Marcus Hayes
WMinneapolis Blizzards · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: UConn · Hengoed, United Kingdom
Cerebral shoot-and-defend forward
A star-level wing averaging 9.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG. Excels in interior scoring (19 rating, 100th pctl), perimeter defense (19 rating, 100th pctl) and strength (18 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (8 rating, 25th pctl).
59
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
25
Age
$2.5M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 17 (coef=0.0152)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0145)
Endurance 16 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0204)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0111)
Foul Drawing 13 (coef=0.0080)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0061)
Playmaking 9 (coef=0.0014)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
15%
Roll : Pop
23:77
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
48:52
Corner 3 : Above the Break
69:31
Positional Fit
Guard
60%
Wing
80%
Big
10%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by solid on-court impact (EPM).
59
/ 100
#99 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.59z
EPM +1.55 (Off +1.65, Def -0.10)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+1.07z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0827
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.33z
WS/48 residual: -0.0219 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
50
#274
Confidence
92%
1300 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.507
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.716
Expected WM
2.550
Dev Residual
+0.1661
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.870
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive