Caleb Donovan
BIndiana Stonecutters · Stretch Big / Mobile Big
College: Arkansas · El Paso, Texas
Polished facilitating center
A fringe power forward averaging 12.8 PPG, 8.4 RPG, 1.9 APG. Excels in 1.96 BPG (94th pctl), 8.4 RPG (91st pctl) and post execution (17 rating, 90th pctl). Limited by self-creation (5 rating, 3rd pctl) and finishing (9 rating, 8th pctl).
32
Impact
3.5
CA
4
PA
21
Age
$3.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 13 (coef=0.0152)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0122)
Foul Drawing 16 (coef=0.0080)
Post Execution 17 (coef=0.0061)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 9 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 10 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 7 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 6 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0071)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
27:73
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
98:2
Corner 3 : Above the Break
60:40
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
10%
Big
70%
Player Impact Breakdown
Below-average score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM). Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.
32
/ 100
#492 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-1.19z
EPM -3.14 (Off -1.70, Def -1.44)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-1.00z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0504
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-1.03z
WS/48 residual: -0.0631 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
39
#473
Defense
41
#457
Confidence
100%
2240 min
Tendencies
Salary
$3.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Team Option
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.316
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.307
Expected WM
2.349
Dev Residual
-0.0426
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.715
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive