Jaylen Armstrong
BNashville Stars · Versatile Big / Helper
College: Duke · St. George, Virginia
Cerebral paint-anchoring forward
A fringe center averaging 4.2 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 0.4 APG. Excels in offensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl), isolation scoring (20 rating, 100th pctl) and strength (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by shoot off dribble (1 rating, 3rd pctl) and three-point shooting (5 rating, 4th pctl).
43
Impact
3
CA
3
PA
34
Age
$10.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0145)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 18 (coef=0.0122)
Pick & Roll Execution 13 (coef=0.0152)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 12 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 5 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 10 (coef=-0.0111)
Endurance 7 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 1 (coef=0.0071)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
11:89
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
93:7
Corner 3 : Above the Break
14:86
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
0%
Big
60%
Player Impact Breakdown
Below-average score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM).
43
/ 100
#425 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.82z
EPM -2.18 (Off -1.85, Def -0.34)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.14z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0053
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.79z
WS/48 residual: -0.0488 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
42
#442
Defense
51
#239
Confidence
74%
846 min
Tendencies
Salary
$10.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.363
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $10,000,000 |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.470
Expected WM
2.568
Dev Residual
-0.0981
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.457
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive