Erickson Wirth
WHouston Lightning · Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
College: UCLA · Huntington Beach, California
Electrifying shoot-and-defend wing
A fringe wing averaging 11.4 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 3.5 APG. Excels in floor spacing (19 rating, 100th pctl), foul drawing (19 rating, 99th pctl) and first step (17 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by strength (7 rating, 22nd pctl) and finishing (12 rating, 22nd pctl).
38
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
24
Age
$1.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Pick & Roll Execution 15 (coef=0.0152)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 16 (coef=-0.0111)
Foul Drawing 19 (coef=0.0080)
Spacing 19 (coef=0.0059)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 10 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 11 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
2%
Roll : Pop
23:77
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
87:13
Corner 3 : Above the Break
79:21
Positional Fit
Guard
50%
Wing
70%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Below-average score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM). Offense is the primary value driver.
38
/ 100
#471 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.98z
EPM -2.60 (Off +0.04, Def -2.73)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.33z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0072
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.75z
WS/48 residual: -0.0465 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
52
#214
Defense
29
#499
Confidence
100%
2244 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Team Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.349
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.393
Expected WM
2.415
Dev Residual
-0.0221
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.580
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive