Arik Mills
WMinneapolis Blizzards · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: Kentucky · Fresno, California
Cerebral 3-and-d wing
A star-level shooting guard averaging 8.4 PPG, 3.2 RPG, 1.9 APG. Excels in self-creation (19 rating, 100th pctl), floor spacing (19 rating, 100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by rim protection (2 rating, 15th pctl) and post execution (2 rating, 17th pctl).
58
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
27
Age
$2.5M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0122)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 13 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0122)
Foul Drawing 12 (coef=0.0080)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0061)
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0057)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0053)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
25:75
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
52:48
Corner 3 : Above the Break
61:39
Positional Fit
Guard
60%
Wing
70%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by solid on-court impact (EPM).
58
/ 100
#111 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.37z
EPM +0.95 (Off +1.38, Def -0.43)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.70z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0588
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.67z
WS/48 residual: +0.0365 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
58
#98
Defense
50
#274
Confidence
90%
1222 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Starter/Sixth Man
Trade Value
0.484
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.549
Expected WM
2.520
Dev Residual
+0.0291
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.631
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive