Demario Bayer
BOakland Tritons · Post Bully / Mobile Big
College: Auburn · Orlando, Florida
Tough paint-anchoring forward
A rotation center averaging 12.9 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 0.8 APG. Excels in finishing (19 rating, 100th pctl), defensive rebounding (18 rating, 95th pctl) and strength (18 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by ball dominance (7 rating, 4th pctl) and first step (5 rating, 8th pctl).
45
Impact
3.5
CA
4
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 14 (coef=-0.0111)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 8 (coef=0.0152)
3PT Shooting 9 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 6 (coef=0.0092)
Ball Dominance 7 (coef=0.0069)
Spacing 5 (coef=0.0059)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
19%
Roll : Pop
91:9
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
84:16
Corner 3 : Above the Break
67:33
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
0%
Big
70%
Player Impact Breakdown
Limited to 319 min — score regressed toward league average.
45
/ 100
#397 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.70z
EPM -1.85 (Off -1.86, Def +0.01)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.06z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0103
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-2.13z
WS/48 residual: -0.1274 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
44
#416
Defense
51
#239
Confidence
37%
319 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Backup/Rotation
Trade Value
0.404
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.413
Expected WM
2.442
Dev Residual
-0.0299
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.728
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive