Bryce McAlister

Bryce McAlister

G

Portland Lumberjacks · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

College: Wichita State · Scobey, Montana

Electrifying 3-and-d guard

A solid point guard averaging 6.3 PPG, 1.1 RPG, 4.0 APG. Excels in mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl), basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl) and ball handling (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by foul drawing (5 rating, 1st pctl) and post execution (1 rating, 4th pctl).

52
Impact
3
CA
3
PA
26
Age
$4.5M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 6.3 40
RPG 1.1 18
APG 4.0 83
SPG 0.98 66
BPG 0.05 19
MPG 16.0 40
Shooting
FG% .475 58
3P% .449 91
FT% .925 95
TS% 0.603 73
Impact
Impact 52 61
Off Impact 55 74
Def Impact 46 29
Advanced
PER 16.2 69
WS 3.8 69
BPM 0.1 52
VORP 0.7 60

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Shoot Off Dribble 16 (coef=0.0071)
Passing 19 (coef=0.0053)
Mid-Range Shooting 19 (coef=0.0051)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 4 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 9 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0122)
Foul Drawing 5 (coef=0.0080)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
3%
Roll : Pop
17:83
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
42:58
Corner 3 : Above the Break
41:59

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 50%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by solid on-court impact (EPM). Hidden intangibles add significant value beyond visible skills.

52 / 100 #220 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +0.50z
EPM +1.32 (Off +0.48, Def +0.85)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.04z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0528
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +1.36z
WS/48 residual: +0.0771 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
55
#150
Defense
46
#385
Confidence
92%
1308 min
Tendencies
Salary
$4.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.427

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.053
Expected WM
2.243
Dev Residual
-0.1906
Peak Age
34
Peak WM
2.216
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
N
Niklas Harris Salt Lake City Saints 30 3.5 98.1% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
D
Delonte Tuss Chicago Jailbirds 23 2.5 98.1% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
M
Merlin Rooks Toronto Huskies 20 2.0 98.1% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
J
Jonny Caruthers New Orleans Hurricanes 30 4.0 98.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
C
Cayden Ward Portland Lumberjacks 24 3.5 97.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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