Tafari Stephens

Tafari Stephens

B

Salt Lake City Saints · Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

College: Northwestern State · San Pedro, California

Heady paint-anchoring center

A fringe center averaging 7.1 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl), 8.9 RPG (94th pctl) and finishing (18 rating, 89th pctl). Limited by endurance (5 rating, 7th pctl) and first step (5 rating, 8th pctl).

42
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
23
Age
$8.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.1 45
RPG 8.9 94
APG 1.2 41
SPG 0.27 22
BPG 1.56 88
MPG 24.1 61
Shooting
FG% .565 90
3P% .000 18
FT% .829 55
TS% 0.619 84
Impact
Impact 42 16
Off Impact 37 5
Def Impact 54 74
Advanced
PER 13.6 43
WS 3.9 71
BPM -2.3 23
VORP -0.1 20

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 13 (coef=0.0152)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 8 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 5 (coef=0.0092)
Spacing 4 (coef=0.0059)
Passing 10 (coef=0.0053)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
17%
Roll : Pop
79:21
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
85:15
Corner 3 : Above the Break
73:27

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 0%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM). Defense is the primary value driver.

42 / 100 #441 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -1.04z
EPM -2.76 (Off -2.24, Def -0.45)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.14z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0053
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.14z
WS/48 residual: +0.0058 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
37
#482
Defense
54
#153
Confidence
98%
1807 min
Tendencies
Salary
$8.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Team Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.374

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $8,000,000 Team Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.442
Expected WM
2.365
Dev Residual
+0.0779
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.734
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
E
Ellis Kennedy Louisville Colonels 27 4.0 98.8% Interior Playmaker / Mobile Big
J
Jack Meyer Washington Pilots 27 3.5 98.7% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
R
Raheem Barkley Las Vegas Scorpions 25 4.0 98.7% Post Bully / Mobile Big
C
Conner Pearson Baltimore Bullets 30 4.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
J
Jalen Humphrey Miami Cyclones 29 4.0 98.5% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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