Jontavious Brogna
WLouisville Colonels · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: Michigan · Brookfield, Wisconsin
Explosive 3-and-d forward
A solid defensive shooting guard averaging 15.7 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 3.0 APG. Excels in help defense (19 rating, 100th pctl), interior scoring (19 rating, 100th pctl) and ball handling (19 rating, 99th pctl).
55
Impact
4
CA
5
PA
24
Age
$25.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 19 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 18 (coef=0.0122)
Pick & Roll Execution 14 (coef=0.0152)
Athleticism 15 (coef=-0.0111)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0204)
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0122)
Foul Drawing 12 (coef=0.0080)
Shoot Off Dribble 5 (coef=0.0071)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
49:51
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
47:53
Corner 3 : Above the Break
52:48
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
80%
Big
70%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by strong win-model ratings. Defense is the primary value driver.
55
/ 100
#163 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.15z
EPM +0.39 (Off -1.37, Def +1.75)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+1.01z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0792
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.60z
WS/48 residual: -0.0377 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
48
#336
Defense
63
#48
Confidence
99%
2111 min
Tendencies
Salary
$25.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Player Option
Status
Franchise Player
Trade Value
0.494
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $25,000,000 | Player Option |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.751
Expected WM
2.706
Dev Residual
+0.0444
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.954
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive