Azar Lawton
WMinneapolis Blizzards · Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
College: NC State · Greensboro, North Carolina
Long 3-and-d wing
An elite two-way shooting guard averaging 15.7 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 5.3 APG. Excels in self-creation (19 rating, 100th pctl), basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl) and playmaking (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by first step (7 rating, 18th pctl).
63
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
26
Age
$27.5M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 18 (coef=0.0096)
Athleticism 14 (coef=-0.0111)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 9 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 6 (coef=0.0122)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0061)
Free Throws 14 (coef=0.0045)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
3%
Roll : Pop
13:87
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
95:5
Corner 3 : Above the Break
72:28
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
80%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by strong on-court impact (EPM).
63
/ 100
#57 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.83z
EPM +2.17 (Off -0.37, Def +2.54)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+1.05z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0819
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.26z
WS/48 residual: +0.0127 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
55
#150
Defense
65
#38
Confidence
100%
2594 min
Tendencies
Salary
$27.5M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Player Option
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.523
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $27,500,000 | Player Option |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.672
Expected WM
2.586
Dev Residual
+0.0857
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.790
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive