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Thaddus Carollo

Thaddus Carollo

W

Detroit Mustangs · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: UCLA · San Marcos, California

Polished shoot-and-defend wing

A rotation shooting guard averaging 2.9 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in gravity (19 rating, 100th pctl), passing (19 rating, 98th pctl) and perimeter defense (18 rating, 93rd pctl). Limited by strength (4 rating, 9th pctl) and help defense (9 rating, 10th pctl).

49
Impact
3
CA
3
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 2.9 18
RPG 1.1 18
APG 1.0 34
SPG 0.29 25
BPG 0.07 23
MPG 5.5 12
Shooting
FG% .378 10
3P% .467 95
FT% .833 59
TS% 0.505 13
Impact
Impact 49 48
Off Impact 49 45
Def Impact 50 52
Advanced
PER 16.0 67
WS 0.1 17
BPM 0.3 55
VORP 0.0 32

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 17 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 15 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 8 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 9 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 3 (coef=0.0122)
Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0080)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
8%
Roll : Pop
48:52
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
51:49
Corner 3 : Above the Break
51:49

Positional Fit

Guard 50%
Wing 60%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Limited to 78 min — score regressed toward league average.

49 / 100 #296 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.03z
EPM -0.10 (Off -1.50, Def +1.41)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.41z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0120
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.10z
WS/48 residual: -0.0086 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#308
Defense
50
#274
Confidence
22%
78 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.406

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.282
Expected WM
2.279
Dev Residual
+0.0031
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.503
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
On Track
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
A
Azar Lawton Minneapolis Blizzards 26 4.0 98.2% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
K
Kel Pendergast Denver Dragons 24 4.0 97.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
L
Leon Hawthorne Oklahoma City Barons 30 4.0 97.6% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jonathan Landry Las Vegas Scorpions 33 3.0 97.1% Secondary Creator / Helper
K
Kahale North Miami Cyclones 23 2.5 97.0% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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