Mattias Fortt
WAtlanta Devils · Glue Guy / Helper
College: Missouri · Windsor, Vermont
Developmental forward
A fringe wing averaging 11.4 PPG, 5.3 RPG, 3.7 APG. Excels in speed (16 rating, 87th pctl), 1.51 SPG (85th pctl) and endurance (15 rating, 83rd pctl). Limited by post execution (1 rating, 4th pctl) and self-creation (7 rating, 8th pctl).
27
Impact
1.5
CA
3.5
PA
20
Age
$5.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Endurance 15 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 14 (coef=0.0071)
Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0057)
Free Throws 16 (coef=0.0045)
Basketball IQ 16 (coef=0.0039)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 7 (coef=0.0152)
Inside Shooting 15 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0080)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
13%
Roll : Pop
17:83
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
83:17
Corner 3 : Above the Break
69:31
Positional Fit
Guard
20%
Wing
40%
Big
30%
Player Impact Breakdown
Replacement-level score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM). Underperforms what his visible ratings predict. Defense is the primary value driver.
27
/ 100
#500 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-1.78z
EPM -4.71 (Off -3.30, Def -1.50)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-1.07z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0548
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-1.18z
WS/48 residual: -0.0715 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
28
#500
Defense
41
#457
Confidence
99%
2135 min
Tendencies
Salary
$5.8M
Years Left
3
Expiry
End of 2051
Option
Team Option
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.230
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $5,800,000 | |
| 2051-52 | $5,800,000 | Team Option |
| Total Owed | $11,600,000 |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.234
Expected WM
2.241
Dev Residual
-0.0073
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.595
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
2.0
Dev Status
Slightly Behind
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive