Jahda Carlisle

Jahda Carlisle

W

St Louis Skyhawks · Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack

College:
· Montebello, California

Athletic 3-and-d guard

A fringe scoring shooting guard averaging 22.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 3.0 APG. Excels in athleticism (19 rating, 100th pctl), off-ball defense (19 rating, 100th pctl) and perimeter defense (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by interior scoring (14 rating, 14th pctl) and post defense (2 rating, 15th pctl).

43
Impact
3
CA
4.5
PA
20
Age
$6.2M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 22.4 98
RPG 5.6 79
APG 3.0 71
SPG 2.03 99
BPG 0.15 38
MPG 33.0 93
Shooting
FG% .440 34
3P% .350 52
FT% .831 56
TS% 0.552 35
Impact
Impact 43 19
Off Impact 42 14
Def Impact 57 81
Advanced
PER 17.8 83
WS 1.8 44
BPM -1.5 29
VORP 0.3 50

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0204)
Athleticism 19 (coef=-0.0111)
Foul Drawing 17 (coef=0.0080)
Ball Dominance 15 (coef=0.0069)
Shoot Off Dribble 13 (coef=0.0071)
Weaknesses
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 11 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 9 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 9 (coef=0.0092)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
19%
Roll : Pop
27:73
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
46:54
Corner 3 : Above the Break
80:20

Positional Fit

Guard 50%
Wing 60%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak win-model ratings. Defense is the primary value driver.

43 / 100 #425 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +0.09z
EPM +0.23 (Off -1.22, Def +1.45)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.90z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0438
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.67z
WS/48 residual: -0.0420 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
42
#442
Defense
57
#105
Confidence
100%
2604 min
Tendencies
Salary
$6.2M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Team Option
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.392

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $6,250,000 Team Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.272
Expected WM
2.428
Dev Residual
-0.1565
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.650
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
J
Jaron Cavalaris Indiana Stonecutters 20 2.5 98.5% Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack
K
Kahale North Miami Cyclones 23 2.5 98.0% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
A
Arik Mills Minneapolis Blizzards 27 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
Z
Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions 24 4.5 97.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
V
Vitaliy McCarty New Orleans Hurricanes 28 4.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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