Kendrick Atkins

Kendrick Atkins

W

Houston Lightning · Secondary Creator / Chaser

College: Kentucky · Louisville, Kentucky

Refined point wing

A rotation shooting guard averaging 8.4 PPG, 3.5 RPG, 3.0 APG. Excels in three-point shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl), interior scoring (19 rating, 100th pctl) and perimeter defense (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by help defense (7 rating, 3rd pctl) and foul drawing (11 rating, 24th pctl).

45
Impact
3
CA
3
PA
32
Age
$17.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 8.4 54
RPG 3.5 58
APG 3.0 71
SPG 0.93 62
BPG 0.12 32
MPG 20.0 52
Shooting
FG% .374 9
3P% .339 45
FT% .813 49
TS% 0.496 11
Impact
Impact 45 25
Off Impact 50 51
Def Impact 44 20
Advanced
PER 13.1 36
WS 0.5 28
BPM -0.8 38
VORP 0.2 45

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0122)
Pick & Roll Execution 13 (coef=0.0152)
Athleticism 14 (coef=-0.0111)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 7 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 2 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 9 (coef=0.0092)
Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0080)
Post Defense 7 (coef=0.0057)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
11%
Roll : Pop
20:80
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
61:39
Corner 3 : Above the Break
19:81

Positional Fit

Guard 50%
Wing 60%
Big 10%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest on-court impact (EPM). Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.

45 / 100 #397 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.57z
EPM -1.52 (Off -0.99, Def -0.54)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.17z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0253
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -1.23z
WS/48 residual: -0.0745 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
50
#275
Defense
44
#421
Confidence
72%
820 min
Tendencies
Salary
$17.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Player Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.377

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.490
Expected WM
2.540
Dev Residual
-0.0507
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.449
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Tayshaun Aumiller Cincinnati Kings 24 4.0 98.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
J
Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 28 3.5 98.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
T
Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels 31 3.5 98.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
Z
Zaire Phifer Las Vegas Scorpions 24 4.5 97.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A
Arik Mills Minneapolis Blizzards 27 3.5 97.6% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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