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Bogdan Nikolic

Bogdan Nikolic

B

Dallas Predators · Pick-and-Pop Big / Anchor Big

Alytus, Lithuania

Long-armed shot-blocking center

A rotation defensive power forward averaging 19.0 PPG, 9.5 RPG, 1.9 APG. Excels in rim protection (19 rating, 100th pctl), off-ball defense (19 rating, 100th pctl) and foul drawing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by free throws (9 rating, 3rd pctl) and playmaking (4 rating, 15th pctl).

46
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
21
Age
$4.8M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 19.0 94
RPG 9.5 95
APG 1.9 55
SPG 0.57 46
BPG 2.17 96
MPG 31.7 86
Shooting
FG% .493 66
3P% .324 39
FT% .699 20
TS% 0.580 54
Impact
Impact 46 30
Off Impact 42 14
Def Impact 60 87
Advanced
PER 18.1 84
WS 4.0 71
BPM -0.3 45
VORP 1.1 69

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0204)
Pick & Roll Execution 17 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 19 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 16 (coef=-0.0111)
Weaknesses
3PT Shooting 12 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 9 (coef=0.0096)
Shoot Off Dribble 3 (coef=0.0071)
Ball Dominance 11 (coef=0.0069)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0059)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
13%
Roll : Pop
27:73
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
55:45
Corner 3 : Above the Break
5:95

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 50%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by modest on-court impact (EPM). Defense is the primary value driver.

46 / 100 #379 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.28z
EPM -0.76 (Off -1.54, Def +0.78)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.14z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0232
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.88z
WS/48 residual: -0.0540 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
42
#442
Defense
60
#76
Confidence
100%
2570 min
Tendencies
Salary
$4.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.416

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.605
Expected WM
2.349
Dev Residual
+0.2552
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
3.013
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
V
Vasili Svezhov Dallas Predators 20 3.0 98.5% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
D
Devaugntah Litton Denver Dragons 22 2.5 98.2% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
T
Talis Kalemba Boston Crusaders 23 4.0 98.2% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
D
Dion Sowder Los Angeles Fireballs 29 5.0 98.1% Versatile Big / Chaser
C
Caleb Donovan Indiana Stonecutters 21 3.5 98.1% Stretch Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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