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Evan Lucarotti

Evan Lucarotti

B

Oakland Tritons · Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big

College: BYU · Montclair, New Jersey

Cold-blooded role player center

A fringe power forward averaging 12.4 PPG, 7.7 RPG, 2.1 APG. Excels in 7.7 RPG (88th pctl) and strength (16 rating, 80th pctl). Limited by self-creation (5 rating, 3rd pctl) and endurance (4 rating, 3rd pctl).

42
Impact
2.5
CA
4
PA
20
Age
$5.5M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 12.4 72
RPG 7.7 88
APG 2.1 59
SPG 0.77 57
BPG 1.06 77
MPG 31.7 86
Shooting
FG% .530 82
3P% .328 41
FT% .705 22
TS% 0.586 60
Impact
Impact 42 16
Off Impact 45 23
Def Impact 48 41
Advanced
PER 12.6 31
WS 2.6 56
BPM -3.3 15
VORP -0.7 6

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0204)
Pick & Roll Execution 14 (coef=0.0152)
Athleticism 14 (coef=-0.0111)
Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0080)
Ball Dominance 15 (coef=0.0069)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 12 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 4 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 5 (coef=0.0071)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
85:15
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
92:8
Corner 3 : Above the Break
82:18

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 0%
Big 50%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak win-model ratings.

42 / 100 #441 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.03z
EPM -0.09 (Off -0.10, Def +0.01)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.09z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0564
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.44z
WS/48 residual: -0.0284 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
45
#405
Defense
48
#333
Confidence
99%
2186 min
Tendencies
Salary
$5.5M
Years Left
3
Expiry
End of 2051
Option
Team Option
Status
Future Franchise Player
Trade Value
0.369

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $5,500,000
2051-52 $5,500,000 Team Option
Total Owed $11,000,000

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.151
Expected WM
2.299
Dev Residual
-0.1479
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.610
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
K
Keshaun Freeman Dallas Predators 20 3.5 98.5% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
E
Ellis Kennedy Louisville Colonels 27 4.0 98.5% Interior Playmaker / Mobile Big
A
Amari Rollins Louisville Colonels 22 3.0 98.5% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
T
Tafari Stephens Salt Lake City Saints 23 3.5 98.3% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
G
Gleb Luzan Indiana Stonecutters 20 3.0 98.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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