Kaleb Sterling
WSt Louis Skyhawks · Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
College: UCLA · Oshkosh, Wisconsin
Developing forward
A fringe wing averaging 8.1 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 1.5 APG. Excels in gravity (19 rating, 100th pctl), endurance (16 rating, 90th pctl) and isolation scoring (17 rating, 83rd pctl). Limited by interior scoring (13 rating, 7th pctl) and athleticism (8 rating, 12th pctl).
28
Impact
2
CA
3.5
PA
21
Age
$2.5M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Pick & Roll Execution 14 (coef=0.0152)
Help Defense 15 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 17 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 16 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0145)
Inside Shooting 13 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 8 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 8 (coef=-0.0111)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
29:71
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
87:13
Corner 3 : Above the Break
76:24
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
40%
Big
40%
Player Impact Breakdown
Replacement-level score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM). Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.
28
/ 100
#498 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-1.85z
EPM -4.89 (Off -3.52, Def -1.37)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.85z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0406
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-1.18z
WS/48 residual: -0.0718 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
31
#498
Defense
38
#477
Confidence
97%
1657 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Team Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.253
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $2,450,000 | Team Option |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.244
Expected WM
2.288
Dev Residual
-0.0442
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.558
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive