Nate Keating
BDallas Predators · Versatile Big / Mobile Big
College: Alabama · Montverde, Florida
Bruising paint-anchoring center
A solid power forward averaging 5.2 PPG, 3.4 RPG, 0.7 APG. Excels in rim protection (19 rating, 100th pctl), foul drawing (20 rating, 100th pctl) and post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by floor spacing (2 rating, 6th pctl) and ball handling (2 rating, 7th pctl).
51
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
21
Age
$2.9M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 17 (coef=0.0096)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 9 (coef=0.0152)
3PT Shooting 7 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 10 (coef=-0.0111)
Shoot Off Dribble 3 (coef=0.0071)
Ball Dominance 8 (coef=0.0069)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
19%
Roll : Pop
92:8
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
93:7
Corner 3 : Above the Break
79:21
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
40%
Big
80%
Player Impact Breakdown
Limited to 209 min — score regressed toward league average.
51
/ 100
#241 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.38z
EPM +1.00 (Off +0.36, Def +0.63)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.11z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0211
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.02z
WS/48 residual: -0.0039 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
49
#308
Defense
53
#173
Confidence
30%
209 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.9M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Team Option
Status
Backup/Rotation
Trade Value
0.450
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.506
Expected WM
2.349
Dev Residual
+0.1561
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.914
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive