Kelvin Grady
BHouston Lightning · Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
College: Florida · Fort Lauderdale, Florida
Heady paint-anchoring forward
A rotation center averaging 1.5 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 0.5 APG. Excels in self-creation (19 rating, 100th pctl), defensive rebounding (18 rating, 95th pctl) and endurance (17 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by quickness (7 rating, 12th pctl) and stealing (7 rating, 17th pctl).
46
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
30
Age
$3.2M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0145)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 18 (coef=0.0122)
Help Defense 16 (coef=0.0134)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 11 (coef=0.0096)
Shoot Off Dribble 3 (coef=0.0071)
Ball Dominance 11 (coef=0.0069)
Spacing 6 (coef=0.0059)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
89:11
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
99:1
Corner 3 : Above the Break
84:16
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
0%
Big
80%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM). Elite ratings haven't translated to on-court impact.
46
/ 100
#379 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-1.19z
EPM -3.15 (Off -1.98, Def -1.16)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.96z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0762
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.88z
WS/48 residual: -0.0540 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#416
Defense
50
#274
Confidence
59%
619 min
Tendencies
Salary
$3.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.416
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.667
Expected WM
2.689
Dev Residual
-0.0224
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.735
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive