Jaron Cavalaris
WIndiana Stonecutters · Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack
College: Marquette · Onalaska, Wisconsin
Developing guard
A fringe shooting guard averaging 7.2 PPG, 3.1 RPG, 5.1 APG. Excels in athleticism (17 rating, 94th pctl), first step (16 rating, 91st pctl) and 5.1 APG (90th pctl). Limited by rim protection (1 rating, 7th pctl) and finishing (10 rating, 12th pctl).
37
Impact
2.5
CA
4
PA
20
Age
$2.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0204)
Pick & Roll Execution 14 (coef=0.0152)
Athleticism 17 (coef=-0.0111)
Foul Drawing 16 (coef=0.0080)
Shoot Off Dribble 13 (coef=0.0071)
Weaknesses
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 11 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0122)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 9 (coef=0.0096)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
14%
Roll : Pop
26:74
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
63:37
Corner 3 : Above the Break
83:17
Positional Fit
Guard
40%
Wing
50%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Below-average score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM).
37
/ 100
#476 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.83z
EPM -2.19 (Off -1.41, Def -0.77)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-1.60z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0888
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.58z
WS/48 residual: +0.0313 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
41
#452
Defense
44
#421
Confidence
96%
1529 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.8M
Years Left
3
Expiry
End of 2051
Option
Team Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.332
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $2,750,000 | |
| 2051-52 | $2,750,000 | Team Option |
| Total Owed | $5,500,000 |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.095
Expected WM
2.335
Dev Residual
-0.2392
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.465
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive