Cade Shelton
WHouston Lightning · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
Taree, Australia
Cerebral two-way shooting forward
A rotation wing averaging 1.2 PPG, 0.4 RPG, 0.8 APG. Excels in athleticism (19 rating, 100th pctl), endurance (19 rating, 100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by first step (8 rating, 24th pctl).
48
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
Athleticism 19 (coef=-0.0111)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 19 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Ball Dominance 11 (coef=0.0069)
Basketball IQ 13 (coef=0.0039)
Finishing 13 (coef=0.0033)
Strength 8 (coef=0.0031)
Ball Handling 10 (coef=0.0022)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
10%
Roll : Pop
30:70
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
36:64
Corner 3 : Above the Break
51:49
Positional Fit
Guard
40%
Wing
70%
Big
30%
Player Impact Breakdown
Limited to 45 min — score regressed toward league average.
48
/ 100
#325 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-1.22z
EPM -3.23 (Off -0.34, Def -2.87)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.17z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0249
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.16z
WS/48 residual: -0.0122 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
50
#275
Defense
47
#359
Confidence
20%
45 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.415
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.513
Expected WM
2.375
Dev Residual
+0.1373
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.739
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive