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Stephon Carlton

Stephon Carlton

B

Cincinnati Kings · Interior Playmaker / Helper

College: Michigan · Flint, Michigan

Spectacular ball-moving forward

An elite two-way center averaging 18.5 PPG, 9.3 RPG, 5.1 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl), endurance (20 rating, 100th pctl) and foul drawing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by three-point shooting (4 rating, 1st pctl) and off-ball defense (3 rating, 1st pctl).

65
Impact
4
CA
5
PA
34
Age
$35.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 18.5 93
RPG 9.3 95
APG 5.1 90
SPG 0.95 64
BPG 2.21 97
MPG 33.4 96
Shooting
FG% .626 98
3P% .000 18
FT% .807 47
TS% 0.671 96
Impact
Impact 65 92
Off Impact 53 66
Def Impact 62 90
Advanced
PER 23.1 99
WS 14.7 100
BPM 8.0 99
VORP 7.0 100

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 18 (coef=0.0152)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 4 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0111)
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Shoot Off Dribble 4 (coef=0.0071)
Spacing 2 (coef=0.0059)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
94:6
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
90:10
Corner 3 : Above the Break
57:43

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 0%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong win-model ratings. Ratings suggest higher ceiling than on-court impact reflects — team context may be masking individual value.

65 / 100 #43 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +0.24z
EPM +0.62 (Off +0.21, Def +0.51)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.40z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.1043
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +1.55z
WS/48 residual: +0.0879 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
53
#195
Defense
62
#58
Confidence
100%
2741 min
Tendencies
Salary
$35.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Player Option
Status
Franchise Player
Trade Value
0.533

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $35,000,000 Player Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.756
Expected WM
2.983
Dev Residual
-0.2273
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.733
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
B
Brandon Leslie Denver Dragons 29 4.0 98.9% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
J
Jonathan Lokru Chicago Jailbirds 33 3.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
K
Kelvin Grady Houston Lightning 30 4.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
B
Ben Haygood Seattle Thunder 27 3.5 98.4% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
J
Joseph Williams Salt Lake City Saints 28 3.5 98.2% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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