Carsen Christos
WOklahoma City Barons · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: Michigan State · Anacortes, Washington
Lengthy 3-and-d wing
A star-level shooting guard averaging 10.5 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 2.4 APG. Excels in free throws (19 rating, 97th pctl), help defense (18 rating, 95th pctl) and endurance (17 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by post defense (4 rating, 25th pctl).
56
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
25
Age
$2.6M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Help Defense 18 (coef=0.0134)
Pick & Roll Execution 15 (coef=0.0152)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 17 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 17 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0122)
Ball Dominance 11 (coef=0.0069)
Post Defense 4 (coef=0.0057)
Strength 9 (coef=0.0031)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
2%
Roll : Pop
29:71
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
27:73
Corner 3 : Above the Break
30:70
Positional Fit
Guard
60%
Wing
70%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by solid on-court impact (EPM). Offense is the primary value driver.
56
/ 100
#142 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.31z
EPM +0.82 (Off +1.34, Def -0.52)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.54z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0486
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.12z
WS/48 residual: +0.0042 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
45
#403
Confidence
97%
1639 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.6M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.470
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.538
Expected WM
2.453
Dev Residual
+0.0855
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.688
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive