SELLER + PLAYER_OPT 8.258 Denver's biggest defensive gaps (by position, sorted by deficit vs Top-5): Guard: defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense (-2.0), defense / Post Defense (-5.1), defense / Stealing (-1.1), rebounding / Defensive Rebounding (-1.8) Wing: defense / Help Defense (-1.4), defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense (-1.0), rebounding / Defensive Rebounding (-3.9) Big: defense / Off-Ball Defense (-0.9), defense / Post Defense (-0.7), rebounding / Defensive Rebounding (-0.8) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\11_defensive_composition.txt Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts
12 Offensive Units
==================================================================================================== 12 - OFFENSIVE UNIT ANALYSIS ==================================================================================================== Methodology: - All ratings are minutes-weighted (total minutes = MPG x GP) - Rotation players: 15+ MPG, 10+ games played - Top-5 offensive teams: ranked by average points scored - Top-5 benchmark: Cincinnati Kings, Chicago Jailbirds, Kansas City Knights, Vancouver Wolves, Seattle Thunder Denver Offensive Context: - 2049 Record: 29-53 (27th of 36) - Pts Scored: 108.0 (rank 31/36) - Spacing: rank 25/36 (confirmed critical gap) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 1: LEAGUE OFFENSIVE RANKINGS ==================================================================================================== Rk Team PtsScr ORtg(wt) Win% InsSht 3PT PnR Space TopOffArch ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Cincinnati Kings 120.1 126.6 0.725 18.0 15.4 13.5 11.7 Secondary Creator (3) 2 Chicago Jailbirds 119.9 122.9 0.743 17.0 16.0 13.4 13.2 Interior Playmaker (2 3 Kansas City Knights 118.8 125.7 0.738 17.9 16.2 12.2 12.2 Secondary Creator (3) 4 Vancouver Wolves 117.6 120.0 0.688 17.7 16.2 13.0 14.2 Secondary Creator (3) 5 Seattle Thunder 117.2 121.2 0.776 16.9 15.3 14.9 10.1 Movement Shooter (2) 6 Oklahoma City Barons 117.1 121.9 0.678 17.5 15.6 13.5 11.5 Secondary Creator (4) 7 Los Angeles Fireballs 116.9 117.4 0.576 16.5 14.1 12.6 10.9 Secondary Creator (3) 8 Oakland Tritons 116.5 113.5 0.229 15.2 13.4 10.9 10.2 Secondary Creator (4) 9 Philadelphia Warriors 116.3 119.8 0.622 16.8 14.3 14.3 11.6 Glue Guy (2) 10 Louisville Colonels 115.4 122.6 0.670 17.6 15.2 14.9 11.0 Secondary Creator (4) 11 Portland Lumberjacks 114.8 119.3 0.663 17.4 13.6 14.0 11.8 Secondary Creator (2) 12 Minneapolis Blizzards 114.7 115.9 0.567 17.6 14.0 12.4 11.3 Secondary Creator (3) 13 Las Vegas Scorpions 114.3 120.0 0.615 17.5 14.5 13.1 13.7 Secondary Creator (3) 14 Cleveland Giants 114.0 121.0 0.628 17.6 15.4 13.1 10.5 Secondary Creator (2) 15 Detroit Mustangs 114.0 120.9 0.640 17.0 16.0 13.7 11.1 Secondary Creator (4) 16 Boston Crusaders 112.9 120.4 0.506 17.2 15.7 11.6 12.3 Secondary Creator (2) 17 New Orleans Hurricanes 112.9 118.7 0.524 17.7 14.5 12.9 12.7 Secondary Creator (5) 18 Salt Lake City Saints 112.9 118.7 0.361 16.4 14.8 13.1 12.9 Secondary Creator (3) 19 Mexico City Jaguars 112.4 122.2 0.578 16.7 12.8 12.9 11.2 Secondary Creator (2) 20 Baltimore Bullets 111.2 116.5 0.573 17.7 14.1 14.5 11.4 Secondary Creator (3) 21 New York Renegades 111.1 117.0 0.422 17.5 14.3 10.8 11.9 Secondary Creator (4) 22 Indiana Stonecutters 111.0 114.8 0.253 16.1 13.3 13.5 11.0 Secondary Creator (5) 23 Houston Lightning 110.9 115.6 0.313 15.8 14.5 11.5 9.7 Secondary Creator (3) 24 Pittsburgh Vipers 110.5 114.8 0.373 16.6 14.4 13.0 11.2 Secondary Creator (4) 25 Phoenix Vultures 110.4 117.4 0.554 16.7 13.2 12.3 8.7 Secondary Creator (4) 26 Miami Cyclones 109.8 116.9 0.398 17.4 15.0 12.0 11.8 Secondary Creator (3) 27 Dallas Predators 109.2 117.1 0.386 16.2 14.1 13.7 11.6 Primary Ballhandler ( 28 San Diego Calaveras 108.7 110.4 0.217 15.3 13.4 11.5 11.4 Secondary Creator (4) 29 Toronto Huskies 108.3 115.4 0.301 15.5 14.5 10.3 11.0 Secondary Creator (3) 30 Washington Pilots 108.1 114.1 0.325 18.1 14.3 13.5 9.0 Secondary Creator (3) 31 Denver Dragons 108.0 113.8 0.354 16.3 13.8 14.4 11.1 Secondary Creator (4) <-- 32 Atlanta Devils 107.7 111.7 0.277 16.3 14.0 9.4 11.1 Primary Ballhandler ( 33 St Louis Skyhawks 105.7 113.1 0.229 15.8 12.1 10.3 9.7 Primary Ballhandler ( 34 Austin Rockets 105.4 116.1 0.578 17.1 15.5 11.9 11.5 Secondary Creator (1) 35 Charlotte Drones 105.2 118.1 0.482 16.8 14.4 12.3 12.7 Primary Ballhandler ( 36 Nashville Stars 100.6 112.0 0.229 15.6 13.6 10.1 9.3 Roll-and-Cut Big (2) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE SYSTEM PROFILES ==================================================================================================== Offensive archetype composition and system proficiency -- Top-5 offensive teams vs Denver: --- OFFENSIVE ARCHETYPE COUNTS (Rotation, 15+ MPG) --- Team Glue Guy Interior Pla Movement Sho Pick-and-Pop Post Scorer Primary Ball Roll-and-Cut Secondary Cr Shot Creator Stationary S Versatile Bi Total ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Cincinnati Kings 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 2 0 9 Chicago Jailbirds 0 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 2 2 10 Kansas City Knights 0 0 0 0 2 1 0 3 1 1 1 9 Vancouver Wolves 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 1 0 8 Seattle Thunder 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 1 2 1 0 8 Denver Dragons 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 4 1 0 0 9 <-- Denver Denver vs Top-5 Offensive Avg archetype counts: Glue Guy Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 0.2 Diff: +0.8 Interior Playmaker Denver: 0 Top5 Avg: 0.8 Diff: -0.8 *** Movement Shooter Denver: 0 Top5 Avg: 0.4 Diff: -0.4 Pick-and-Pop Big Denver: 0 Top5 Avg: 0.4 Diff: -0.4 Post Scorer Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 0.4 Diff: +0.6 Primary Ballhandler Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 0.4 Diff: +0.6 Roll-and-Cut Big Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 0.8 Diff: +0.2 Secondary Creator Denver: 4 Top5 Avg: 2.4 Diff: +1.6 Shot Creator Denver: 1 Top5 Avg: 1.0 Diff: +0.0 Stationary Shooter Denver: 0 Top5 Avg: 1.4 Diff: -1.4 *** Versatile Big Denver: 0 Top5 Avg: 0.6 Diff: -0.6 *** *** = Denver has fewer than Top-5 average --- SYSTEM PROFICIENCY AVERAGES (Rotation, 15+ MPG) --- Team Pace And Spa Morey Ball Balanced Grit And Gri Seven Second Triangle Perimeter Ce Post Centric ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Cincinnati Kings 12.9 20.0 16.3 3.1 2.6 11.6 1.0 2.6 Chicago Jailbirds 19.0 13.7 12.3 1.1 3.6 1.0 1.0 1.5 Kansas City Knights 18.3 18.7 19.0 5.0 3.1 1.4 1.0 2.8 Vancouver Wolves 20.0 9.9 15.9 7.0 3.6 3.4 1.0 1.5 Seattle Thunder 19.2 9.8 15.9 4.4 1.6 1.8 1.0 1.0 Denver Dragons 7.0 12.6 20.0 6.1 1.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 <-- Denver ==================================================================================================== SECTION 3: OFFENSIVE WIN CORRELATIONS ==================================================================================================== Pearson r between minutes-weighted team offensive ratings and win_pct: Rating r Verdict --------------------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting +0.722 STRONG shooting / 3PT Shooting +0.632 STRONG execution / Pick & Roll Execution +0.607 STRONG execution / Isolation Execution +0.561 STRONG creation / Shoot Off Dribble +0.518 STRONG playmaking / Ball Handling +0.494 MODERATE creation / Finishing +0.459 MODERATE creation / Self-Creation +0.450 MODERATE creation / Ball Dominance +0.445 MODERATE playmaking / Playmaking +0.438 MODERATE playmaking / Spacing +0.383 MODERATE shooting / Free Throws +0.350 MODERATE playmaking / Passing +0.348 MODERATE playmaking / Gravity +0.345 MODERATE execution / Basketball IQ +0.292 WEAK physical / Speed +0.270 WEAK physical / First Step +0.235 WEAK execution / Post Execution +0.229 WEAK shooting / Mid-Range Shooting +0.215 WEAK creation / Foul Drawing +0.172 WEAK physical / Quickness +0.134 NEGLIGIBLE physical / Athleticism -0.124 NEGLIGIBLE Key insight: Inside Shooting and Pick & Roll Execution are the strongest offensive win predictors -- these should be prioritized in roster construction. ==================================================================================================== SECTION 4: SIMULATED OFFENSIVE LINEUPS FOR DENVER ==================================================================================================== Composite formula: 25% Inside Shooting + 20% PnR Execution + 15% 3PT Shooting + 15% Spacing + 10% Ball Handling + 10% Passing + 5% Self-Creation Note: No actual lineup/5-man unit data exists -- these are constructed from individual player ratings to identify Denver's best offensive groupings. --- Pace & Space (2G/2W/1B) --- Name Pos MPG CA InsSht PnR 3PT Space BallH Pass SelfCr Comp ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Zach Camara Guard 16.6 3.5 19.0 18.0 17.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 16.75 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 30.7 3.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 14.0 17.0 18.0 15.0 15.75 Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 4.0 18.0 11.0 19.0 19.0 18.0 9.0 19.0 16.05 Domonkos Biro Wing 25.8 3.5 16.0 19.0 15.0 11.0 8.0 17.0 16.0 15.00 Pedro Santos Big 29.7 4.0 16.0 18.0 17.0 18.0 14.0 16.0 15.0 16.60 Lineup avg vs Top-5 offensive benchmark (all positions combined): InsSht Lineup: 16.6 Top5: 17.6 Gap: -1.0 PnR Lineup: 16.4 Top5: 13.6 Gap: +2.8 3PT Lineup: 17.2 Top5: 16.2 Gap: +1.0 Space Lineup: 14.2 Top5: 13.0 Gap: +1.2 BallH Lineup: 15.0 Top5: 14.9 Gap: +0.1 Pass Lineup: 15.6 Top5: 14.7 Gap: +0.9 SelfCr Lineup: 16.6 Top5: 15.2 Gap: +1.4 Combined MPG in 2049: 119.5 (240 available per game) --- Post-Centric (1G/2W/2B) --- Name Pos MPG CA InsSht PnR 3PT Space BallH Pass SelfCr Comp ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Zach Camara Guard 16.6 3.5 19.0 18.0 17.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 16.75 Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 4.0 18.0 11.0 19.0 19.0 18.0 9.0 19.0 16.05 Domonkos Biro Wing 25.8 3.5 16.0 19.0 15.0 11.0 8.0 17.0 16.0 15.00 Pedro Santos Big 29.7 4.0 16.0 18.0 17.0 18.0 14.0 16.0 15.0 16.60 Garrick Jurkin Big 31.5 3.5 17.0 9.0 17.0 18.0 7.0 15.0 9.0 13.95 Lineup avg vs Top-5 offensive benchmark (all positions combined): InsSht Lineup: 17.2 Top5: 17.6 Gap: -0.4 PnR Lineup: 15.0 Top5: 13.6 Gap: +1.4 3PT Lineup: 17.0 Top5: 16.2 Gap: +0.8 Space Lineup: 15.0 Top5: 13.0 Gap: +2.0 BallH Lineup: 13.0 Top5: 14.9 Gap: -1.9 Pass Lineup: 15.0 Top5: 14.7 Gap: +0.3 SelfCr Lineup: 15.4 Top5: 15.2 Gap: +0.2 Combined MPG in 2049: 120.3 (240 available per game) --- Balanced (2G/2W/1B) --- Name Pos MPG CA InsSht PnR 3PT Space BallH Pass SelfCr Comp ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Zach Camara Guard 16.6 3.5 19.0 18.0 17.0 9.0 18.0 18.0 18.0 16.75 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 30.7 3.0 14.0 16.0 18.0 14.0 17.0 18.0 15.0 15.75 Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 4.0 18.0 11.0 19.0 19.0 18.0 9.0 19.0 16.05 Domonkos Biro Wing 25.8 3.5 16.0 19.0 15.0 11.0 8.0 17.0 16.0 15.00 Pedro Santos Big 29.7 4.0 16.0 18.0 17.0 18.0 14.0 16.0 15.0 16.60 Lineup avg vs Top-5 offensive benchmark (all positions combined): InsSht Lineup: 16.6 Top5: 17.6 Gap: -1.0 PnR Lineup: 16.4 Top5: 13.6 Gap: +2.8 3PT Lineup: 17.2 Top5: 16.2 Gap: +1.0 Space Lineup: 14.2 Top5: 13.0 Gap: +1.2 BallH Lineup: 15.0 Top5: 14.9 Gap: +0.1 Pass Lineup: 15.6 Top5: 14.7 Gap: +0.9 SelfCr Lineup: 16.6 Top5: 15.2 Gap: +1.4 Combined MPG in 2049: 119.5 (240 available per game) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 5: SPACING ANALYSIS (DEEP DIVE) ==================================================================================================== Spacing is a confirmed critical gap for Denver (rank 25/36). Poor spacing drags down offensive efficiency for the entire team. League averages (rotation players, 15+ MPG): Spacing 11.4, 3PT 14.5, Gravity 13.8 Name Pos MPG GP TotMin Space 3PT Grav MidRng Impact -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Garrick Jurkin Big 31.5 82 2583 18.0 17.0 14.0 9.0 OK Kaimyn Fry Big 31.2 77 2402 2.0 4.0 7.0 10.0 DRAG Tyrae Lewis Guard 30.7 78 2395 10.0 14.0 15.0 14.0 DRAG LaMarcus Quinn Guard 30.7 82 2517 14.0 18.0 17.0 10.0 OK Pedro Santos Big 29.7 82 2435 18.0 17.0 11.0 9.0 OK Domonkos Biro Wing 25.8 81 2090 11.0 15.0 18.0 16.0 DRAG Brandon Leslie Big 17.3 82 1419 1.0 4.0 7.0 9.0 DRAG Kel Pendergast Wing 16.7 54 902 19.0 19.0 17.0 14.0 OK Zach Camara Guard 16.6 81 1345 9.0 17.0 17.0 18.0 DRAG Hudson Leonard Wing 13.6 49 666 9.0 17.0 15.0 15.0 low-min Robert Alcegaire Big 11.3 54 610 3.0 10.0 7.0 5.0 low-min Devaugntah Litton Big 6.5 31 202 7.0 9.0 9.0 7.0 low-min Marquill Edmunds Wing 4.1 27 111 7.0 19.0 9.0 19.0 low-min Tyrique Beaudean Guard 3.7 26 96 17.0 17.0 17.0 17.0 low-min Rotation players (15+ MPG) below league-avg spacing: 5 Total minutes played by below-avg spacers: 9650 Worst spacing offenders (15+ MPG, below league-avg): - Brandon Leslie Spacing 1.0 (-10.4 vs avg) MPG 17.3 Total Min 1419 - Kaimyn Fry Spacing 2.0 (-9.4 vs avg) MPG 31.2 Total Min 2402 - Zach Camara Spacing 9.0 (-2.4 vs avg) MPG 16.6 Total Min 1345 - Tyrae Lewis Spacing 10.0 (-1.4 vs avg) MPG 30.7 Total Min 2395 - Domonkos Biro Spacing 11.0 (-0.4 vs avg) MPG 25.8 Total Min 2090 Denver vs League spacing distribution (rotation players, 15+ MPG): Denver: mean=11.3 median=11.0 min=1 max=19 stdev=6.7 League: mean=11.4 median=12.0 min=1 max=19 stdev=5.1 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 6: DENVER'S OFFENSIVE GAPS VS ELITE (BY POSITION) ==================================================================================================== Minutes-weighted offensive ratings: Denver vs Top-5 offensive teams. Sorted by deficit (biggest gaps first). Focus on top-5 win-correlated offensive skills. --- GUARD OFFENSIVE PROFILE --- Rating Denver Top5 Gap WinCorr ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- playmaking / Spacing 11.39 16.45 -5.06 +0.383 *** shooting / Inside Shooting 15.46 17.70 -2.24 +0.722 *** playmaking / Playmaking 14.15 16.35 -2.19 +0.438 shooting / 3PT Shooting 16.25 18.36 -2.10 +0.632 *** creation / Foul Drawing 11.63 13.51 -1.88 +0.172 creation / Self-Creation 14.50 16.06 -1.57 +0.450 execution / Basketball IQ 14.80 16.30 -1.50 +0.292 playmaking / Ball Handling 16.83 18.33 -1.49 +0.494 *** execution / Isolation Execution 15.62 16.55 -0.93 +0.561 creation / Ball Dominance 12.85 13.72 -0.87 +0.445 creation / Finishing 15.44 16.24 -0.80 +0.459 shooting / Free Throws 16.20 16.96 -0.77 +0.350 shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.25 13.76 -0.50 +0.215 execution / Post Execution 3.05 3.38 -0.33 +0.229 playmaking / Passing 17.62 17.12 +0.50 +0.348 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 16.07 15.47 +0.60 +0.518 playmaking / Gravity 16.23 15.26 +0.97 +0.345 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 16.05 14.67 +1.38 +0.607 *** = gap > 1.0 in a top-5 win-correlated offensive skill --- WING OFFENSIVE PROFILE --- Rating Denver Top5 Gap WinCorr ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- playmaking / Ball Handling 11.01 17.43 -6.42 +0.494 *** creation / Foul Drawing 9.90 14.52 -4.62 +0.172 creation / Finishing 12.51 16.13 -3.63 +0.459 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.32 13.46 -3.15 +0.518 playmaking / Spacing 13.41 14.68 -1.27 +0.383 *** shooting / 3PT Shooting 16.21 17.21 -1.00 +0.632 *** playmaking / Passing 14.59 15.32 -0.73 +0.348 execution / Post Execution 4.10 4.63 -0.53 +0.229 creation / Ball Dominance 14.49 14.97 -0.47 +0.445 shooting / Inside Shooting 16.60 17.01 -0.41 +0.722 shooting / Free Throws 16.30 16.59 -0.29 +0.350 playmaking / Playmaking 14.59 14.29 +0.30 +0.438 creation / Self-Creation 16.90 16.32 +0.59 +0.450 execution / Isolation Execution 16.70 15.48 +1.22 +0.561 execution / Basketball IQ 16.51 14.80 +1.71 +0.292 playmaking / Gravity 17.70 15.70 +1.99 +0.345 shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 15.40 12.61 +2.78 +0.215 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 16.59 13.71 +2.88 +0.607 *** = gap > 1.0 in a top-5 win-correlated offensive skill --- BIG OFFENSIVE PROFILE --- Rating Denver Top5 Gap WinCorr ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- execution / Post Execution 9.25 13.38 -4.13 +0.229 creation / Foul Drawing 11.60 14.68 -3.08 +0.172 playmaking / Playmaking 5.95 8.62 -2.67 +0.438 playmaking / Gravity 10.15 12.27 -2.12 +0.345 shooting / 3PT Shooting 11.38 13.00 -1.62 +0.632 *** shooting / Free Throws 14.08 15.58 -1.50 +0.350 shooting / Inside Shooting 16.77 18.11 -1.34 +0.722 *** creation / Self-Creation 12.01 13.27 -1.26 +0.450 playmaking / Ball Handling 8.01 8.89 -0.87 +0.494 playmaking / Passing 11.16 11.81 -0.64 +0.348 execution / Isolation Execution 11.63 12.27 -0.64 +0.561 creation / Finishing 14.52 15.12 -0.60 +0.459 creation / Ball Dominance 13.23 13.70 -0.47 +0.445 shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 9.27 9.33 -0.06 +0.215 execution / Basketball IQ 16.16 15.89 +0.27 +0.292 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.20 12.48 +0.72 +0.607 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.21 6.35 +2.87 +0.518 playmaking / Spacing 10.92 7.87 +3.06 +0.383 *** = gap > 1.0 in a top-5 win-correlated offensive skill --- SUMMARY: DENVER'S TOP OFFENSIVE PRIORITIES --- Pos Rating Gap WinCorr Denver Top5 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wing playmaking / Ball Handling -6.42 +0.494 11.01 17.43 Guard playmaking / Spacing -5.06 +0.383 11.39 16.45 Guard shooting / Inside Shooting -2.24 +0.722 15.46 17.70 Guard shooting / 3PT Shooting -2.10 +0.632 16.25 18.36 Big shooting / 3PT Shooting -1.62 +0.632 11.38 13.00 Guard playmaking / Ball Handling -1.49 +0.494 16.83 18.33 Big shooting / Inside Shooting -1.34 +0.722 16.77 18.11 Wing playmaking / Spacing -1.27 +0.383 13.41 14.68 Wing shooting / 3PT Shooting -1.00 +0.632 16.21 17.21 Big playmaking / Ball Handling -0.87 +0.494 8.01 8.89 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\12_offensive_units.txt Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts
13 Team Classification
==================================================================================================== 13 - TEAM CLASSIFICATION ==================================================================================================== Methodology: - Contender: win_pct >= 65% - Playoff: win_pct >= 50% and < 65% - Developing: win_pct < 50% AND (young_core >= 2 OR pa_ca_gap >= 0.8) - Tanking: win_pct < 50% AND young_core < 2 AND pa_ca_gap < 0.8 - Young core: age <= 25, PA >= 4.0, 15+ MPG - Veteran core: age >= 28, CA >= 3.5, 15+ MPG - All CA/PA/age metrics are minutes-weighted (total min = MPG x GP, min 10 GP) - Peak development age: ~29 (confirmed by data analysis) Classification Summary: Contender: 8 teams Playoff: 12 teams Developing: 13 teams Tanking: 3 teams Denver: Developing ==================================================================================================== SECTION 1: TEAM CLASSIFICATION ==================================================================================================== Rk Team W-L Win% WtCA MaxCA WtAge Gap YCore Vets Top Scorer Tier ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Seattle Thunder 83-24 0.776 3.42 4.0 28.3 +0.55 0 4 Derrick Lynch (32.3) Contender 2 Chicago Jailbirds 78-27 0.743 3.71 4.5 26.3 +0.43 3 4 Javar Bonham (19.2) Contender 3 Kansas City Knights 76-27 0.738 3.89 5.0 26.5 +0.01 3 2 Kavian Hawes (22.0) Contender 4 Cincinnati Kings 74-28 0.725 3.55 4.0 29.9 +0.33 1 5 Stephon Carlto (18.5) Contender 5 Vancouver Wolves 66-30 0.688 3.71 4.5 27.8 +0.28 0 5 Sergio Ortuño (20.7) Contender 6 Oklahoma City Barons 61-29 0.678 3.60 4.5 28.8 +0.17 1 5 Marco De Luca (22.0) Contender 7 Louisville Colonels 65-32 0.670 3.66 4.5 25.6 +0.15 2 2 Terrence Swan (17.9) Contender 8 Portland Lumberjacks 59-30 0.663 3.60 4.5 25.9 +0.13 1 4 Kylan Cassier (23.6) Contender 9 Detroit Mustangs 57-32 0.640 3.55 4.5 26.6 +0.42 3 3 Jason Cheaney (28.2) Playoff 10 Cleveland Giants 59-35 0.628 3.67 4.5 26.2 +0.34 2 4 Ishaq Osten (18.9) Playoff 11 Philadelphia Warriors 56-34 0.622 3.57 4.0 27.7 +0.27 1 5 CJ LaCruz (27.1) Playoff 12 Las Vegas Scorpions 59-37 0.615 3.60 4.5 25.8 +0.46 5 2 Zaire Phifer (19.4) Playoff 13 Austin Rockets 52-38 0.578 3.34 4.0 24.9 +0.21 1 3 Briggs Greenaw (22.1) Playoff 14 Mexico City Jaguars 48-35 0.578 3.29 4.0 28.1 +0.11 0 3 Zion Buckner (17.4) Playoff 15 Los Angeles Fireballs 49-36 0.576 3.51 5.0 25.3 +0.63 3 3 Cedric Rodgers (29.4) Playoff 16 Baltimore Bullets 51-38 0.573 3.77 4.5 26.1 +0.24 1 5 Nicolas Deprez (24.4) Playoff 17 Minneapolis Blizzards 51-39 0.567 3.57 4.0 25.7 +0.25 2 3 Tyree Bruner (23.3) Playoff 18 Phoenix Vultures 46-37 0.554 3.21 4.0 24.1 +0.47 4 2 DJ McCants (21.5) Playoff 19 New Orleans Hurricanes 44-40 0.524 3.71 4.5 24.5 +0.30 5 3 Patrik Jurecka (21.2) Playoff 20 Boston Crusaders 45-44 0.506 3.44 4.0 25.5 +0.44 2 0 Talis Kalemba (18.8) Playoff 21 Charlotte Drones 41-44 0.482 3.53 4.5 23.9 +0.37 3 1 Stanley Ogide (20.7) Developing 22 New York Renegades 35-48 0.422 3.63 4.0 26.3 +0.14 2 4 Stephan Rayner (28.4) Developing 23 Miami Cyclones 33-50 0.398 3.67 4.0 26.6 +0.06 1 3 Johari Whitake (21.8) Tanking 24 Dallas Predators 32-51 0.386 3.33 4.0 22.4 +0.66 4 2 Keshaun Freema (20.7) Developing 25 Pittsburgh Vipers 31-52 0.373 3.29 4.0 24.8 +0.36 2 3 Brandon Arenas (26.0) Developing 26 Salt Lake City Saints 30-53 0.361 3.41 4.0 25.2 +0.36 3 2 Kahlil Justice (20.4) Developing 27 Denver Dragons 29-53 0.354 3.43 4.0 24.4 +0.63 3 3 Pedro Santos (16.7) Developing <-- 28 Washington Pilots 27-56 0.325 3.48 4.5 28.2 +0.09 0 4 Kalen Smart (16.5) Tanking 29 Houston Lightning 26-57 0.313 3.12 4.0 25.1 +0.20 0 1 Mustapha Efian (16.8) Tanking 30 Toronto Huskies 25-58 0.301 2.66 3.5 21.3 +1.19 4 0 Jarrett Suther (19.2) Developing 31 Atlanta Devils 23-60 0.277 2.72 4.0 23.2 +0.70 2 2 Semisi Rautins (18.3) Developing 32 Indiana Stonecutters 21-62 0.253 3.34 4.0 22.3 +0.65 6 1 Quantez Frankl (17.3) Developing 33 Nashville Stars 19-64 0.229 2.92 4.0 23.1 +0.46 2 0 Kaan Korkmaz (14.7) Developing 34 Oakland Tritons 19-64 0.229 3.03 4.0 22.7 +0.71 3 2 Marcus Pendlet (23.4) Developing 35 St Louis Skyhawks 19-64 0.229 2.73 3.5 23.8 +0.75 2 1 Jahda Carlisle (22.4) Developing 36 San Diego Calaveras 18-65 0.217 2.99 4.0 22.9 +0.65 3 1 Jamaine Curry (17.6) Developing ==================================================================================================== SECTION 2: TIER SUMMARIES ==================================================================================================== --- CONTENDER (8 teams) --- Championship-caliber (high win%, high CA, proven roster) Team W-L Win% WtCA WtAge Gap YCore Salary -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seattle Thunder 83-24 0.776 3.42 28.3 +0.55 0 $147.4M Chicago Jailbirds 78-27 0.743 3.71 26.3 +0.43 3 $148.9M Kansas City Knights 76-27 0.738 3.89 26.5 +0.01 3 $149.5M Cincinnati Kings 74-28 0.725 3.55 29.9 +0.33 1 $148.5M Vancouver Wolves 66-30 0.688 3.71 27.8 +0.28 0 $148.6M Oklahoma City Barons 61-29 0.678 3.60 28.8 +0.17 1 $149.9M Louisville Colonels 65-32 0.670 3.66 25.6 +0.15 2 $135.1M Portland Lumberjacks 59-30 0.663 3.60 25.9 +0.13 1 $149.5M Tier Avg: Win% 0.710, CA 3.64, Age 27.4, PA-CA Gap +0.26, Young Core 1.4 --- PLAYOFF (12 teams) --- Competitive but not title favorites Team W-L Win% WtCA WtAge Gap YCore Salary -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Detroit Mustangs 57-32 0.640 3.55 26.6 +0.42 3 $134.4M Cleveland Giants 59-35 0.628 3.67 26.2 +0.34 2 $136.0M Philadelphia Warriors 56-34 0.622 3.57 27.7 +0.27 1 $134.3M Las Vegas Scorpions 59-37 0.615 3.60 25.8 +0.46 5 $134.1M Austin Rockets 52-38 0.578 3.34 24.9 +0.21 1 $118.5M Mexico City Jaguars 48-35 0.578 3.29 28.1 +0.11 0 $134.9M Los Angeles Fireballs 49-36 0.576 3.51 25.3 +0.63 3 $131.6M Baltimore Bullets 51-38 0.573 3.77 26.1 +0.24 1 $134.7M Minneapolis Blizzards 51-39 0.567 3.57 25.7 +0.25 2 $146.6M Phoenix Vultures 46-37 0.554 3.21 24.1 +0.47 4 $135.0M New Orleans Hurricanes 44-40 0.524 3.71 24.5 +0.30 5 $132.4M Boston Crusaders 45-44 0.506 3.44 25.5 +0.44 2 $137.3M Tier Avg: Win% 0.580, CA 3.52, Age 25.9, PA-CA Gap +0.35, Young Core 2.4 --- DEVELOPING (13 teams) --- Young core building toward future (high PA-CA gap or strong young talent) Team W-L Win% WtCA WtAge Gap YCore Salary -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Charlotte Drones 41-44 0.482 3.53 23.9 +0.37 3 $149.8M New York Renegades 35-48 0.422 3.63 26.3 +0.14 2 $128.2M Dallas Predators 32-51 0.386 3.33 22.4 +0.66 4 $87.0M Pittsburgh Vipers 31-52 0.373 3.29 24.8 +0.36 2 $125.9M Salt Lake City Saints 30-53 0.361 3.41 25.2 +0.36 3 $114.1M Denver Dragons 29-53 0.354 3.43 24.4 +0.63 3 $142.8M <-- Toronto Huskies 25-58 0.301 2.66 21.3 +1.19 4 $74.2M Atlanta Devils 23-60 0.277 2.72 23.2 +0.70 2 $89.8M Indiana Stonecutters 21-62 0.253 3.34 22.3 +0.65 6 $89.6M Nashville Stars 19-64 0.229 2.92 23.1 +0.46 2 $92.2M Oakland Tritons 19-64 0.229 3.03 22.7 +0.71 3 $101.8M St Louis Skyhawks 19-64 0.229 2.73 23.8 +0.75 2 $90.0M San Diego Calaveras 18-65 0.217 2.99 22.9 +0.65 3 $97.7M Tier Avg: Win% 0.316, CA 3.15, Age 23.6, PA-CA Gap +0.59, Young Core 3.0 --- TANKING (3 teams) --- Poor results, no clear young core or too old to develop Team W-L Win% WtCA WtAge Gap YCore Salary -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Miami Cyclones 33-50 0.398 3.67 26.6 +0.06 1 $149.0M Washington Pilots 27-56 0.325 3.48 28.2 +0.09 0 $119.0M Houston Lightning 26-57 0.313 3.12 25.1 +0.20 0 $108.3M Tier Avg: Win% 0.345, CA 3.42, Age 26.6, PA-CA Gap +0.12, Young Core 0.3 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 3: TRADE LANDSCAPE BY TIER ==================================================================================================== --- CONTENDER TRADE LANDSCAPE (8 teams) --- BUYERS: Looking for win-now rentals. Will overpay for proven vets. Potential trade partners for Denver to sell expiring vets / picks. Notable Expiring / Available Players: Name Team Pos Age CA Salary Yrs Option ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Javar Bonham Chicago Jailbirds Big 26 4.5 $30.0M 2 Player Option Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons Big 28 4.5 $35.0M 2 Player Option Tyrone George Louisville Colonels Big 24 4.5 $30.0M 3 Player Option Andre Griffin Kansas City Knights Wing 28 4.5 $27.0M 1 Player Option Jaaron Hyde Portland Lumberjacks Wing 29 4.5 $3.2M 1 Sergio Ortuño Vancouver Wolves Big 31 4.5 $35.0M 2 Player Option Prince Davis Cincinnati Kings Big 29 4.0 $3.0M 1 Stephon Carlton Cincinnati Kings Big 34 4.0 $35.0M 2 Player Option Tier totals: 76 expiring contracts, $465.7M in expiring salary --- PLAYOFF TRADE LANDSCAPE (12 teams) --- FLEX: Could buy or sell depending on deadline situation. May deal future assets for a push, or sell aging vets if things go sideways. Notable Expiring / Available Players: Name Team Pos Age CA Salary Yrs Option ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Dion Sowder Los Angeles Fireballs Big 29 5.0 $35.0M 2 Player Option Nicolas Deprez Baltimore Bullets Wing 23 4.5 $6.2M 1 Ishaq Osten Cleveland Giants Big 23 4.5 $25.0M 2 Player Option Marcel Richter Baltimore Bullets Big 29 4.5 $30.0M 2 Player Option Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions Wing 24 4.5 $30.0M 2 Player Option Winslo Barry Detroit Mustangs Big 29 4.5 $3.0M 1 Steve Comino Boston Crusaders Big 27 4.0 $4.8M 1 Team Option Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders Wing 24 4.0 $25.0M 1 Tier totals: 102 expiring contracts, $720.5M in expiring salary --- DEVELOPING TRADE LANDSCAPE (13 teams) --- SELLERS: Willing to move veterans for picks and young talent. Natural trade partners for Denver to acquire undervalued pieces. Notable Expiring / Available Players: Name Team Pos Age CA Salary Yrs Option ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Roberto Vega Charlotte Drones Big 25 4.5 $23.5M 1 Stefan Ramos Charlotte Drones Big 26 4.5 $30.0M 3 Player Option Jermaine Clark Atlanta Devils Wing 30 4.0 $20.0M 1 Nate Keating Dallas Predators Big 21 4.0 $2.9M 1 Team Option Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators Guard 28 4.0 $10.0M 1 Bogdan Nikolic Dallas Predators Big 21 4.0 $4.8M 1 Devon Walton New York Renegades Big 26 4.0 $2.5M 1 Jarvis Cannon Oakland Tritons Big 27 4.0 $29.0M 3 Player Option Tier totals: 104 expiring contracts, $680.0M in expiring salary --- TANKING TRADE LANDSCAPE (3 teams) --- FIRE SALE: Most likely sellers. Want any future assets. Best source for acquiring talent at discount (salary dumps, pick swaps). Notable Expiring / Available Players: Name Team Pos Age CA Salary Yrs Option ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Mustapha Efianayi Houston Lightning Wing 30 4.0 $20.0M 2 Player Option Kelvin Grady Houston Lightning Big 30 4.0 $3.2M 1 Johari Whitaker Miami Cyclones Wing 30 4.0 $35.0M 2 Player Option John Ford Miami Cyclones Big 30 4.0 $3.0M 1 Raekwon Pack Miami Cyclones Big 27 4.0 $23.0M 2 Player Option Kalen Smart Washington Pilots Wing 34 3.5 $30.0M 2 Player Option Keyon McCoy Houston Lightning Guard 26 3.5 $27.0M 2 Player Option Kyler Amundson Houston Lightning Wing 25 3.5 $1.8M 1 Tier totals: 22 expiring contracts, $101.0M in expiring salary ==================================================================================================== SECTION 4: DENVER'S POSITION IN THE LANDSCAPE ==================================================================================================== Classification: Developing Classification Reasoning: - Win%: 0.354 (29-53) - Minutes-Weighted CA: 3.43 - PA-CA Gap: +0.63 - Young Core Score: 3 (age <= 25, PA >= 4.0, 15+ MPG) - Veteran Score: 3 (age >= 28, CA >= 3.5, 15+ MPG) Natural Trade Partners: - Contenders: sell them rentals/vets for picks and young talent * Seattle Thunder (83-24) * Chicago Jailbirds (78-27) * Kansas City Knights (76-27) * Cincinnati Kings (74-28) * Vancouver Wolves (66-30) * Oklahoma City Barons (61-29) * Louisville Colonels (65-32) * Portland Lumberjacks (59-30) Competitive Timeline Projection: Core Players (15+ MPG): Name Pos Age CA PA MPG Peak~29 ------------------------------------------------------------ Garrick Jurkin Big 31 3.5 5.0 31.5 PAST Kaimyn Fry Big 23 3.5 3.5 31.2 in 6yr LaMarcus Quinn Guard 22 3.0 3.5 30.7 in 7yr Tyrae Lewis Guard 21 2.5 5.0 30.7 in 8yr Pedro Santos Big 23 4.0 4.5 29.7 in 6yr Domonkos Biro Wing 24 3.5 3.5 25.8 in 5yr Brandon Leslie Big 30 4.0 4.0 17.3 PAST Kel Pendergast Wing 25 4.0 4.0 16.7 in 4yr Zach Camara Guard 31 3.5 3.5 16.6 PAST Young core avg age (entering 2050): 23.0 Estimated competitive window: 2050 + 4 = ~2054 Estimated peak year: ~2056 Core avg age entering 2050: 25.6 Core avg PA-CA gap: +0.56 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 5: COMPETITIVE BALANCE ANALYSIS ==================================================================================================== Win Percentage Distribution (2049): Mean: 0.494 Median: 0.539 Std Dev: 0.174 Min: 0.217 (San Diego Calaveras) Max: 0.776 (Seattle Thunder) Range: 0.559 Q1 (25th pct): 0.347 Q3 (75th pct): 0.631 IQR: 0.284 Verdict: SPREAD — large gap between haves and have-nots Salary vs Win%: r = +0.805 (p = 0.0000) => Strong correlation: money matters significantly Minutes-Weighted CA vs Win%: r = +0.734 (p = 0.0000) => Strong correlation: talent level is a strong win predictor Over/Underperformers (Win% vs Expected from CA): Top 5 Overperformers (winning more than talent suggests): Team Win% Exp Resid WtCA ------------------------------------------------------- Seattle Thunder 0.776 0.501 +0.275 3.42 Cincinnati Kings 0.725 0.553 +0.172 3.55 Phoenix Vultures 0.554 0.411 +0.143 3.21 Mexico City Jaguars 0.578 0.444 +0.134 3.29 Chicago Jailbirds 0.743 0.620 +0.123 3.71 Top 5 Underperformers (winning less than talent suggests): Team Win% Exp Resid WtCA ------------------------------------------------------- Indiana Stonecutters 0.253 0.467 -0.214 3.34 Miami Cyclones 0.398 0.603 -0.205 3.67 Washington Pilots 0.325 0.525 -0.200 3.48 New York Renegades 0.422 0.586 -0.164 3.63 Denver Dragons 0.354 0.506 -0.152 3.43 Denver: Win% 0.354, Expected 0.506, Residual -0.152 => Denver is UNDERPERFORMING relative to talent level ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\13_team_classification.txt Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts
14 Opponent Overview
================================================================================================================================== OPPONENT SCOUTING OVERVIEW -- All 35 Opponents ================================================================================================================================== --- ELITE (65%+ Win Rate) (8 teams) --- Team Record Win% Off Def Top Player Key Strength Key Weakness ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Seattle Thunder 83-24 0.776 5 12 Adam Hines (4.0) defense / Stealing playmaking / Spacing Chicago Jailbirds 78-27 0.743 2 18 Javar Bonham (4.5) rebounding / Offensive Rebo shooting / Mid-Range Shooti Kansas City Knights 76-27 0.738 3 9 Zeke Barry (5.0) physical / Speed playmaking / Passing Cincinnati Kings 74-28 0.725 1 5 Tayshaun Aumiller (4.0) physical / Strength execution / Post Execution Vancouver Wolves 66-30 0.688 4 18 Sergio Ortuño (4.5) defense / On-Ball Perimeter execution / Basketball IQ Oklahoma City Barons 61-29 0.678 6 6 Veljko Pavlovic (4.5) playmaking / Passing physical / Athleticism Louisville Colonels 65-32 0.670 10 10 Tyrone George (4.5) playmaking / Passing execution / Isolation Execu Portland Lumberjacks 59-30 0.663 11 18 Jaaron Hyde (4.5) rebounding / Offensive Rebo physical / Athleticism --- CONTENDERS (55-64%) (10 teams) --- Team Record Win% Off Def Top Player Key Strength Key Weakness ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Detroit Mustangs 57-32 0.640 14 4 Winslo Barry (4.5) defense / Stealing rebounding / Offensive Rebo Cleveland Giants 59-35 0.628 14 14 Ishaq Osten (4.5) rebounding / Offensive Rebo creation / Shoot Off Dribbl Philadelphia Warriors 56-34 0.622 9 12 Tahj Rallis (4.0) creation / Ball Dominance playmaking / Passing Las Vegas Scorpions 59-37 0.615 13 8 Zaire Phifer (4.5) playmaking / Spacing defense / On-Ball Perimeter Austin Rockets 52-38 0.578 34 1 Cardez Moss (4.0) physical / Speed rebounding / Offensive Rebo Mexico City Jaguars 48-35 0.578 19 3 Payton Oyediran (4.0) physical / Strength playmaking / Gravity Los Angeles Fireballs 49-36 0.576 7 28 Dion Sowder (5.0) playmaking / Passing physical / Strength Baltimore Bullets 51-38 0.573 20 7 Nicolas Deprez (4.5) defense / Post Defense rebounding / Offensive Rebo Minneapolis Blizzards 51-39 0.567 12 25 Tyree Bruner (4.0) physical / Strength physical / First Step Phoenix Vultures 46-37 0.554 25 15 Tre Braun (4.0) playmaking / Passing playmaking / Spacing --- FRINGE PLAYOFF (45-54%) (3 teams) --- Team Record Win% Off Def Top Player Key Strength Key Weakness ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- New Orleans Hurricanes 44-40 0.524 17 15 B.J. Scocca (4.5) shooting / Mid-Range Shooti defense / Off-Ball Defense Boston Crusaders 45-44 0.506 17 21 Steve Comino (4.0) defense / Post Defense playmaking / Ball Handling Charlotte Drones 41-44 0.482 35 2 Stanley Ogide (4.5) rebounding / Offensive Rebo playmaking / Gravity --- DEVELOPING (35-44%) (5 teams) --- Team Record Win% Off Def Top Player Key Strength Key Weakness ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- New York Renegades 35-48 0.422 21 23 Landon Battier (4.0) creation / Finishing execution / Pick & Roll Exe Miami Cyclones 33-50 0.398 26 20 John Ford (4.0) execution / Post Execution physical / Endurance Dallas Predators 32-51 0.386 27 25 Hasheem Black (4.0) creation / Finishing playmaking / Playmaking Pittsburgh Vipers 31-52 0.373 24 30 Quinn Alston (4.0) defense / Stealing rebounding / Defensive Rebo Salt Lake City Saints 30-53 0.361 17 32 Cole Kopelani (4.0) playmaking / Gravity defense / Rim Protection --- REBUILDING (<35%) (9 teams) --- Team Record Win% Off Def Top Player Key Strength Key Weakness ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Washington Pilots 27-56 0.325 30 27 Dominic Vukcevic (4.5) creation / Ball Dominance playmaking / Spacing Houston Lightning 26-57 0.313 23 29 Mustapha Efianayi (4.0) physical / First Step playmaking / Ball Handling Toronto Huskies 25-58 0.301 29 24 Kourtlin Bechard (3.5) creation / Shoot Off Dribbl defense / Stealing Atlanta Devils 23-60 0.277 32 33 Jermaine Clark (4.0) playmaking / Ball Handling execution / Pick & Roll Exe Indiana Stonecutters 21-62 0.253 22 34 Demetrice Davis (4.0) playmaking / Ball Handling execution / Basketball IQ Nashville Stars 19-64 0.229 36 12 Tiago Fernandes (4.0) defense / Post Defense creation / Shoot Off Dribbl Oakland Tritons 19-64 0.229 8 36 Jarvis Cannon (4.0) defense / Post Defense creation / Finishing St Louis Skyhawks 19-64 0.229 33 31 Davide Deangelo (3.5) defense / Off-Ball Defense shooting / 3PT Shooting San Diego Calaveras 18-65 0.217 28 35 Jamaine Curry Jr (4.0) shooting / Mid-Range Shooti rebounding / Offensive Rebo ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COLUMN KEY: Off = Offensive rank (PPG scored, 1 = best) Def = Defensive rank (PPG allowed, 1 = best) Key Strength = rating with biggest advantage over league average (minutes-weighted) Key Weakness = rating with biggest deficit vs league average (minutes-weighted) Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_opponent_overview.txt
15 Coach Analysis
==================================================================================================== 15 - COACH FREE AGENCY ANALYSIS ==================================================================================================== Data source: coaches_2050.json (fetched 2026-02-11T22:42:11.592017+00:00) Season: 2050 offseason Total coaches in database: 272 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 1: DENVER STAFF ASSESSMENT ==================================================================================================== Head Coach: Carson Killingsworth Salary: $8.0M | Years Remaining: 1 (HC not found in free agency list -- under contract) Note: HC ratings not available (not on free agency market) ------------------------------------------------------------ Assistant Coach: Samuel Rafferty Salary: $0 | Status: EXPIRING Style: Instructor | Philosophy: Balanced Age: 59 | Experience: 27 yrs Rating Profile: Off: 11 Def: 15 Tac: 10 Mot: 16 Pat: 17 Dis: 11 Tmp: 11 Adp: 19 Ldr: 13 Cul: 10 Med: 18 Chem-G: 18 Chem-F: 13 Chem-C: 13 (Avg: 14.7) Composite: 13.52 KEY NOTE: Denver needs at least 1 new AC (Rafferty expiring at $0 salary). May need 2 ACs depending on staff size requirements. AC salaries are $1M/3yr (fixed). HC salaries are $8M/4yr (fixed). ==================================================================================================== SECTION 2: MARKET OVERVIEW ==================================================================================================== Coaches by Status: unemployed 197 out_of_contract 19 on_team 56 TOTAL 272 Coaching Styles (all coaches): Psychologist 92 ( 33.8%) Instructor 48 ( 17.6%) Disciplinarian 48 ( 17.6%) Motivator 45 ( 16.5%) Tactician 39 ( 14.3%) Coaching Philosophies (all coaches): Balanced 96 ( 35.3%) Pace & Space 48 ( 17.6%) Morey Ball 29 ( 10.7%) Grit & Grind 26 ( 9.6%) Seven Seconds 25 ( 9.2%) Post Centric 19 ( 7.0%) Perimeter Centric 15 ( 5.5%) Triangle 14 ( 5.1%) Average Ratings by Experience Tier: Tier Count Off Def Tac Mot Dis Adp Ldr ChAvg -------------------------------------------------------------------- Rookie (0) 153 11.7 11.6 10.8 10.6 10.9 10.8 10.5 10.5 1-5 yrs 46 12.9 13.2 11.6 11.6 10.9 11.4 11.6 11.5 6-15 yrs 30 13.3 11.4 12.2 12.0 12.2 12.5 11.4 12.8 16+ yrs 43 13.9 12.2 13.3 13.4 13.1 14.0 13.0 14.2 Available Coaches (unemployed + out_of_contract): 216 Styles: Psychologist (70), Disciplinarian (40), Motivator (39), Instructor (35), Tactician (32) Philosophies: Balanced (79), Pace & Space (38), Grit & Grind (22), Morey Ball (21), Seven Seconds (20), Post Centric (14), Perimeter Centric (12), Triangle (10) ==================================================================================================== SECTION 3: TOP AVAILABLE ASSISTANT COACHES (RANKED) ==================================================================================================== All unemployed + out-of-contract coaches ranked by composite score. Composite weights: Def 20%, Off 15%, Tac 15%, Mot 10%, Dis 10%, Adp 10%, ChAvg 10%, Ldr 10% Defense weighted highest -- Denver ranks 22/36 in points allowed. Rk Name Age Exp Style Philosophy Comp Off Def Tac Mot Adp ChAv ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Jaizec Garcia 52 22 Instructor Morey Ball 15.75 17 14 18 15 17 15.0 2 Atiba Bigby-Williams 60 24 Psychologist Pace & Space 15.45 20 12 17 13 16 16.0 3 Shane Cushing 64 23 Motivator Balanced 15.10 20 11 16 18 16 14.0 4 Louie James 47 6 Tactician Triangle 14.82 16 16 19 10 13 15.7 5 Trhae Pfaffenberger 57 23 Disciplinarian Balanced 14.62 12 16 11 14 17 15.7 6 Toliver Cannady 65 23 Motivator Pace & Space 14.47 19 11 11 17 19 13.7 7 Damani Nikko 58 23 Psychologist Morey Ball 14.35 13 13 16 16 17 16.0 8 Denzell Sparks 41 3 Psychologist Grit & Grind 14.22 13 17 14 13 16 10.7 9 Vince Collier 44 5 Tactician Balanced 14.20 8 7 20 19 19 16.0 10 Donovann Galic 55 23 Psychologist Balanced 14.00 15 13 11 16 17 19.0 11 Jason Cheaney 55 20 Disciplinarian Pace & Space 13.62 16 13 13 8 13 13.7 12 Samuel Rafferty 59 27 Instructor Balanced 13.52 11 15 10 16 19 14.7 13 Hassan Bundu 48 6 Psychologist Seven Seconds 13.30 14 14 12 13 13 13.0 14 DJ Gordon 45 0 Disciplinarian Pace & Space 13.25 16 17 13 8 11 10.0 15 Kendall Houston Jr 40 3 Motivator Balanced 13.03 15 17 13 14 9 11.3 16 Keshon Smith 47 0 Disciplinarian Morey Ball 12.92 14 17 13 9 12 10.7 17 Jermaine Wade 51 9 Instructor Balanced 12.85 15 13 14 12 13 13.0 18 Bruno Clifford 53 23 Tactician Post Centric 12.83 14 13 18 9 14 15.3 19 Deshawn Hawkins 46 6 Tactician Balanced 12.80 11 15 15 9 10 14.0 20 Pauly Nnamene 57 19 Disciplinarian Balanced 12.72 9 11 14 11 16 14.7 21 Obij Udenyi 46 0 Instructor Post Centric 12.70 15 13 11 14 13 13.0 22 Tarkus Giles 40 0 Disciplinarian Balanced 12.65 17 13 12 8 14 9.0 23 Jerami Jackson 42 1 Psychologist Morey Ball 12.60 18 16 10 9 12 10.0 24 Eric Greely 45 3 Instructor Balanced 12.58 13 17 10 12 8 11.3 25 Avery Morrison 45 0 Motivator Grit & Grind 12.58 12 16 11 13 11 11.3 Total available: 216 coaches ==================================================================================================== SECTION 4: PHILOSOPHY-FILTERED RANKINGS ==================================================================================================== Top 10 available coaches filtered by Denver-relevant philosophies. --- PACE & SPACE (38 available) --- Rk Name Age Exp Style Comp Off Def Tac Dis ChAv ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Atiba Bigby-Williams 60 24 Psychologist 15.45 20 12 17 17 16.0 2 Toliver Cannady 65 23 Motivator 14.47 19 11 11 15 13.7 3 Jason Cheaney 55 20 Disciplinarian 13.62 16 13 13 17 13.7 4 DJ Gordon 45 0 Disciplinarian 13.25 16 17 13 14 10.0 5 Garrett Tinsley 41 0 Disciplinarian 12.57 12 15 14 14 12.7 6 Marshall Gill 39 0 Disciplinarian 12.55 12 15 13 14 12.0 7 DeAundra Fernandez 63 18 Instructor 12.52 13 13 14 11 9.7 8 Dan Hargrove 40 0 Instructor 12.40 16 10 12 14 10.0 9 Avi Boone 47 0 Psychologist 12.40 11 17 13 12 11.0 10 Trayvon Gibbs 47 0 Motivator 12.27 8 14 12 13 11.7 --- MOREY BALL (21 available) --- Rk Name Age Exp Style Comp Off Def Tac Dis ChAv ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Jaizec Garcia 52 22 Instructor 15.75 17 14 18 14 15.0 2 Damani Nikko 58 23 Psychologist 14.35 13 13 16 14 16.0 3 Keshon Smith 47 0 Disciplinarian 12.92 14 17 13 14 10.7 4 Jerami Jackson 42 1 Psychologist 12.60 18 16 10 8 10.0 5 Marcus Richardson 45 1 Instructor 12.50 12 12 12 12 12.0 6 Jordan Mack 41 1 Disciplinarian 12.23 11 16 11 13 10.3 7 Marquise Sasser 45 0 Motivator 12.17 17 15 9 7 10.7 8 Matt Deeter 47 0 Disciplinarian 11.67 13 14 9 14 11.7 9 Willie Knapper 51 14 Tactician 11.65 12 12 15 10 12.0 10 Terrell Mosley 47 0 Motivator 11.52 10 15 11 8 11.7 --- BALANCED (79 available) --- Rk Name Age Exp Style Comp Off Def Tac Dis ChAv ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Shane Cushing 64 23 Motivator 15.10 20 11 16 13 14.0 2 Trhae Pfaffenberger 57 23 Disciplinarian 14.62 12 16 11 19 15.7 3 Vince Collier 44 5 Tactician 14.20 8 7 20 16 16.0 4 Donovann Galic 55 23 Psychologist 14.00 15 13 11 10 19.0 5 Samuel Rafferty 59 27 Instructor 13.52 11 15 10 11 14.7 6 Kendall Houston Jr 40 3 Motivator 13.03 15 17 13 9 11.3 7 Jermaine Wade 51 9 Instructor 12.85 15 13 14 13 13.0 8 Deshawn Hawkins 46 6 Tactician 12.80 11 15 15 14 14.0 9 Pauly Nnamene 57 19 Disciplinarian 12.72 9 11 14 18 14.7 10 Tarkus Giles 40 0 Disciplinarian 12.65 17 13 12 14 9.0 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 5: POACHABLE TEAM ASSISTANTS ==================================================================================================== Top 15 assistant coaches currently on other teams, ranked by composite. NOTE: These can only be poached for HEAD COACHING positions, not AC positions. Rk Name Team Age Exp Style Philosophy Comp Off Def Tac ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 E.J. Medley-Bacon Saints 67 29 Disciplinarian Balanced 15.55 14 16 15 2 Louis Merton Barons 71 27 Psychologist Post Centric 14.92 18 13 13 3 Isaac Brown Stars 44 5 Instructor Morey Ball 14.55 11 16 14 4 Michael Petrovski Vultures 73 33 Tactician Triangle 14.45 13 13 20 5 Louis Seegars Warriors 56 23 Psychologist Triangle 14.43 17 13 15 6 Brian Oliver Scorpions 66 28 Psychologist Grit & Grind 14.40 11 16 17 7 Jeff Gumm Blizzards 64 24 Disciplinarian Balanced 14.23 12 17 12 8 Cassius Tyson Mustangs 49 10 Motivator Balanced 14.12 15 8 12 9 Pat Elashari-Rashed Kings 57 23 Psychologist Post Centric 14.10 18 14 12 10 Mirko Blazevic Vultures 52 15 Psychologist Post Centric 14.07 16 13 10 11 Austin Williams Jailbirds 66 29 Motivator Balanced 13.85 16 11 11 12 Ray Segwai Lightning 71 23 Psychologist Pace & Space 13.73 15 13 15 13 James Austin Predators 73 40 Psychologist Perimeter Centric 13.67 16 9 16 14 Gilles Balzer Bullets 53 7 Instructor Post Centric 13.65 17 13 14 15 JJ Knight Renegades 48 5 Tactician Pace & Space 13.60 15 13 15 Total on-team assistants: 56 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 6: DENVER-SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATIONS ==================================================================================================== Denver Context: - Defense rank: 22/36 in points allowed (112.8 PPG) - Offense rank: 31/36 in points scored (108.0 PPG) - Spacing crisis: 5 rotation players below league-avg spacing - Biggest gaps: Def Rebounding (33/36), Wing Ball Handling, Guard Spacing --- TOP 5 AC PICKS: DEFENSIVE DEVELOPMENT FOCUS --- Weights: Def 35%, Dis 20%, ChemC 10%, Ldr 10%, Tac 10%, Off 5%, Mot 5%, Adp 5% Rk Name Style Philosophy Score Def Dis ChC Ldr ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Trhae Pfaffenberger Disciplinarian Balanced 15.55 16 19 15 14 2 Jaizec Garcia Instructor Morey Ball 15.35 14 14 18 16 3 Louie James Tactician Triangle 14.85 16 14 15 11 4 Denzell Sparks Psychologist Grit & Grind 14.45 17 13 9 15 5 Atiba Bigby-Williams Psychologist Pace & Space 14.35 12 17 13 13 --- TOP 5 AC PICKS: OFFENSIVE DEVELOPMENT FOCUS --- Weights: Off 30%, Tac 25%, ChemG 10%, Adp 10%, Ldr 10%, Dis 5%, Mot 5%, Def 5% Rk Name Style Philosophy Score Off Tac ChG Adp ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Atiba Bigby-Williams Psychologist Pace & Space 16.85 20 17 16 16 2 Shane Cushing Motivator Balanced 16.20 20 16 11 16 3 Jaizec Garcia Instructor Morey Ball 16.05 17 18 10 17 4 Louie James Tactician Triangle 15.55 16 19 16 13 5 Toliver Cannady Motivator Pace & Space 15.50 19 11 17 19 --- BEST OVERALL AC PICK (BALANCED COMPOSITE) --- Jaizec Garcia Age: 52 | Experience: 22 yrs Style: Instructor | Philosophy: Morey Ball Composite: 15.75 Ratings: Off: 17 Def: 14 Tac: 18 Mot: 15 Dis: 14 Adp: 17 Ldr: 16 Pat: 12 Tmp: 13 Cul: 17 Med: 18 Chem-G: 10 Chem-F: 17 Chem-C: 18 (Avg: 15.0) Also ranked in top 5 for: defensive, offensive focus RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY: Denver should prioritize an AC with strong defensive ratings to address the team's 22/36 defensive ranking. Ideally a coach with Pace & Space or Morey Ball philosophy to align with the analytics-optimal offensive systems. Best available Pace & Space: Atiba Bigby-Williams (composite 15.45, Off 20, Def 12) Best available Morey Ball: Jaizec Garcia (composite 15.75, Off 17, Def 14) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\15_coach_analysis.txt Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts
16 Hidden Ratings
==================================================================================================== 16 - HIDDEN RATING EFFECTS & PERFORMANCE RESIDUALS ==================================================================================================== Hidden ratings (Clutch, Consistency, Positioning, Durability, Turnover Proneness) have roughly equal impact on winning as visible ratings. This report uses a player-level Ridge regression (WS/48 ~ 32 visible ratings) to estimate each player's expected performance. The residual (actual - predicted) proxies the net effect of hidden ratings and system fit. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: RIDGE MODEL (WS/48 ~ 32 Visible Ratings) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Players: 379 with 20+ games and complete ratings Ridge alpha: 1.0 R = 0.574, R-squared = 0.330 Intercept = 0.0988 Top 15 Ridge Coefficients (standardized): Rating Coef ------------------------------------------------------- execution / Post Execution +0.0122 creation / Foul Drawing +0.0119 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding +0.0118 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense -0.0109 execution / Pick & Roll Execution +0.0107 playmaking / Passing +0.0079 playmaking / Playmaking +0.0070 shooting / 3PT Shooting +0.0069 shooting / Inside Shooting +0.0069 shooting / Free Throws +0.0063 creation / Ball Dominance -0.0062 defense / Help Defense +0.0061 creation / Shoot Off Dribble +0.0060 physical / Endurance +0.0052 defense / Off-Ball Defense +0.0051 Model captures 33.0% of WS/48 variance from visible ratings alone. The remaining 67.0% includes hidden ratings, system fit, role, and noise. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: TOP 25 OVERPERFORMERS & BOTTOM 25 UNDERPERFORMERS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Overperformers = likely strong hidden ratings (buy targets) Underperformers = likely weak hidden ratings (sell/avoid targets) TOP 25 OVERPERFORMERS: # Player Team Pos CA Actual Pred Resid G Age ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Akani Adekoya Kansas City Knights Guard 3.0 0.213 0.093 +0.120 76 25 2 Desmond NGanga Seattle Thunder Guard 3.0 0.203 0.089 +0.114 75 30 3 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurricanes Guard 4.0 0.181 0.069 +0.112 71 30 4 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds Guard 4.0 0.205 0.111 +0.094 77 24 5 Bryce McAlister Portland Lumberjacks Guard 3.0 0.138 0.049 +0.089 82 26 6 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings Big 3.5 0.215 0.126 +0.089 82 33 7 Dimitris Makryonitis Kansas City Knights Guard 3.0 0.157 0.069 +0.088 79 32 8 Stephon Carlton Cincinnati Kings Big 4.0 0.257 0.175 +0.082 82 34 9 Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors Guard 3.5 0.230 0.148 +0.082 74 28 10 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds Wing 3.0 0.204 0.125 +0.079 82 28 11 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons Big 4.5 0.263 0.185 +0.078 58 28 12 Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder Wing 4.0 0.197 0.121 +0.076 74 31 13 Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels Wing 3.5 0.175 0.100 +0.075 82 31 14 Drake Walter Vancouver Wolves Big 4.0 0.177 0.103 +0.074 81 28 15 Ahsante Clinkscales Dallas Predators Guard 2.0 0.133 0.060 +0.073 66 20 16 Daniel Cazorla Phoenix Vultures Guard 2.0 0.145 0.074 +0.071 81 18 17 Jean-Jacques Durand Toronto Huskies Guard 3.0 0.089 0.018 +0.071 70 24 18 McKinley Power Cleveland Giants Wing 2.5 0.198 0.129 +0.069 82 20 19 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants Wing 3.5 0.159 0.090 +0.069 75 30 20 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings Wing 3.5 0.197 0.129 +0.068 76 28 21 Anfernee Cummings New Orleans Hurricanes Guard 2.5 0.114 0.046 +0.068 26 20 22 Leandro Santoro Charlotte Drones Big 2.0 0.115 0.049 +0.066 80 20 23 Trip Kreisberg Las Vegas Scorpions Guard 2.0 0.161 0.097 +0.064 82 20 24 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders Wing 4.0 0.215 0.152 +0.063 72 24 25 Amorrow Puryear Detroit Mustangs Big 3.0 0.179 0.117 +0.062 27 24 BOTTOM 25 UNDERPERFORMERS: # Player Team Pos CA Actual Pred Resid G Age ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Jonas Baumann San Diego Calaveras Wing 3.0 -0.048 0.099 -0.147 75 20 2 Laurynas Linartas Atlanta Devils Wing 3.5 -0.048 0.078 -0.126 33 21 3 Raul Cardona Nashville Stars Big 3.5 -0.002 0.102 -0.104 62 31 4 Bryce Ham Los Angeles Fireballs Big 2.0 -0.007 0.095 -0.102 20 20 5 Jermaine Bird Miami Cyclones Wing 2.5 -0.017 0.075 -0.092 39 34 6 Metehan Keloglu Indiana Stonecutters Wing 3.5 -0.016 0.076 -0.092 61 29 7 Zavyean Murray San Diego Calaveras Wing 2.5 -0.031 0.061 -0.092 82 20 8 Jamaine Curry Jr San Diego Calaveras Wing 4.0 0.034 0.117 -0.083 46 25 9 Tiago Fernandes Nashville Stars Big 4.0 -0.004 0.078 -0.082 66 23 10 Quintyn Detrick Washington Pilots Guard 3.0 0.029 0.110 -0.081 81 24 11 Fabian Kendricks Washington Pilots Wing 2.5 -0.027 0.053 -0.080 34 21 12 Kaan Korkmaz Nashville Stars Guard 2.5 -0.038 0.041 -0.079 64 22 13 Jarvis Cannon Oakland Tritons Big 4.0 0.007 0.085 -0.078 77 27 14 Raymone Crockrom Nashville Stars Big 3.5 0.056 0.133 -0.077 54 24 15 Kaleb Sterling St Louis Skyhawks Wing 2.0 -0.005 0.071 -0.076 82 21 16 Emery Glaze Indiana Stonecutters Wing 3.5 0.031 0.106 -0.075 68 25 17 Kendrick Atkins Houston Lightning Wing 3.0 0.029 0.102 -0.073 41 32 18 Demetrice Davis Indiana Stonecutters Wing 4.0 0.052 0.122 -0.070 82 29 19 Mattias Fortt Atlanta Devils Wing 1.5 -0.007 0.063 -0.070 67 20 20 James Panzini Nashville Stars Wing 3.0 0.021 0.090 -0.069 22 28 21 Jordan Kingsley Austin Rockets Wing 3.0 0.003 0.072 -0.069 70 20 22 Kalen Smart Washington Pilots Wing 3.5 0.040 0.107 -0.067 82 34 23 Kel Pendergast Denver Dragons Wing 4.0 0.025 0.091 -0.066 54 24 <-- DEN 24 Caleb Donovan Indiana Stonecutters Big 3.5 0.053 0.117 -0.064 77 21 25 Garvin Crouch San Diego Calaveras Wing 2.5 0.003 0.066 -0.063 65 21 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: DENVER ROSTER HIDDEN RATING ASSESSMENT ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Player Pos CA MPG Actual Pred Resid G Verdict ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Marquill Edmunds Wing 2.5 4.1 0.192 0.073 +0.119 27 STRONG hidden Devaugntah Litton Big 2.5 6.5 0.156 0.056 +0.100 31 STRONG hidden Kaimyn Fry Big 3.5 31.2 0.121 0.098 +0.023 77 Likely positive Robert Alcegaire Big 3.5 11.3 0.095 0.078 +0.017 54 Likely positive LaMarcus Quinn Guard 3.0 30.7 0.118 0.113 +0.005 82 Neutral Pedro Santos Big 4.0 29.7 0.047 0.042 +0.005 82 Neutral Garrick Jurkin Big 3.5 31.5 0.084 0.085 -0.001 82 Neutral Domonkos Biro Wing 3.5 25.8 0.067 0.070 -0.003 81 Neutral Brandon Leslie Big 4.0 17.3 0.119 0.144 -0.025 82 Likely negative Hudson Leonard Wing 4.0 13.6 0.081 0.112 -0.031 49 WEAK hidden Zach Camara Guard 3.5 16.6 0.051 0.106 -0.055 81 WEAK hidden Tyrae Lewis Guard 2.5 30.7 -0.015 0.040 -0.055 78 WEAK hidden Kel Pendergast Wing 4.0 16.7 0.025 0.091 -0.066 54 WEAK hidden Tyrique Beaudean Guard 3.0 3.7 -0.066 0.050 -0.116 26 WEAK hidden Denver avg residual: -0.0059 Players with STRONG hidden ratings: 2 Players with WEAK hidden ratings: 5 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: TRADE WATCHLIST ENHANCEMENT -- AGE & CONTRACT OVERLAY ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Top 15 gap-filling wing targets (non-Denver, non-Top-5 teams) with hidden rating residual and contract context: # Player Team Age CA Salary Yrs Option GapFill Resid Signal ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders 26 3.5 $30.0M 2 22.77 -0.033 AVOID 2 Stanley Ogide Charlotte Drones 27 4.5 $30.0M 3 21.68 -0.023 AVOID 3 Tre Braun Phoenix Vultures 30 4.0 $35.0M 2 20.78 -0.015 NEUTRAL 4 Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions 24 4.5 $30.0M 2 Player Option 19.25 -0.048 AVOID 5 Jaaron Hyde Portland Lumberjacks 29 4.5 $3.2M 1 19.19 -0.033 AVOID 6 Kaden Ford Dallas Predators 33 3.5 $35.0M 1 18.53 -0.012 NEUTRAL 7 Nicolas Deprez Baltimore Bullets 23 4.5 $6.2M 1 17.24 -0.063 AVOID 8 Payton Oyediran Mexico City Jaguars 28 4.0 $6.0M 2 17.13 +0.034 BUY 9 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders 24 4.0 $25.0M 1 16.64 +0.063 BUY 10 Vitaliy McCarty New Orleans Hurricane 28 4.0 $9.8M 1 16.19 -0.033 AVOID 11 Luke Venizelos Pittsburgh Vipers 29 4.0 $20.0M 2 16.05 -0.025 AVOID 12 Arik Mills Minneapolis Blizzards 27 3.5 $2.5M 1 15.99 +0.030 BUY 13 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 30 3.5 $22.0M 2 Player Option 15.90 +0.069 BUY 14 LaMarcus Coleman Cleveland Giants 29 4.0 $3.2M 1 14.93 +0.046 BUY 15 Leon Hawthorne Oklahoma City Barons 30 4.0 $20.0M 2 14.38 -0.012 NEUTRAL ATTAINABLE TARGETS (positive residual, age <= 32, not Top-5 team): -> Payton Oyediran (Mexico City Jaguars, age 28, $6.0M, resid +0.034) -> Lukas Lanmuller (Boston Crusaders, age 24, $25.0M, resid +0.063) [EXPIRING] -> Arik Mills (Minneapolis Blizzards, age 27, $2.5M, resid +0.030) [EXPIRING] -> Adrian Schwartz (Cleveland Giants, age 30, $22.0M, resid +0.069) -> LaMarcus Coleman (Cleveland Giants, age 29, $3.2M, resid +0.046) [EXPIRING] ALL POSITIONS -- Top 10 by Gap-Fill + Positive Residual: # Player Team Pos Age CA Salary GapFill Resid ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Barons Guard 32 4.0 $32.5M 17.64 +0.059 2 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones Guard 30 3.5 $3.5M 17.35 +0.022 3 Payton Oyediran Mexico City Jaguars Wing 28 4.0 $6.0M 17.13 +0.034 4 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders Wing 24 4.0 $25.0M 16.64 +0.063 5 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants Guard 28 4.0 $24.0M 16.36 +0.060 6 Elijah Monk Portland Lumberjacks Big 32 4.0 $27.0M 16.32 +0.009 7 Arik Mills Minneapolis Blizzards Wing 27 3.5 $2.5M 15.99 +0.030 8 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants Wing 30 3.5 $22.0M 15.90 +0.069 9 Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators Guard 28 4.0 $10.0M 15.68 +0.037 10 LaMarcus Coleman Cleveland Giants Wing 29 4.0 $3.2M 14.93 +0.046 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: POSITION-SPECIFIC HIDDEN RATING PATTERNS ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- --- GUARD (n=75) --- Mean residual: +0.0167 | Std: 0.0452 Overperformers (resid > +0.02): 37 (49%) Underperformers (resid < -0.02): 18 (24%) Top 5 Guard Overperformers: Akani Adekoya (Kansas City Knights) resid=+0.120 CA=3.0 Desmond NGanga (Seattle Thunder) resid=+0.114 CA=3.0 Jonny Caruthers (New Orleans Hurrican) resid=+0.112 CA=4.0 Devonte Bell (Chicago Jailbirds) resid=+0.094 CA=4.0 Bryce McAlister (Portland Lumberjacks) resid=+0.089 CA=3.0 Top 5 Guard Underperformers: Quintyn Detrick (Washington Pilots) resid=-0.081 CA=3.0 Kaan Korkmaz (Nashville Stars) resid=-0.079 CA=2.5 Tyrae Lewis (Denver Dragons) resid=-0.055 CA=2.5 Zach Camara (Denver Dragons) resid=-0.055 CA=3.5 Jaxson Booker (Atlanta Devils) resid=-0.053 CA=3.0 --- WING (n=152) --- Mean residual: -0.0101 | Std: 0.0428 Overperformers (resid > +0.02): 37 (24%) Underperformers (resid < -0.02): 60 (39%) Top 5 Wing Overperformers: Stanley Amakor (Chicago Jailbirds) resid=+0.079 CA=3.0 Makyi Olanrewaju (Seattle Thunder) resid=+0.076 CA=4.0 Tenzin Ozer (Louisville Colonels) resid=+0.075 CA=3.5 McKinley Power (Cleveland Giants) resid=+0.069 CA=2.5 Adrian Schwartz (Cleveland Giants) resid=+0.069 CA=3.5 Top 5 Wing Underperformers: Jonas Baumann (San Diego Calaveras) resid=-0.147 CA=3.0 Laurynas Linartas (Atlanta Devils) resid=-0.126 CA=3.5 Jermaine Bird (Miami Cyclones) resid=-0.092 CA=2.5 Metehan Keloglu (Indiana Stonecutters) resid=-0.092 CA=3.5 Zavyean Murray (San Diego Calaveras) resid=-0.092 CA=2.5 --- BIG (n=152) --- Mean residual: +0.0018 | Std: 0.0376 Overperformers (resid > +0.02): 53 (35%) Underperformers (resid < -0.02): 43 (28%) Top 5 Big Overperformers: Russell Boozer (Cincinnati Kings) resid=+0.089 CA=3.5 Stephon Carlton (Cincinnati Kings) resid=+0.082 CA=4.0 Veljko Pavlovic (Oklahoma City Barons) resid=+0.078 CA=4.5 Drake Walter (Vancouver Wolves) resid=+0.074 CA=4.0 Leandro Santoro (Charlotte Drones) resid=+0.066 CA=2.0 Top 5 Big Underperformers: Raul Cardona (Nashville Stars) resid=-0.104 CA=3.5 Bryce Ham (Los Angeles Fireball) resid=-0.102 CA=2.0 Tiago Fernandes (Nashville Stars) resid=-0.082 CA=4.0 Jarvis Cannon (Oakland Tritons) resid=-0.078 CA=4.0 Raymone Crockrom (Nashville Stars) resid=-0.077 CA=3.5 PROFICIENCY vs RESIDUAL (league-wide, does system fit explain residual?): ==================================================================================================== SUMMARY & KEY TAKEAWAYS ==================================================================================================== Model: Ridge regression (WS/48 ~ 32 ratings), R-sq = 0.330 67.0% of WS/48 variance unexplained = hidden ratings + system fit + noise Top 3 visible rating predictors of individual WS/48: execution / Post Execution coef = +0.0122 creation / Foul Drawing coef = +0.0119 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding coef = +0.0118 Denver's best hidden rating signal: Marquill Edmunds (resid +0.119) Denver's worst hidden rating signal: Tyrique Beaudean (resid -0.116) Charts saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\16_hidden_ratings.txt
17 Player Impact
======================================================================================================================== JBL PLAYER IMPACT SCORES -- 2049 Season ======================================================================================================================== Methodology: 45% EPM + 35% Win Model (Ridge x 32 ratings) + 20% Hidden Ratings Residual Minutes confidence: sigmoid (full at 1500+ min, 50% at 500 min) Scale: 1-100 (50 = league average, 85+ = elite, <30 = replacement level) LEAGUE PLAYER IMPACT RANKINGS -- Top 50 ======================================================================================================================== Rk Player Team Pos GP MPG Impact Off Def EPM WinMdl Hidden Conf ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds Wing 82 33.5 87 77 74 +7.07 +0.1457 +0.0771 0.999 2 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights Big 81 29.4 85 72 80 +5.77 +0.1785 +0.0578 0.996 3 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds Guard 77 32.8 81 67 77 +6.19 +0.0905 +0.0867 0.998 4 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants Guard 81 34.4 78 63 80 +5.51 +0.0945 +0.0606 0.999 5 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons Big 58 33.1 78 67 76 +6.40 +0.0700 +0.0721 0.986 6 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings Big 82 31.1 73 62 71 +4.14 +0.0594 +0.0967 0.998 7 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders Wing 72 33.9 72 73 52 +2.43 +0.1177 +0.0789 0.997 8 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings Wing 76 31.2 72 61 72 +2.16 +0.1320 +0.0679 0.996 9 Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder Wing 81 37.6 72 62 69 +3.48 +0.1275 +0.0054 1.000 10 Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder Wing 74 35.7 71 60 71 +3.80 +0.0716 +0.0732 0.998 11 Evan Lieberman Oklahoma City Barons Wing 78 31.4 71 67 62 +3.98 +0.1097 +0.0003 0.997 12 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Barons Guard 80 31.3 71 66 64 +3.05 +0.0977 +0.0661 0.998 13 Kostas Zonas Vancouver Wolves Wing 82 33.3 71 64 66 +3.65 +0.0897 +0.0541 0.999 14 Tyrone George Louisville Colonels Big 78 32.0 70 55 75 +2.08 +0.1444 +0.0260 0.998 15 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Saints Big 82 25.8 70 65 67 +7.63 +0.0068 -0.0444 0.992 16 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder Wing 81 25.3 70 57 81 +4.71 +0.0764 -0.0004 0.990 17 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders Wing 78 23.4 70 62 66 +2.52 +0.1707 -0.0330 0.981 18 Austin Ross Baltimore Bullets Wing 80 31.7 69 63 65 +3.90 +0.0723 +0.0266 0.998 19 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets Wing 82 28.2 69 66 60 +3.26 +0.0986 +0.0187 0.996 20 Dion Sowder Los Angeles Fireballs Big 82 33.4 68 59 67 +1.91 +0.1412 -0.0044 0.999 21 Nyika Nnamoko Minneapolis Blizzards Guard 82 27.7 68 66 58 +3.09 +0.0752 +0.0409 0.995 22 Sergio Ortuño Vancouver Wolves Big 82 32.4 68 64 65 +3.62 +0.0682 +0.0225 0.998 23 Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions Wing 80 33.1 67 65 59 +2.15 +0.1572 -0.0451 0.998 24 Drake Walter Vancouver Wolves Big 81 32.5 67 54 71 +3.58 +0.0291 +0.0748 0.998 25 Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors Guard 74 20.3 67 63 60 +2.36 +0.0653 +0.0898 0.953 26 Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators Guard 82 27.5 67 66 57 +2.13 +0.1032 +0.0329 0.995 27 Daniel Cazorla Phoenix Vultures Guard 81 22.3 67 62 58 +5.09 -0.0205 +0.0704 0.981 28 Stanley Ogide Charlotte Drones Wing 80 29.6 67 66 60 +1.67 +0.1550 -0.0216 0.996 29 Cardez Moss Austin Rockets Wing 82 34.4 67 60 64 +2.65 +0.0912 +0.0218 0.999 30 John Jones Vancouver Wolves Big 69 30.0 67 61 63 +2.32 +0.0835 +0.0534 0.991 31 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants Wing 75 28.6 67 60 59 +2.97 +0.0542 +0.0617 0.993 32 Tayshaun Aumiller Cincinnati Kings Wing 82 28.0 66 61 62 +0.83 +0.1292 +0.0369 0.995 33 Jimmy Cougar III Cincinnati Kings Wing 79 27.8 66 54 70 +3.70 +0.0420 +0.0359 0.994 34 Tre Braun Phoenix Vultures Wing 63 24.3 66 62 62 +1.72 +0.1413 -0.0094 0.956 35 Arif Langston Chicago Jailbirds Wing 82 24.1 66 56 64 +1.13 +0.1022 +0.0588 0.988 36 Cedric Rodgers Los Angeles Fireballs Wing 80 33.4 66 54 72 +4.76 -0.0020 +0.0360 0.999 37 Andre Griffin Kansas City Knights Wing 76 29.9 66 67 53 +1.58 +0.1039 +0.0439 0.995 38 Caius Thompson Philadelphia Warriors Big 80 33.0 65 55 69 +3.11 +0.0520 +0.0220 0.998 39 Raekwon Pack Miami Cyclones Big 82 29.7 65 56 70 +1.82 +0.1203 -0.0151 0.997 40 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones Guard 63 26.6 65 60 61 +2.13 +0.0857 +0.0236 0.971 41 Luke Venizelos Pittsburgh Vipers Wing 82 33.0 65 61 57 +0.32 +0.1768 -0.0246 0.999 42 Kylan Cassier Portland Lumberjacks Wing 82 31.8 65 66 55 +3.56 +0.0288 +0.0464 0.998 43 Orkun Ozcan Vancouver Wolves Guard 82 33.2 65 63 58 +2.18 +0.0791 +0.0341 0.999 44 Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels Wing 82 15.3 65 66 51 +1.86 +0.0892 +0.0531 0.906 45 Jimmie Hollimon Portland Lumberjacks Wing 78 30.1 64 58 62 +2.28 +0.0994 -0.0216 0.996 46 Jarrett Sutherland Toronto Huskies Wing 78 32.0 64 58 61 +1.40 +0.1085 +0.0101 0.998 47 Jaleel Usher Oklahoma City Barons Guard 81 31.8 64 71 44 +3.03 +0.0254 +0.0461 0.998 48 Mandela Marsh-Kittrell Kansas City Knights Guard 76 31.4 64 67 49 +2.69 +0.0404 +0.0407 0.997 49 Demitrius Burns Portland Lumberjacks Big 79 29.8 64 50 75 +4.15 +0.0172 +0.0079 0.996 50 Mandela Osayande Mexico City Jaguars Wing 82 33.5 64 70 47 +2.73 +0.0632 +0.0057 0.999 DENVER DRAGONS -- Player Impact Roster Breakdown ======================================================================================================================== Rk Player Pos GP MPG Impact Off Def EPM WinMdl Hidden Conf CA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ #52 Pedro Santos Big 82 29.7 64 56 66 +2.30 +0.0830 -0.0032 0.997 4.0 #117 Garrick Jurkin Big 82 31.5 57 52 53 -0.02 +0.0771 -0.0026 0.998 3.5 #176 Domonkos Biro Wing 81 25.8 54 59 44 +1.59 -0.0059 -0.0059 0.992 3.5 #191 Brandon Leslie Big 82 17.3 53 47 56 -0.97 +0.0743 -0.0212 0.941 4.0 #191 Hudson Leonard Wing 49 13.6 53 53 48 +0.28 +0.0598 -0.0285 0.622 4.0 #242 Marquill Edmunds Wing 27 4.1 51 53 47 +0.50 -0.0355 +0.0996 0.238 2.5 #242 Zach Camara Guard 81 16.6 51 58 44 -0.43 +0.0615 -0.0603 0.926 3.5 #242 Kel Pendergast Wing 54 16.7 51 52 47 -0.74 +0.0623 -0.0471 0.770 4.0 #242 Devaugntah Litton Big 31 6.5 51 52 48 +0.72 -0.0549 +0.0843 0.290 2.5 #271 Robert Alcegaire Big 54 11.3 50 48 51 +0.17 -0.0060 +0.0098 0.582 3.5 #351 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 82 30.7 47 50 43 -1.68 +0.0114 +0.0105 0.998 3.0 #366 Tyrique Beaudean Guard 26 3.7 46 47 48 -2.01 -0.0711 -0.1121 0.230 3.0 #404 Kaimyn Fry Big 77 31.2 44 39 51 -1.74 -0.0333 +0.0284 0.997 3.5 #496 Tyrae Lewis Guard 78 30.7 31 36 43 -3.70 -0.0575 -0.0690 0.997 2.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Denver Average Impact: 50.2 (League avg: 50) TOP 15 GUARDS BY IMPACT (500+ min) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rk Player Team GP MPG Impact Off Def 1 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 77 32.8 81 67 77 2 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants 81 34.4 78 63 80 3 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Barons 80 31.3 71 66 64 4 Nyika Nnamoko Minneapolis Blizzards 82 27.7 68 66 58 5 Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warriors 74 20.3 67 63 60 6 Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators 82 27.5 67 66 57 7 Daniel Cazorla Phoenix Vultures 81 22.3 67 62 58 8 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones 63 26.6 65 60 61 9 Orkun Ozcan Vancouver Wolves 82 33.2 65 63 58 10 Jaleel Usher Oklahoma City Barons 81 31.8 64 71 44 11 Mandela Marsh-Kittrell Kansas City Knights 76 31.4 64 67 49 12 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurricanes 71 12.2 63 65 52 13 Reid Frahm Cincinnati Kings 82 15.9 63 67 48 14 Ish Hampton Atlanta Devils 77 16.3 63 65 55 15 Dimitris Makryonitis Kansas City Knights 79 19.7 63 73 39 TOP 15 WINGS BY IMPACT (500+ min) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rk Player Team GP MPG Impact Off Def 1 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds 82 33.5 87 77 74 2 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders 72 33.9 72 73 52 3 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 76 31.2 72 61 72 4 Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 81 37.6 72 62 69 5 Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder 74 35.7 71 60 71 6 Evan Lieberman Oklahoma City Barons 78 31.4 71 67 62 7 Kostas Zonas Vancouver Wolves 82 33.3 71 64 66 8 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder 81 25.3 70 57 81 9 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders 78 23.4 70 62 66 10 Austin Ross Baltimore Bullets 80 31.7 69 63 65 11 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets 82 28.2 69 66 60 12 Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions 80 33.1 67 65 59 13 Stanley Ogide Charlotte Drones 80 29.6 67 66 60 14 Cardez Moss Austin Rockets 82 34.4 67 60 64 15 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 75 28.6 67 60 59 TOP 15 BIGS BY IMPACT (500+ min) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rk Player Team GP MPG Impact Off Def 1 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights 81 29.4 85 72 80 2 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Barons 58 33.1 78 67 76 3 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings 82 31.1 73 62 71 4 Tyrone George Louisville Colonels 78 32.0 70 55 75 5 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Saints 82 25.8 70 65 67 6 Dion Sowder Los Angeles Fireballs 82 33.4 68 59 67 7 Sergio Ortuño Vancouver Wolves 82 32.4 68 64 65 8 Drake Walter Vancouver Wolves 81 32.5 67 54 71 9 John Jones Vancouver Wolves 69 30.0 67 61 63 10 Caius Thompson Philadelphia Warriors 80 33.0 65 55 69 11 Raekwon Pack Miami Cyclones 82 29.7 65 56 70 12 Demitrius Burns Portland Lumberjacks 79 29.8 64 50 75 13 Pedro Santos Denver Dragons 82 29.7 64 56 66 14 Lorenzo Wade Philadelphia Warriors 80 24.5 62 57 64 15 Javar Bonham Chicago Jailbirds 82 29.0 62 55 65 SCORE DISTRIBUTION ============================================================ Players scored: 503 Mean: 50.9 Median: 50 Std: 9.4 Min: 20 Max: 87 Tier breakdown: Elite (85-100): 2 Star (70-84): 15 Starter(55-69): 139 Average(45-54): 231 Below (30-44): 109 Replcmt( 1-29): 7 COMPONENT CORRELATIONS (1500+ min players) ============================================================ impact vs epm : r = +0.881 impact vs wm_score : r = +0.767 impact vs hidden_resid : r = +0.521 epm vs wm_score : r = +0.411 epm vs hidden_resid : r = +0.452 wm_score vs hidden_resid : r = +0.146 ======================================================================================================================== SUMMARY ======================================================================================================================== Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\17_player_impact.txt Chart saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\charts\17_player_impact_distribution.png
18 Player Development
======================================================================================================================== JBL PLAYER DEVELOPMENT PREDICTION MODEL -- 2049 Season ======================================================================================================================== Components: 1. Player Comp Engine -- Win-model-weighted cosine similarity (32 ratings) 2. Archetype Classifier -- Random Forest on 32 ratings + 3 positional fits 3. Development Curve Model-- Segmented Ridge: CA = f(age, PA, age*PA, age^2) 4. College Prospect Integ.-- Map college -> pro ratings, run through all components Data: 516 players (single 2049 snapshot, cross-sectional proxy for development) DEVELOPMENT CURVE MODEL SUMMARY ================================================================================ Segment N R2 Peak Age Med PA Mean CA -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Big_High 92 0.447 31 4.0 3.83 Big_Low 17 0.657 31 2.5 2.03 Big_Medium 98 0.497 31 3.5 3.15 Guard_High 24 0.530 30 4.0 3.08 Guard_Low 108 0.616 30 3.0 2.94 Guard_Medium 73 0.540 30 3.0 3.00 Wing_High 78 0.315 29 4.0 3.76 Wing_Low 17 0.755 29 2.5 2.35 Wing_Medium 106 0.468 29 3.5 3.01 ARCHETYPE CLASSIFIER -- OFFENSIVE (5-Fold Stratified CV) ================================================================================ Overall Accuracy: 54.3% Archetype Accuracy N ---------------------------------------- Glue Guy 23.3% 30 Interior Playmaker 7.1% 14 Movement Shooter 0.0% 4 Pick-and-Pop Big 8.3% 12 Post Bully 0.0% 12 Post Scorer 18.4% 38 Primary Ballhandler 54.5% 55 Roll-and-Cut Big 84.3% 70 Secondary Creator 98.1% 162 Shot Creator 7.0% 43 Slasher 0.0% 11 Stationary Shooter 0.0% 18 Stretch Big 31.2% 16 Versatile Big 25.8% 31 ARCHETYPE CLASSIFIER -- DEFENSIVE (5-Fold Stratified CV) ================================================================================ Overall Accuracy: 70.2% Archetype Accuracy N ---------------------------------------- Anchor Big 86.0% 93 Chaser 0.0% 32 Helper 2.3% 44 Low Activity 0.0% 2 Mobile Big 64.4% 73 Point Of Attack 75.3% 97 Wing Stopper 92.0% 175 DEVELOPMENT CURVES -- Mean CA by Age x PA Tier x Position ======================================================================================================================== Age Low PA (n) Medium PA (n) High PA (n) --------------------------------------------------- 20 2.38 ( 4) 2.58 ( 6) 21 2.60 ( 5) 2.67 ( 3) 22 2.25 ( 2) 2.00 ( 2) 23 2.38 ( 4) 2.67 ( 9) 2.75 ( 2) 24 3.06 ( 9) 3.75 ( 2) 25 3.25 ( 8) 26 3.17 ( 6) 27 3.33 ( 3) 28 3.33 ( 3) 4.00 ( 2) 29 3.25 ( 6) 30 3.27 ( 11) 3.67 ( 3) 31 3.25 ( 2) 32 3.00 ( 2) 33 2.00 ( 2) 3.00 ( 2) Age Low PA (n) Medium PA (n) High PA (n) --------------------------------------------------- 20 2.43 ( 14) 3.06 ( 8) 21 2.25 ( 2) 2.55 ( 10) 3.10 ( 5) 22 2.88 ( 8) 23 2.33 ( 6) 3.00 ( 13) 4.17 ( 3) 24 3.09 ( 16) 4.00 ( 10) 25 3.22 ( 9) 3.92 ( 6) 26 3.17 ( 3) 3.50 ( 4) 27 3.50 ( 3) 4.12 ( 4) 28 3.20 ( 5) 3.94 ( 8) 29 3.42 ( 6) 3.95 ( 11) 30 3.39 ( 9) 3.91 ( 11) 31 3.88 ( 4) 32 3.10 ( 5) 4.00 ( 2) 33 3.25 ( 4) Age Low PA (n) Medium PA (n) High PA (n) --------------------------------------------------- 19 2.50 ( 4) 20 1.83 ( 3) 2.71 ( 12) 3.05 ( 11) 21 2.78 ( 9) 3.50 ( 5) 22 2.00 ( 3) 3.22 ( 9) 3.83 ( 3) 23 2.50 ( 2) 3.11 ( 14) 3.83 ( 9) 24 2.25 ( 2) 3.36 ( 7) 4.31 ( 8) 25 3.25 ( 4) 4.12 ( 4) 26 3.42 ( 6) 4.25 ( 6) 27 3.43 ( 7) 4.00 ( 5) 28 3.33 ( 6) 4.15 ( 10) 29 3.25 ( 4) 4.14 ( 11) 30 3.50 ( 4) 3.94 ( 8) 31 3.25 ( 2) 4.25 ( 2) 32 3.38 ( 4) 4.00 ( 2) 33 3.14 ( 7) 3.75 ( 2) 35 2.00 ( 3) 3.00 ( 2) RATING-LEVEL DEVELOPMENT -- Peak Ages by Position ================================================================================ Rating Guard Wing Big -------------------------------------------------------- Inside Shooting 29 29 31 (R2=0.522) Defensive Rebounding 27 29 31 (R2=0.428) Pick & Roll Execution 30 29 29 (R2=0.418) Help Defense 25 27 28 (R2=0.398) 3PT Shooting 30 29 28 (R2=0.373) Offensive Rebounding 28 28 31 (R2=0.303) Isolation Execution 29 29 28 (R2=0.303) Shoot Off Dribble 30 28 28 (R2=0.232) On-Ball Perimeter Defense 29 27 27 (R2=0.228) Endurance 24 25 29 (R2=0.220) DENVER DRAGONS -- Development Dashboard ======================================================================================================================== Player Pos Age CA PA Gap ExpCA Dev Peak PeakCA Top Comp Pred Off Arch ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Brandon Leslie Big 29 4.0 4.0 0.0 4.03 -0.03 31 4.07 Ben Haygood Roll-and-Cut Big Hudson Leonard Wing 28 4.0 4.0 0.0 3.86 +0.14 29 4.05 Lenzelle Ndefo Glue Guy Kel Pendergast Wing 24 4.0 4.0 0.0 3.60 +0.40 29 4.31 Adam Zeljković Secondary Creator Pedro Santos Big 22 4.0 4.5 0.5 3.66 +0.34 31 4.70 Raekwon Pack Secondary Creator Robert Alcegaire Big 28 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.52 -0.02 31 3.59 Conner Pearson Post Scorer Domonkos Biro Wing 23 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.02 +0.48 29 3.95 Tyree Bruner Secondary Creator Garrick Jurkin Big 30 3.5 5.0 1.5 4.57 -1.07 31 3.55 Semisi Rautins Glue Guy Kaimyn Fry Big 22 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.27 +0.23 31 3.83 Donte Black Post Scorer Zach Camara Guard 30 3.5 3.5 0.0 3.54 -0.04 30 3.50 Niklas Harris Shot Creator Tyrique Beaudean Guard 24 3.0 3.5 0.5 3.08 -0.08 30 3.46 Marquez Pearson Primary Ballhandler LaMarcus Quinn Guard 21 3.0 3.5 0.5 2.79 +0.21 30 3.76 Brandon Holyfield Primary Ballhandler Marquill Edmunds Wing 32 2.5 2.5 0.0 2.50 0.00 29 2.49 Stephan Rayner Secondary Creator Tyrae Lewis Guard 20 2.5 5.0 2.5 2.68 -0.18 30 3.86 Jamaria Flagg Secondary Creator Devaugntah Litton Big 22 2.5 2.5 0.0 2.18 +0.32 31 2.80 Jordan Goodridge Roll-and-Cut Big Dev = development residual (positive = ahead of curve, negative = behind) DRAFT PROSPECT PROJECTIONS -- Top 20 CLEAN Prospects ======================================================================================================================== Rk Name Pos Age Ridge Char Pred Off Archetype Pred Def Archetype Top Comp ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Orlando Fitzpatrick SF/SG 22 2.634 CLEAN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jarrett Sutherland 2 Shaun Ackerman SG 21 2.616 CLEAN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Terrence Swan 3 Zack Stiemsma SG 22 2.563 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Tyree Bruner 4 Zachary Bancroft SF 22 2.489 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Tyree Bruner 5 Kiimani Brasher SF/PF 22 2.468 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Luke Venizelos 6 Moroni Ahart SG 22 2.456 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Guy Vasquez 7 Francesco Zappa SG 22 2.439 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Terrence Swan 8 Favour VanVleet PF/SF 22 2.437 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Vitaliy McCarty 9 Hunter Birdsong SG 24 2.437 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Makyi Olanrewaju 10 LaShun Eddington PF 22 2.432 UNKNOWN Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Russell Boozer 11 Nimrod McCown SG 22 2.422 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Cade Shelton 12 Clayfell Mumpfield SG/SF 22 2.417 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Brandon Arenas 13 Paul Pugliese SG/SF 22 2.417 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Tyree Bruner 14 Jules Cavalieri SG 22 2.416 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Cole Starkweather 15 Eriks Blakeney SF/SG 20 2.416 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jatayveous Wiltz 16 Vonterius Peevy SG 22 2.409 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper René Köpke 17 Vincent Walker SF/SG 22 2.407 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Payton Oyediran 18 Decensae Nyeko PF/SF 22 2.398 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Garrick Jurkin 19 Oludele Pohl C/PF 22 2.396 UNKNOWN Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Jorge Tomás 20 Tyrell Hawke SG 22 2.391 UNKNOWN Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Max Kurbatov #1 Orlando Fitzpatrick -- Detailed Comps & Archetype Probs Comp Team Age CA Sim Off Arch Def Arch Jarrett Sutherland Toronto Huskies 25 3.5 0.972 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Cardez Moss Austin Rockets 29 4.0 0.972 Slasher Wing Stopper Makyi Olanrewaju Seattle Thunder 31 4.0 0.971 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Jason Cheaney Jr Detroit Mustangs 32 4.0 0.970 Secondary Creator Helper Carsen Christos Oklahoma City Barons 25 3.5 0.969 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Offensive: Secondary Creator 44%, Versatile Big 10%, Shot Creator 8% Defensive: Wing Stopper 52%, Point Of Attack 21%, Chaser 15% #2 Shaun Ackerman -- Detailed Comps & Archetype Probs Comp Team Age CA Sim Off Arch Def Arch Terrence Swan Louisville Colonels 27 4.0 0.966 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jatayveous Wiltz Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 0.964 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Cade Shelton Houston Lightning 23 3.5 0.963 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Andrew Buller Cincinnati Kings 30 3.5 0.963 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Hudson Leonard Denver Dragons 28 4.0 0.961 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Offensive: Secondary Creator 50%, Glue Guy 10%, Versatile Big 6% Defensive: Wing Stopper 60%, Chaser 14%, Point Of Attack 13% #3 Zack Stiemsma -- Detailed Comps & Archetype Probs Comp Team Age CA Sim Off Arch Def Arch Tyree Bruner Minneapolis Blizzards 28 4.0 0.974 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Erickson Wirth Houston Lightning 24 3.5 0.972 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Terrence Swan Louisville Colonels 27 4.0 0.971 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jatayveous Wiltz Salt Lake City Saints 24 4.0 0.970 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Nazeer Odiambo Detroit Mustangs 20 3.0 0.970 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Offensive: Secondary Creator 40%, Shot Creator 10%, Versatile Big 8% Defensive: Wing Stopper 40%, Point Of Attack 22%, Chaser 18% #4 Zachary Bancroft -- Detailed Comps & Archetype Probs Comp Team Age CA Sim Off Arch Def Arch Tyree Bruner Minneapolis Blizzards 28 4.0 0.973 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Alejandro Suarez Pittsburgh Vipers 29 2.5 0.968 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Mandela Osayande Mexico City Jaguars 29 3.5 0.968 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Erickson Wirth Houston Lightning 24 3.5 0.966 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Lamar Claxton Jr Los Angeles Fireballs 20 3.0 0.964 Secondary Creator Chaser Offensive: Secondary Creator 47%, Versatile Big 10%, Slasher 8% Defensive: Wing Stopper 47%, Chaser 18%, Point Of Attack 14% #5 Kiimani Brasher -- Detailed Comps & Archetype Probs Comp Team Age CA Sim Off Arch Def Arch Luke Venizelos Pittsburgh Vipers 29 4.0 0.966 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Derrick Lynch Seattle Thunder 26 2.5 0.966 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Evan Lieberman Oklahoma City Barons 30 3.5 0.964 Shot Creator Wing Stopper Mustapha Efianayi Houston Lightning 30 4.0 0.964 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Xavier Yates Chicago Jailbirds 20 3.5 0.961 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Offensive: Secondary Creator 38%, Versatile Big 12%, Shot Creator 7% Defensive: Wing Stopper 41%, Chaser 16%, Mobile Big 12% DENVER GAP-FILLING PROSPECTS ======================================================================================================================== Denver's top gaps: Defensive Rebounding (33rd), Spacing (25th), 3PT Shooting (16th) Rk Name Pos Ridge GapFill DefReb 3PT Space Help InsSht ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 LaShun Eddington PF 2.432 1.1480 15.5 15.5 9.5 14.5 17.5 2 Orlando Fitzpatrick SF/SG 2.634 1.0928 13.5 15.5 11.5 16.5 14.5 3 Decensae Nyeko PF/SF 2.398 1.0274 14.5 15.5 12.5 7.5 15.5 4 Oludele Pohl C/PF 2.396 1.0153 12.5 12.5 10.5 13.5 17.5 5 Francesco Zappa SG 2.439 1.0083 11.5 15.5 15.5 9.5 16.5 6 Shaun Ackerman SG 2.616 0.9856 11.5 13.5 11.5 12.5 16.5 7 Favour VanVleet PF/SF 2.437 0.9643 12.5 14.5 10.5 13.5 11.5 8 Zack Stiemsma SG 2.563 0.9546 8.5 17.5 16.5 9.5 15.5 9 Hunter Birdsong SG 2.437 0.9471 11.5 15.5 12.5 8.5 14.5 10 Zachary Bancroft SF 2.489 0.9466 8.5 16.5 12.5 13.5 14.5 LEAGUE-WIDE DEVELOPMENT INSIGHTS ======================================================================================================================== Best-Developing Teams (highest avg development residual): Rk Team Avg Dev Residual Players ------------------------------------------------------- 1 Portland Lumberjacks +0.215 13 2 Kansas City Knights +0.194 13 3 New Orleans Hurricanes +0.173 14 4 Charlotte Drones +0.103 13 5 Detroit Mustangs +0.083 15 6 Cleveland Giants +0.082 15 7 Baltimore Bullets +0.082 13 8 Louisville Colonels +0.081 15 9 Chicago Jailbirds +0.069 15 10 Oklahoma City Barons +0.065 14 Worst-Developing Teams: Rk Team Avg Dev Residual Players ------------------------------------------------------- 1 Oakland Tritons -0.135 15 2 St Louis Skyhawks -0.163 15 3 Washington Pilots -0.167 15 4 Atlanta Devils -0.208 15 5 Toronto Huskies -0.308 15 BREAKOUT CANDIDATES (age <= 25, PA-CA gap >= 1.0, dev residual > +0.3): Player Team Age CA PA Gap Dev --------------------------------------------------------------------------- Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 24 4.0 5.0 1.0 +0.770 René Köpke Charlotte Drones 20 3.0 4.0 1.0 +0.450 Devin Kavanagh Louisville Colonels 20 3.0 4.0 1.0 +0.450 Brandon Arenas Pittsburgh Vipers 20 3.0 4.0 1.0 +0.450 Cayden Ward Portland Lumberjacks 24 3.5 4.5 1.0 +0.380 Darius Blackwell New Orleans Hurricanes 21 3.0 4.0 1.0 +0.340 ======================================================================================================================== SUMMARY ======================================================================================================================== Players analyzed: 516 Development segments fit: 9 Prospects evaluated: 20 Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\18_player_development.txt
19 Draft Pedigree Analysis
======================================================================== 19 - DRAFT PICK PEDIGREE VS CAREER OUTCOMES ======================================================================== Total players: 516 | Drafted: 512 | Undrafted/unknown: 4 Young players (1-2 yrs pro): 112 (flagged separately) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: DRAFT PICK VALUE CURVE ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pick Range N Avg CA Avg PA Avg Impact Avg WS/48 Avg Yrs ----------------------------------------------------------------- 1-3 47 3.71 4.29 56.1 0.103 8.4 4-5 31 3.60 4.08 54.1 0.103 8.4 6-10 71 3.50 3.81 51.9 0.100 7.8 11-20 117 3.28 3.54 50.8 0.094 7.1 21-40 150 3.10 3.36 49.5 0.091 6.0 41-60 74 2.84 3.14 48.8 0.075 4.3 61+ 22 2.77 3.18 48.8 0.037 4.5 Correlation: Draft Pick vs CA: r=-0.391 (p=0.0000) Correlation: Draft Pick vs Impact: r=-0.201 (p=0.0000) (Negative r = higher picks have better outcomes, as expected) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: HIT RATES BY PICK RANGE ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Tier definitions: Elite (CA >= 4.5) | Star (CA >= 4.0) Starter (CA >= 3.0) | Bust (CA < 2.0) Pick Range N Elite% Star% Starter% Bust% --------------------------------------------------- 1-3 41 26.8% 63.4% 95.1% 0.0% 4-5 27 18.5% 55.6% 92.6% 0.0% 6-10 61 1.6% 44.3% 96.7% 0.0% 11-20 97 0.0% 27.8% 91.8% 0.0% 21-40 114 2.6% 17.5% 91.2% 1.8% 41-60 47 2.1% 12.8% 83.0% 2.1% 61+ 13 0.0% 15.4% 92.3% 0.0% (Excludes players with <=2 years pro experience -- too early to judge) Aeon's question -- picks 6-10 specifically (n=61 veterans): All-Star caliber (CA >= 4.0): 44.3% Starter caliber (CA >= 3.0): 96.7% ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: PICK #10 HISTORICAL DEEP DIVE (Picks 8-12) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Pick Name Team CA PA Impact Yrs Age WS/48 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 8 Nazir Link Austin Rockets 2.0 3.0 55 2 23 0.101 * 8 Conner Pearson Baltimore Bullets 4.0 4.0 53 10 30 0.140 8 Ambrose Udoh Chicago Jailbirds 4.0 4.0 50 15 33 0.107 8 Dimitris Karras Charlotte Drones 3.0 3.5 52 3 20 0.067 8 Willie Bennett Las Vegas Scorpions 3.5 3.5 57 12 30 0.094 8 Kel Pendergast Denver Dragons 4.0 4.0 51 6 24 0.025 8 Raekwon Pack Miami Cyclones 4.0 4.0 65 9 27 0.121 8 Terrence Swan Louisville Colonels 4.0 4.0 56 8 27 0.125 8 Devon Walton New York Renegades 4.0 4.0 45 7 26 0.081 8 Leon Hawthorne Oklahoma City Baron 4.0 4.0 64 11 30 0.116 8 Isaac Lopez Portland Lumberjack 3.5 3.5 43 5 23 0.144 8 Demitrius Waltz Phoenix Vultures 3.5 3.5 48 4 23 0.112 8 Vasja Delimont Oakland Tritons 2.5 3.5 41 1 20 0.050 * 9 Kaimyn Fry Denver Dragons 3.5 3.5 44 4 22 0.121 9 René Köpke Charlotte Drones 3.0 4.0 38 2 20 0.062 * 9 Scoochie Hope Atlanta Devils 3.5 3.5 55 9 27 0.104 9 Stephan Rayner New York Renegades 3.5 4.5 47 10 29 0.073 9 Jonathan Landry Las Vegas Scorpions 3.0 3.0 52 15 33 0.125 9 Tymier Hadaway New York Renegades 3.5 3.5 48 13 31 0.078 9 Anthony Beamer Miami Cyclones 3.0 3.0 43 5 24 0.079 9 DJ McCants Phoenix Vultures 4.0 4.0 54 6 24 0.098 9 Tre Braun Phoenix Vultures 4.0 4.0 66 11 30 0.117 9 Kylian Fontaine Phoenix Vultures 2.5 5.0 46 1 18 0.064 * 9 Jordan Kolaxis Philadelphia Warrio 3.5 4.0 55 12 30 0.110 9 Keyon McCoy Houston Lightning 3.5 3.5 58 8 26 0.116 9 Ðorde Petrović Cleveland Giants 3.5 3.5 38 3 23 0.073 9 Kaden Ford Dallas Predators 3.5 3.5 56 14 33 0.084 9 Demario George Toronto Huskies 2.0 2.0 0 16 35 0.000 9 Jordan Johnson Jr Vancouver Wolves 3.5 3.5 52 7 25 0.092 10 Waylan Loftin Dallas Predators 3.0 4.5 56 3 21 0.085 10 Triston Dantley Los Angeles Firebal 3.0 5.0 46 2 20 0.113 * 10 Evan Demery Kansas City Knights 3.0 3.0 57 9 29 0.072 10 Xavier Lowe Philadelphia Warrio 3.5 3.5 60 7 27 0.122 10 Anvar Makiev Oakland Tritons 3.0 4.5 38 1 21 0.082 * 10 Demitrius Burns Portland Lumberjack 4.0 4.0 64 10 28 0.144 10 Derrick Barnes St Louis Skyhawks 3.0 3.0 50 17 35 0.145 10 Tra'Vaughn Tauaefa Detroit Mustangs 3.0 3.0 51 6 27 0.082 10 Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutter 4.0 4.0 35 5 23 0.077 10 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Baron 4.0 4.5 71 14 32 0.187 10 Jamarcus Payne Minneapolis Blizzar 4.0 4.0 45 12 30 0.106 10 Bogdan Nikolic Dallas Predators 4.0 4.0 48 4 21 0.075 10 James Winters Washington Pilots 4.0 4.0 47 11 29 0.097 10 Coty Sima Indiana Stonecutter 4.0 4.0 49 8 28 0.096 11 Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 3.5 3.5 67 11 30 0.159 11 Zion Buckner Mexico City Jaguars 3.5 3.5 54 14 32 0.158 11 Garrick Jurkin Denver Dragons 3.5 5.0 57 9 30 0.084 11 Antonio Lopez Kansas City Knights 3.5 3.5 60 12 30 0.141 11 Leonardo Bianchi Charlotte Drones 3.5 3.5 37 3 20 0.110 11 Dejon Wright Phoenix Vultures 3.5 3.5 56 8 27 0.130 11 Cassius LeVert Pittsburgh Vipers 3.0 3.0 51 7 26 0.082 11 Landon Battier New York Renegades 4.0 4.0 54 6 24 0.077 11 Al-Amir Geyen New Orleans Hurrica 3.5 3.5 45 4 24 0.103 11 Lance Jacobsen St Louis Skyhawks 3.0 3.0 49 10 30 0.084 11 Kaan Korkmaz Nashville Stars 2.5 3.5 29 1 22 -0.038 * 11 LaMarcus Quinn Denver Dragons 3.0 3.5 47 2 21 0.118 * 11 Detric Akenten Louisville Colonels 3.5 3.5 54 5 22 0.116 12 Guy Vasquez Los Angeles Firebal 3.5 3.5 57 8 26 0.090 12 DeLazarus Russell Las Vegas Scorpions 3.5 4.0 48 4 23 0.157 12 Lyles Heimuli Miami Cyclones 2.0 3.5 44 1 20 0.059 * 12 Axel Grenier Minneapolis Blizzar 3.0 3.0 50 13 32 0.038 12 McKinley Power Cleveland Giants 2.5 4.5 59 2 20 0.198 * 12 Omari Swift Baltimore Bullets 2.5 3.5 42 3 21 0.115 12 Mustapha Efianayi Houston Lightning 4.0 4.0 56 11 30 0.084 12 Gage Woodward Chicago Jailbirds 3.5 4.0 58 7 26 0.202 12 Ruben Miramontes Seattle Thunder 3.5 3.5 60 9 27 0.127 12 Jose Aguirre Portland Lumberjack 2.5 2.5 52 5 23 0.093 12 Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels 3.5 3.5 65 10 31 0.175 12 Tiago Fernandes Nashville Stars 4.0 4.0 39 6 23 -0.004 12 Kostas Zonas Vancouver Wolves 4.0 4.0 71 12 29 0.160 * = young player (1-2 years pro), may not have reached peak yet Picks 8-12 summary (n=69): Mean CA: 3.39 | Median CA: 3.50 Mean Impact: 51.6 | Median Impact: 52.0 Best CA: 4.0 (Conner Pearson) Worst CA: 2.0 (Nazir Link) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: PA REALIZATION RATE (CA/PA Ratio by Pick Range) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Do high picks realize their potential better than late picks? CA/PA ratio: 1.0 = fully realized, <0.5 = significant unrealized potential Pick Range N Avg CA/PA Median Min Max -------------------------------------------------- 1-3 41 0.913 1.000 0.50 1.00 4-5 27 0.932 1.000 0.78 1.00 6-10 61 0.966 1.000 0.67 1.00 11-20 97 0.977 1.000 0.70 1.00 21-40 114 0.981 1.000 0.70 1.00 41-60 47 0.978 1.000 0.75 1.00 61+ 13 0.980 1.000 0.86 1.00 Correlation: Draft Pick vs Realization: r=0.184 (p=0.0002) Negative r = high picks realize PA better; positive = development is random ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DRAFT CLASS COMPARISON ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Season N Avg CA Avg PA Avg Impact Best CA ------------------------------------------------- 2032 2 2.50 2.50 51.0 3.0 2033 2 1.75 1.75 47.0 3.0 2034 6 2.75 2.83 48.0 3.5 2035 10 3.10 3.30 56.2 4.0 2036 23 3.24 3.37 55.2 4.0 2037 14 3.32 3.39 53.0 4.0 2038 19 3.66 3.76 58.6 5.0 2039 34 3.71 3.75 57.4 4.5 2040 29 3.78 3.97 60.2 4.5 2041 34 3.66 3.82 55.5 4.5 2042 25 3.70 3.84 55.8 4.5 2043 39 3.65 3.76 55.2 5.0 2044 34 3.62 3.74 52.2 5.0 2045 35 3.31 3.33 50.5 4.5 2046 46 3.24 3.36 48.9 4.5 2047 48 3.09 3.46 44.9 4.0 2048 54 2.72 3.46 44.2 4.0 2049 58 2.24 3.41 40.9 3.0 Strongest draft class: 2040 (avg CA 3.78) Weakest draft class: 2033 (avg CA 1.75) Note: Recent classes (2048-2049) have lower avg CA because players haven't had time to develop yet -- compare only within similar age groups. ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: OVERPERFORMERS & UNDERPERFORMERS ------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOP 10 OVERPERFORMERS (Impact far above draft slot expectation) Pick Name Team Impact Expected Surplus ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 23 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds 87 50 +37 1 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knigh 85 58 +26 15 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants 78 52 +26 4 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Bar 78 55 +23 1 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 81 58 +22 21 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 72 50 +22 7 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings 73 52 +20 22 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Sa 70 50 +20 26 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder 70 50 +20 23 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets 69 50 +19 TOP 10 UNDERPERFORMERS (Impact far below draft slot expectation) Pick Name Team Impact Expected Deficit ---------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Laurynas Linartas Atlanta Devils 34 58 -24 22 Caleb Donovan Indiana Stonecutt 32 50 -18 10 Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutt 35 52 -18 3 Cole Starkweather Phoenix Vultures 41 58 -18 1 Dominic Vukcevic Washington Pilots 41 58 -18 18 Malik Jefferson Toronto Huskies 35 52 -17 3 Jaleel Stripling Portland Lumberja 43 58 -16 11 Leonardo Bianchi Charlotte Drones 37 52 -15 9 Ðorde Petrović Cleveland Giants 38 52 -14 24 Brodrick White Pittsburgh Vipers 36 50 -14 BEST VALUE PICKS (Highest Impact from pick 21+) Pick Name Team CA Impact -------------------------------------------------------------- 23 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds 3.0 87 21 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 3.5 72 22 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Sa 4.0 70 26 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder 3.0 70 23 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets 3.5 69 29 Austin Ross Baltimore Bullets 4.5 69 33 Nyika Nnamoko Minneapolis Blizz 3.5 68 45 Emanuel Autry Philadelphia Warr 3.5 67 35 Paolo Belli Charlotte Drones 3.5 65 30 Caius Thompson Philadelphia Warr 4.0 65 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: IMPLICATIONS FOR DENVER AT #10 ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Expected value of a pick in the 6-10 range (n=61 veterans): Median CA: 3.50 | Mean CA: 3.61 25th percentile CA: 3.50 | 75th percentile CA: 4.00 Median Impact: 52 | Mean Impact: 54 Picks 1-3 (n=41): avg CA 3.87, avg Impact 59, Star+ rate 63.4% Picks 6-10 (n=61): avg CA 3.61, avg Impact 54, Star+ rate 44.3% Picks 11-20 (n=97): avg CA 3.42, avg Impact 53, Star+ rate 27.8% Trade scenario value deltas: Trading UP to 1-3: avg CA gain = +0.26, avg Impact gain = +5 Trading DOWN to 11-20: avg CA loss = -0.18, avg Impact loss = -0 Interpretation: - The value curve is FLAT in the 6-20 range: trading down costs little in expected value while gaining additional assets. - Trading down + acquiring a second asset may be optimal. KEY TAKEAWAYS: 1. Picks 6-10 have a 44% Star+ hit rate and 0% bust rate 2. Median outcome for a 6-10 pick: CA 3.5, Impact 52 3. Ratings matter but pedigree correlates with development environment, coaching attention, and playing time -- all of which boost outcomes 4. Character screening remains critical -- busts at all pick ranges are disproportionately character failures, not talent failures ======================================================================== END OF REPORT ========================================================================
20 Trade Predictor
==================================================================================================== 20 - TRADE PREDICTOR ==================================================================================================== Methodology: - Trade history: 413 unique trades extracted from 36 team files - Pick value curve: smoothed from 512 drafted players in draft bridge - Player trade value: Impact 40% + CA 25% + Contract 20% + Upside 15% - Balance calibrated against 407 trades with complete data ==================================================================================================== SECTION 1: TRADE HISTORY SUMMARY ==================================================================================================== Total unique trades: 413 Multi-team trades: 6 Player-for-player: 70 Player+picks (mixed): 340 Picks only: 0 Trades by season: 2049: 61 trades 2048: 55 trades 2047: 50 trades 2046: 52 trades 2045: 31 trades 2044: 50 trades 2043: 35 trades 2042: 18 trades 2041: 17 trades 2040: 14 trades 2039: 12 trades 2038: 2 trades 2037: 8 trades 2036: 3 trades 2035: 3 trades 2033: 1 trades 2032: 1 trades ==================================================================================================== SECTION 2: PICK VALUE CURVE ==================================================================================================== Pick Expected Impact Tier ------------------------------------ # 1 55.7 Lottery # 5 53.2 # 10 51.5 Mid-1st # 15 51.0 # 20 50.1 Late-1st # 25 50.7 # 30 49.6 # 36 47.6 Top-2nd # 42 50.5 # 50 46.1 Mid-2nd # 60 44.5 # 72 10.0 Late-2nd ==================================================================================================== SECTION 3: HISTORICAL TRADE PATTERNS ==================================================================================================== Trades with balance data: 407 Mean balance: 0.035 Median balance: 0.029 Std deviation: 0.511 'Fair' trades (|balance| < 0.10): 76 (19%) Lopsided trades (|balance| > 0.30): 218 (54%) Biggest value imbalances: [2048] Balance -1.000 <<< The Mustangs traded Andre Wright to the Devils for Devon Walton. [2048] Balance -1.000 <<< The Saints traded Zach Broyles to the Renegades for Niklas Harris, Antonio Lopez and Archer Clarke. [2047] Balance -1.000 <<< The Fireballs traded Marqueese Baker to the Blizzards for Lloyd Bruton. [2035] Balance +1.000 >>> The Jailbirds traded Deleon Slay, Spencer Allen, Julius Chambers and Vincent Harper, along with the 2037 Jailbirds 1st R [2033] Balance +1.000 >>> The Lumberjacks traded Spencer Gellineau, Antoine Willis and Derrick Barnes, along with the 2035 Lumberjacks 1st Round P [2032] Balance +1.000 >>> The Fireballs traded Idris Berkley, Aaron Nwabuzor, Jerome Tokoto and Marcus Richardson, along with the 2033 Fireballs 1 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 4: DENVER'S TRADEABLE ASSETS ==================================================================================================== Draft Picks: 2050 R1 #10 (Denver Dragons) — Value: 51.5 2050 R2 #72 (Seattle Thunder) — Value: 10.0 # Name Pos Age CA PA Impact Salary Yrs Value -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Garrick Jurkin Big 30 3.5 5.0 57 $27.5M 1 0.605 2 Kaimyn Fry Big 22 3.5 3.5 44 $4.9M 1 0.551 3 Tyrae Lewis Guard 20 2.5 5.0 31 $6.2M 3 0.568 4 LaMarcus Quinn Guard 21 3.0 3.5 47 $4.6M 2 0.563 5 Pedro Santos Big 22 4.0 4.5 64 $25.0M 2 0.634 6 Domonkos Biro Wing 23 3.5 3.5 54 $5.2M 1 0.591 7 Brandon Leslie Big 29 4.0 4.0 53 $13.5M 2 0.597 8 Kel Pendergast Wing 24 4.0 4.0 51 $19.0M 2 0.573 9 Zach Camara Guard 30 3.5 3.5 51 $8.0M 1 0.579 10 Hudson Leonard Wing 28 4.0 4.0 53 $12.0M 3 0.601 11 Robert Alcegaire Big 28 3.5 3.5 50 $6.0M 2 0.575 12 Devaugntah Litton Big 22 2.5 2.5 51 $1.8M 2 0.529 13 Marquill Edmunds Wing 32 2.5 2.5 51 $5.7M 1 0.529 14 Tyrique Beaudean Guard 24 3.0 3.5 46 $3.4M 1 0.559 ==================================================================================================== SECTION 5: TOP TRADE TARGETS FOR DENVER ==================================================================================================== # Name Team Pos Age CA Impact Salary Value ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds Guard 24 4.0 81 $25.0M 0.757 2 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights Big 24 5.0 85 $30.0M 0.746 3 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants Guard 28 4.0 78 $24.0M 0.723 4 Lukas Lanmuller Boston Crusaders Wing 24 4.0 72 $25.0M 0.721 5 Jarrett Sutherland Toronto Huskies Wing 25 3.5 64 $17.0M 0.704 6 Drake Walter Vancouver Wolves Big 28 4.0 67 $25.0M 0.701 7 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Baron Big 28 4.5 78 $35.0M 0.698 8 LaBradford Reath Detroit Mustangs Wing 24 4.0 61 $5.3M 0.694 9 Nicolas Deprez Baltimore Bullets Wing 23 4.5 59 $6.2M 0.686 10 Andre Griffin Kansas City Knights Wing 28 4.5 66 $27.0M 0.675 11 Jaaron Hyde Portland Lumberjack Wing 29 4.5 61 $3.2M 0.669 12 Jamaria Flagg Dallas Predators Guard 28 4.0 67 $10.0M 0.668 13 John Jones Vancouver Wolves Big 28 4.0 67 $6.0M 0.668 14 Austin Ross Baltimore Bullets Wing 28 4.5 69 $22.5M 0.668 15 Dallan Owusu Detroit Mustangs Wing 27 4.0 62 $30.0M 0.667 16 Dion Sowder Los Angeles Firebal Big 29 5.0 68 $35.0M 0.666 17 Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions Wing 24 4.5 67 $30.0M 0.666 18 Jacob Fulwood Cleveland Giants Big 22 3.5 60 $5.5M 0.665 19 Arif Langston Chicago Jailbirds Wing 29 4.0 66 $6.0M 0.664 20 McKinley Power Cleveland Giants Wing 20 2.5 59 $4.5M 0.661 21 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds Wing 28 3.0 87 $30.0M 0.659 22 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Sain Big 32 4.0 70 $27.0M 0.657 23 Karim Zouita Boston Crusaders Wing 26 3.5 70 $30.0M 0.657 24 Jimmie Hollimon Portland Lumberjack Wing 30 4.0 64 $16.0M 0.656 25 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings Wing 28 3.5 72 $27.0M 0.655 26 Tyrone George Louisville Colonels Big 24 4.5 70 $30.0M 0.653 27 Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurrica Guard 30 4.0 63 $3.2M 0.652 28 Adam Hines Seattle Thunder Wing 30 4.0 63 $6.0M 0.652 29 Mario Moore Baltimore Bullets Wing 30 3.5 69 $5.0M 0.651 30 Cedric Rodgers Los Angeles Firebal Wing 30 4.0 66 $33.0M 0.650 Sample acquisition packages for Devonte Bell (value: 0.757): Package 1: Pedro Santos + 2050 R2 #72 Package value: 0.734 (diff: -0.023), salary out: $25.0M Package 2: Garrick Jurkin + 2050 R2 #72 Package value: 0.705 (diff: -0.051), salary out: $27.5M Package 3: Hudson Leonard + 2050 R2 #72 Package value: 0.701 (diff: -0.056), salary out: $12.0M ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\20_trade_predictor.txt
21 Draft Development
================================================================================ 21 - DRAFT PICK DEVELOPMENT ANALYSIS ================================================================================ Total players: 516 | Drafted: 512 | UDFA: 4 Young players (1-2 yrs pro): 112 (flagged separately) Purpose: Inform trade-up/trade-down decisions at Denver's #10 and #72 picks by analyzing historical development patterns across the full draft. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: PICK VALUE CURVE -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mean outcomes by pick range (all players, including young/developing): Pick Range N CA SD Impact SD WS/48 MPG ---------------------------------------------------------- 1-3 47 3.71 0.79 56.1 12.0 0.103 29.2 4-7 59 3.58 0.64 53.5 10.3 0.104 26.4 8-12 69 3.39 0.55 51.6 8.6 0.101 22.9 13-20 91 3.27 0.60 50.4 9.8 0.090 19.0 21-36 135 3.14 0.64 49.9 9.4 0.095 17.8 37-50 61 2.87 0.64 48.3 6.5 0.072 13.9 51-65 38 2.74 0.73 48.1 6.6 0.060 13.8 66-72 12 2.88 0.88 50.0 2.9 0.041 4.9 Correlation: Draft Pick vs CA: r=-0.396 (p=0.0000) Correlation: Draft Pick vs Impact: r=-0.201 (p=0.0000) Correlation: Draft Pick vs WS/48: r=-0.201 (p=0.0000) (Negative r = higher picks have better outcomes, as expected) Key insight: The value curve is steep at the top (1-3), flattens through the mid-first round (8-20), then drops sharply into round 2. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: HIT RATES BY PICK RANGE -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tier definitions (Impact Score primary, CA secondary): Elite: Impact >= 85 (MVP/All-League) Star: Impact >= 70 (All-Star level) Starter: Impact >= 55 (Above avg starter) Below Avg: Impact >= 45 (Below avg) Bust: Impact < 45 AND MPG < 15 Pick Range N Elite% Star% Starter% Below% Bust% ----------------------------------------------------------- 1-3 41 2.4% 12.2% 70.7% 17.1% 0.0% 4-7 51 0.0% 7.8% 49.0% 37.3% 3.9% 8-12 59 0.0% 3.4% 40.7% 44.1% 0.0% 13-20 75 0.0% 2.7% 37.3% 46.7% 4.0% 21-36 104 1.0% 3.8% 33.7% 52.9% 1.9% 37-50 40 0.0% 0.0% 15.0% 67.5% 10.0% 51-65 22 0.0% 0.0% 18.2% 63.6% 0.0% 66-72 8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 87.5% 0.0% (caution: small sample) (Excludes players with <=2 years pro experience -- too early to judge) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: DEVELOPMENT STAGE ANALYSIS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PA-CA gap as proxy for development stage (large gap = still developing). Cross-sectional view by years_pro within pick tiers. Pick Tier Years Pro N Avg CA Avg PA PA-CA Gap ------------------------------------------------------- Top-3 1 3 2.00 4.17 2.17 Top-3 2 3 3.33 4.67 1.33 Top-3 3 3 3.17 3.83 0.67 Top-3 4 3 3.67 4.33 0.67 Top-3 5 3 4.17 4.33 0.17 Top-3 6 3 4.17 4.83 0.67 Top-3 7 3 4.67 4.83 0.17 Top-3 8 3 3.83 4.67 0.83 Top-3 9 3 4.00 4.67 0.67 Top-3 10 3 4.00 4.17 0.17 Top-3 11 3 4.17 4.17 0.00 Top-3 12 3 4.17 4.50 0.33 Top-3 13 3 3.83 4.17 0.33 Top-3 14 3 3.67 4.00 0.33 Lottery 1 11 2.41 3.82 1.41 Lottery 2 11 3.05 4.09 1.05 Lottery 3 11 3.09 3.64 0.55 Lottery 4 11 3.64 3.86 0.23 Lottery 5 11 3.41 3.41 0.00 Lottery 6 11 3.73 3.91 0.18 Lottery 7 11 3.73 3.86 0.14 Lottery 8 11 3.91 3.95 0.05 Lottery 9 10 3.70 4.00 0.30 Lottery 10 11 3.82 4.09 0.27 Lottery 11 11 3.86 3.95 0.09 Lottery 12 11 3.73 3.82 0.09 Lottery 13 7 3.29 3.29 0.00 Lottery 14 7 3.64 3.86 0.21 Lottery 15 6 3.17 3.33 0.17 Mid-1st 1 22 2.36 3.45 1.09 Mid-1st 2 21 2.69 3.57 0.88 Mid-1st 3 19 3.16 3.47 0.32 Mid-1st 4 18 3.14 3.14 0.00 Mid-1st 5 15 3.07 3.07 0.00 Mid-1st 6 14 3.61 3.61 0.00 Mid-1st 7 16 3.41 3.53 0.12 Mid-1st 8 7 3.50 3.57 0.07 Mid-1st 9 13 3.73 3.73 0.00 Mid-1st 10 14 3.71 3.86 0.14 Mid-1st 11 16 3.62 3.66 0.03 Mid-1st 12 5 3.20 3.20 0.00 Mid-1st 13 4 3.00 3.00 0.00 Mid-1st 14 10 3.25 3.30 0.05 2nd Round 1 22 2.07 3.07 1.00 2nd Round 2 19 2.47 2.79 0.32 2nd Round 3 15 3.00 3.23 0.23 2nd Round 4 14 2.96 3.04 0.07 2nd Round 5 6 3.33 3.33 0.00 2nd Round 6 6 3.17 3.17 0.00 2nd Round 7 9 3.67 3.67 0.00 2nd Round 8 4 3.38 3.38 0.00 2nd Round 9 8 3.38 3.44 0.06 2nd Round 11 4 3.25 3.25 0.00 2nd Round 14 3 1.83 1.83 0.00 Survivorship bias note: Sample sizes decrease with years_pro as players leave the league. Veterans represent successful cohorts, not full draft class. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: POSITIONAL BREAKDOWN -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Mean CA and Impact by position within pick ranges (cells with n>=20 only). Pick Range Position N Avg CA Avg Impact ---------------------------------------------- 1-3 Wing 41 3.87 58.7 4-7 Wing 51 3.71 55.7 8-12 Wing 59 3.53 52.9 13-20 Wing 75 3.42 52.8 21-36 Wing 104 3.32 52.4 37-50 Wing 40 3.11 49.4 51-65 Wing 22 3.20 50.3 Note: Many cells omitted due to n<20. Positional variance is high. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: OVER/UNDER-PERFORMERS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Players with Impact far above/below draft position expectation. TOP 10 OVERPERFORMERS (Impact far above draft slot expectation) Pick Name Team Impact Expected Surplus --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 23 Stanley Amakor Chicago Jailbirds 87 51 +36 1 Kavian Hawes Kansas City Knights 85 58 +26 15 Alzee Sessoms Cleveland Giants 78 52 +26 4 Veljko Pavlovic Oklahoma City Baron 78 54 +24 1 Devonte Bell Chicago Jailbirds 81 58 +22 21 Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 72 51 +21 7 Russell Boozer Cincinnati Kings 73 54 +19 22 Cole Kopelani Salt Lake City Sain 70 51 +19 26 Sylvain Garcia Seattle Thunder 70 51 +19 10 Marco De Luca Oklahoma City Baron 71 52 +18 TOP 10 UNDERPERFORMERS (Impact far below draft slot expectation) Pick Name Team Impact Expected Deficit --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 1 Laurynas Linartas Atlanta Devils 34 58 -24 22 Caleb Donovan Indiana Stonecutter 32 51 -19 10 Jamaya Patton Indiana Stonecutter 35 52 -18 3 Cole Starkweather Phoenix Vultures 41 58 -18 1 Dominic Vukcevic Washington Pilots 41 58 -18 18 Malik Jefferson Toronto Huskies 35 52 -17 11 Leonardo Bianchi Charlotte Drones 37 52 -16 3 Jaleel Stripling Portland Lumberjack 43 58 -16 6 Kenan Aleksic Mexico City Jaguars 39 54 -15 24 Brodrick White Pittsburgh Vipers 36 51 -15 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 6: DRAFT CLASS COMPARISON -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Average CA and Impact by draft season (class strength variance). Season N Avg CA Avg Impact Best CA ----------------------------------------- 2032 2 2.50 51.0 3.0 2033 2 1.75 47.0 3.0 2034 6 2.75 48.0 3.5 2035 10 3.10 56.2 4.0 2036 23 3.24 55.2 4.0 2037 14 3.32 53.0 4.0 2038 19 3.66 58.6 5.0 2039 34 3.71 57.4 4.5 2040 29 3.78 60.2 4.5 2041 34 3.66 55.5 4.5 2042 25 3.70 55.8 4.5 2043 39 3.65 55.2 5.0 2044 34 3.62 52.2 5.0 2045 35 3.31 50.5 4.5 2046 46 3.24 48.9 4.5 2047 48 3.09 44.9 4.0 2048 54 2.72 44.2 4.0 2049 58 2.24 40.9 3.0 Strongest draft class: 2040 (avg CA 3.78) Weakest draft class: 2033 (avg CA 1.75) Note: Recent classes have lower avg CA due to limited development time. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 7: DENVER SUMMARY (#10 AND #72 PICK RANGES) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PICK #10 RANGE (Picks 8-12, n=59 veterans): Expected CA: 3.50 median, 3.53 mean Expected Impact: 52 median, 53 mean 25th-75th %ile: CA 3.50-4.00 Star rate: 3.4% Bust rate: 0.0% Best outcomes: Pick 10: Marco De Luca - CA 4.0, Impact 71 Pick 12: Kostas Zonas - CA 4.0, Impact 71 Pick 11: Adrian Schwartz - CA 3.5, Impact 67 Worst outcomes: Pick 10: Jamaya Patton - CA 4.0, Impact 35 Pick 11: Leonardo Bianchi - CA 3.5, Impact 37 Pick 9: Ðorde Petrović - CA 3.5, Impact 38 PICK #72 RANGE (Picks 66-72, n=8 veterans): Expected CA: 3.25 median, 3.25 mean Expected Impact: 50 median, 51 mean 25th-75th %ile: CA 3.00-3.50 Star rate: 0.0% Bust rate: 0.0% Best outcomes: Pick 66: Ellis Kennedy - CA 4.0, Impact 54 Pick 68: Abdoulaye Planincic - CA 3.0, Impact 53 Pick 66: Raijon Elimimian - CA 3.5, Impact 52 Worst outcomes: Pick 67: Yanis Lopes - CA 3.5, Impact 47 Pick 68: Quintin Tomlinson - CA 3.0, Impact 48 Pick 69: Mathieu Rogers - CA 2.5, Impact 50 KEY TAKEAWAYS FOR DENVER: 1. Pick #10 has ~3% chance of All-Star level player 2. Value curve flattens significantly after pick ~15 (trade-down opportunity) 3. Pick #72 is deep in the value tail - focus on high-floor role players 4. Character screening remains critical at all draft positions ================================================================================ END OF REPORT ================================================================================
23 Tendency Analysis
================================================================================ 23 - PLAY STYLE TENDENCY ANALYSIS ================================================================================ Qualified players: 371 (min 20 games, 500 minutes) Tendency dimensions: Driving, Roll:Pop, C&S:Pull-Up, Corner3:ATB Outcomes: BPM, WS/48, Impact Score -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: LEAGUE-WIDE CORRELATIONS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Tendency Outcome Method r p n ---------------------------------------------------------------------- Roll % (vs Pop) impact Pearson -0.250 0.0000 371 Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) WS/48 Pearson 0.181 0.0005 371 Corner 3 % (vs ATB) WS/48 Pearson 0.159 0.0021 371 Roll % (vs Pop) BPM Spearman -0.149 0.0040 371 Driving Frequency impact Spearman -0.147 0.0046 371 Roll % (vs Pop) WS/48 Pearson 0.138 0.0078 371 Corner 3 % (vs ATB) impact Pearson 0.106 0.0414 371 Corner 3 % (vs ATB) BPM Pearson 0.076 0.1418 371 Driving Frequency BPM Spearman -0.071 0.1699 371 Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) BPM Pearson 0.056 0.2777 371 Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) impact Pearson 0.045 0.3849 371 Driving Frequency WS/48 Pearson -0.005 0.9298 371 KEY FINDINGS: 1. Roll % (vs Pop) has negative correlation with impact (r=-0.250, Pearson) 2. Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) has positive correlation with WS/48 (r=0.181, Pearson) 3. Corner 3 % (vs ATB) has positive correlation with WS/48 (r=0.159, Pearson) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: POSITION-STRATIFIED CORRELATIONS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Guard (n=74): Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) BPM r=+0.276 (n=74) Roll % (vs Pop) BPM r=+0.184 (n=74) Driving Frequency BPM r=-0.082 (n=74) Wing (n=149): Corner 3 % (vs ATB) BPM r=+0.148 (n=149) Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) BPM r=+0.147 (n=149) Roll % (vs Pop) BPM r=-0.088 (n=149) Big (n=148): Driving Frequency BPM r=-0.188 (n=148) Roll % (vs Pop) BPM r=-0.156 (n=148) Corner 3 % (vs ATB) BPM r=-0.044 (n=148) POSITION-SPECIFIC PATTERNS: Driving Frequency: Strongest effect in Bigs (r=-0.188) Roll % (vs Pop): Strongest effect in Guards (r=0.184) Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up): Strongest effect in Guards (r=0.276) Corner 3 % (vs ATB): Strongest effect in Wings (r=0.148) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: DENVER TENDENCY GAPS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Denver roster: 11 qualified players Position Tendency Denver League Gap ------------------------------------------------------------ Guard Driving Frequency 9.0 8.6 +0.4 Guard Roll % (vs Pop) 15.0 26.2 -11.2 Guard Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) 54.3 48.8 +5.5 Guard Corner 3 % (vs ATB) 58.3 55.2 +3.1 Wing Driving Frequency 7.7 9.6 -1.9 Wing Roll % (vs Pop) 32.0 23.3 +8.7 Wing Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) 70.0 58.7 +11.3 Wing Corner 3 % (vs ATB) 57.0 60.6 -3.6 Big Driving Frequency 7.0 9.2 -2.2 Big Roll % (vs Pop) 54.8 65.2 -10.4 Big Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) 76.0 80.8 -4.8 Big Corner 3 % (vs ATB) 56.2 54.9 +1.3 ACTIONABLE GAPS (Denver differs from league on win-correlated tendency): Guard Roll % (vs Pop): -11.2 deficit (r=0.184 with BPM) Guard Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up): +5.5 surplus (r=0.276 with BPM) Big Roll % (vs Pop): -10.4 deficit (r=-0.156 with BPM) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: ARCHETYPE PERFORMANCE -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- DRIVER ARCHETYPES: Drive-First n=128 BPM= 0.14 Impact= 49.7 Examples: Devonte Bell, Russell Boozer, Lukas Lanmuller Balanced Driver n=116 BPM= 0.60 Impact= 53.0 Examples: Stanley Amakor, Jacob Nazarian, Kostas Zonas Non-Driver n=127 BPM= 0.50 Impact= 52.3 Examples: Kavian Hawes, Alzee Sessoms, Veljko Pavlovic SHOOTER ARCHETYPES: C&S Specialist n=131 BPM= 0.46 Impact= 51.4 Examples: Stanley Amakor, Veljko Pavlovic, Russell Boozer Balanced Shooter n=117 BPM= 0.58 Impact= 52.7 Examples: Devonte Bell, Alzee Sessoms, Jacob Nazarian Pull-Up Heavy n=123 BPM= 0.20 Impact= 50.8 Examples: Kavian Hawes, Lukas Lanmuller, Derrick Lynch ROLLER ARCHETYPES: Roll Man n=123 BPM=-0.04 Impact= 48.6 Examples: Veljko Pavlovic, Russell Boozer, Marco De Luca Balanced Roller n=122 BPM= 0.49 Impact= 52.1 Examples: Kavian Hawes, Devonte Bell, Derrick Lynch Pop Specialist n=126 BPM= 0.77 Impact= 54.0 Examples: Stanley Amakor, Alzee Sessoms, Lukas Lanmuller -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: INTERACTION EFFECTS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Theory-driven interactions tested (Bonferroni correction: alpha=0.025): Driving x C&S: Theory: Driving creates catch-and-shoot opportunities R² delta: 0.0025 (Not meaningful - threshold 0.02) n=371 Roll x Corner3: Theory: Roll man sets up corner 3s R² delta: 0.0111 (Not meaningful - threshold 0.02) n=371 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 6: DENVER RECOMMENDATIONS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ACTIONABLE PATTERNS FOR DENVER: 2. Denver Guards are below league average in Roll % (vs Pop) (gap=-11.2). This is an OPPORTUNITY — Roll % (vs Pop) correlates with winning (r=0.184). Target Guards: Paolo Belli, Marco De Luca, Cory Collins-Carter 3. Pop Specialist archetype has highest mean Impact (54.0). Top performers: Stanley Amakor, Alzee Sessoms, Lukas Lanmuller Prioritize this archetype in scouting. ================================================================================ END OF REPORT ================================================================================
24 Coaching Philosophy
================================================================================ 24 - COACHING PHILOSOPHY ANALYSIS ================================================================================ Analysis approach: Dual-source (declared coach + roster-derived) Teams analyzed: 36 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 1: PHILOSOPHY-WIN% CORRELATIONS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Roster proficiency correlations with team win% (n=36 teams): Philosophy r p n -------------------------------------------------- Pace And Space 0.562 0.0004 36 Morey Ball 0.306 0.0700 36 Grit And Grind 0.226 0.1846 36 Triangle 0.092 0.5924 36 Balanced 0.085 0.6228 36 Post Centric 0.054 0.7563 36 Seven Seconds 0.022 0.8972 36 Perimeter Centric -0.253 0.1366 36 KEY FINDINGS: 1. Pace And Space has positive correlation with winning (r=0.562) 2. Morey Ball has positive correlation with winning (r=0.306) 3. Grit And Grind has positive correlation with winning (r=0.226) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 2: COACH-ROSTER ALIGNMENT -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- No coach-roster mismatches detected (limited HC data available). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 3: DENVER COACH EVALUATION -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- CURRENT FIT: Head Coach Philosophy: None Roster-Derived Philosophy: Balanced Mismatch: Yes Win%: 0.354 ROSTER STRENGTHS: Balanced 20.0 Morey Ball 12.5 Pace And Space 6.4 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 4: IDEAL DENVER SYSTEM PROFILE -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RECOMMENDED PHILOSOPHY: Balanced Reasoning: Roster strongest in Balanced (score 20.0) LEAGUE-WIDE CONTEXT: Best-correlating philosophy: Pace And Space (r=0.562 with win%, n=36 teams) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SECTION 5: RECOMMENDATIONS -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FOR DENVER: 1. Current coach philosophy (None) differs from roster strengths (Balanced). Consider: roster adjustments to fit system OR coaching change. 2. Maximize roster's Balanced strength (proficiency score 20.0). 3. League data suggests Pace And Space correlates strongly with winning (r=0.562). Evaluate fit for Denver's competitive window. ================================================================================ END OF REPORT ================================================================================
25 Scouting Prose Mining
================================================================================ 25 - SCOUTING PROSE TEXT MINING ANALYSIS ================================================================================ **DATA SOURCE NOTE:** Prose source: derived These are descriptive phrases generated from ratings using position-relative thresholds, NOT scraped freeform scout-written text. Correlations measure which rating-derived descriptors map to success metrics. Sample sizes: Total recruits: 849 With college_ridge: 849 With pro_ridge: 5 Position breakdown: C ( Big): 258 PF ( Big): 155 PG (Guard): 177 SF ( Wing): 116 SG (Guard): 143 ================================================================================ SECTION 1: Top 50 Phrases by Frequency ================================================================================ 1. limited (n=2222) 2. average (n=2157) 3. defense (n=1798) 4. elite (n=1306) 5. offense (n=849) 6. strong (n=778) 7. big (n=775) 8. post (n=613) 9. endurance (n=529) 10. steal (n=469) 11. strength (n=451) 12. ball (n=449) 13. finish (n=438) 14. big offense (n=406) 15. first (n=406) 16. step (n=406) 17. first step (n=406) 18. playmaking (n=403) 19. big defense (n=369) 20. athleticism (n=355) 21. gravity (n=340) 22. shooting (n=330) 23. quickness (n=325) 24. passing (n=323) 25. roll (n=313) 26. perimeter (n=312) 27. ball perimeter (n=312) 28. perimeter defense (n=312) 29. cut (n=311) 30. roll cut (n=311) 31. cut big (n=311) 32. post defense (n=308) 33. anchor (n=294) 34. offense anchor (n=294) 35. anchor big (n=294) 36. defense average (n=280) 37. basketball (n=275) 38. iq (n=275) 39. basketball iq (n=275) 40. spacing (n=272) 41. execution (n=240) 42. post execution (n=238) 43. handling (n=224) 44. defense limited (n=220) 45. limited steal (n=217) 46. point (n=202) 47. attack (n=202) 48. offense point (n=202) 49. point attack (n=202) 50. attack defense (n=202) ================================================================================ SECTION 2: Pro Signal Validation ================================================================================ Testing known pro signals (from 457-player pro analysis) on HS data. HS sample: 849 college_ridge, 5 pro_ridge Phrase Section Pro_r HS_Col_r HS_Pro_r Val? Interpretation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- coachable strengths -0.202 nan nan NO faint praise - nothing better to highlig coachable overview -0.155 nan nan NO faint praise signal persists across sect motor strengths -0.100 nan nan NO faint praise - real talent gets praised work ethic strengths -0.100 nan nan NO faint praise competitive strengths -0.150 nan nan NO faint praise energy strengths -0.100 nan nan NO faint praise reads weaknesses -0.225 nan nan NO strongest skill-weakness signal - genuin versatile overview 0.210 nan nan NO best positive skill signal turnovers weaknesses 0.173 nan nan NO positive - means high usage/ball respons ================================================================================ SECTION 3: Novel HS Signals ================================================================================ Bonferroni-corrected significance threshold: alpha=0.000211 Signals NOT in pro reference list: 106 Phrase Count Col_r Col_p Pro_r Pro_p Sig ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- offense chaser 118 0.163 0.000002 0.938 0.018164 College chaser 118 0.163 0.000002 0.938 0.018164 College chaser defense 118 0.163 0.000002 0.938 0.018164 College distributor offense 160 0.187 0.000000 -0.938 0.018164 College roll 313 -0.547 0.000000 0.938 0.018164 College wing 96 0.243 0.000000 0.938 0.018164 College distributor 160 0.187 0.000000 -0.938 0.018164 College needs development 165 0.165 0.000001 0.938 0.018164 College development 165 0.165 0.000001 0.938 0.018164 College execution 240 -0.192 0.000000 0.938 0.018164 College shooting limited 79 -0.232 0.000000 0.938 0.018164 College needs 165 0.165 0.000001 0.938 0.018164 College steal 469 0.135 0.000076 -0.704 0.184609 College strong 778 0.159 0.000003 0.671 0.215026 College elite ball 130 0.272 0.000000 0.609 0.276023 College elite 1306 0.522 0.000000 0.563 0.323569 College limited ball 93 -0.171 0.000001 -0.563 0.323569 College defense limited 220 -0.245 0.000000 -0.563 0.323569 College handling 224 0.248 0.000000 -0.563 0.323569 College roll cut 311 -0.553 0.000000 nan nan College ================================================================================ SECTION 4: Cross-Level Transfer Analysis ================================================================================ Baseline college-pro correlation: r=0.131 Transfer type counts: direct: 27 mediated: 23 Top signals by transfer type: DIRECT: offense chaser HS->Col: 0.163, HS->Pro: 0.938, Pro_ref: nan, Direct: 0.917 chaser HS->Col: 0.163, HS->Pro: 0.938, Pro_ref: nan, Direct: 0.917 chaser defense HS->Col: 0.163, HS->Pro: 0.938, Pro_ref: nan, Direct: 0.917 distributor offense HS->Col: 0.187, HS->Pro: -0.938, Pro_ref: nan, Direct: -0.963 roll HS->Col: -0.547, HS->Pro: 0.938, Pro_ref: nan, Direct: 1.010 MEDIATED: coachable HS->Col: nan, HS->Pro: nan, Pro_ref: -0.202, Direct: nan coachable HS->Col: nan, HS->Pro: nan, Pro_ref: -0.202, Direct: nan motor HS->Col: nan, HS->Pro: nan, Pro_ref: -0.100, Direct: nan work ethic HS->Col: nan, HS->Pro: nan, Pro_ref: -0.100, Direct: nan competitive HS->Col: nan, HS->Pro: nan, Pro_ref: -0.150, Direct: nan ================================================================================ SECTION 5: Actionable Scouting Rules ================================================================================ 1. [MEDIUM] Favor prospects with 'offense chaser' in prose (college predictor) Evidence: HS College r=0.163, p=0.000002 2. [MEDIUM] Favor prospects with 'chaser' in prose (college predictor) Evidence: HS College r=0.163, p=0.000002 3. [MEDIUM] Favor prospects with 'chaser defense' in prose (college predictor) Evidence: HS College r=0.163, p=0.000002 4. [MEDIUM] Favor prospects with 'distributor offense' in prose (college predictor) Evidence: HS College r=0.187, p=0.000000 5. [MEDIUM] Avoid prospects with 'roll' in prose (college predictor) Evidence: HS College r=-0.547, p=0.000000 ================================================================================ SECTION 6: Key Findings ================================================================================ 1. Prose source is DERIVED from ratings (position-relative thresholds), not scraped scout text. Correlations reflect which rating-based descriptors predict success, not genuine prose signals. 2. Pro signal validation: 0/9 signals validate at college level, 0/9 at pro level. Some pro patterns do NOT transfer backwards to HS. 3. Novel HS signal: 'offense chaser' (r_college=0.163, r_pro=0.938) — not in pro reference list. 4. Most common transfer type: direct (27/50 signals). Baseline college-pro correlation r=0.131. 5. Pro Ridge coverage extremely low (n=5/849, 0.6%) — pro correlations are unreliable. Focus on college_ridge findings.
Atlanta Devils
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: ATLANTA DEVILS ========================================================================================== Record: 23-60 (0.277) Win Rank: 31/36 Offense: 107.7 PPG (rank 32/36) Defense: 116.9 PPG allowed (rank 33/36) Pt Diff: -9.2 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Semisi Rautins Big 20 3.5 32.2 18.3 8.8 3.2 54.3 Versatile Big Mobile Big TOP PPG Johannes Slamar Big 20 2.0 31.0 8.1 9.9 2.8 59.4 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Thiago Andrade Wing 22 1.5 29.8 16.8 3.6 1.3 54.6 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Mattias Fortt Wing 20 1.5 31.9 11.4 5.3 3.7 47.5 Glue Guy Helper Sebastian Hazle Guard 23 2.5 22.0 10.0 1.6 3.0 56.2 Slasher Wing Stopper Jaxson Booker Guard 29 3.0 18.9 6.7 1.7 3.9 57.3 Primary Ballhandler Chaser Ish Hampton Guard 30 3.5 16.3 7.5 1.8 3.2 61.2 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Ruben Smith Big 21 3.0 15.3 8.6 3.1 1.2 59.8 Versatile Big Helper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 15.2) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 15.2 Balanced 13.0 Morey Ball 5.1 Post Centric 3.2 Seven Seconds 1.8 Grit & Grind 1.1 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.31 16.88 -0.57 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.95 14.49 -0.54 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 9.38 12.66 -3.28 playmaking / Spacing 11.12 11.36 -0.24 playmaking / Passing 14.45 14.19 +0.26 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.09 12.94 +1.16 creation / Self-Creation 12.58 14.36 -1.78 creation / Finishing 14.22 15.09 -0.87 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.28 9.93 -0.65 playmaking / Gravity 13.02 13.75 -0.73 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 9% Roll : Pop: 30:70 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 62:38 Corner 3 : Above Break: 56:44 Primary Scoring Options: Semisi Rautins 18.3 PPG USG: 25.7% TS: 54.3% 3P: 31.6% Thiago Andrade 16.8 PPG USG: 25.5% TS: 54.6% 3P: 30.6% Laurynas Linartas 16.6 PPG USG: 27.8% TS: 47.6% 3P: 22.8% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 12.41 14.43 -2.01 defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.65 14.03 -1.37 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.68 12.76 -1.08 defense / Rim Protection 10.74 10.88 -0.14 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.31 12.89 -0.58 defense / Post Defense 11.44 11.58 -0.14 defense / Stealing 12.89 13.53 -0.64 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Helper x2 Chaser x1 Point Of Attack x1 Mobile Big x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 116.9 (rank 33/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Help Defense 12.41 vs 14.43 lg avg (-2.01) defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.65 vs 14.03 lg avg (-1.37) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.68 vs 12.76 lg avg (-1.08) defense / Stealing 12.89 vs 13.53 lg avg (-0.64) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.31 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.58) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Ball Handling 14.09 (lg avg 12.94, +1.16) physical / Endurance 11.94 (lg avg 11.38, +0.56) physical / First Step 11.97 (lg avg 11.64, +0.33) playmaking / Passing 14.45 (lg avg 14.19, +0.26) creation / Foul Drawing 14.51 (lg avg 14.43, +0.08) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): execution / Pick & Roll Execution 9.38 (lg avg 12.66, -3.28) physical / Quickness 10.81 (lg avg 12.87, -2.06) defense / Help Defense 12.41 (lg avg 14.43, -2.01) physical / Athleticism 11.17 (lg avg 13.16, -1.99) physical / Strength 10.18 (lg avg 12.01, -1.82) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 9.38 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +5.07 physical / Quickness Opp: 10.81 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +3.54 defense / Help Defense Opp: 12.41 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +2.29 physical / Athleticism Opp: 11.17 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +2.86 physical / Strength Opp: 10.18 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.71 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 12.65 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +1.50 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 11.68 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +2.83 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (12.4 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.7 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.3 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (14.0 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. 5. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Semisi Rautins (18.3 PPG, 25.7% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.28 (+2.37) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 12.41 (+2.29) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 12.65 (+1.50) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.68 (+2.83) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.74 (+1.13) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.51 (-2.99) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.09 (-2.62) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 18-23 Away Record: 5-36 Last 10 Games: 3-7 (avg pt diff: -10.0) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 2 Longest Loss Streak: 7 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -7.1 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -11.4 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_atlanta_devils.txt
Austin Rockets
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: AUSTIN ROCKETS ========================================================================================== Record: 52-38 (0.578) Win Rank: 13/36 Offense: 105.4 PPG (rank 34/36) Defense: 104.3 PPG allowed (rank 1/36) Pt Diff: +1.1 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Antoine Rigaux Big 28 4.0 34.5 19.2 10.4 1.8 61.1 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Cardez Moss Wing 29 4.0 34.4 16.3 4.8 4.0 60.2 Slasher Wing Stopper BEST CA Briggs Greenaway Wing 22 3.5 34.3 22.1 4.0 2.5 58.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Devante Parker Jr Guard 29 3.5 34.0 13.2 3.0 7.0 58.3 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Nazir Link Wing 23 2.0 24.6 8.3 4.4 1.7 57.0 Glue Guy Helper Khadeem Wills Big 20 3.0 29.0 11.9 6.7 1.3 60.3 Post Scorer Anchor Big O'Neal Cobbs Guard 24 3.0 14.9 3.3 0.9 2.9 51.0 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Adam Kwiatkowski Big 22 3.0 13.9 4.0 4.6 0.7 53.7 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 16.6) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 16.6 Pace & Space 10.8 Triangle 10.6 Morey Ball 8.4 Post Centric 4.4 Seven Seconds 3.3 Grit & Grind 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.09 16.88 +0.21 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.49 14.49 +0.99 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 11.89 12.66 -0.76 playmaking / Spacing 11.53 11.36 +0.17 playmaking / Passing 12.76 14.19 -1.43 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.44 12.94 +0.51 creation / Self-Creation 14.50 14.36 +0.13 creation / Finishing 13.50 15.09 -1.59 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.84 9.93 -0.09 playmaking / Gravity 13.23 13.75 -0.53 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 52:48 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 66:34 Corner 3 : Above Break: 74:26 Primary Scoring Options: Briggs Greenaway 22.1 PPG USG: 29.3% TS: 58.5% 3P: 36.7% Antoine Rigaux 19.2 PPG USG: 24.0% TS: 61.1% 3P: 40.3% Cardez Moss 16.3 PPG USG: 21.0% TS: 60.2% 3P: 41.4% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.57 14.43 +0.14 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.32 14.03 +0.29 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.15 12.76 +1.39 defense / Rim Protection 9.69 10.88 -1.19 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.39 12.89 +0.50 defense / Post Defense 10.30 11.58 -1.28 defense / Stealing 13.30 13.53 -0.23 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x2 Helper x1 Point Of Attack x1 Mobile Big x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 104.3 (rank 1/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 10.30 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.28) defense / Rim Protection 9.69 vs 10.88 lg avg (-1.19) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): physical / Speed 13.15 (lg avg 11.21, +1.95) shooting / Free Throws 17.25 (lg avg 15.73, +1.52) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.15 (lg avg 12.76, +1.39) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.58 (lg avg 12.25, +1.33) physical / First Step 12.76 (lg avg 11.64, +1.12) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 9.93 (lg avg 12.04, -2.10) creation / Finishing 13.50 (lg avg 15.09, -1.59) playmaking / Passing 12.76 (lg avg 14.19, -1.43) playmaking / Playmaking 10.32 (lg avg 11.64, -1.31) defense / Post Defense 10.30 (lg avg 11.58, -1.28) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Strength Opp: 10.80 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.10 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 9.69 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +2.18 execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 11.89 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +2.55 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (9.7 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.5 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Briggs Greenaway (22.1 PPG, 29.3% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 13.50 (+1.26) creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.84 (+1.81) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 10.30 (+1.12) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 9.69 (+2.18) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 11.89 (+2.55) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.27 (-3.76) shooting / Free Throws Denver 15.20 vs 17.25 (-2.05) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 13.58 (-1.99) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 13.44 (-1.97) shooting / 3PT Shooting Denver 13.85 vs 15.49 (-1.64) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 33-9 Away Record: 13-27 Last 10 Games: 3-7 (avg pt diff: -2.6) Current Streak: L2 Longest Win Streak: 8 Longest Loss Streak: 5 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -0.7 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +2.4 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 31.0/g (league avg 29.0) 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 52% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Challenge Every Shot and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_austin_rockets.txt
Baltimore Bullets
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: BALTIMORE BULLETS ========================================================================================== Record: 51-38 (0.573) Win Rank: 16/36 Offense: 111.2 PPG (rank 20/36) Defense: 109.9 PPG allowed (rank 7/36) Pt Diff: +1.3 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Austin Ross Wing 28 4.5 31.7 15.7 4.9 4.9 56.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Nicolas Deprez Wing 23 4.5 33.9 24.4 5.3 3.9 55.4 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Omari Swift Guard 21 2.5 29.4 12.0 2.2 6.5 57.1 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Andre Sawyer Wing 24 3.5 31.8 10.7 3.7 3.2 56.2 Slasher Chaser Mario Moore Wing 30 3.5 28.2 11.2 4.0 5.6 62.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Marcel Richter Big 29 4.5 34.8 18.5 13.1 1.7 60.5 Versatile Big Anchor Big Jarquez Gowins Big 25 3.5 22.9 7.9 4.8 1.4 53.0 Interior Playmaker Helper Leron Victorian Big 26 4.0 16.9 8.6 4.2 0.5 59.6 Post Bully Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Pace & Space 12.9 Post Centric 6.2 Morey Ball 3.9 Seven Seconds 2.6 Triangle 1.8 Perimeter Centric 1.4 Grit & Grind 1.1 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.73 16.88 +0.85 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.15 14.49 -0.34 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.47 12.66 +1.81 playmaking / Spacing 11.44 11.36 +0.09 playmaking / Passing 16.38 14.19 +2.19 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.03 12.94 +0.10 creation / Self-Creation 14.92 14.36 +0.55 creation / Finishing 16.36 15.09 +1.27 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.02 9.93 +1.09 playmaking / Gravity 15.86 13.75 +2.10 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 11% Roll : Pop: 47:53 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 73:27 Corner 3 : Above Break: 62:38 Primary Scoring Options: Nicolas Deprez 24.4 PPG USG: 32.7% TS: 55.4% 3P: 35.7% Marcel Richter 18.5 PPG USG: 22.3% TS: 60.5% 3P: 39.7% Austin Ross 15.7 PPG USG: 21.8% TS: 56.8% 3P: 39.2% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.66 14.43 +0.23 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.57 14.03 +0.54 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.03 12.76 +1.26 defense / Rim Protection 11.41 10.88 +0.53 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.45 12.89 +0.56 defense / Post Defense 14.15 11.58 +2.57 defense / Stealing 13.13 13.53 -0.41 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Anchor Big x3 Helper x1 Chaser x1 Point Of Attack x1 Mobile Big x1 Points Allowed: 109.9 (rank 7/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Stealing 13.13 vs 13.53 lg avg (-0.41) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Post Defense 14.15 (lg avg 11.58, +2.57) playmaking / Passing 16.38 (lg avg 14.19, +2.19) playmaking / Gravity 15.86 (lg avg 13.75, +2.10) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.47 (lg avg 12.66, +1.81) execution / Basketball IQ 16.92 (lg avg 15.31, +1.61) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 11.30 (lg avg 12.04, -0.74) shooting / Free Throws 15.28 (lg avg 15.73, -0.45) creation / Foul Drawing 14.00 (lg avg 14.43, -0.43) defense / Stealing 13.13 (lg avg 13.53, -0.41) shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.15 (lg avg 14.49, -0.34) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Stealing Opp: 13.13 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +0.84 physical / Speed Opp: 11.10 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +1.35 physical / Endurance Opp: 11.33 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +1.77 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Nicolas Deprez (24.4 PPG, 32.7% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 11.33 (+1.77) physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 12.02 (+1.47) physical / Speed Denver 12.45 vs 11.10 (+1.35) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 13.10 (-2.97) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.38 (-2.91) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 14.15 (-2.73) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 9.29 (-2.63) playmaking / Gravity Denver 13.30 vs 15.86 (-2.56) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 27-14 Away Record: 20-21 Last 10 Games: 6-4 (avg pt diff: -4.5) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 9 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +1.8 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +0.0 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 14.5 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 56% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (56%) and outside (44%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_baltimore_bullets.txt
Boston Crusaders
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: BOSTON CRUSADERS ========================================================================================== Record: 45-44 (0.506) Win Rank: 20/36 Offense: 112.9 PPG (rank 17/36) Defense: 111.8 PPG allowed (rank 21/36) Pt Diff: +1.1 Class: FRINGE PLAYOFF ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Cheddi Pellerin Big 26 3.5 32.2 17.8 10.2 1.4 60.3 Stretch Big Anchor Big Talis Kalemba Big 23 4.0 32.3 18.8 9.5 1.1 60.2 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big TOP PPG Demetris Kessee Wing 26 4.0 32.0 17.7 3.0 4.7 60.6 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Lukas Lanmuller Wing 24 4.0 33.9 14.3 4.1 10.6 62.3 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Marqueze Jackson Wing 28 3.0 25.6 11.5 3.7 1.8 60.7 Glue Guy Helper Karim Zouita Wing 26 3.5 23.4 11.9 4.5 4.9 57.8 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Keeon Grover Wing 25 3.0 24.3 8.9 3.1 3.2 57.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Mathieu Rogers Big 35 2.5 14.5 5.7 5.5 0.3 55.2 Post Scorer Anchor Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 18.4) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 18.4 Pace & Space 14.7 Balanced 13.7 Grit & Grind 4.9 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.22 16.88 +0.34 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.69 14.49 +1.19 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 11.63 12.66 -1.02 playmaking / Spacing 12.32 11.36 +0.96 playmaking / Passing 13.88 14.19 -0.31 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.03 12.94 -1.90 creation / Self-Creation 13.79 14.36 -0.58 creation / Finishing 13.94 15.09 -1.15 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 8.90 9.93 -1.03 playmaking / Gravity 12.59 13.75 -1.17 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 13% Roll : Pop: 35:65 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 60:40 Corner 3 : Above Break: 57:43 Primary Scoring Options: Talis Kalemba 18.8 PPG USG: 23.8% TS: 60.2% 3P: 26.9% Cheddi Pellerin 17.8 PPG USG: 22.7% TS: 60.3% 3P: 39.9% Demetris Kessee 17.7 PPG USG: 23.3% TS: 60.6% 3P: 39.3% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.48 14.43 +1.06 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.85 14.03 +0.82 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.42 12.76 -0.34 defense / Rim Protection 11.90 10.88 +1.02 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.59 12.89 -0.30 defense / Post Defense 14.13 11.58 +2.55 defense / Stealing 14.95 13.53 +1.42 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Point Of Attack x3 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x1 Helper x1 Points Allowed: 111.8 (rank 21/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.42 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.34) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Post Defense 14.13 (lg avg 11.58, +2.55) defense / Stealing 14.95 (lg avg 13.53, +1.42) creation / Foul Drawing 15.75 (lg avg 14.43, +1.32) shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.69 (lg avg 14.49, +1.19) defense / Help Defense 15.48 (lg avg 14.43, +1.06) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Ball Handling 11.03 (lg avg 12.94, -1.90) creation / Ball Dominance 12.62 (lg avg 14.00, -1.38) physical / Strength 10.64 (lg avg 12.01, -1.37) playmaking / Playmaking 10.45 (lg avg 11.64, -1.18) playmaking / Gravity 12.59 (lg avg 13.75, -1.17) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Strength Opp: 10.64 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.25 creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 8.90 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +2.75 execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 11.63 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +2.81 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (12.4 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 2. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.7 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Talis Kalemba (18.8 PPG, 23.8% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 8.90 (+2.75) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.42 (+2.09) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 11.63 (+2.81) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 10.88 (+2.22) physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 11.13 (+2.37) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.75 (-4.24) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 14.13 (-2.72) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 12.79 (-2.05) shooting / 3PT Shooting Denver 13.85 vs 15.69 (-1.84) playmaking / Spacing Denver 11.11 vs 12.32 (-1.21) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 24-17 Away Record: 16-25 Last 10 Games: 2-8 (avg pt diff: -5.3) Current Streak: L6 Longest Win Streak: 4 Longest Loss Streak: 6 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +1.1 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +0.1 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 31.4/g (league avg 29.0) 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 52% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Challenge Every Shot and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_boston_crusaders.txt
Charlotte Drones
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: CHARLOTTE DRONES ========================================================================================== Record: 41-44 (0.482) Win Rank: 21/36 Offense: 105.2 PPG (rank 35/36) Defense: 107.5 PPG allowed (rank 2/36) Pt Diff: -2.3 Class: FRINGE PLAYOFF ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ René Köpke Guard 20 3.0 31.2 16.9 3.8 3.3 56.2 Slasher Wing Stopper Stefan Ramos Big 26 4.5 30.6 18.7 8.1 2.3 57.5 Pick-and-Pop Big Mobile Big Stanley Ogide Wing 27 4.5 29.6 20.7 4.9 1.9 62.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Roberto Vega Big 25 4.5 29.3 8.1 7.0 3.6 58.2 Interior Playmaker Mobile Big Dimitris Karras Wing 20 3.0 27.0 11.1 4.0 1.8 58.4 Glue Guy Chaser Paolo Belli Guard 30 3.5 26.6 8.4 3.9 5.1 55.1 Primary Ballhandler Chaser Leonardo Bianchi Big 20 3.5 18.2 6.2 4.4 1.0 58.8 Post Scorer Mobile Big Josh Clayton Guard 23 2.5 21.6 4.7 1.1 3.3 49.4 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Triangle (wt avg proficiency: 15.4) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Triangle 15.4 Balanced 14.8 Morey Ball 11.3 Pace & Space 8.8 Post Centric 3.3 Grit & Grind 2.8 Perimeter Centric 1.4 Seven Seconds 1.1 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.75 16.88 -0.13 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.42 14.49 -0.08 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.32 12.66 -0.34 playmaking / Spacing 12.68 11.36 +1.32 playmaking / Passing 15.56 14.19 +1.37 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.23 12.94 +1.30 creation / Self-Creation 15.11 14.36 +0.75 creation / Finishing 14.69 15.09 -0.40 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.69 9.93 +0.76 playmaking / Gravity 10.93 13.75 -2.82 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 9% Roll : Pop: 46:54 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 50:50 Corner 3 : Above Break: 43:57 Primary Scoring Options: Stanley Ogide 20.7 PPG USG: 29.5% TS: 62.9% 3P: 42.3% Stefan Ramos 18.7 PPG USG: 28.0% TS: 57.5% 3P: 39.1% René Köpke 16.9 PPG USG: 25.4% TS: 56.2% 3P: 37.4% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.50 14.43 +0.07 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.09 14.03 +1.07 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.90 12.76 +1.13 defense / Rim Protection 11.01 10.88 +0.13 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.44 12.89 +0.55 defense / Post Defense 11.06 11.58 -0.51 defense / Stealing 15.03 13.53 +1.49 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Mobile Big x3 Wing Stopper x3 Chaser x2 Point Of Attack x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 107.5 (rank 2/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 11.06 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.51) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 14.74 (lg avg 12.04, +2.71) playmaking / Playmaking 13.39 (lg avg 11.64, +1.75) defense / Stealing 15.03 (lg avg 13.53, +1.49) playmaking / Passing 15.56 (lg avg 14.19, +1.37) playmaking / Spacing 12.68 (lg avg 11.36, +1.32) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Gravity 10.93 (lg avg 13.75, -2.82) physical / Speed 8.84 (lg avg 11.21, -2.37) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 10.15 (lg avg 12.25, -2.10) creation / Ball Dominance 12.51 (lg avg 14.00, -1.48) shooting / Free Throws 14.82 (lg avg 15.73, -0.91) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Speed Opp: 8.84 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +3.61 physical / Quickness Opp: 12.08 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +2.27 physical / Endurance Opp: 10.78 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +2.33 physical / Strength Opp: 11.41 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +2.48 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Stanley Ogide (20.7 PPG, 29.5% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.32 (+2.12) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 10.78 (+2.33) physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 11.16 (+2.33) physical / Quickness Denver 14.35 vs 12.08 (+2.27) physical / Speed Denver 12.45 vs 8.84 (+3.61) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 14.74 (-4.00) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.44 (-3.92) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 13.39 (-3.26) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.23 (-2.76) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 15.56 (-2.09) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 23-18 Away Record: 17-24 Last 10 Games: 5-5 (avg pt diff: -0.2) Current Streak: L2 Longest Win Streak: 4 Longest Loss Streak: 5 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -0.7 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -4.0 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.3 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_charlotte_drones.txt
Chicago Jailbirds
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: CHICAGO JAILBIRDS ========================================================================================== Record: 78-27 (0.743) Win Rank: 2/36 Offense: 119.9 PPG (rank 2/36) Defense: 111.0 PPG allowed (rank 18/36) Pt Diff: +8.9 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Stanley Amakor Wing 28 3.0 33.5 17.2 7.8 5.8 60.9 Interior Playmaker Wing Stopper Devonte Bell Guard 24 4.0 32.8 17.2 3.4 10.1 60.4 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Javar Bonham Big 26 4.5 29.0 19.2 11.3 1.2 61.9 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big BEST CA Gage Woodward Guard 26 3.5 30.1 15.2 3.6 7.9 60.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Arif Langston Wing 29 4.0 24.1 11.5 4.6 2.2 61.4 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Ambrose Udoh Big 33 4.0 21.3 9.0 6.0 1.0 54.2 Interior Playmaker Mobile Big Xavier Yates Wing 20 3.5 19.3 9.5 2.8 3.9 54.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Kenney Holba Big 28 4.0 18.9 9.4 5.7 1.3 58.7 Versatile Big Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 19.3) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 19.3 Morey Ball 14.9 Balanced 12.0 Seven Seconds 3.2 Post Centric 1.5 Grit & Grind 1.1 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.04 16.88 +0.16 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.97 14.49 +1.48 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.45 12.66 +0.79 playmaking / Spacing 13.18 11.36 +1.82 playmaking / Passing 14.38 14.19 +0.19 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.40 12.94 +1.46 creation / Self-Creation 14.98 14.36 +0.61 creation / Finishing 15.90 15.09 +0.81 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.82 9.93 +0.89 playmaking / Gravity 15.03 13.75 +1.27 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 40:60 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 71:29 Corner 3 : Above Break: 54:46 Primary Scoring Options: Javar Bonham 19.2 PPG USG: 25.1% TS: 61.9% 3P: 42.8% Stanley Amakor 17.2 PPG USG: 19.7% TS: 60.9% 3P: 40.6% Devonte Bell 17.2 PPG USG: 20.8% TS: 60.4% 3P: 39.5% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 16.19 14.43 +1.77 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.84 14.03 +0.82 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.69 12.76 +0.92 defense / Rim Protection 12.06 10.88 +1.18 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 14.96 12.89 +2.07 defense / Post Defense 12.24 11.58 +0.66 defense / Stealing 13.53 13.53 -0.01 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x5 Mobile Big x3 Point Of Attack x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 111.0 (rank 18/36) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 14.54 (lg avg 12.04, +2.50) playmaking / Playmaking 13.85 (lg avg 11.64, +2.21) physical / Endurance 13.47 (lg avg 11.38, +2.09) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 14.96 (lg avg 12.89, +2.07) playmaking / Spacing 13.18 (lg avg 11.36, +1.82) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 9.94 (lg avg 12.25, -2.30) shooting / Free Throws 14.14 (lg avg 15.73, -1.59) physical / Strength 10.83 (lg avg 12.01, -1.17) physical / Quickness 12.37 (lg avg 12.87, -0.50) creation / Foul Drawing 14.39 (lg avg 14.43, -0.04) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Strength Opp: 10.83 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.06 physical / Quickness Opp: 12.37 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +1.98 defense / Stealing Opp: 13.53 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +0.43 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (16.0 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 2. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Javar Bonham (19.2 PPG, 25.1% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 11.72 (+1.78) physical / Quickness Denver 14.35 vs 12.37 (+1.98) physical / Speed Denver 12.45 vs 11.40 (+1.05) physical / Strength Denver 13.89 vs 10.83 (+3.06) shooting / Free Throws Denver 15.20 vs 14.14 (+1.05) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 14.54 (-3.80) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 13.85 (-3.71) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 14.96 (-3.19) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.40 (-2.93) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.39 (-2.88) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 35-7 Away Record: 24-16 Last 10 Games: 6-4 (avg pt diff: +7.2) Current Streak: W2 Longest Win Streak: 11 Longest Loss Streak: 3 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +8.0 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +9.5 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.4 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 31.9/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_chicago_jailbirds.txt
Cincinnati Kings
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: CINCINNATI KINGS ========================================================================================== Record: 74-28 (0.725) Win Rank: 4/36 Offense: 120.1 PPG (rank 1/36) Defense: 109.0 PPG allowed (rank 5/36) Pt Diff: +11.1 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Stephon Carlton Big 34 4.0 33.4 18.5 9.3 5.1 67.1 Interior Playmaker Helper TOP PPG Russell Boozer Big 33 3.5 31.1 17.2 8.3 4.5 62.1 Interior Playmaker Helper Jacob Nazarian Wing 28 3.5 31.2 17.5 5.6 8.3 55.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Tayshaun Aumiller Wing 24 4.0 28.0 14.4 5.0 3.2 60.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Jimmy Cougar III Wing 33 3.0 27.8 13.2 4.7 1.8 59.5 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Tommy Mock Big 28 4.0 25.8 8.6 8.8 1.0 63.1 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Andrew Buller Wing 30 3.5 17.8 7.4 2.5 1.6 60.0 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Reid Frahm Guard 30 3.0 15.9 9.2 1.4 3.4 61.5 Shot Creator Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 20.0 Balanced 16.3 Pace & Space 13.5 Triangle 10.9 Grit & Grind 3.3 Post Centric 3.1 Seven Seconds 2.7 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 18.00 16.88 +1.12 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.38 14.49 +0.89 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.45 12.66 +0.79 playmaking / Spacing 11.68 11.36 +0.32 playmaking / Passing 13.64 14.19 -0.55 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.45 12.94 +1.52 creation / Self-Creation 14.51 14.36 +0.15 creation / Finishing 14.72 15.09 -0.37 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.50 9.93 -0.43 playmaking / Gravity 14.93 13.75 +1.17 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 7% Roll : Pop: 41:59 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 75:25 Corner 3 : Above Break: 55:45 Primary Scoring Options: Stephon Carlton 18.5 PPG USG: 20.0% TS: 67.1% 3P: 0.0% Jacob Nazarian 17.5 PPG USG: 24.5% TS: 55.9% 3P: 34.7% Russell Boozer 17.2 PPG USG: 21.8% TS: 62.1% 3P: 37.4% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; strong inside scoring; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.04 14.43 -0.38 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.09 14.03 -0.94 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.41 12.76 +0.65 defense / Rim Protection 11.10 10.88 +0.22 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 15.84 12.89 +2.95 defense / Post Defense 10.55 11.58 -1.03 defense / Stealing 14.00 13.53 +0.47 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x5 Helper x2 Point Of Attack x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 109.0 (rank 5/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 10.55 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.03) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.09 vs 14.03 lg avg (-0.94) defense / Help Defense 14.04 vs 14.43 lg avg (-0.38) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): physical / Strength 15.65 (lg avg 12.01, +3.65) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 15.24 (lg avg 12.04, +3.21) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 15.84 (lg avg 12.89, +2.95) playmaking / Playmaking 13.31 (lg avg 11.64, +1.67) playmaking / Ball Handling 14.45 (lg avg 12.94, +1.52) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): execution / Post Execution 6.90 (lg avg 8.11, -1.21) defense / Post Defense 10.55 (lg avg 11.58, -1.03) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.09 (lg avg 14.03, -0.94) physical / Athleticism 12.27 (lg avg 13.16, -0.89) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 11.50 (lg avg 12.25, -0.75) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 13.09 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +1.06 physical / Athleticism Opp: 12.27 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +1.76 execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 13.14 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +0.82 creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 9.50 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +2.15 defense / Help Defense Opp: 14.04 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +0.66 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (14.0 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 2. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.4 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Stephon Carlton (18.5 PPG, 20.0% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.50 (+2.15) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 13.09 (+1.06) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 13.41 (+1.09) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 12.27 (+1.76) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 12.05 (+1.05) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 15.24 (-4.50) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 15.84 (-4.07) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.93 (-3.42) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 13.31 (-3.18) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.45 (-2.98) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 34-6 Away Record: 26-16 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +11.0) Current Streak: W3 Longest Win Streak: 10 Longest Loss Streak: 3 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +11.2 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +11.5 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.5 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 30.8/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_cincinnati_kings.txt
Cleveland Giants
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: CLEVELAND GIANTS ========================================================================================== Record: 59-35 (0.628) Win Rank: 10/36 Offense: 114.0 PPG (rank 14/36) Defense: 110.6 PPG allowed (rank 14/36) Pt Diff: +3.4 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jacob Fulwood Big 22 3.5 34.1 15.1 5.7 4.8 56.4 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Alzee Sessoms Guard 28 4.0 34.4 15.5 2.8 9.8 56.2 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Ishaq Osten Big 23 4.5 34.4 18.9 8.6 2.2 61.6 Versatile Big Mobile Big BEST CA Adrian Schwartz Wing 30 3.5 28.6 16.3 5.3 3.5 62.8 Secondary Creator Chaser Ðorde Petrović Big 23 3.5 25.1 9.7 8.1 0.6 55.9 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Javi Gonzalez Big 32 3.5 21.7 7.9 7.0 1.0 53.3 Post Scorer Anchor Big Markus Voglsammer Wing 32 3.0 29.6 18.3 5.1 2.8 55.8 Glue Guy Helper Xavi Rivilla Big 26 4.5 14.4 6.0 3.5 1.4 54.2 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Pace & Space 9.9 Seven Seconds 6.7 Morey Ball 6.3 Triangle 4.3 Grit & Grind 3.4 Perimeter Centric 2.5 Post Centric 2.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.60 16.88 +0.72 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.42 14.49 +0.93 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.10 12.66 +0.45 playmaking / Spacing 10.49 11.36 -0.87 playmaking / Passing 13.65 14.19 -0.54 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.97 12.94 +0.04 creation / Self-Creation 14.15 14.36 -0.21 creation / Finishing 15.78 15.09 +0.69 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 7.65 9.93 -2.28 playmaking / Gravity 14.03 13.75 +0.27 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 9% Roll : Pop: 37:63 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 73:27 Corner 3 : Above Break: 48:52 Primary Scoring Options: Ishaq Osten 18.9 PPG USG: 21.8% TS: 61.6% 3P: 47.9% Markus Voglsammer 18.3 PPG USG: 26.9% TS: 55.8% 3P: 35.9% Adrian Schwartz 16.3 PPG USG: 22.0% TS: 62.8% 3P: 41.9% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; strong inside scoring; poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.64 14.43 +0.21 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.13 14.03 -0.90 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.30 12.76 -1.46 defense / Rim Protection 11.40 10.88 +0.52 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.65 12.89 +0.76 defense / Post Defense 11.43 11.58 -0.15 defense / Stealing 12.77 13.53 -0.76 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x2 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x1 Chaser x1 Point Of Attack x1 Helper x1 Points Allowed: 110.6 (rank 14/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.30 vs 12.76 lg avg (-1.46) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.13 vs 14.03 lg avg (-0.90) defense / Stealing 12.77 vs 13.53 lg avg (-0.76) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 14.52 (lg avg 12.04, +2.49) execution / Post Execution 9.93 (lg avg 8.11, +1.82) execution / Isolation Execution 15.13 (lg avg 13.59, +1.54) physical / Strength 13.23 (lg avg 12.01, +1.22) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.39 (lg avg 12.25, +1.14) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): creation / Shoot Off Dribble 7.65 (lg avg 9.93, -2.28) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.30 (lg avg 12.76, -1.46) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.13 (lg avg 14.03, -0.90) playmaking / Spacing 10.49 (lg avg 11.36, -0.87) defense / Stealing 12.77 (lg avg 13.53, -0.76) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 7.65 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +4.01 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 11.30 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +3.20 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 13.13 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +1.02 defense / Stealing Opp: 12.77 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +1.19 execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 14.77 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +0.86 physical / Speed Opp: 10.94 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +1.51 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.3 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 2. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.4 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 3. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (10.5 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. 4. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Ishaq Osten (18.9 PPG, 21.8% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 7.65 (+4.01) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 13.13 (+1.02) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.30 (+3.20) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 12.77 (+1.19) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 13.10 (+1.34) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 14.52 (-3.78) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 9.93 (-3.27) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.10 (-2.59) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 13.65 (-1.88) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 13.39 (-1.80) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 33-8 Away Record: 19-22 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +4.8) Current Streak: W2 Longest Win Streak: 6 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +2.8 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +4.5 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.1 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 30.8/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_cleveland_giants.txt
Dallas Predators
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: DALLAS PREDATORS ========================================================================================== Record: 32-51 (0.386) Win Rank: 24/36 Offense: 109.2 PPG (rank 27/36) Defense: 113.9 PPG allowed (rank 25/36) Pt Diff: -4.7 Class: DEVELOPING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Bogdan Nikolic Big 21 4.0 31.7 19.0 9.5 1.9 58.0 Pick-and-Pop Big Anchor Big Rahsool Kellar Wing 20 3.0 30.8 11.1 4.3 3.6 53.1 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Denzel Cruz Wing 21 3.0 32.7 16.8 2.8 3.9 55.4 Slasher Chaser Keshaun Freeman Big 20 3.5 29.1 20.7 9.9 0.5 59.1 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big TOP PPG Waylan Loftin Big 21 3.0 28.0 9.4 7.9 1.1 59.2 Pick-and-Pop Big Anchor Big Jamaria Flagg Guard 28 4.0 27.5 10.1 2.8 7.5 58.5 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Ahsante Clinkscales Guard 20 2.0 20.2 3.8 1.5 6.0 51.0 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Kaden Ford Wing 33 3.5 15.4 7.4 2.4 1.3 56.1 Secondary Creator Chaser ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Pace & Space 7.1 Morey Ball 5.2 Post Centric 3.0 Seven Seconds 2.4 Triangle 1.7 Perimeter Centric 1.4 Grit & Grind 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.20 16.88 -0.68 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.12 14.49 -0.37 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.67 12.66 +1.01 playmaking / Spacing 11.59 11.36 +0.24 playmaking / Passing 13.68 14.19 -0.51 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.50 12.94 -1.43 creation / Self-Creation 13.46 14.36 -0.90 creation / Finishing 16.24 15.09 +1.15 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 7.87 9.93 -2.06 playmaking / Gravity 13.67 13.75 -0.08 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 8% Roll : Pop: 35:65 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 62:38 Corner 3 : Above Break: 54:46 Primary Scoring Options: Keshaun Freeman 20.7 PPG USG: 29.4% TS: 59.1% 3P: 31.3% Bogdan Nikolic 19.0 PPG USG: 25.6% TS: 58.0% 3P: 32.4% Denzel Cruz 16.8 PPG USG: 23.3% TS: 55.4% 3P: 37.1% Scoring Identity: elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 13.78 14.43 -0.65 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.76 14.03 +0.73 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.60 12.76 -0.17 defense / Rim Protection 10.20 10.88 -0.68 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.79 12.89 +0.90 defense / Post Defense 9.34 11.58 -2.24 defense / Stealing 13.93 13.53 +0.40 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Anchor Big x3 Point Of Attack x2 Chaser x2 Wing Stopper x1 Points Allowed: 113.9 (rank 25/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 9.34 vs 11.58 lg avg (-2.24) defense / Rim Protection 10.20 vs 10.88 lg avg (-0.68) defense / Help Defense 13.78 vs 14.43 lg avg (-0.65) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): creation / Finishing 16.24 (lg avg 15.09, +1.15) execution / Isolation Execution 14.68 (lg avg 13.59, +1.09) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.67 (lg avg 12.66, +1.01) creation / Foul Drawing 15.39 (lg avg 14.43, +0.96) physical / First Step 12.59 (lg avg 11.64, +0.95) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Playmaking 9.18 (lg avg 11.64, -2.46) defense / Post Defense 9.34 (lg avg 11.58, -2.24) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 7.87 (lg avg 9.93, -2.06) execution / Basketball IQ 13.45 (lg avg 15.31, -1.86) physical / Endurance 9.78 (lg avg 11.38, -1.60) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 7.87 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +3.78 execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 13.45 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +2.18 physical / Endurance Opp: 9.78 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +3.32 physical / Speed Opp: 9.69 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +2.76 physical / Strength Opp: 10.51 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.38 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (10.2 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (13.8 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Keshaun Freeman (20.7 PPG, 29.4% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 7.87 (+3.78) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.60 (+1.91) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 9.34 (+2.08) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.20 (+1.67) execution / Basketball IQ Denver 15.63 vs 13.45 (+2.18) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.39 (-3.88) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 13.79 (-2.02) creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 16.24 (-1.48) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 7.87 (-1.21) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 21-21 Away Record: 11-29 Last 10 Games: 4-6 (avg pt diff: -6.4) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 3 Longest Loss Streak: 8 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -3.9 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -5.0 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.7 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 53% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_dallas_predators.txt
Detroit Mustangs
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: DETROIT MUSTANGS ========================================================================================== Record: 57-32 (0.640) Win Rank: 9/36 Offense: 114.0 PPG (rank 14/36) Defense: 108.8 PPG allowed (rank 4/36) Pt Diff: +5.2 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jason Cheaney Jr Wing 32 4.0 32.3 28.2 5.0 4.8 59.3 Secondary Creator Helper TOP PPG LaBradford Reath Wing 24 4.0 29.5 14.7 8.0 1.8 58.4 Glue Guy Helper Amara Perez Big 24 4.0 29.0 15.1 10.4 0.8 60.2 Post Scorer Anchor Big Dallan Owusu Wing 27 4.0 29.2 13.7 3.5 4.2 57.1 Slasher Wing Stopper Josh Vickery Wing 32 3.5 24.9 7.8 2.0 6.3 60.7 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Tawaski Casuga Guard 26 3.0 21.1 6.6 1.7 5.9 55.8 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Cole Blake Big 28 2.0 16.1 5.4 2.8 1.1 59.5 Glue Guy Helper Nazeer Odiambo Wing 20 3.0 18.8 7.3 1.6 2.7 62.4 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 17.1) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 17.1 Pace & Space 16.5 Morey Ball 15.8 Grit & Grind 5.0 Triangle 1.5 Seven Seconds 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.04 16.88 +0.16 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.96 14.49 +1.47 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.66 12.66 +1.00 playmaking / Spacing 11.07 11.36 -0.29 playmaking / Passing 13.34 14.19 -0.85 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.92 12.94 -0.02 creation / Self-Creation 15.48 14.36 +1.11 creation / Finishing 14.79 15.09 -0.30 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.30 9.93 +1.37 playmaking / Gravity 14.72 13.75 +0.97 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 11% Roll : Pop: 41:59 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 72:28 Corner 3 : Above Break: 60:40 Primary Scoring Options: Jason Cheaney Jr 28.2 PPG USG: 36.7% TS: 59.3% 3P: 38.1% Amara Perez 15.1 PPG USG: 21.6% TS: 60.2% 3P: 24.1% LaBradford Reath 14.7 PPG USG: 21.3% TS: 58.4% 3P: 32.7% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.57 14.43 +0.14 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.71 14.03 +1.69 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.40 12.76 +1.64 defense / Rim Protection 11.45 10.88 +0.57 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.22 12.89 -0.67 defense / Post Defense 13.66 11.58 +2.08 defense / Stealing 15.95 13.53 +2.41 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Helper x3 Anchor Big x3 Point Of Attack x2 Mobile Big x1 Points Allowed: 108.8 (rank 4/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.22 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.67) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Stealing 15.95 (lg avg 13.53, +2.41) defense / Post Defense 13.66 (lg avg 11.58, +2.08) defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.71 (lg avg 14.03, +1.69) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.40 (lg avg 12.76, +1.64) physical / Quickness 14.45 (lg avg 12.87, +1.58) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 10.48 (lg avg 12.04, -1.56) playmaking / Passing 13.34 (lg avg 14.19, -0.85) physical / Strength 11.28 (lg avg 12.01, -0.72) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.22 (lg avg 12.89, -0.67) creation / Ball Dominance 13.46 (lg avg 14.00, -0.54) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Strength Opp: 11.28 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +2.61 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.2 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 2. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (16.0 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Jason Cheaney Jr (28.2 PPG, 36.7% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 12.39 (+1.10) physical / Strength Denver 13.89 vs 11.28 (+2.61) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.66 (-3.15) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 12.56 (-2.42) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 13.66 (-2.25) shooting / 3PT Shooting Denver 13.85 vs 15.96 (-2.12) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 13.61 (-2.02) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 29-12 Away Record: 23-18 Last 10 Games: 9-1 (avg pt diff: +14.2) Current Streak: W5 Longest Win Streak: 8 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +4.7 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +5.2 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.7 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 31.9/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_detroit_mustangs.txt
Houston Lightning
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: HOUSTON LIGHTNING ========================================================================================== Record: 26-57 (0.313) Win Rank: 29/36 Offense: 110.9 PPG (rank 23/36) Defense: 115.2 PPG allowed (rank 29/36) Pt Diff: -4.3 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Eckhard Schneiders Big 23 3.0 29.7 16.7 9.6 1.1 59.3 Post Scorer Anchor Big Erickson Wirth Wing 24 3.5 27.4 11.4 3.4 3.5 55.7 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Kyler Amundson Wing 25 3.5 26.3 10.7 2.7 3.1 52.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Mustapha Efianayi Wing 30 4.0 26.7 16.8 4.6 3.9 55.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Paris Salas Big 27 3.5 24.9 7.5 8.7 1.0 62.9 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Keyon McCoy Guard 26 3.5 24.7 16.1 3.4 6.4 55.9 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Jadakiss Hollywood Big 20 2.0 22.0 6.0 6.6 0.7 56.3 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Rick Callison Guard 22 1.5 18.5 8.4 1.2 4.1 49.1 Shot Creator Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Morey Ball 6.4 Pace & Space 3.3 Seven Seconds 2.5 Triangle 1.9 Perimeter Centric 1.2 Grit & Grind 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 15.75 16.88 -1.13 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.47 14.49 -0.02 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 11.47 12.66 -1.19 playmaking / Spacing 9.68 11.36 -1.68 playmaking / Passing 11.81 14.19 -2.38 playmaking / Ball Handling 10.09 12.94 -2.84 creation / Self-Creation 12.89 14.36 -1.47 creation / Finishing 15.12 15.09 +0.03 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.00 9.93 -0.93 playmaking / Gravity 11.83 13.75 -1.93 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 9% Roll : Pop: 42:58 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 66:34 Corner 3 : Above Break: 59:41 Primary Scoring Options: Mustapha Efianayi 16.8 PPG USG: 27.2% TS: 55.9% 3P: 35.8% Eckhard Schneiders 16.7 PPG USG: 23.1% TS: 59.3% 3P: 0.0% Keyon McCoy 16.1 PPG USG: 28.6% TS: 55.9% 3P: 37.2% Scoring Identity: poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.26 14.43 -0.16 defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.89 14.03 -2.14 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.32 12.76 -0.44 defense / Rim Protection 10.16 10.88 -0.72 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.31 12.89 +0.42 defense / Post Defense 12.27 11.58 +0.69 defense / Stealing 12.16 13.53 -1.38 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Anchor Big x3 Point Of Attack x2 Chaser x1 Points Allowed: 115.2 (rank 29/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.89 vs 14.03 lg avg (-2.14) defense / Stealing 12.16 vs 13.53 lg avg (-1.38) defense / Rim Protection 10.16 vs 10.88 lg avg (-0.72) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.32 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.44) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): physical / First Step 13.63 (lg avg 11.64, +1.99) execution / Basketball IQ 16.78 (lg avg 15.31, +1.47) physical / Athleticism 14.26 (lg avg 13.16, +1.09) defense / Post Defense 12.27 (lg avg 11.58, +0.69) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.31 (lg avg 12.89, +0.42) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Ball Handling 10.09 (lg avg 12.94, -2.84) execution / Isolation Execution 10.98 (lg avg 13.59, -2.61) playmaking / Playmaking 9.04 (lg avg 11.64, -2.60) playmaking / Passing 11.81 (lg avg 14.19, -2.38) defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.89 (lg avg 14.03, -2.14) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 10.98 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.98 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 11.89 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +2.26 defense / Stealing Opp: 12.16 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +1.81 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (10.2 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (12.3 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (9.7 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.00 (+2.65) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 11.89 (+2.26) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.32 (+2.18) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.16 (+1.71) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 12.16 (+1.81) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.23 (-2.72) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 13.31 (-1.53) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 12.12 (-1.38) execution / Basketball IQ Denver 15.63 vs 16.78 (-1.15) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 20-22 Away Record: 6-34 Last 10 Games: 3-7 (avg pt diff: -8.7) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 2 Longest Loss Streak: 12 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -5.0 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -3.3 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 52% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_houston_lightning.txt
Indiana Stonecutters
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: INDIANA STONECUTTERS ========================================================================================== Record: 21-62 (0.253) Win Rank: 32/36 Offense: 111.0 PPG (rank 22/36) Defense: 118.4 PPG allowed (rank 34/36) Pt Diff: -7.4 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Gleb Luzan Big 20 3.0 32.2 15.1 8.8 2.4 57.0 Versatile Big Mobile Big Jamaya Patton Big 23 4.0 31.2 12.6 8.4 1.2 57.4 Versatile Big Mobile Big Trevon King Wing 21 3.0 29.2 12.2 3.8 2.4 54.2 Secondary Creator Chaser Brandon Holyfield Guard 20 3.0 27.4 10.1 2.7 7.7 58.6 Primary Ballhandler Low Activity Caleb Donovan Big 21 3.5 29.1 12.8 8.4 1.9 55.2 Stretch Big Mobile Big Quantez Franklin Wing 20 3.5 30.1 17.3 3.8 4.7 50.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Jaron Cavalaris Wing 20 2.5 19.9 7.2 3.1 5.1 56.5 Secondary Creator Point Of Attack Demetrice Davis Wing 29 4.0 18.0 12.3 2.8 2.2 56.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 17.7) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 17.7 Balanced 11.5 Morey Ball 6.4 Grit & Grind 1.1 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.09 16.88 -0.79 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.25 14.49 -1.24 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.46 12.66 +0.81 playmaking / Spacing 11.00 11.36 -0.36 playmaking / Passing 13.70 14.19 -0.49 playmaking / Ball Handling 15.09 12.94 +2.16 creation / Self-Creation 14.49 14.36 +0.13 creation / Finishing 15.22 15.09 +0.13 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.07 9.93 -0.86 playmaking / Gravity 13.85 13.75 +0.10 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 40:60 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 53:47 Corner 3 : Above Break: 55:45 Primary Scoring Options: Quantez Franklin 17.3 PPG USG: 27.9% TS: 50.6% 3P: 33.8% Gleb Luzan 15.1 PPG USG: 20.0% TS: 57.0% 3P: 31.6% Caleb Donovan 12.8 PPG USG: 19.1% TS: 55.2% 3P: 34.7% Scoring Identity: elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 13.10 14.43 -1.33 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.46 14.03 -0.57 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.21 12.76 -1.55 defense / Rim Protection 9.33 10.88 -1.55 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.11 12.89 -1.78 defense / Post Defense 12.33 11.58 +0.75 defense / Stealing 13.96 13.53 +0.42 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Mobile Big x3 Point Of Attack x1 Low Activity x1 Chaser x1 Points Allowed: 118.4 (rank 34/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.11 vs 12.89 lg avg (-1.78) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.21 vs 12.76 lg avg (-1.55) defense / Rim Protection 9.33 vs 10.88 lg avg (-1.55) defense / Help Defense 13.10 vs 14.43 lg avg (-1.33) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.46 vs 14.03 lg avg (-0.57) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Ball Handling 15.09 (lg avg 12.94, +2.16) physical / Speed 12.39 (lg avg 11.21, +1.18) physical / Athleticism 14.24 (lg avg 13.16, +1.08) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.46 (lg avg 12.66, +0.81) defense / Post Defense 12.33 (lg avg 11.58, +0.75) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): execution / Basketball IQ 12.58 (lg avg 15.31, -2.73) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.11 (lg avg 12.89, -1.78) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.21 (lg avg 12.76, -1.55) defense / Rim Protection 9.33 (lg avg 10.88, -1.55) creation / Ball Dominance 12.59 (lg avg 14.00, -1.41) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 12.58 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +3.05 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 11.21 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +3.30 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 9.33 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +2.54 defense / Help Defense Opp: 13.10 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +1.60 physical / Endurance Opp: 10.06 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +3.04 physical / Strength Opp: 10.85 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.05 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (9.3 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (13.1 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.2 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 4. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (11.1 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 5. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (13.3 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.07 (+2.59) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 13.10 (+1.60) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.21 (+3.30) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 9.33 (+2.54) execution / Basketball IQ Denver 15.63 vs 12.58 (+3.05) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 15.09 (-3.62) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.08 (-2.57) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.73 (-2.07) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 12.05 (-1.92) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 12.34 (-1.60) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 15-27 Away Record: 6-34 Last 10 Games: 2-8 (avg pt diff: -7.0) Current Streak: L3 Longest Win Streak: 4 Longest Loss Streak: 9 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -9.8 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -4.6 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.5 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 55% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (55%) and outside (45%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_indiana_stonecutters.txt
Kansas City Knights
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: KANSAS CITY KNIGHTS ========================================================================================== Record: 76-27 (0.738) Win Rank: 3/36 Offense: 118.8 PPG (rank 3/36) Defense: 110.3 PPG allowed (rank 9/36) Pt Diff: +8.5 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Kelvin Page Wing 23 4.0 31.0 14.0 5.4 5.7 57.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Zeke Barry Big 24 5.0 29.9 15.3 9.4 1.1 65.4 Versatile Big Mobile Big BEST CA Mandela Marsh-Kittrel Guard 25 3.5 31.4 13.6 1.9 7.6 58.7 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Kavian Hawes Big 24 5.0 29.4 22.0 9.0 1.6 69.3 Post Scorer Mobile Big TOP PPG Andre Griffin Wing 28 4.5 29.9 15.6 4.4 4.6 60.6 Secondary Creator Chaser Evan Demery Big 29 3.0 24.6 9.2 3.9 2.1 53.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Antonio Lopez Big 30 3.5 20.1 6.9 6.0 1.5 62.5 Post Scorer Anchor Big Dimitris Makryonitis Guard 32 3.0 19.7 14.3 1.4 2.5 65.5 Stationary Shooter Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 19.1) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 19.1 Balanced 18.8 Morey Ball 18.7 Grit & Grind 4.4 Seven Seconds 3.0 Post Centric 2.6 Triangle 1.4 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.93 16.88 +1.05 shooting / 3PT Shooting 16.16 14.49 +1.67 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.23 12.66 -0.43 playmaking / Spacing 12.21 11.36 +0.85 playmaking / Passing 12.80 14.19 -1.39 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.93 12.94 -0.01 creation / Self-Creation 14.81 14.36 +0.44 creation / Finishing 16.81 15.09 +1.72 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 12.88 9.93 +2.95 playmaking / Gravity 12.83 13.75 -0.92 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 31:69 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 55:45 Corner 3 : Above Break: 58:42 Primary Scoring Options: Kavian Hawes 22.0 PPG USG: 26.7% TS: 69.3% 3P: 43.8% Andre Griffin 15.6 PPG USG: 21.4% TS: 60.6% 3P: 42.2% Zeke Barry 15.3 PPG USG: 19.6% TS: 65.4% 3P: 32.4% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.98 14.43 +1.56 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.91 14.03 +1.88 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15.58 12.76 +2.82 defense / Rim Protection 11.27 10.88 +0.39 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.00 12.89 +0.11 defense / Post Defense 13.20 11.58 +1.62 defense / Stealing 16.06 13.53 +2.53 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Point Of Attack x3 Mobile Big x2 Wing Stopper x2 Chaser x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 110.3 (rank 9/36) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): physical / Speed 14.60 (lg avg 11.21, +3.39) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 12.88 (lg avg 9.93, +2.95) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 15.58 (lg avg 12.76, +2.82) defense / Stealing 16.06 (lg avg 13.53, +2.53) defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.91 (lg avg 14.03, +1.88) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Passing 12.80 (lg avg 14.19, -1.39) creation / Ball Dominance 12.75 (lg avg 14.00, -1.25) playmaking / Playmaking 10.47 (lg avg 11.64, -1.17) playmaking / Gravity 12.83 (lg avg 13.75, -0.92) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.23 (lg avg 12.66, -0.43) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 12.23 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +2.21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (16.2 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 2. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Kavian Hawes (22.0 PPG, 26.7% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.23 (+2.21) physical / Strength Denver 13.89 vs 12.41 (+1.48) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.19 (-3.68) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 13.38 (-2.65) shooting / 3PT Shooting Denver 13.85 vs 16.16 (-2.31) physical / Speed Denver 12.45 vs 14.60 (-2.15) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.79 (-2.14) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 35-6 Away Record: 26-15 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +8.3) Current Streak: L2 Longest Win Streak: 13 Longest Loss Streak: 3 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +7.4 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +10.9 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 32.3/g (league avg 29.0) 2. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.2 FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Challenge Every Shot and Defensive Communication as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_kansas_city_knights.txt
Las Vegas Scorpions
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: LAS VEGAS SCORPIONS ========================================================================================== Record: 59-37 (0.615) Win Rank: 12/36 Offense: 114.3 PPG (rank 13/36) Defense: 110.1 PPG allowed (rank 8/36) Pt Diff: +4.2 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Devonne Goldwire Guard 24 3.5 33.1 13.7 2.8 6.4 60.6 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Zaire Phifer Wing 24 4.5 33.1 19.4 5.6 3.1 59.3 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA DeLazarus Russell Big 23 3.5 32.1 11.2 8.5 3.4 63.4 Post Scorer Anchor Big Darius Stephenson Wing 31 3.5 29.4 18.1 4.5 3.6 56.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Tanner Mitchell Big 20 4.0 27.0 14.4 7.8 2.8 62.9 Versatile Big Anchor Big Willie Bennett Wing 30 3.5 23.0 12.3 2.8 2.0 58.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Raheem Barkley Big 25 4.0 17.8 5.4 4.6 1.7 53.0 Post Bully Mobile Big Timo Hoffman Big 33 3.0 15.8 6.4 5.7 0.6 66.3 Stretch Big Anchor Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Pace & Space 16.4 Morey Ball 4.9 Post Centric 1.4 Triangle 1.1 Grit & Grind 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.50 16.88 +0.62 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.45 14.49 -0.04 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.15 12.66 +0.49 playmaking / Spacing 13.74 11.36 +2.38 playmaking / Passing 16.33 14.19 +2.14 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.19 12.94 +1.26 creation / Self-Creation 14.04 14.36 -0.32 creation / Finishing 15.07 15.09 -0.02 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.65 9.93 -0.29 playmaking / Gravity 15.32 13.75 +1.56 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 9% Roll : Pop: 41:59 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 59:41 Corner 3 : Above Break: 57:43 Primary Scoring Options: Zaire Phifer 19.4 PPG USG: 24.8% TS: 59.3% 3P: 41.2% Darius Stephenson 18.1 PPG USG: 27.0% TS: 56.6% 3P: 36.6% Tanner Mitchell 14.4 PPG USG: 21.5% TS: 62.9% 3P: 43.7% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 13.66 14.43 -0.77 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.22 14.03 +0.19 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.55 12.76 -2.21 defense / Rim Protection 11.11 10.88 +0.23 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.59 12.89 +0.70 defense / Post Defense 9.95 11.58 -1.63 defense / Stealing 13.34 13.53 -0.19 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Anchor Big x3 Point Of Attack x2 Mobile Big x1 Points Allowed: 110.1 (rank 8/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.55 vs 12.76 lg avg (-2.21) defense / Post Defense 9.95 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.63) defense / Help Defense 13.66 vs 14.43 lg avg (-0.77) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Spacing 13.74 (lg avg 11.36, +2.38) playmaking / Passing 16.33 (lg avg 14.19, +2.14) playmaking / Playmaking 13.73 (lg avg 11.64, +2.09) playmaking / Gravity 15.32 (lg avg 13.75, +1.56) creation / Foul Drawing 15.89 (lg avg 14.43, +1.46) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.55 (lg avg 12.76, -2.21) defense / Post Defense 9.95 (lg avg 11.58, -1.63) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 11.26 (lg avg 12.25, -0.98) physical / Athleticism 12.30 (lg avg 13.16, -0.87) defense / Help Defense 13.66 (lg avg 14.43, -0.77) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 10.55 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +3.95 physical / Athleticism Opp: 12.30 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +1.74 defense / Help Defense Opp: 13.66 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +1.05 physical / Endurance Opp: 10.73 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +2.37 physical / First Step Opp: 11.24 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +2.25 creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 9.65 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +2.01 physical / Quickness Opp: 12.66 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +1.69 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (13.7 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (10.6 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Zaire Phifer (19.4 PPG, 24.8% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.65 (+2.01) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 13.66 (+1.05) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 10.55 (+3.95) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 9.95 (+1.47) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 13.15 (+1.29) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.89 (-4.37) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 13.73 (-3.60) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.33 (-2.86) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.19 (-2.72) playmaking / Spacing Denver 11.11 vs 13.74 (-2.63) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 32-8 Away Record: 17-25 Last 10 Games: 6-4 (avg pt diff: +3.0) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 6 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +1.3 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +5.7 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.1 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 55% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (55%) and outside (45%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_las_vegas_scorpions.txt
Los Angeles Fireballs
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: LOS ANGELES FIREBALLS ========================================================================================== Record: 49-36 (0.576) Win Rank: 15/36 Offense: 116.9 PPG (rank 7/36) Defense: 114.8 PPG allowed (rank 28/36) Pt Diff: +2.1 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Basil Sanchious Wing 24 2.5 33.7 12.0 3.1 9.2 55.4 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Dion Sowder Big 29 5.0 33.4 18.5 7.9 4.0 62.2 Versatile Big Chaser BEST CA Triston Dantley Big 20 3.0 33.2 15.3 12.6 1.2 58.2 Post Scorer Anchor Big Cedric Rodgers Wing 30 4.0 33.4 29.4 5.6 4.5 60.0 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Lamar Claxton Jr Wing 20 3.0 32.2 15.7 3.3 4.0 53.4 Secondary Creator Chaser Damjan Nemanič Wing 30 3.5 21.6 10.7 3.5 2.5 62.9 Post Bully Mobile Big Guy Vasquez Guard 26 3.5 17.4 10.8 2.5 2.3 60.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Lloyd Bruton Guard 25 3.5 12.4 6.0 1.6 3.1 55.0 Shot Creator Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 19.7) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 19.7 Balanced 14.8 Morey Ball 8.1 Post Centric 6.0 Triangle 1.4 Grit & Grind 1.2 Seven Seconds 1.2 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.50 16.88 -0.38 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.10 14.49 -0.39 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.62 12.66 -0.04 playmaking / Spacing 10.89 11.36 -0.47 playmaking / Passing 16.04 14.19 +1.85 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.79 12.94 +0.86 creation / Self-Creation 14.99 14.36 +0.63 creation / Finishing 16.58 15.09 +1.49 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.51 9.93 -0.42 playmaking / Gravity 14.43 13.75 +0.67 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 11% Roll : Pop: 26:74 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 71:29 Corner 3 : Above Break: 70:30 Primary Scoring Options: Cedric Rodgers 29.4 PPG USG: 36.5% TS: 60.0% 3P: 34.9% Dion Sowder 18.5 PPG USG: 21.5% TS: 62.2% 3P: 39.7% Lamar Claxton Jr 15.7 PPG USG: 22.0% TS: 53.4% 3P: 36.2% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.26 14.43 -0.16 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.81 14.03 +0.78 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.99 12.76 +0.22 defense / Rim Protection 10.78 10.88 -0.10 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.74 12.89 -0.15 defense / Post Defense 10.62 11.58 -0.95 defense / Stealing 13.74 13.53 +0.21 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Chaser x2 Mobile Big x2 Wing Stopper x2 Anchor Big x1 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 114.8 (rank 28/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 10.62 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.95) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Passing 16.04 (lg avg 14.19, +1.85) physical / Speed 12.91 (lg avg 11.21, +1.70) creation / Finishing 16.58 (lg avg 15.09, +1.49) physical / First Step 12.77 (lg avg 11.64, +1.12) execution / Isolation Execution 14.70 (lg avg 13.59, +1.11) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): physical / Strength 9.99 (lg avg 12.01, -2.02) defense / Post Defense 10.62 (lg avg 11.58, -0.95) shooting / Free Throws 15.25 (lg avg 15.73, -0.48) playmaking / Spacing 10.89 (lg avg 11.36, -0.47) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.51 (lg avg 9.93, -0.42) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Strength Opp: 9.99 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.90 creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 9.51 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +2.14 physical / Athleticism Opp: 12.80 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +1.23 defense / Help Defense Opp: 14.26 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +0.44 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Cedric Rodgers (29.4 PPG, 36.5% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.51 (+2.14) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.99 (+1.52) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.78 (+1.09) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.62 (+1.82) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 12.80 (+1.23) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.22 (-2.70) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.04 (-2.57) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 13.79 (-2.32) creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 16.58 (-1.82) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.28 (-1.62) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 28-12 Away Record: 19-23 Last 10 Games: 10-0 (avg pt diff: +12.3) Current Streak: W12 Longest Win Streak: 12 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +1.4 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +2.1 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.6 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. Watch Cedric Rodgers (25% of scoring). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_los_angeles_fireballs.txt
Louisville Colonels
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: LOUISVILLE COLONELS ========================================================================================== Record: 65-32 (0.670) Win Rank: 7/36 Offense: 115.4 PPG (rank 10/36) Defense: 110.4 PPG allowed (rank 10/36) Pt Diff: +5.0 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Terrence Swan Wing 27 4.0 34.2 17.9 4.7 5.0 58.4 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Dantrell Blackman Guard 24 3.0 31.6 15.5 2.6 7.3 57.5 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Tyrone George Big 24 4.5 32.0 14.7 13.0 2.2 62.4 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big BEST CA Jeron Davis Wing 22 3.5 26.4 15.1 2.7 3.8 59.0 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jontavious Brogna Wing 24 4.0 32.0 15.7 4.3 3.0 52.3 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Emmanuel Blevins Big 30 3.5 24.9 12.2 7.2 2.1 62.4 Interior Playmaker Anchor Big Tenzin Ozer Wing 31 3.5 15.3 6.1 2.4 3.4 57.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Ellis Kennedy Big 27 4.0 14.3 6.1 4.7 1.4 61.0 Interior Playmaker Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Morey Ball 17.3 Pace & Space 12.3 Grit & Grind 2.6 Perimeter Centric 1.4 Post Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.57 16.88 +0.69 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.22 14.49 +0.73 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.91 12.66 +2.26 playmaking / Spacing 11.04 11.36 -0.32 playmaking / Passing 16.96 14.19 +2.77 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.52 12.94 -0.42 creation / Self-Creation 14.77 14.36 +0.40 creation / Finishing 15.46 15.09 +0.37 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.47 9.93 +1.54 playmaking / Gravity 15.65 13.75 +1.90 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 6% Roll : Pop: 48:52 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 60:40 Corner 3 : Above Break: 67:33 Primary Scoring Options: Terrence Swan 17.9 PPG USG: 22.0% TS: 58.4% 3P: 36.2% Jontavious Brogna 15.7 PPG USG: 23.0% TS: 52.3% 3P: 34.5% Dantrell Blackman 15.5 PPG USG: 21.0% TS: 57.5% 3P: 38.9% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; strong inside scoring; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.25 14.43 -0.17 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.15 14.03 +0.12 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.17 12.76 -0.60 defense / Rim Protection 10.79 10.88 -0.09 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.40 12.89 -0.49 defense / Post Defense 11.10 11.58 -0.48 defense / Stealing 13.24 13.53 -0.29 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Anchor Big x2 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 110.4 (rank 10/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.17 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.60) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.40 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.49) defense / Post Defense 11.10 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.48) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Passing 16.96 (lg avg 14.19, +2.77) physical / Speed 13.51 (lg avg 11.21, +2.30) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.91 (lg avg 12.66, +2.26) creation / Ball Dominance 15.92 (lg avg 14.00, +1.92) playmaking / Gravity 15.65 (lg avg 13.75, +1.90) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): execution / Isolation Execution 11.15 (lg avg 13.59, -2.44) physical / Quickness 11.71 (lg avg 12.87, -1.16) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.17 (lg avg 12.76, -0.60) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.40 (lg avg 12.89, -0.49) physical / Strength 11.53 (lg avg 12.01, -0.48) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 11.15 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.81 physical / Quickness Opp: 11.71 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +2.64 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 12.17 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +2.34 physical / Strength Opp: 11.53 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +2.37 defense / Stealing Opp: 13.24 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +0.72 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (12.2 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 2. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.4 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 3. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.2 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. Denver's Edge Areas: defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.17 (+2.34) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.79 (+1.08) execution / Isolation Execution Denver 13.96 vs 11.15 (+2.81) physical / Quickness Denver 14.35 vs 11.71 (+2.64) physical / Strength Denver 13.89 vs 11.53 (+2.37) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.96 (-3.50) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.53 (-3.02) creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 15.92 (-2.55) playmaking / Gravity Denver 13.30 vs 15.65 (-2.35) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 12.28 (-2.15) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 31-10 Away Record: 25-16 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +5.2) Current Streak: W4 Longest Win Streak: 8 Longest Loss Streak: 3 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +6.1 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +5.2 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 14.9 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 30.4/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_louisville_colonels.txt
Mexico City Jaguars
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: MEXICO CITY JAGUARS ========================================================================================== Record: 48-35 (0.578) Win Rank: 13/36 Offense: 112.4 PPG (rank 19/36) Defense: 108.6 PPG allowed (rank 3/36) Pt Diff: +3.8 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Mandela Osayande Wing 29 3.5 33.4 13.7 3.1 9.0 52.8 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Zion Buckner Big 32 3.5 31.4 17.4 5.7 1.7 61.2 Post Bully Wing Stopper TOP PPG Stephon Hallice Big 25 3.0 30.9 6.0 8.5 2.0 61.2 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Emeka Nyambi Big 33 3.0 30.3 15.7 11.3 1.2 62.7 Post Scorer Anchor Big Kenan Aleksic Wing 25 3.5 26.0 13.7 2.5 2.4 60.0 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Gordo Dubar Big 24 3.5 19.0 5.7 6.1 0.7 59.4 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Payton Oyediran Wing 28 4.0 20.2 12.6 2.8 2.2 58.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Robbie Warrington Big 20 2.5 17.1 5.1 3.8 0.6 60.0 Post Scorer Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 19.1) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 19.1 Balanced 15.8 Pace & Space 13.5 Grit & Grind 3.7 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.71 16.88 -0.17 shooting / 3PT Shooting 12.81 14.49 -1.68 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.91 12.66 +0.25 playmaking / Spacing 11.17 11.36 -0.19 playmaking / Passing 12.44 14.19 -1.75 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.07 12.94 -0.87 creation / Self-Creation 14.50 14.36 +0.14 creation / Finishing 15.20 15.09 +0.11 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.75 9.93 -0.18 playmaking / Gravity 10.51 13.75 -3.24 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 58:42 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 62:38 Corner 3 : Above Break: 49:51 Primary Scoring Options: Zion Buckner 17.4 PPG USG: 22.1% TS: 61.2% 3P: 36.9% Emeka Nyambi 15.7 PPG USG: 20.3% TS: 62.7% 3P: 0.0% Mandela Osayande 13.7 PPG USG: 19.9% TS: 52.8% 3P: 37.2% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.63 14.43 +0.21 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.03 14.03 +1.00 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.43 12.76 -0.34 defense / Rim Protection 12.86 10.88 +1.98 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.37 12.89 -0.52 defense / Post Defense 13.11 11.58 +1.54 defense / Stealing 11.34 13.53 -2.19 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x2 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 108.6 (rank 3/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Stealing 11.34 vs 13.53 lg avg (-2.19) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.37 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.52) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.43 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.34) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): physical / Strength 14.34 (lg avg 12.01, +2.33) defense / Rim Protection 12.86 (lg avg 10.88, +1.98) execution / Post Execution 9.84 (lg avg 8.11, +1.73) defense / Post Defense 13.11 (lg avg 11.58, +1.54) execution / Isolation Execution 14.79 (lg avg 13.59, +1.20) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Gravity 10.51 (lg avg 13.75, -3.24) defense / Stealing 11.34 (lg avg 13.53, -2.19) playmaking / Passing 12.44 (lg avg 14.19, -1.75) shooting / 3PT Shooting 12.81 (lg avg 14.49, -1.68) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 11.13 (lg avg 12.25, -1.12) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Stealing Opp: 11.34 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.62 physical / Quickness Opp: 11.84 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +2.51 physical / Speed Opp: 10.30 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +2.15 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (12.4 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 2. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.4 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 3. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (12.8 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.75 (+1.90) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.43 (+2.08) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 11.34 (+2.62) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.91 (+1.53) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 11.18 (+1.92) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 9.84 (-3.18) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.47 (-2.96) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 12.49 (-1.76) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 13.11 (-1.70) shooting / Free Throws Denver 15.20 vs 16.29 (-1.09) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 26-15 Away Record: 21-20 Last 10 Games: 5-5 (avg pt diff: +0.3) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 12 Longest Loss Streak: 5 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.4 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.8 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.9 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 57% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (57%) and outside (43%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_mexico_city_jaguars.txt
Miami Cyclones
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: MIAMI CYCLONES ========================================================================================== Record: 33-50 (0.398) Win Rank: 23/36 Offense: 109.8 PPG (rank 26/36) Defense: 111.4 PPG allowed (rank 20/36) Pt Diff: -1.6 Class: DEVELOPING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Ervin Rhinehart Big 26 4.0 32.0 19.7 6.8 1.4 59.7 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Marquese Henshaw Big 25 4.0 31.3 12.3 9.0 1.3 64.7 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Anthony Beamer Wing 24 3.0 31.1 14.4 2.0 8.1 50.8 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Jalen Humphrey Big 29 4.0 29.8 7.5 11.1 1.2 57.9 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Raekwon Pack Big 27 4.0 29.7 10.9 5.2 3.6 59.1 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Johari Whitaker Wing 30 4.0 29.6 21.8 3.8 3.2 58.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Reid Callaway Wing 23 3.5 22.0 6.5 3.0 3.3 52.1 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Marinho Sciola Guard 30 3.5 15.5 9.0 0.8 2.9 55.8 Shot Creator Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Morey Ball 14.7 Pace & Space 7.1 Perimeter Centric 4.1 Grit & Grind 3.8 Post Centric 3.8 Triangle 3.5 Seven Seconds 3.1 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.39 16.88 +0.51 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.96 14.49 +0.47 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.05 12.66 -0.61 playmaking / Spacing 11.77 11.36 +0.41 playmaking / Passing 13.90 14.19 -0.29 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.53 12.94 -0.40 creation / Self-Creation 13.75 14.36 -0.61 creation / Finishing 14.00 15.09 -1.09 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.52 9.93 +0.58 playmaking / Gravity 12.92 13.75 -0.83 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 9% Roll : Pop: 42:58 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 73:27 Corner 3 : Above Break: 72:28 Primary Scoring Options: Johari Whitaker 21.8 PPG USG: 31.6% TS: 58.6% 3P: 35.3% Ervin Rhinehart 19.7 PPG USG: 25.8% TS: 59.7% 3P: 44.2% Anthony Beamer 14.4 PPG USG: 22.8% TS: 50.8% 3P: 30.6% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.67 14.43 +1.24 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.79 14.03 -0.24 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.47 12.76 -0.29 defense / Rim Protection 12.65 10.88 +1.77 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.71 12.89 -0.18 defense / Post Defense 11.88 11.58 +0.30 defense / Stealing 14.24 13.53 +0.71 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Point Of Attack x2 Mobile Big x2 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 111.4 (rank 20/36) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): execution / Post Execution 11.50 (lg avg 8.11, +3.39) physical / Strength 14.58 (lg avg 12.01, +2.58) execution / Isolation Execution 15.42 (lg avg 13.59, +1.83) defense / Rim Protection 12.65 (lg avg 10.88, +1.77) defense / Help Defense 15.67 (lg avg 14.43, +1.24) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): physical / Endurance 8.35 (lg avg 11.38, -3.03) physical / First Step 8.83 (lg avg 11.64, -2.81) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 10.26 (lg avg 12.25, -1.98) physical / Speed 9.44 (lg avg 11.21, -1.76) creation / Finishing 14.00 (lg avg 15.09, -1.09) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Endurance Opp: 8.35 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +4.75 physical / First Step Opp: 8.83 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +4.66 physical / Speed Opp: 9.44 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +3.00 physical / Quickness Opp: 12.19 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +2.16 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Johari Whitaker (21.8 PPG, 31.6% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 10.52 (+1.14) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.47 (+2.04) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.05 (+2.39) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 8.35 (+4.75) physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 8.83 (+4.66) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 11.50 (-4.84) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.11 (-3.59) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 12.79 (-2.06) execution / Isolation Execution Denver 13.96 vs 15.42 (-1.47) shooting / 3PT Shooting Denver 13.85 vs 14.96 (-1.11) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 22-19 Away Record: 10-31 Last 10 Games: 4-6 (avg pt diff: +0.1) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 3 Longest Loss Streak: 5 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -1.5 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -2.4 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 29.9/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_miami_cyclones.txt
Minneapolis Blizzards
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: MINNEAPOLIS BLIZZARDS ========================================================================================== Record: 51-39 (0.567) Win Rank: 17/36 Offense: 114.7 PPG (rank 12/36) Defense: 113.9 PPG allowed (rank 25/36) Pt Diff: +0.8 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Tyree Bruner Wing 28 4.0 33.3 23.3 4.1 5.8 58.4 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Azar Lawton Wing 26 4.0 32.0 15.7 5.3 5.3 56.0 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Jamarcus Payne Big 30 4.0 30.5 9.8 10.3 0.8 60.0 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Nyika Nnamoko Guard 29 3.5 27.7 12.2 3.4 7.3 58.5 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack JB Winn Big 26 3.5 26.2 14.4 6.9 1.1 59.6 Stretch Big Mobile Big Rubén Serrano Guard 18 2.0 20.3 6.7 1.3 4.5 53.0 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Umberto Gigli Big 23 3.0 17.6 6.5 4.7 0.6 59.7 Post Scorer Anchor Big Marcus Hayes Wing 25 4.0 15.9 9.0 2.0 2.0 54.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 18.3) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 18.3 Pace & Space 17.9 Morey Ball 14.5 Post Centric 8.5 Grit & Grind 3.1 Seven Seconds 1.3 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.59 16.88 +0.71 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.99 14.49 -0.50 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.35 12.66 -0.30 playmaking / Spacing 11.25 11.36 -0.10 playmaking / Passing 12.99 14.19 -1.20 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.61 12.94 -0.33 creation / Self-Creation 14.03 14.36 -0.33 creation / Finishing 15.29 15.09 +0.20 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.46 9.93 -0.47 playmaking / Gravity 14.32 13.75 +0.56 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 8% Roll : Pop: 34:66 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 72:28 Corner 3 : Above Break: 69:31 Primary Scoring Options: Tyree Bruner 23.3 PPG USG: 29.2% TS: 58.4% 3P: 39.3% Azar Lawton 15.7 PPG USG: 20.8% TS: 56.0% 3P: 38.2% JB Winn 14.4 PPG USG: 22.4% TS: 59.6% 3P: 42.1% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.00 14.43 -0.43 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.19 14.03 -0.84 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.32 12.76 +0.56 defense / Rim Protection 9.75 10.88 -1.13 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.40 12.89 +0.51 defense / Post Defense 9.93 11.58 -1.65 defense / Stealing 14.67 13.53 +1.14 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Mobile Big x2 Anchor Big x2 Point Of Attack x2 Points Allowed: 113.9 (rank 25/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 9.93 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.65) defense / Rim Protection 9.75 vs 10.88 lg avg (-1.13) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.19 vs 14.03 lg avg (-0.84) defense / Help Defense 14.00 vs 14.43 lg avg (-0.43) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): physical / Strength 14.52 (lg avg 12.01, +2.51) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 14.03 (lg avg 12.25, +1.79) execution / Basketball IQ 16.59 (lg avg 15.31, +1.28) defense / Stealing 14.67 (lg avg 13.53, +1.14) execution / Post Execution 8.88 (lg avg 8.11, +0.77) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): physical / First Step 9.58 (lg avg 11.64, -2.06) shooting / Free Throws 13.78 (lg avg 15.73, -1.95) defense / Post Defense 9.93 (lg avg 11.58, -1.65) playmaking / Passing 12.99 (lg avg 14.19, -1.20) physical / Speed 10.06 (lg avg 11.21, -1.14) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / First Step Opp: 9.58 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +3.91 physical / Speed Opp: 10.06 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +2.38 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 9.75 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +2.12 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 13.19 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +0.96 physical / Athleticism Opp: 12.63 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +1.40 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (9.7 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (14.0 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Tyree Bruner (23.3 PPG, 29.2% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.46 (+2.19) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 13.32 (+1.18) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 9.93 (+1.49) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 9.75 (+2.12) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.35 (+2.09) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.20 (-2.69) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 14.03 (-2.44) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.88 (-2.23) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 12.54 (-1.80) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 13.40 (-1.62) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 30-13 Away Record: 19-20 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +4.4) Current Streak: L2 Longest Win Streak: 7 Longest Loss Streak: 3 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.4 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +0.1 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 56% 2. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.4 FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (56%) and outside (44%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Defensive Communication as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_minneapolis_blizzards.txt
Nashville Stars
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: NASHVILLE STARS ========================================================================================== Record: 19-64 (0.229) Win Rank: 34/36 Offense: 100.6 PPG (rank 36/36) Defense: 110.5 PPG allowed (rank 12/36) Pt Diff: -9.9 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Donte Black Big 20 2.5 28.4 9.7 8.7 0.6 59.4 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Cairo Johnson-Brooks Wing 21 2.5 26.9 9.4 3.0 1.1 51.3 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Kinard Otero Wing 20 2.5 26.6 11.2 2.4 3.3 55.0 Slasher Wing Stopper Kaan Korkmaz Guard 22 2.5 26.7 14.7 2.1 2.5 54.0 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Tiago Fernandes Big 23 4.0 23.1 10.6 6.4 0.8 52.1 Versatile Big Mobile Big BEST CA KJ Martin Big 27 4.0 22.7 12.1 8.9 1.2 64.8 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Raymone Crockrom Big 24 3.5 22.6 8.5 5.9 0.9 56.1 Post Bully Mobile Big Marquez Pearson Guard 23 3.0 13.8 3.8 1.3 3.1 56.6 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 12.9) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 12.9 Morey Ball 8.0 Pace & Space 6.1 Triangle 4.8 Post Centric 2.5 Grit & Grind 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 15.64 16.88 -1.24 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.59 14.49 -0.90 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.06 12.66 -2.59 playmaking / Spacing 9.28 11.36 -2.08 playmaking / Passing 10.99 14.19 -3.21 playmaking / Ball Handling 10.89 12.94 -2.05 creation / Self-Creation 14.03 14.36 -0.34 creation / Finishing 15.08 15.09 -0.01 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 5.78 9.93 -4.16 playmaking / Gravity 12.25 13.75 -1.51 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 60:40 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 65:35 Corner 3 : Above Break: 60:40 Primary Scoring Options: Kaan Korkmaz 14.7 PPG USG: 27.6% TS: 54.0% 3P: 32.1% KJ Martin 12.1 PPG USG: 20.4% TS: 64.8% 3P: 47.5% Kinard Otero 11.2 PPG USG: 20.4% TS: 55.0% 3P: 33.3% Scoring Identity: poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.70 14.43 +0.28 defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.29 14.03 -1.73 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.15 12.76 -2.61 defense / Rim Protection 11.54 10.88 +0.66 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.64 12.89 -1.25 defense / Post Defense 13.72 11.58 +2.14 defense / Stealing 12.34 13.53 -1.19 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x2 Helper x1 Points Allowed: 110.5 (rank 12/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.15 vs 12.76 lg avg (-2.61) defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.29 vs 14.03 lg avg (-1.73) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.64 vs 12.89 lg avg (-1.25) defense / Stealing 12.34 vs 13.53 lg avg (-1.19) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Post Defense 13.72 (lg avg 11.58, +2.14) defense / Rim Protection 11.54 (lg avg 10.88, +0.66) execution / Post Execution 8.46 (lg avg 8.11, +0.35) defense / Help Defense 14.70 (lg avg 14.43, +0.28) physical / Speed 11.40 (lg avg 11.21, +0.19) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): creation / Shoot Off Dribble 5.78 (lg avg 9.93, -4.16) playmaking / Passing 10.99 (lg avg 14.19, -3.21) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.15 (lg avg 12.76, -2.61) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.06 (lg avg 12.66, -2.59) creation / Ball Dominance 11.44 (lg avg 14.00, -2.56) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 5.78 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +5.88 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 10.15 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +4.35 execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 10.06 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +4.38 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 12.29 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +1.86 physical / Strength Opp: 10.47 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.42 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (10.2 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 2. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (11.6 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 3. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (13.6 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. 4. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (9.3 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 11.44 (+1.92) creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 5.78 (+5.88) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 12.29 (+1.86) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 10.15 (+4.35) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 12.34 (+1.62) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.45 (-2.94) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 13.72 (-2.30) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.46 (-1.80) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 17-25 Away Record: 2-38 Last 10 Games: 4-6 (avg pt diff: -5.4) Current Streak: W2 Longest Win Streak: 2 Longest Loss Streak: 10 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -10.1 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -9.3 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_nashville_stars.txt
New Orleans Hurricanes
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: NEW ORLEANS HURRICANES ========================================================================================== Record: 44-40 (0.524) Win Rank: 19/36 Offense: 112.9 PPG (rank 17/36) Defense: 110.7 PPG allowed (rank 15/36) Pt Diff: +2.2 Class: FRINGE PLAYOFF ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Patrik Jurecka Guard 21 3.5 35.5 21.2 4.9 5.0 58.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG B.J. Scocca Big 28 4.5 34.5 12.0 10.4 2.4 59.5 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big BEST CA Daevon Nash Wing 23 4.0 31.7 13.7 4.6 4.2 55.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Dwight Shope Big 20 3.0 25.6 9.1 8.4 0.5 58.6 Post Bully Anchor Big Giannis Kapnopoulos Big 31 4.0 29.9 17.3 4.6 4.2 54.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Darius Blackwell Guard 21 3.0 30.3 14.1 2.6 6.3 53.8 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Vitaliy McCarty Wing 28 4.0 17.5 8.2 3.2 1.6 52.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Al-Amir Geyen Big 24 3.5 15.7 4.4 5.4 0.4 55.8 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 19.7) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 19.7 Balanced 14.3 Grit & Grind 10.0 Pace & Space 7.7 Triangle 3.9 Seven Seconds 3.2 Perimeter Centric 1.2 Post Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.74 16.88 +0.86 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.55 14.49 +0.05 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.90 12.66 +0.24 playmaking / Spacing 12.68 11.36 +1.32 playmaking / Passing 13.46 14.19 -0.73 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.97 12.94 -0.96 creation / Self-Creation 14.89 14.36 +0.53 creation / Finishing 15.66 15.09 +0.57 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.73 9.93 +1.80 playmaking / Gravity 15.62 13.75 +1.86 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 44:56 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 62:38 Corner 3 : Above Break: 62:38 Primary Scoring Options: Patrik Jurecka 21.2 PPG USG: 25.0% TS: 58.8% 3P: 40.4% Giannis Kapnopoulos 17.3 PPG USG: 25.6% TS: 54.5% 3P: 34.1% Darius Blackwell 14.1 PPG USG: 21.3% TS: 53.8% 3P: 29.4% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.18 14.43 +0.75 defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.37 14.03 -1.66 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.55 12.76 -0.21 defense / Rim Protection 12.38 10.88 +1.50 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.93 12.89 +1.04 defense / Post Defense 10.93 11.58 -0.65 defense / Stealing 12.56 13.53 -0.97 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Anchor Big x3 Point Of Attack x2 Chaser x1 Points Allowed: 110.7 (rank 15/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.37 vs 14.03 lg avg (-1.66) defense / Stealing 12.56 vs 13.53 lg avg (-0.97) defense / Post Defense 10.93 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.65) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 14.44 (lg avg 12.25, +2.19) creation / Ball Dominance 15.88 (lg avg 14.00, +1.88) playmaking / Gravity 15.62 (lg avg 13.75, +1.86) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 11.73 (lg avg 9.93, +1.80) defense / Rim Protection 12.38 (lg avg 10.88, +1.50) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.37 (lg avg 14.03, -1.66) physical / Endurance 10.24 (lg avg 11.38, -1.14) defense / Stealing 12.56 (lg avg 13.53, -0.97) playmaking / Ball Handling 11.97 (lg avg 12.94, -0.96) playmaking / Passing 13.46 (lg avg 14.19, -0.73) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 12.37 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +1.79 physical / Endurance Opp: 10.24 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +2.86 defense / Stealing Opp: 12.56 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +1.40 physical / Athleticism Opp: 12.58 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +1.46 physical / First Step Opp: 11.25 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +2.24 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Patrik Jurecka (21.2 PPG, 25.0% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 12.37 (+1.79) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.55 (+1.95) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 12.56 (+1.40) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.90 (+1.54) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 12.58 (+1.46) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.14 (-3.63) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 14.44 (-2.85) creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 15.88 (-2.51) playmaking / Gravity Denver 13.30 vs 15.62 (-2.32) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 13.93 (-2.16) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 22-20 Away Record: 20-20 Last 10 Games: 6-4 (avg pt diff: -2.8) Current Streak: L2 Longest Win Streak: 5 Longest Loss Streak: 6 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +4.0 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -0.0 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.9 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 55% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (55%) and outside (45%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_new_orleans_hurricanes.txt
New York Renegades
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: NEW YORK RENEGADES ========================================================================================== Record: 35-48 (0.422) Win Rank: 22/36 Offense: 111.1 PPG (rank 21/36) Defense: 113.2 PPG allowed (rank 23/36) Pt Diff: -2.1 Class: DEVELOPING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Stephan Rayner Wing 29 3.5 33.1 28.4 3.7 4.8 58.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Terrance Brown Wing 28 3.5 30.1 11.3 3.1 6.4 56.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Landon Battier Big 24 4.0 29.8 11.7 9.5 1.2 57.1 Post Scorer Anchor Big BEST CA Khadim Flowers Wing 29 4.0 32.7 15.3 3.4 4.9 58.2 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Chase Camby Big 20 3.5 23.7 5.6 6.8 0.9 60.2 Post Scorer Anchor Big LeAndre Kokal Big 25 4.0 24.1 6.0 7.1 0.9 59.9 Versatile Big Mobile Big Tymier Hadaway Guard 31 3.5 21.2 11.4 2.7 3.2 54.1 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Josiah Peters Wing 23 3.0 19.5 15.9 2.6 2.0 60.1 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 17.6) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 17.6 Pace & Space 15.5 Balanced 14.6 Perimeter Centric 5.3 Post Centric 5.3 Grit & Grind 4.8 Triangle 1.5 Seven Seconds 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.50 16.88 +0.62 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.29 14.49 -0.20 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.83 12.66 -1.83 playmaking / Spacing 11.92 11.36 +0.56 playmaking / Passing 13.47 14.19 -0.72 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.04 12.94 +0.10 creation / Self-Creation 15.17 14.36 +0.80 creation / Finishing 16.61 15.09 +1.52 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.81 9.93 -0.12 playmaking / Gravity 13.25 13.75 -0.50 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 13% Roll : Pop: 43:57 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 65:35 Corner 3 : Above Break: 68:32 Primary Scoring Options: Stephan Rayner 28.4 PPG USG: 37.0% TS: 58.6% 3P: 34.4% Josiah Peters 15.9 PPG USG: 33.9% TS: 60.1% 3P: 31.1% Khadim Flowers 15.3 PPG USG: 20.2% TS: 58.2% 3P: 35.8% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.25 14.43 -0.18 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.20 14.03 +1.17 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.98 12.76 +0.22 defense / Rim Protection 11.90 10.88 +1.02 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.47 12.89 -0.42 defense / Post Defense 11.50 11.58 -0.08 defense / Stealing 13.36 13.53 -0.17 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x5 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x2 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 113.2 (rank 23/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.47 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.42) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): creation / Finishing 16.61 (lg avg 15.09, +1.52) execution / Basketball IQ 16.54 (lg avg 15.31, +1.23) creation / Foul Drawing 15.62 (lg avg 14.43, +1.19) defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.20 (lg avg 14.03, +1.17) defense / Rim Protection 11.90 (lg avg 10.88, +1.02) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.83 (lg avg 12.66, -1.83) physical / Speed 9.91 (lg avg 11.21, -1.30) physical / Endurance 10.19 (lg avg 11.38, -1.19) shooting / Free Throws 14.77 (lg avg 15.73, -0.96) playmaking / Passing 13.47 (lg avg 14.19, -0.72) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 10.83 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +3.62 physical / Speed Opp: 9.91 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +2.54 physical / Endurance Opp: 10.19 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +2.91 execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 12.98 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +0.98 defense / Help Defense Opp: 14.25 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +0.46 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.5 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 2. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Stephan Rayner (28.4 PPG, 37.0% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.81 (+1.84) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.98 (+1.53) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 10.83 (+3.62) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 13.00 (+1.04) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 10.19 (+2.91) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.62 (-4.11) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 9.09 (-2.43) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 12.28 (-2.15) creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 16.61 (-1.85) creation / Self-Creation Denver 13.47 vs 15.17 (-1.70) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 22-19 Away Record: 12-29 Last 10 Games: 5-5 (avg pt diff: -2.1) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 4 Longest Loss Streak: 5 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -1.8 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -3.0 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 55% 2. Stifle Star Players -- Stephan Rayner at 26% of team scoring FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (55%) and outside (45%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Stifle Star Players as defensive emphases. Watch Stephan Rayner (26% of scoring). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_new_york_renegades.txt
Oakland Tritons
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: OAKLAND TRITONS ========================================================================================== Record: 19-64 (0.229) Win Rank: 34/36 Offense: 116.5 PPG (rank 8/36) Defense: 124.1 PPG allowed (rank 36/36) Pt Diff: -7.6 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Anvar Makiev Wing 21 3.0 33.2 11.3 5.4 6.3 54.5 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Vasja Delimont Wing 20 2.5 32.0 11.0 5.4 3.5 54.7 Glue Guy Wing Stopper DuJuan Pappas Big 20 3.0 30.0 12.2 8.8 3.2 55.4 Interior Playmaker Anchor Big Evan Lucarotti Big 20 2.5 31.7 12.4 7.7 2.1 58.6 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Jarvis Cannon Big 27 4.0 24.2 16.7 5.9 0.8 59.8 Versatile Big Mobile Big BEST CA Devin Emery Guard 29 3.5 23.6 12.9 1.6 6.6 58.9 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Marcus Pendleton Wing 21 2.5 33.0 23.4 1.9 6.5 57.2 Secondary Creator Chaser TOP PPG Bakari Humphrey Wing 30 4.0 20.4 10.2 2.9 2.9 60.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 18.5) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 18.5 Morey Ball 6.6 Pace & Space 6.6 Seven Seconds 3.3 Perimeter Centric 2.6 Post Centric 2.1 Grit & Grind 1.9 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 15.18 16.88 -1.70 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.43 14.49 -1.06 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.90 12.66 -1.76 playmaking / Spacing 10.18 11.36 -1.18 playmaking / Passing 14.13 14.19 -0.06 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.10 12.94 -1.84 creation / Self-Creation 12.50 14.36 -1.86 creation / Finishing 11.70 15.09 -3.39 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 6.93 9.93 -3.01 playmaking / Gravity 13.33 13.75 -0.42 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 8% Roll : Pop: 45:55 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 71:29 Corner 3 : Above Break: 65:35 Primary Scoring Options: Marcus Pendleton 23.4 PPG USG: 29.4% TS: 57.2% 3P: 34.1% Jarvis Cannon 16.7 PPG USG: 27.7% TS: 59.8% 3P: 39.4% Devin Emery 12.9 PPG USG: 22.3% TS: 58.9% 3P: 37.2% Scoring Identity: poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.06 14.43 -0.36 defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.64 14.03 -1.39 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.13 12.76 -2.64 defense / Rim Protection 9.79 10.88 -1.09 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.67 12.89 -0.22 defense / Post Defense 13.02 11.58 +1.44 defense / Stealing 11.40 13.53 -2.14 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Mobile Big x3 Chaser x2 Anchor Big x2 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 124.1 (rank 36/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.13 vs 12.76 lg avg (-2.64) defense / Stealing 11.40 vs 13.53 lg avg (-2.14) defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.64 vs 14.03 lg avg (-1.39) defense / Rim Protection 9.79 vs 10.88 lg avg (-1.09) defense / Help Defense 14.06 vs 14.43 lg avg (-0.36) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Post Defense 13.02 (lg avg 11.58, +1.44) physical / Athleticism 13.92 (lg avg 13.16, +0.75) physical / Speed 11.34 (lg avg 11.21, +0.13) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): creation / Finishing 11.70 (lg avg 15.09, -3.39) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 6.93 (lg avg 9.93, -3.01) execution / Isolation Execution 10.84 (lg avg 13.59, -2.75) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 10.13 (lg avg 12.76, -2.64) defense / Stealing 11.40 (lg avg 13.53, -2.14) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 6.93 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +4.73 execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 10.84 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +3.12 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 10.13 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +4.38 defense / Stealing Opp: 11.40 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.56 execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 13.30 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +2.33 execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 10.90 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +3.54 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (9.8 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (14.1 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (10.1 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 4. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (13.4 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. 5. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (10.2 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. 6. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Marcus Pendleton (23.4 PPG, 29.4% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 12.15 (+1.22) creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 11.70 (+3.06) creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 6.93 (+4.73) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 12.64 (+1.51) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 10.13 (+4.38) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 13.02 (-1.60) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 12.90 (-1.39) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 11.21 (-1.08) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 13-29 Away Record: 6-34 Last 10 Games: 1-9 (avg pt diff: -12.2) Current Streak: L6 Longest Win Streak: 2 Longest Loss Streak: 13 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -5.2 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -10.0 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 53% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_oakland_tritons.txt
Oklahoma City Barons
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: OKLAHOMA CITY BARONS ========================================================================================== Record: 61-29 (0.678) Win Rank: 6/36 Offense: 117.1 PPG (rank 6/36) Defense: 109.1 PPG allowed (rank 6/36) Pt Diff: +8.0 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jaleel Usher Guard 32 3.0 31.8 16.1 4.2 4.4 61.4 Secondary Creator Chaser Marco De Luca Guard 32 4.0 31.3 22.0 3.5 6.2 60.4 Shot Creator Point Of Attack TOP PPG Leon Hawthorne Wing 30 4.0 33.4 18.9 4.6 5.0 60.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Evan Lieberman Wing 30 3.5 31.4 11.3 5.9 4.2 61.6 Shot Creator Wing Stopper Veljko Pavlovic Big 28 4.5 33.1 20.4 12.9 3.7 70.7 Interior Playmaker Anchor Big BEST CA Carsen Christos Wing 25 3.5 22.1 10.5 2.8 2.4 63.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Emery Hathaway Wing 25 3.0 17.9 7.7 2.4 1.4 54.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Julius Malone Big 24 4.0 17.2 5.1 6.2 1.3 61.3 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Morey Ball 13.9 Pace & Space 13.7 Grit & Grind 4.4 Seven Seconds 3.0 Post Centric 1.5 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.50 16.88 +0.62 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.57 14.49 +1.08 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.53 12.66 +0.88 playmaking / Spacing 11.46 11.36 +0.10 playmaking / Passing 16.91 14.19 +2.72 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.40 12.94 +1.46 creation / Self-Creation 14.97 14.36 +0.61 creation / Finishing 15.60 15.09 +0.51 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 12.60 9.93 +2.67 playmaking / Gravity 15.38 13.75 +1.62 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 8% Roll : Pop: 40:60 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 61:39 Corner 3 : Above Break: 46:54 Primary Scoring Options: Marco De Luca 22.0 PPG USG: 28.6% TS: 60.4% 3P: 41.1% Veljko Pavlovic 20.4 PPG USG: 21.6% TS: 70.7% 3P: 50.3% Leon Hawthorne 18.9 PPG USG: 23.4% TS: 60.9% 3P: 40.8% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; strong inside scoring; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.85 14.43 +1.42 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.78 14.03 -0.25 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.53 12.76 -0.24 defense / Rim Protection 10.12 10.88 -0.76 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.71 12.89 +0.82 defense / Post Defense 12.36 11.58 +0.78 defense / Stealing 12.27 13.53 -1.26 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Point Of Attack x2 Anchor Big x2 Helper x1 Chaser x1 Points Allowed: 109.1 (rank 6/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Stealing 12.27 vs 13.53 lg avg (-1.26) defense / Rim Protection 10.12 vs 10.88 lg avg (-0.76) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Passing 16.91 (lg avg 14.19, +2.72) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 12.60 (lg avg 9.93, +2.67) playmaking / Playmaking 14.03 (lg avg 11.64, +2.40) physical / Endurance 13.68 (lg avg 11.38, +2.30) creation / Ball Dominance 15.71 (lg avg 14.00, +1.71) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): physical / Athleticism 11.14 (lg avg 13.16, -2.02) physical / Speed 9.27 (lg avg 11.21, -1.94) physical / First Step 9.76 (lg avg 11.64, -1.88) physical / Quickness 11.03 (lg avg 12.87, -1.84) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 10.50 (lg avg 12.04, -1.53) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Athleticism Opp: 11.14 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +2.89 physical / Speed Opp: 9.27 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +3.18 physical / First Step Opp: 9.76 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +3.73 physical / Quickness Opp: 11.03 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +3.32 defense / Stealing Opp: 12.27 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +1.69 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 10.12 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +1.75 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 13.78 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +0.37 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 12.53 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +1.98 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (10.1 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.6 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Marco De Luca (22.0 PPG, 28.6% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.53 (+1.98) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.12 (+1.75) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 12.27 (+1.69) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 11.14 (+2.89) physical / First Step Denver 13.50 vs 9.76 (+3.73) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 14.03 (-3.90) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.91 (-3.44) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.40 (-2.93) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.22 (-2.71) creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 15.71 (-2.34) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 30-12 Away Record: 23-17 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +10.4) Current Streak: W4 Longest Win Streak: 6 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.8 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +10.4 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.5 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 31.1/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_oklahoma_city_barons.txt
Philadelphia Warriors
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: PHILADELPHIA WARRIORS ========================================================================================== Record: 56-34 (0.622) Win Rank: 11/36 Offense: 116.3 PPG (rank 9/36) Defense: 110.5 PPG allowed (rank 12/36) Pt Diff: +5.8 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ CJ LaCruz Wing 24 3.5 34.4 27.1 4.6 8.2 58.0 Shot Creator Point Of Attack TOP PPG Caius Thompson Big 30 4.0 33.0 10.5 12.1 1.6 63.4 Pick-and-Pop Big Anchor Big Xavier Lowe Wing 27 3.5 30.1 15.8 3.6 3.0 59.4 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Jordan Kolaxis Wing 30 3.5 31.2 16.6 6.7 1.8 58.3 Glue Guy Helper Lorenzo Wade Big 29 3.5 24.5 10.4 7.1 1.3 55.8 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Emanuel Autry Guard 28 3.5 20.3 7.6 2.8 6.5 61.8 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Lukáš Vintr Wing 30 3.5 29.7 12.7 3.8 6.0 56.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Tahj Rallis Wing 27 4.0 17.8 8.4 2.3 1.7 55.5 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper BEST CA ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 20.0 Balanced 19.7 Morey Ball 5.4 Seven Seconds 4.4 Grit & Grind 4.4 Post Centric 3.2 Triangle 1.1 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.76 16.88 -0.12 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.32 14.49 -0.17 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.30 12.66 +1.65 playmaking / Spacing 11.61 11.36 +0.26 playmaking / Passing 12.42 14.19 -1.78 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.51 12.94 -0.43 creation / Self-Creation 13.88 14.36 -0.48 creation / Finishing 17.43 15.09 +2.34 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.08 9.93 +0.15 playmaking / Gravity 13.42 13.75 -0.33 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 38:62 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 79:21 Corner 3 : Above Break: 61:39 Primary Scoring Options: CJ LaCruz 27.1 PPG USG: 33.0% TS: 58.0% 3P: 31.9% Jordan Kolaxis 16.6 PPG USG: 21.9% TS: 58.3% 3P: 37.3% Xavier Lowe 15.8 PPG USG: 21.2% TS: 59.4% 3P: 37.0% Scoring Identity: elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 16.25 14.43 +1.82 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.97 14.03 +0.95 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.88 12.76 +0.11 defense / Rim Protection 10.43 10.88 -0.45 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.30 12.89 +0.41 defense / Post Defense 12.40 11.58 +0.82 defense / Stealing 13.99 13.53 +0.46 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Point Of Attack x2 Mobile Big x2 Helper x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 110.5 (rank 12/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Rim Protection 10.43 vs 10.88 lg avg (-0.45) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): creation / Ball Dominance 16.40 (lg avg 14.00, +2.41) creation / Finishing 17.43 (lg avg 15.09, +2.34) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 14.09 (lg avg 12.25, +1.84) defense / Help Defense 16.25 (lg avg 14.43, +1.82) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.30 (lg avg 12.66, +1.65) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Passing 12.42 (lg avg 14.19, -1.78) physical / Athleticism 12.21 (lg avg 13.16, -0.96) playmaking / Playmaking 10.99 (lg avg 11.64, -0.65) creation / Self-Creation 13.88 (lg avg 14.36, -0.48) defense / Rim Protection 10.43 (lg avg 10.88, -0.45) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Athleticism Opp: 12.21 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +1.83 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 10.43 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +1.43 execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 14.98 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +0.65 physical / Strength Opp: 11.73 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +2.16 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (10.4 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain CJ LaCruz (27.1 PPG, 33.0% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 10.08 (+1.57) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.88 (+1.63) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.43 (+1.43) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 12.21 (+1.83) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 11.33 (+1.77) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 16.40 (-3.04) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 9.36 (-2.70) creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 17.43 (-2.67) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.10 (-2.58) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 14.09 (-2.50) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 26-14 Away Record: 23-19 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +5.3) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 7 Longest Loss Streak: 4 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.6 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +5.8 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 14.3 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_philadelphia_warriors.txt
Phoenix Vultures
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: PHOENIX VULTURES ========================================================================================== Record: 46-37 (0.554) Win Rank: 18/36 Offense: 110.4 PPG (rank 25/36) Defense: 110.7 PPG allowed (rank 15/36) Pt Diff: -0.3 Class: PLAYOFF CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Cole Starkweather Guard 23 3.0 25.8 12.0 3.0 3.4 54.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Kade Underwood Wing 21 3.0 25.4 15.1 3.2 1.5 60.5 Shot Creator Wing Stopper Demitrius Waltz Big 23 3.5 25.5 13.3 8.9 0.8 60.7 Post Scorer Anchor Big DJ McCants Wing 24 4.0 25.1 21.5 4.8 3.1 57.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Cory Collins-Carter Guard 33 3.5 23.4 11.1 1.2 5.3 54.9 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Daniel Cazorla Guard 18 2.0 22.3 5.0 1.7 5.2 58.4 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Dejon Wright Big 27 3.5 22.0 8.0 7.6 0.8 61.6 Post Scorer Anchor Big Petar Jovanovic Big 20 2.5 21.2 8.4 4.8 1.4 56.4 Pick-and-Pop Big Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 19.3) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 19.3 Pace & Space 14.3 Balanced 10.9 Post Centric 4.3 Seven Seconds 1.1 Grit & Grind 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.70 16.88 -0.18 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.18 14.49 -1.31 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.27 12.66 -0.39 playmaking / Spacing 8.70 11.36 -2.65 playmaking / Passing 16.40 14.19 +2.21 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.95 12.94 +1.01 creation / Self-Creation 12.86 14.36 -1.50 creation / Finishing 15.65 15.09 +0.56 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.40 9.93 +0.47 playmaking / Gravity 14.63 13.75 +0.88 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 6% Roll : Pop: 32:68 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 57:43 Corner 3 : Above Break: 58:42 Primary Scoring Options: DJ McCants 21.5 PPG USG: 37.5% TS: 57.9% 3P: 35.1% Kade Underwood 15.1 PPG USG: 24.5% TS: 60.5% 3P: 34.2% Demitrius Waltz 13.3 PPG USG: 21.4% TS: 60.7% 3P: 20.0% Scoring Identity: poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 13.18 14.43 -1.25 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.88 14.03 -0.15 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.44 12.76 +0.68 defense / Rim Protection 10.56 10.88 -0.33 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.54 12.89 -0.35 defense / Post Defense 11.03 11.58 -0.55 defense / Stealing 14.62 13.53 +1.09 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x5 Point Of Attack x3 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x1 Points Allowed: 110.7 (rank 15/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Help Defense 13.18 vs 14.43 lg avg (-1.25) defense / Post Defense 11.03 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.55) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.54 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.35) defense / Rim Protection 10.56 vs 10.88 lg avg (-0.33) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Passing 16.40 (lg avg 14.19, +2.21) physical / Athleticism 14.91 (lg avg 13.16, +1.75) physical / First Step 13.35 (lg avg 11.64, +1.71) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.83 (lg avg 12.25, +1.59) defense / Stealing 14.62 (lg avg 13.53, +1.09) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Spacing 8.70 (lg avg 11.36, -2.65) execution / Basketball IQ 13.42 (lg avg 15.31, -1.89) creation / Self-Creation 12.86 (lg avg 14.36, -1.50) shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.18 (lg avg 14.49, -1.31) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 10.73 (lg avg 12.04, -1.30) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 13.42 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +2.21 defense / Help Defense Opp: 13.18 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +1.53 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (10.6 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (13.2 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.5 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (13.2 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. 5. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (8.7 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. 6. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain DJ McCants (21.5 PPG, 37.5% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 10.40 (+1.25) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 13.18 (+1.53) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 13.44 (+1.07) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.56 (+1.31) execution / Basketball IQ Denver 15.63 vs 13.42 (+2.21) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.87 (-3.36) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.40 (-2.94) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 13.95 (-2.48) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 13.83 (-2.25) playmaking / Gravity Denver 13.30 vs 14.63 (-1.34) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 28-14 Away Record: 17-23 Last 10 Games: 6-4 (avg pt diff: +3.6) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 6 Longest Loss Streak: 6 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -0.6 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -0.5 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 56% 2. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 12.3 FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (56%) and outside (44%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Defensive Communication as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_phoenix_vultures.txt
Pittsburgh Vipers
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: PITTSBURGH VIPERS ========================================================================================== Record: 31-52 (0.373) Win Rank: 25/36 Offense: 110.5 PPG (rank 24/36) Defense: 115.6 PPG allowed (rank 30/36) Pt Diff: -5.1 Class: DEVELOPING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Brandon Arenas Guard 20 3.0 34.3 26.0 4.0 6.1 58.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Luke Venizelos Wing 29 4.0 33.0 12.7 7.2 2.6 60.0 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Uzoma Bonsu Big 20 2.5 34.0 15.6 10.4 1.3 59.7 Post Scorer Anchor Big Brodrick White Wing 22 3.0 33.0 10.2 3.8 3.0 51.6 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Quinn Alston Wing 31 4.0 28.0 17.9 2.1 3.7 65.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Adonis Walters Wing 31 4.0 22.2 14.1 3.3 3.3 55.1 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Horace Hammer Big 22 4.0 27.8 8.6 7.1 2.9 57.3 Post Bully Mobile Big Kibret Diew Big 22 1.0 14.5 5.4 1.8 1.1 50.8 Slasher Wing Stopper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 19.8) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 19.8 Pace & Space 12.8 Morey Ball 7.1 Grit & Grind 4.7 Triangle 2.7 Seven Seconds 1.2 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.62 16.88 -0.26 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.42 14.49 -0.07 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.00 12.66 +0.35 playmaking / Spacing 11.23 11.36 -0.13 playmaking / Passing 13.62 14.19 -0.57 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.21 12.94 -0.72 creation / Self-Creation 15.17 14.36 +0.80 creation / Finishing 14.71 15.09 -0.38 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.38 9.93 +0.45 playmaking / Gravity 15.40 13.75 +1.64 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 11% Roll : Pop: 35:65 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 69:31 Corner 3 : Above Break: 51:49 Primary Scoring Options: Brandon Arenas 26.0 PPG USG: 32.7% TS: 58.7% 3P: 35.0% Quinn Alston 17.9 PPG USG: 24.5% TS: 65.2% 3P: 44.4% Uzoma Bonsu 15.6 PPG USG: 19.4% TS: 59.7% 3P: 25.9% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 14.30 14.43 -0.12 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.74 14.03 +1.71 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.45 12.76 +1.68 defense / Rim Protection 10.76 10.88 -0.12 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 10.82 12.89 -2.06 defense / Post Defense 10.75 11.58 -0.83 defense / Stealing 15.99 13.53 +2.46 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x5 Anchor Big x1 Mobile Big x1 Helper x1 Points Allowed: 115.6 (rank 30/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 10.82 vs 12.89 lg avg (-2.06) defense / Post Defense 10.75 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.83) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Stealing 15.99 (lg avg 13.53, +2.46) defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.74 (lg avg 14.03, +1.71) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 14.45 (lg avg 12.76, +1.68) playmaking / Gravity 15.40 (lg avg 13.75, +1.64) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.12 (lg avg 12.25, +0.87) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 10.82 (lg avg 12.89, -2.06) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 10.39 (lg avg 12.04, -1.64) execution / Isolation Execution 11.96 (lg avg 13.59, -1.63) execution / Post Execution 6.67 (lg avg 8.11, -1.44) creation / Foul Drawing 13.29 (lg avg 14.43, -1.14) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 11.96 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.00 physical / First Step Opp: 10.64 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +2.85 execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 14.62 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +1.01 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (10.8 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 2. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Brandon Arenas (26.0 PPG, 32.7% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 10.38 (+1.27) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.76 (+1.11) execution / Basketball IQ Denver 15.63 vs 14.62 (+1.01) execution / Isolation Execution Denver 13.96 vs 11.96 (+2.00) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 13.00 (+1.44) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Gravity Denver 13.30 vs 15.40 (-2.10) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 15.99 (-2.03) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 13.29 (-1.78) creation / Self-Creation Denver 13.47 vs 15.17 (-1.70) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 15.74 (-1.58) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 16-26 Away Record: 15-25 Last 10 Games: 5-5 (avg pt diff: +0.1) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 3 Longest Loss Streak: 8 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -6.2 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -3.5 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.0 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 54% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (54%) and outside (46%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_pittsburgh_vipers.txt
Portland Lumberjacks
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: PORTLAND LUMBERJACKS ========================================================================================== Record: 59-30 (0.663) Win Rank: 8/36 Offense: 114.8 PPG (rank 11/36) Defense: 111.0 PPG allowed (rank 18/36) Pt Diff: +3.8 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Kylan Cassier Wing 22 3.5 31.8 23.6 3.0 5.4 60.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Cayden Ward Guard 24 3.5 31.3 15.7 3.0 8.2 54.3 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Demitrius Burns Big 28 4.0 29.8 10.0 10.3 1.0 64.8 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Jimmie Hollimon Wing 30 4.0 30.1 13.1 5.3 3.5 56.1 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Elijah Monk Big 32 4.0 27.8 13.9 7.6 1.6 64.1 Versatile Big Helper Jaleel Stripling Big 21 3.0 21.2 9.1 6.0 1.1 53.7 Versatile Big Anchor Big Isaac Lopez Big 23 3.5 19.8 10.4 4.6 0.6 64.8 Post Scorer Mobile Big Mitch Tavares Wing 24 3.0 16.2 5.1 2.1 2.1 59.1 Shot Creator Helper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Pace & Space 17.7 Morey Ball 5.3 Grit & Grind 4.4 Post Centric 2.2 Perimeter Centric 1.7 Seven Seconds 1.6 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.40 16.88 +0.52 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.64 14.49 -0.85 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.00 12.66 +1.35 playmaking / Spacing 11.79 11.36 +0.43 playmaking / Passing 15.05 14.19 +0.86 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.10 12.94 +1.17 creation / Self-Creation 14.74 14.36 +0.38 creation / Finishing 14.14 15.09 -0.95 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.17 9.93 -0.76 playmaking / Gravity 13.31 13.75 -0.44 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 5% Roll : Pop: 43:57 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 69:31 Corner 3 : Above Break: 60:40 Primary Scoring Options: Kylan Cassier 23.6 PPG USG: 29.9% TS: 60.5% 3P: 41.4% Cayden Ward 15.7 PPG USG: 22.8% TS: 54.3% 3P: 36.2% Elijah Monk 13.9 PPG USG: 19.5% TS: 64.1% 3P: 50.0% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring; elite PnR execution ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.23 14.43 +0.81 defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.21 14.03 -1.81 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.87 12.76 -0.89 defense / Rim Protection 9.84 10.88 -1.04 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.87 12.89 -1.01 defense / Post Defense 11.75 11.58 +0.18 defense / Stealing 14.02 13.53 +0.49 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Point Of Attack x3 Anchor Big x2 Wing Stopper x2 Helper x2 Mobile Big x1 Points Allowed: 111.0 (rank 18/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.21 vs 14.03 lg avg (-1.81) defense / Rim Protection 9.84 vs 10.88 lg avg (-1.04) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 11.87 vs 12.89 lg avg (-1.01) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.87 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.89) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 13.79 (lg avg 12.04, +1.75) playmaking / Playmaking 13.06 (lg avg 11.64, +1.42) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.00 (lg avg 12.66, +1.35) playmaking / Ball Handling 14.10 (lg avg 12.94, +1.17) execution / Isolation Execution 14.58 (lg avg 13.59, +0.98) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): physical / Athleticism 11.14 (lg avg 13.16, -2.03) physical / Strength 10.02 (lg avg 12.01, -1.99) defense / Off-Ball Defense 12.21 (lg avg 14.03, -1.81) physical / First Step 10.22 (lg avg 11.64, -1.42) defense / Rim Protection 9.84 (lg avg 10.88, -1.04) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Athleticism Opp: 11.14 Denver: 14.03 Edge: +2.90 physical / Strength Opp: 10.02 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.87 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 12.21 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +1.94 physical / First Step Opp: 10.22 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +3.28 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 9.84 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +2.02 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 11.87 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +2.64 creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 9.17 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +2.48 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (9.8 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.9 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (11.9 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (13.6 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. 5. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Kylan Cassier (23.6 PPG, 29.9% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.17 (+2.48) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 12.21 (+1.94) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.87 (+2.64) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 9.84 (+2.02) physical / Athleticism Denver 14.03 vs 11.14 (+2.90) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: rebounding / Offensive Rebounding Denver 10.74 vs 13.79 (-3.05) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 13.06 (-2.93) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.41 (-2.90) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.10 (-2.63) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.62 (-1.96) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 33-8 Away Record: 21-20 Last 10 Games: 8-2 (avg pt diff: +13.2) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 7 Longest Loss Streak: 3 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.0 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +4.8 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 14.0 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 56% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (56%) and outside (44%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_portland_lumberjacks.txt
Salt Lake City Saints
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: SALT LAKE CITY SAINTS ========================================================================================== Record: 30-53 (0.361) Win Rank: 26/36 Offense: 112.9 PPG (rank 17/36) Defense: 116.7 PPG allowed (rank 32/36) Pt Diff: -3.8 Class: DEVELOPING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Kahlil Justice Wing 21 3.5 33.7 20.4 3.4 5.4 57.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Niklas Harris Guard 30 3.5 29.1 16.0 2.6 6.8 56.5 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Jatayveous Wiltz Wing 24 4.0 28.6 14.5 4.4 4.7 54.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Deleon Council Big 23 2.5 27.5 14.3 4.6 1.7 58.8 Glue Guy Helper Cole Kopelani Big 32 4.0 25.8 15.1 7.9 2.1 64.6 Stretch Big Anchor Big BEST CA Tafari Stephens Big 23 3.5 24.1 7.1 8.9 1.2 61.9 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Chavis Weddle Wing 26 3.0 13.8 6.6 2.0 1.9 65.9 Secondary Creator Chaser Fabio Tinto Wing 21 2.5 19.6 6.7 1.8 2.9 51.0 Secondary Creator Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 19.9) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 19.9 Morey Ball 12.5 Pace & Space 12.4 Triangle 5.4 Post Centric 3.8 Grit & Grind 2.8 Seven Seconds 1.1 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.43 16.88 -0.45 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.81 14.49 +0.32 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.14 12.66 +0.49 playmaking / Spacing 12.95 11.36 +1.59 playmaking / Passing 15.38 14.19 +1.18 playmaking / Ball Handling 12.49 12.94 -0.44 creation / Self-Creation 14.73 14.36 +0.36 creation / Finishing 16.28 15.09 +1.19 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.04 9.93 +0.11 playmaking / Gravity 15.80 13.75 +2.04 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 7% Roll : Pop: 34:66 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 70:30 Corner 3 : Above Break: 64:36 Primary Scoring Options: Kahlil Justice 20.4 PPG USG: 25.9% TS: 57.2% 3P: 35.9% Niklas Harris 16.0 PPG USG: 23.5% TS: 56.5% 3P: 35.6% Cole Kopelani 15.1 PPG USG: 22.4% TS: 64.6% 3P: 45.8% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 13.04 14.43 -1.39 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.39 14.03 +0.37 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 13.41 12.76 +0.65 defense / Rim Protection 8.49 10.88 -2.39 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 10.54 12.89 -2.35 defense / Post Defense 10.41 11.58 -1.17 defense / Stealing 12.07 13.53 -1.46 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Point Of Attack x2 Wing Stopper x2 Anchor Big x2 Helper x1 Points Allowed: 116.7 (rank 32/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Rim Protection 8.49 vs 10.88 lg avg (-2.39) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 10.54 vs 12.89 lg avg (-2.35) defense / Stealing 12.07 vs 13.53 lg avg (-1.46) defense / Help Defense 13.04 vs 14.43 lg avg (-1.39) defense / Post Defense 10.41 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.17) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): playmaking / Gravity 15.80 (lg avg 13.75, +2.04) creation / Ball Dominance 15.76 (lg avg 14.00, +1.76) playmaking / Spacing 12.95 (lg avg 11.36, +1.59) physical / Strength 13.39 (lg avg 12.01, +1.38) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.61 (lg avg 12.25, +1.36) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): defense / Rim Protection 8.49 (lg avg 10.88, -2.39) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 10.54 (lg avg 12.89, -2.35) defense / Stealing 12.07 (lg avg 13.53, -1.46) defense / Help Defense 13.04 (lg avg 14.43, -1.39) defense / Post Defense 10.41 (lg avg 11.58, -1.17) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Rim Protection Opp: 8.49 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +3.37 defense / Stealing Opp: 12.07 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +1.89 defense / Help Defense Opp: 13.04 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +1.67 physical / Endurance Opp: 10.90 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +2.21 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (8.5 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (13.0 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (10.5 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Kahlil Justice (20.4 PPG, 25.9% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 10.04 (+1.61) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 13.04 (+1.67) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 13.41 (+1.10) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 10.41 (+1.01) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 8.49 (+3.37) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.98 (-3.47) playmaking / Gravity Denver 13.30 vs 15.80 (-2.50) creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 15.76 (-2.40) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 12.39 (-2.26) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 13.61 (-2.02) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 20-21 Away Record: 10-31 Last 10 Games: 3-7 (avg pt diff: -4.1) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 6 Longest Loss Streak: 11 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -6.9 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -0.5 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.1 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 53% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_salt_lake_city_saints.txt
San Diego Calaveras
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: SAN DIEGO CALAVERAS ========================================================================================== Record: 18-65 (0.217) Win Rank: 36/36 Offense: 108.7 PPG (rank 28/36) Defense: 119.9 PPG allowed (rank 35/36) Pt Diff: -11.2 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Óscar Salvatierra Wing 19 2.0 32.9 10.2 4.0 8.0 51.2 Secondary Creator Point Of Attack Zavyean Murray Wing 20 2.5 30.3 15.2 3.1 2.0 52.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Evan McGowan Big 20 3.5 30.0 11.4 10.5 4.2 50.9 Post Scorer Anchor Big Markelle Clarke Big 20 3.0 24.1 7.8 5.5 1.1 58.7 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Antoine Daniels Wing 32 4.0 23.0 15.8 3.6 2.5 56.5 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jamaine Curry Jr Wing 25 4.0 31.4 17.6 4.7 3.9 54.6 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Kealen Beitinger Guard 23 3.0 16.0 5.9 1.7 4.1 47.2 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Langston Baker Big 23 3.0 13.9 4.6 3.8 0.9 61.0 Post Bully Helper ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 16.6) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 16.6 Balanced 12.9 Morey Ball 5.5 Seven Seconds 1.5 Grit & Grind 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 15.26 16.88 -1.62 shooting / 3PT Shooting 13.36 14.49 -1.13 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 11.50 12.66 -1.15 playmaking / Spacing 11.44 11.36 +0.09 playmaking / Passing 13.24 14.19 -0.95 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.13 12.94 -1.80 creation / Self-Creation 14.02 14.36 -0.35 creation / Finishing 13.52 15.09 -1.57 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.33 9.93 -0.60 playmaking / Gravity 13.89 13.75 +0.13 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 12% Roll : Pop: 44:56 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 60:40 Corner 3 : Above Break: 56:44 Primary Scoring Options: Jamaine Curry Jr 17.6 PPG USG: 24.4% TS: 54.6% 3P: 29.7% Antoine Daniels 15.8 PPG USG: 29.5% TS: 56.5% 3P: 37.9% Zavyean Murray 15.2 PPG USG: 23.2% TS: 52.7% 3P: 29.2% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 12.80 14.43 -1.62 defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.68 14.03 -2.35 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.11 12.76 -1.65 defense / Rim Protection 10.85 10.88 -0.03 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.07 12.89 -0.82 defense / Post Defense 10.66 11.58 -0.92 defense / Stealing 12.38 13.53 -1.15 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Point Of Attack x2 Mobile Big x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 119.9 (rank 35/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.68 vs 14.03 lg avg (-2.35) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.11 vs 12.76 lg avg (-1.65) defense / Help Defense 12.80 vs 14.43 lg avg (-1.62) defense / Stealing 12.38 vs 13.53 lg avg (-1.15) defense / Post Defense 10.66 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.92) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.07 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.82) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 13.29 (lg avg 12.25, +1.05) playmaking / Playmaking 12.20 (lg avg 11.64, +0.56) physical / Quickness 13.20 (lg avg 12.87, +0.33) shooting / Free Throws 16.04 (lg avg 15.73, +0.31) playmaking / Gravity 13.89 (lg avg 13.75, +0.13) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 9.51 (lg avg 12.04, -2.53) defense / Off-Ball Defense 11.68 (lg avg 14.03, -2.35) execution / Isolation Execution 11.52 (lg avg 13.59, -2.08) physical / First Step 9.77 (lg avg 11.64, -1.87) physical / Endurance 9.54 (lg avg 11.38, -1.84) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 11.68 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +2.48 execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 11.52 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.44 physical / First Step Opp: 9.77 Denver: 13.50 Edge: +3.73 physical / Endurance Opp: 9.54 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +3.56 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 11.11 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +3.39 defense / Help Defense Opp: 12.80 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +1.90 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (12.8 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.1 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.1 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (13.4 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 13.52 (+1.24) creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.33 (+2.33) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 12.80 (+1.90) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 11.68 (+2.48) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.11 (+3.39) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 12.20 (-2.06) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 13.29 (-1.70) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 12.91 (-1.39) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 7.94 (-1.29) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 13-28 Away Record: 4-37 Last 10 Games: 2-8 (avg pt diff: -13.7) Current Streak: L1 Longest Win Streak: 3 Longest Loss Streak: 16 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -9.6 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -13.3 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 53% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (53%) and outside (47%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_san_diego_calaveras.txt
Seattle Thunder
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: SEATTLE THUNDER ========================================================================================== Record: 83-24 (0.776) Win Rank: 1/36 Offense: 117.2 PPG (rank 5/36) Defense: 110.5 PPG allowed (rank 12/36) Pt Diff: +6.7 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Derrick Lynch Wing 26 2.5 37.6 32.3 8.1 4.2 60.7 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Makyi Olanrewaju Wing 31 4.0 35.7 26.7 3.9 9.6 60.4 Shot Creator Point Of Attack LaRon Adams Wing 28 3.5 31.2 13.9 5.3 2.0 57.6 Movement Shooter Wing Stopper Ike Person Jr Big 29 4.0 32.8 8.3 11.4 1.2 58.0 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Sylvain Garcia Wing 28 3.0 25.3 7.7 4.5 3.3 55.9 Shot Creator Wing Stopper Ruben Miramontes Guard 27 3.5 17.6 9.9 2.6 2.5 60.5 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Ben Haygood Big 27 3.5 16.9 3.4 5.6 0.5 65.4 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Desmond NGanga Guard 30 3.0 14.4 5.6 0.7 3.8 65.2 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 19.7) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 19.7 Balanced 15.3 Morey Ball 8.5 Grit & Grind 4.3 Triangle 1.3 Seven Seconds 1.3 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 16.87 16.88 -0.01 shooting / 3PT Shooting 15.29 14.49 +0.80 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.93 12.66 +2.28 playmaking / Spacing 10.08 11.36 -1.28 playmaking / Passing 14.62 14.19 +0.43 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.45 12.94 +1.52 creation / Self-Creation 16.18 14.36 +1.82 creation / Finishing 16.21 15.09 +1.12 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.94 9.93 +1.00 playmaking / Gravity 14.82 13.75 +1.07 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 13% Roll : Pop: 41:59 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 73:27 Corner 3 : Above Break: 58:42 Primary Scoring Options: Derrick Lynch 32.3 PPG USG: 34.6% TS: 60.7% 3P: 39.0% Makyi Olanrewaju 26.7 PPG USG: 30.8% TS: 60.4% 3P: 37.4% LaRon Adams 13.9 PPG USG: 18.9% TS: 57.6% 3P: 38.2% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; elite PnR execution; poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.32 14.43 +0.89 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.40 14.03 +0.37 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.95 12.76 +0.18 defense / Rim Protection 10.91 10.88 +0.03 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 16.01 12.89 +3.12 defense / Post Defense 11.38 11.58 -0.20 defense / Stealing 17.45 13.53 +3.92 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x5 Anchor Big x2 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 110.5 (rank 12/36) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Stealing 17.45 (lg avg 13.53, +3.92) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 16.01 (lg avg 12.89, +3.12) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 14.93 (lg avg 12.66, +2.28) creation / Self-Creation 16.18 (lg avg 14.36, +1.82) execution / Isolation Execution 15.20 (lg avg 13.59, +1.60) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Spacing 10.08 (lg avg 11.36, -1.28) physical / Quickness 12.08 (lg avg 12.87, -0.79) physical / Strength 11.43 (lg avg 12.01, -0.57) rebounding / Offensive Rebounding 11.48 (lg avg 12.04, -0.56) creation / Foul Drawing 14.12 (lg avg 14.43, -0.31) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Quickness Opp: 12.08 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +2.27 physical / Strength Opp: 11.43 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +2.46 physical / Speed Opp: 10.93 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +1.52 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (15.3 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 2. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (10.1 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. 3. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Derrick Lynch (32.3 PPG, 34.6% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.95 (+1.56) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 11.93 (+1.17) physical / Quickness Denver 14.35 vs 12.08 (+2.27) physical / Speed Denver 12.45 vs 10.93 (+1.52) physical / Strength Denver 13.89 vs 11.43 (+2.46) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 16.01 (-4.24) defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 17.45 (-3.49) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.45 (-2.98) creation / Self-Creation Denver 13.47 vs 16.18 (-2.71) creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.12 (-2.60) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 35-7 Away Record: 29-11 Last 10 Games: 9-1 (avg pt diff: +12.2) Current Streak: W2 Longest Win Streak: 11 Longest Loss Streak: 2 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +6.2 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +7.7 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 14.9 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 30.6/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. Watch Derrick Lynch (28% of scoring). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_seattle_thunder.txt
St Louis Skyhawks
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: ST LOUIS SKYHAWKS ========================================================================================== Record: 19-64 (0.229) Win Rank: 34/36 Offense: 105.7 PPG (rank 33/36) Defense: 115.9 PPG allowed (rank 31/36) Pt Diff: -10.2 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Jahda Carlisle Wing 20 3.0 33.0 22.4 5.6 3.0 55.2 Secondary Creator Point Of Attack TOP PPG Denis Molodtsov Big 19 2.5 31.8 19.1 9.3 0.7 58.6 Post Scorer Anchor Big Andrej Lukic Big 21 3.5 26.7 7.7 8.9 1.5 51.4 Post Bully Mobile Big Hiroaki Kawase Wing 20 2.0 28.7 13.0 2.3 2.7 53.0 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Trinson Tomasco Big 26 3.0 24.2 8.0 5.9 2.8 53.0 Interior Playmaker Mobile Big Kaleb Sterling Wing 21 2.0 20.2 8.1 2.0 1.5 51.8 Glue Guy Wing Stopper Lincoln Rutherford Guard 30 3.5 19.6 7.5 1.4 5.2 59.1 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Jade Ahelegbe Guard 26 3.0 17.4 7.0 1.0 3.4 54.7 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Pace & Space 9.2 Grit & Grind 3.1 Morey Ball 3.1 Seven Seconds 2.6 Perimeter Centric 2.1 Post Centric 1.0 Triangle 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 15.82 16.88 -1.06 shooting / 3PT Shooting 12.06 14.49 -2.43 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.30 12.66 -2.36 playmaking / Spacing 9.73 11.36 -1.62 playmaking / Passing 13.86 14.19 -0.33 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.26 12.94 +0.32 creation / Self-Creation 14.06 14.36 -0.30 creation / Finishing 13.03 15.09 -2.06 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 7.81 9.93 -2.12 playmaking / Gravity 12.17 13.75 -1.58 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 11% Roll : Pop: 42:58 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 51:49 Corner 3 : Above Break: 52:48 Primary Scoring Options: Jahda Carlisle 22.4 PPG USG: 30.5% TS: 55.2% 3P: 35.0% Denis Molodtsov 19.1 PPG USG: 25.3% TS: 58.6% 3P: 20.8% Hiroaki Kawase 13.0 PPG USG: 21.5% TS: 53.0% 3P: 50.0% Scoring Identity: poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 12.17 14.43 -2.26 defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.26 14.03 +1.24 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.92 12.76 -0.84 defense / Rim Protection 10.92 10.88 +0.04 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.18 12.89 -0.71 defense / Post Defense 10.99 11.58 -0.58 defense / Stealing 13.75 13.53 +0.22 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Point Of Attack x4 Wing Stopper x3 Mobile Big x2 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 115.9 (rank 31/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Help Defense 12.17 vs 14.43 lg avg (-2.26) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.92 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.84) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.18 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.71) defense / Post Defense 10.99 vs 11.58 lg avg (-0.58) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / Off-Ball Defense 15.26 (lg avg 14.03, +1.24) physical / Athleticism 14.25 (lg avg 13.16, +1.09) creation / Foul Drawing 15.31 (lg avg 14.43, +0.88) physical / Quickness 13.56 (lg avg 12.87, +0.69) execution / Basketball IQ 15.79 (lg avg 15.31, +0.48) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): shooting / 3PT Shooting 12.06 (lg avg 14.49, -2.43) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.30 (lg avg 12.66, -2.36) defense / Help Defense 12.17 (lg avg 14.43, -2.26) creation / Shoot Off Dribble 7.81 (lg avg 9.93, -2.12) creation / Finishing 13.03 (lg avg 15.09, -2.06) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 10.30 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +4.15 defense / Help Defense Opp: 12.17 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +2.53 creation / Shoot Off Dribble Opp: 7.81 Denver: 11.65 Edge: +3.85 physical / Strength Opp: 10.08 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +3.81 execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 11.83 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.13 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (12.2 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.9 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.2 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. PACK THE PAINT: Weak 3PT shooting (12.1 vs 14.5 lg avg). Sag off non-shooters and clog driving lanes. 5. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (9.7 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. 6. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Jahda Carlisle (22.4 PPG, 30.5% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 13.03 (+1.73) creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 7.81 (+3.85) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 12.17 (+2.53) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.92 (+2.59) execution / Isolation Execution Denver 13.96 vs 11.83 (+2.13) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 15.31 (-3.80) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 13.26 (-1.79) playmaking / Playmaking Denver 10.13 vs 11.45 (-1.32) defense / Off-Ball Defense Denver 14.15 vs 15.26 (-1.11) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 17-25 Away Record: 2-38 Last 10 Games: 1-9 (avg pt diff: -14.3) Current Streak: L2 Longest Win Streak: 3 Longest Loss Streak: 10 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -8.5 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -11.6 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 57% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (57%) and outside (43%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_st_louis_skyhawks.txt
Toronto Huskies
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: TORONTO HUSKIES ========================================================================================== Record: 25-58 (0.301) Win Rank: 30/36 Offense: 108.3 PPG (rank 29/36) Defense: 113.7 PPG allowed (rank 24/36) Pt Diff: -5.4 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Lukas Kempe Big 21 3.0 31.4 9.0 8.0 1.4 55.8 Roll-and-Cut Big Mobile Big Malik Jefferson Guard 21 3.0 31.8 15.8 3.4 3.5 55.4 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jarrett Sutherland Wing 25 3.5 32.0 19.2 4.0 7.8 61.4 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack TOP PPG Hakeem Martin Big 19 1.0 32.8 16.5 10.4 1.1 57.4 Post Scorer Anchor Big Kourtlin Bechard Wing 20 3.5 28.9 15.1 4.3 5.0 50.2 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper BEST CA Gregor Zorko Wing 20 2.0 26.4 8.7 3.7 2.8 52.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Zeng Zhipeng Big 20 2.5 28.4 14.7 8.2 1.3 63.4 Pick-and-Pop Big Anchor Big Jean-Jacques Durand Guard 24 3.0 13.0 5.0 1.5 2.5 52.0 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Morey Ball (wt avg proficiency: 16.7) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Morey Ball 16.7 Balanced 12.1 Pace & Space 2.7 Triangle 1.9 Grit & Grind 1.0 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Post Centric 1.0 Seven Seconds 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 15.53 16.88 -1.36 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.48 14.49 -0.02 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.30 12.66 -2.36 playmaking / Spacing 11.03 11.36 -0.33 playmaking / Passing 13.81 14.19 -0.38 playmaking / Ball Handling 11.33 12.94 -1.61 creation / Self-Creation 13.56 14.36 -0.80 creation / Finishing 12.82 15.09 -2.27 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.98 9.93 +0.04 playmaking / Gravity 12.06 13.75 -1.69 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 41:59 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 55:45 Corner 3 : Above Break: 47:53 Primary Scoring Options: Jarrett Sutherland 19.2 PPG USG: 24.5% TS: 61.4% 3P: 41.3% Hakeem Martin 16.5 PPG USG: 21.8% TS: 57.4% 3P: 18.9% Malik Jefferson 15.8 PPG USG: 22.6% TS: 55.4% 3P: 37.8% Scoring Identity: balanced/average offensive profile ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 11.70 14.43 -2.72 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.96 14.03 -0.07 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.48 12.76 -1.28 defense / Rim Protection 8.83 10.88 -2.05 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.10 12.89 -0.79 defense / Post Defense 9.62 11.58 -1.96 defense / Stealing 9.87 13.53 -3.66 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x3 Anchor Big x2 Mobile Big x1 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 113.7 (rank 24/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Stealing 9.87 vs 13.53 lg avg (-3.66) defense / Help Defense 11.70 vs 14.43 lg avg (-2.72) defense / Rim Protection 8.83 vs 10.88 lg avg (-2.05) defense / Post Defense 9.62 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.96) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 11.48 vs 12.76 lg avg (-1.28) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.10 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.79) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): creation / Shoot Off Dribble 9.98 (lg avg 9.93, +0.04) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): defense / Stealing 9.87 (lg avg 13.53, -3.66) physical / Strength 8.99 (lg avg 12.01, -3.02) defense / Help Defense 11.70 (lg avg 14.43, -2.72) execution / Pick & Roll Execution 10.30 (lg avg 12.66, -2.36) creation / Finishing 12.82 (lg avg 15.09, -2.27) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): defense / Stealing Opp: 9.87 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +4.09 physical / Strength Opp: 8.99 Denver: 13.89 Edge: +4.90 defense / Help Defense Opp: 11.70 Denver: 14.70 Edge: +3.00 execution / Pick & Roll Execution Opp: 10.30 Denver: 14.44 Edge: +4.15 physical / Speed Opp: 8.94 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +3.51 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 8.83 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +3.04 physical / Quickness Opp: 10.96 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +3.39 execution / Isolation Execution Opp: 11.72 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.24 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (8.8 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. DRIVE AND KICK: Poor help defense (11.7 vs 14.4 lg avg). Penetrate and collapse the defense for open kickouts. 3. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (11.5 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 4. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.1 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 5. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Jarrett Sutherland (19.2 PPG, 24.5% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: creation / Finishing Denver 14.76 vs 12.82 (+1.94) creation / Shoot Off Dribble Denver 11.65 vs 9.98 (+1.68) defense / Help Defense Denver 14.70 vs 11.70 (+3.00) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 11.48 (+3.02) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 9.62 (+1.80) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.32 (-2.81) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 18-24 Away Record: 7-33 Last 10 Games: 2-8 (avg pt diff: -7.7) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 3 Longest Loss Streak: 9 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -5.0 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -5.5 Season Trend: STABLE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Under Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 52% 2. Box Out -- Default conservative choice FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Protect The Rim and Box Out as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_toronto_huskies.txt
Vancouver Wolves
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: VANCOUVER WOLVES ========================================================================================== Record: 66-30 (0.688) Win Rank: 5/36 Offense: 117.6 PPG (rank 4/36) Defense: 111.0 PPG allowed (rank 18/36) Pt Diff: +6.6 Class: ELITE CONTENDER ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Kostas Zonas Wing 29 4.0 33.3 19.6 6.1 6.7 57.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Orkun Ozcan Guard 29 3.5 33.2 18.5 2.7 7.2 57.8 Shot Creator Point Of Attack Sergio Ortuño Big 31 4.5 32.4 20.7 12.8 2.8 61.8 Pick-and-Pop Big Anchor Big BEST CA Drake Walter Big 28 4.0 32.5 17.0 6.0 5.8 58.1 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Jordan Johnson Jr Guard 25 3.5 26.1 11.4 4.4 2.5 55.9 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper John Jones Big 28 4.0 30.0 13.1 7.2 0.9 63.0 Glue Guy Helper Cameron Hughes Wing 30 3.0 19.2 5.6 4.0 1.4 54.6 Stationary Shooter Wing Stopper Zack LaSalle Big 26 3.5 15.4 4.8 5.8 1.2 59.1 Pick-and-Pop Big Mobile Big ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Pace & Space (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Pace & Space 20.0 Balanced 15.0 Morey Ball 8.7 Grit & Grind 7.9 Seven Seconds 4.1 Triangle 3.4 Post Centric 1.4 Perimeter Centric 1.0 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 17.73 16.88 +0.85 shooting / 3PT Shooting 16.15 14.49 +1.66 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 12.98 12.66 +0.32 playmaking / Spacing 14.22 11.36 +2.86 playmaking / Passing 16.11 14.19 +1.92 playmaking / Ball Handling 14.45 12.94 +1.51 creation / Self-Creation 14.67 14.36 +0.31 creation / Finishing 15.01 15.09 -0.08 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.84 9.93 +0.91 playmaking / Gravity 13.12 13.75 -0.64 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 10% Roll : Pop: 34:66 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 70:30 Corner 3 : Above Break: 61:39 Primary Scoring Options: Sergio Ortuño 20.7 PPG USG: 24.9% TS: 61.8% 3P: 42.4% Kostas Zonas 19.6 PPG USG: 24.3% TS: 57.9% 3P: 38.4% Orkun Ozcan 18.5 PPG USG: 22.8% TS: 57.8% 3P: 38.5% Scoring Identity: strong 3PT shooting team; strong inside scoring ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 16.50 14.43 +2.07 defense / Off-Ball Defense 14.78 14.03 +0.75 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16.00 12.76 +3.24 defense / Rim Protection 12.05 10.88 +1.16 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 13.66 12.89 +0.77 defense / Post Defense 11.72 11.58 +0.14 defense / Stealing 11.70 13.53 -1.83 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Wing Stopper x4 Helper x1 Mobile Big x1 Anchor Big x1 Point Of Attack x1 Points Allowed: 111.0 (rank 18/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Stealing 11.70 vs 13.53 lg avg (-1.83) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 16.00 (lg avg 12.76, +3.24) physical / Quickness 16.07 (lg avg 12.87, +3.20) playmaking / Spacing 14.22 (lg avg 11.36, +2.86) defense / Help Defense 16.50 (lg avg 14.43, +2.07) playmaking / Passing 16.11 (lg avg 14.19, +1.92) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): execution / Basketball IQ 13.24 (lg avg 15.31, -2.07) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting 10.39 (lg avg 12.25, -1.85) defense / Stealing 11.70 (lg avg 13.53, -1.83) creation / Foul Drawing 12.67 (lg avg 14.43, -1.76) execution / Post Execution 7.11 (lg avg 8.11, -1.00) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): execution / Basketball IQ Opp: 13.24 Denver: 15.63 Edge: +2.39 defense / Stealing Opp: 11.70 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +2.26 physical / Endurance Opp: 11.21 Denver: 13.10 Edge: +1.89 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. DEFEND THE ARC: Strong 3PT team (16.2 vs 14.5 lg avg). Close out hard on shooters, contest every three. 2. KEY ASSIGNMENT: Contain Sergio Ortuño (20.7 PPG, 24.9% USG). Assign best perimeter defender, deny touches. Denver's Edge Areas: defense / Stealing Denver 13.96 vs 11.70 (+2.26) execution / Basketball IQ Denver 15.63 vs 13.24 (+2.39) execution / Pick & Roll Execution Denver 14.44 vs 12.98 (+1.46) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 11.21 (+1.89) shooting / Mid-Range Shooting Denver 11.59 vs 10.39 (+1.19) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: playmaking / Spacing Denver 11.11 vs 14.22 (-3.11) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 14.45 (-2.98) playmaking / Passing Denver 13.47 vs 16.11 (-2.64) shooting / 3PT Shooting Denver 13.85 vs 16.15 (-2.31) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding Denver 11.78 vs 13.66 (-1.89) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 30-10 Away Record: 26-16 Last 10 Games: 7-3 (avg pt diff: +8.9) Current Streak: W2 Longest Win Streak: 7 Longest Loss Streak: 2 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: +3.6 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: +8.9 Season Trend: IMPROVING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.0 2. Challenge Every Shot -- 3PA 32.3/g (league avg 29.0) FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (52%) and outside (48%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Challenge Every Shot as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_vancouver_wolves.txt
Washington Pilots
========================================================================================== SCOUTING REPORT: WASHINGTON PILOTS ========================================================================================== Record: 27-56 (0.325) Win Rank: 28/36 Offense: 108.1 PPG (rank 30/36) Defense: 114.5 PPG allowed (rank 27/36) Pt Diff: -6.4 Class: REBUILDING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 1: KEY PERSONNEL ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Name Pos Age CA MPG PPG RPG APG TS% Off Arch Def Arch Note ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Kalen Smart Wing 34 3.5 32.9 16.5 5.2 5.2 52.3 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper TOP PPG Jack Meyer Big 27 3.5 32.5 13.0 10.1 1.2 59.9 Versatile Big Mobile Big Dwayne McRae Wing 29 3.5 32.4 15.6 3.8 4.2 55.8 Secondary Creator Wing Stopper Martrevious McClure Big 25 3.5 28.4 9.5 7.5 0.7 61.2 Roll-and-Cut Big Anchor Big Dominic Vukcevic Big 28 4.5 27.4 15.5 8.5 1.4 55.5 Versatile Big Mobile Big BEST CA Quintyn Detrick Guard 24 3.0 26.8 13.8 3.2 3.4 52.0 Secondary Creator Chaser Kenny Cokley Guard 30 3.5 33.3 15.6 2.9 6.7 57.8 Primary Ballhandler Point Of Attack Deshaunt Jordan Guard 33 3.0 21.3 6.4 1.5 5.1 47.7 Shot Creator Point Of Attack ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 2: OFFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Offensive Identity: Balanced (wt avg proficiency: 20.0) System Proficiency Breakdown (rotation, minutes-weighted): Balanced 20.0 Morey Ball 12.6 Pace & Space 9.7 Seven Seconds 8.5 Grit & Grind 6.3 Post Centric 3.7 Triangle 2.1 Perimeter Centric 1.8 Offensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- shooting / Inside Shooting 18.11 16.88 +1.23 shooting / 3PT Shooting 14.34 14.49 -0.15 execution / Pick & Roll Execution 13.49 12.66 +0.84 playmaking / Spacing 8.97 11.36 -2.38 playmaking / Passing 13.94 14.19 -0.25 playmaking / Ball Handling 13.77 12.94 +0.84 creation / Self-Creation 16.32 14.36 +1.95 creation / Finishing 16.15 15.09 +1.06 creation / Shoot Off Dribble 10.92 9.93 +0.99 playmaking / Gravity 14.08 13.75 +0.32 Key Tendencies (rotation averages): Driving frequency: 11% Roll : Pop: 41:59 Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up: 66:34 Corner 3 : Above Break: 53:47 Primary Scoring Options: Kalen Smart 16.5 PPG USG: 23.9% TS: 52.3% 3P: 34.6% Kenny Cokley 15.6 PPG USG: 19.8% TS: 57.8% 3P: 36.0% Dwayne McRae 15.6 PPG USG: 21.5% TS: 55.8% 3P: 35.0% Scoring Identity: strong inside scoring; elite PnR execution; poor spacing (exploitable) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 3: DEFENSIVE PROFILE ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Defensive Ratings (rotation, minutes-weighted vs league avg): Rating Team LgAvg Diff --------------------------------------------------------------- defense / Help Defense 15.28 14.43 +0.85 defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.40 14.03 -0.63 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.11 12.76 -0.65 defense / Rim Protection 10.07 10.88 -0.82 rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.10 12.89 -0.79 defense / Post Defense 10.20 11.58 -1.38 defense / Stealing 13.08 13.53 -0.45 Defensive Archetypes (rotation): Point Of Attack x2 Wing Stopper x2 Mobile Big x2 Chaser x1 Anchor Big x1 Points Allowed: 114.5 (rank 27/36) Defensive Vulnerabilities (below league avg): defense / Post Defense 10.20 vs 11.58 lg avg (-1.38) defense / Rim Protection 10.07 vs 10.88 lg avg (-0.82) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.10 vs 12.89 lg avg (-0.79) defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense 12.11 vs 12.76 lg avg (-0.65) defense / Off-Ball Defense 13.40 vs 14.03 lg avg (-0.63) defense / Stealing 13.08 vs 13.53 lg avg (-0.45) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 4: STRENGTHS & WEAKNESSES ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Advantages (exceed league avg): creation / Ball Dominance 16.16 (lg avg 14.00, +2.16) creation / Self-Creation 16.32 (lg avg 14.36, +1.95) physical / First Step 13.11 (lg avg 11.64, +1.47) shooting / Inside Shooting 18.11 (lg avg 16.88, +1.23) creation / Finishing 16.15 (lg avg 15.09, +1.06) Top 5 Weaknesses (trail league avg): playmaking / Spacing 8.97 (lg avg 11.36, -2.38) physical / Speed 9.59 (lg avg 11.21, -1.61) defense / Post Defense 10.20 (lg avg 11.58, -1.38) defense / Rim Protection 10.07 (lg avg 10.88, -0.82) rebounding / Defensive Rebounding 12.10 (lg avg 12.89, -0.79) Exploitable Matchups (their weakness + Denver strength): physical / Speed Opp: 9.59 Denver: 12.45 Edge: +2.85 defense / Rim Protection Opp: 10.07 Denver: 11.87 Edge: +1.80 defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Opp: 12.11 Denver: 14.51 Edge: +2.40 defense / Off-Ball Defense Opp: 13.40 Denver: 14.15 Edge: +0.75 defense / Stealing Opp: 13.08 Denver: 13.96 Edge: +0.88 physical / Quickness Opp: 12.45 Denver: 14.35 Edge: +1.90 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 5: DENVER GAME PLAN ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Strategic Approach: 1. ATTACK THE RIM: Weak rim protection (10.1 vs 10.9 lg avg). Feed interior scorers and drive aggressively. 2. ISO OPPORTUNITIES: Weak perimeter defense (12.1 vs 12.8 lg avg). Let wing creators attack 1-on-1. 3. CRASH THE BOARDS: Poor defensive rebounding (12.1 vs 12.9 lg avg). Send offensive rebounders for second-chance points. 4. CROWD THE LANE: Poor spacing (9.0 vs 11.4 lg avg). Play aggressive help defense — their shooters won't punish you. Denver's Edge Areas: defense / On-Ball Perimeter Defense Denver 14.51 vs 12.11 (+2.40) defense / Post Defense Denver 11.42 vs 10.20 (+1.22) defense / Rim Protection Denver 11.87 vs 10.07 (+1.80) physical / Endurance Denver 13.10 vs 11.24 (+1.86) physical / Quickness Denver 14.35 vs 12.45 (+1.90) Denver's Disadvantage Areas: creation / Foul Drawing Denver 11.51 vs 14.37 (-2.85) creation / Self-Creation Denver 13.47 vs 16.32 (-2.85) creation / Ball Dominance Denver 13.36 vs 16.16 (-2.80) execution / Post Execution Denver 6.66 vs 8.99 (-2.33) playmaking / Ball Handling Denver 11.47 vs 13.77 (-2.30) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 6: SEASON RESULTS ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Home Record: 18-23 Away Record: 8-33 Last 10 Games: 1-9 (avg pt diff: -14.1) Current Streak: W1 Longest Win Streak: 5 Longest Loss Streak: 10 1st Half Avg Pt Diff: -4.7 2nd Half Avg Pt Diff: -8.7 Season Trend: DECLINING ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ SECTION 7: DEFENSIVE SETTINGS (MORGADO) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ RECOMMENDED SETTINGS: Intensity: Conservative Focus: Balanced (Medium confidence) Guard Screen Def: Over Big Screen Def: Drop EMPHASIS (pick 2): 1. Defensive Communication -- PnR rating 13.5 2. Protect The Rim -- 2PT scoring share 56% FOCUS RATIONALE: Dual threat — strong inside (56%) and outside (44%) GAME PLAN SUMMARY: Play balanced defense without creating openings on either side. Prioritize Defensive Communication and Protect The Rim as defensive emphases. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Report saved to: C:\Users\sloeh\OneDrive\Desktop\JBL - Claude\JBL Analytics\analysis\output\reports\14_scout_washington_pilots.txt