Ellis Kennedy
BLouisville Colonels · Interior Playmaker / Mobile Big
College: North Carolina · Wilson, North Carolina
Cerebral defensive forward
A star-level center averaging 6.1 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 1.4 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl), pick-and-roll execution (18 rating, 96th pctl) and help defense (17 rating, 83rd pctl). Limited by stealing (3 rating, 4th pctl) and ball handling (2 rating, 7th pctl).
56
Impact
4
CA
4.5
PA
27
Age
$3.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0204)
Pick & Roll Execution 18 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 6 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 6 (coef=0.0071)
Spacing 3 (coef=0.0059)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
2%
Roll : Pop
8:92
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
94:6
Corner 3 : Above the Break
70:30
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
0%
Big
80%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by strong win-model ratings.
56
/ 100
#142 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.09z
EPM -0.26 (Off -0.60, Def +0.33)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.84z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0684
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.61z
WS/48 residual: +0.0333 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#308
Defense
58
#97
Confidence
88%
1170 min
Tendencies
Salary
$3.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.499
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.644
Expected WM
2.686
Dev Residual
-0.0414
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.818
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive