Cedric Rodgers

Cedric Rodgers

W

Los Angeles Fireballs · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Michigan State · Pickerington, Ohio

Dazzling 3-and-d wing

An elite two-way wing averaging 29.4 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 4.5 APG. Excels in stealing (20 rating, 100th pctl), off-ball defense (19 rating, 100th pctl) and 29.4 PPG (100th pctl). Limited by help defense (9 rating, 10th pctl) and basketball IQ (11 rating, 14th pctl).

68
Impact
4
CA
5
PA
30
Age
$33.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 29.4 100
RPG 5.6 79
APG 4.5 86
SPG 1.75 94
BPG 0.20 43
MPG 33.4 96
Shooting
FG% .483 62
3P% .349 50
FT% .872 73
TS% 0.600 71
Impact
Impact 68 96
Off Impact 60 89
Def Impact 73 98
Advanced
PER 0.0 9
WS 7.1 91
BPM 5.0 96
VORP 4.8 98

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Offensive Rebounding 15 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 16 (coef=-0.0111)
Isolation Execution 18 (coef=0.0096)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 9 (coef=0.0152)
Help Defense 9 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 9 (coef=0.0092)
Post Execution 4 (coef=0.0061)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
11%
Roll : Pop
10:90
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
46:54
Corner 3 : Above the Break
70:30

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 80%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by exceptional on-court impact (EPM). On-court impact exceeds what ratings alone would predict. Defense is the primary value driver.

68 / 100 #25 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +1.81z
EPM +4.76 (Off +0.68, Def +3.99)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.41z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0404
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.66z
WS/48 residual: +0.0360 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
73
#10
Confidence
100%
2671 min
Tendencies
Salary
$33.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.582

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.526
Expected WM
2.909
Dev Residual
-0.3832
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.526
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
1
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
S
Sasha Kukoc Cincinnati Kings 26 3.5 97.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
T
Tre Braun Phoenix Vultures 30 4.0 97.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
A
Adrian Schwartz Cleveland Giants 30 3.5 97.8% Secondary Creator / Chaser
A
Azar Lawton Minneapolis Blizzards 26 4.0 97.6% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper
J
Jamaine Curry Jr San Diego Calaveras 25 4.0 97.5% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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