Mathieu Rogers
BBoston Crusaders · Post Scorer / Anchor Big
College: North Carolina · Louisville, Kentucky
Rim-protecting center
A solid defensive power forward averaging 5.7 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 0.3 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl), post execution (19 rating, 100th pctl) and strength (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by gravity (3 rating, 3rd pctl) and self-creation (6 rating, 6th pctl).
54
Impact
2.5
CA
2.5
PA
35
Age
$3.2M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0145)
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 15 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 8 (coef=0.0152)
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 7 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0071)
Ball Dominance 9 (coef=0.0069)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
55:45
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
96:4
Corner 3 : Above the Break
9:91
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
0%
Big
50%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by solid on-court impact (EPM). Defense is the primary value driver.
54
/ 100
#182 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.56z
EPM +1.46 (Off +0.35, Def +1.10)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.61z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0534
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.91z
WS/48 residual: -0.0557 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
46
#387
Defense
60
#76
Confidence
88%
1175 min
Tendencies
Salary
$3.2M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.426
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.462
Expected WM
2.473
Dev Residual
-0.0107
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.443
PA Tier
Low
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Slightly Behind
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive