Jeron Davis

Jeron Davis

W

Louisville Colonels · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: UCLA · Esko, Minnesota

Heady 3-and-d wing

A solid shooting guard averaging 15.1 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 3.8 APG. Excels in ball dominance (19 rating, 99th pctl), foul drawing (19 rating, 99th pctl) and speed (17 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by strength (4 rating, 9th pctl) and defensive rebounding (6 rating, 16th pctl).

54
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
22
Age
$4.3M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.1 82
RPG 2.7 45
APG 3.8 81
SPG 1.33 78
BPG 0.30 49
MPG 26.4 67
Shooting
FG% .471 56
3P% .386 69
FT% .814 49
TS% 0.590 62
Impact
Impact 54 68
Off Impact 63 94
Def Impact 41 11
Advanced
PER 17.4 81
WS 5.2 81
BPM 2.1 75
VORP 2.2 83

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Pick & Roll Execution 17 (coef=0.0152)
Help Defense 16 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 15 (coef=-0.0111)
Isolation Execution 17 (coef=0.0096)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0204)
Rim Protection 6 (coef=0.0122)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0061)
Strength 4 (coef=0.0031)
Ball Handling 10 (coef=0.0022)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
14%
Roll : Pop
43:57
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
40:60
Corner 3 : Above the Break
72:28

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 70%
Big 10%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid win-model ratings. Offense is the primary value driver.

54 / 100 #182 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +0.12z
EPM +0.32 (Off +1.41, Def -1.01)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.51z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0468
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.14z
WS/48 residual: +0.0054 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
63
#39
Defense
41
#457
Confidence
99%
2163 min
Tendencies
Salary
$4.3M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.456

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.521
Expected WM
2.333
Dev Residual
+0.1881
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.790
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Tyree Bruner Minneapolis Blizzards 28 4.0 98.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 3.0 98.1% Slasher / Chaser
Q
Quantez Franklin Indiana Stonecutters 20 3.5 98.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A
Antoine Hillis Mexico City Jaguars 26 3.0 98.0% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
K
Kahlil Justice Salt Lake City Saints 21 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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