Xavier Lowe

Xavier Lowe

W

Philadelphia Warriors · Glue Guy / Wing Stopper

College: Dayton · Cleveland, Ohio

Crafty two-way shooting guard

A star-level scoring shooting guard averaging 15.8 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 3.0 APG. Excels in perimeter defense (19 rating, 100th pctl), ball handling (19 rating, 99th pctl) and free throws (19 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by interior scoring (14 rating, 14th pctl) and defensive rebounding (8 rating, 25th pctl).

62
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
27
Age
$17.5M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 15.8 86
RPG 3.6 59
APG 3.0 71
SPG 1.82 95
BPG 0.48 56
MPG 30.1 79
Shooting
FG% .467 54
3P% .370 61
FT% .881 79
TS% 0.594 66
Impact
Impact 62 89
Off Impact 69 99
Def Impact 45 23
Advanced
PER 16.1 68
WS 6.2 86
BPM 3.0 82
VORP 3.1 92

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0122)
Help Defense 15 (coef=0.0134)
Isolation Execution 18 (coef=0.0096)
Foul Drawing 16 (coef=0.0080)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0069)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0145)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 5 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0111)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
15%
Roll : Pop
15:85
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
93:7
Corner 3 : Above the Break
80:20

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 70%
Big 10%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by strong on-court impact (EPM). On-court impact exceeds what ratings alone would predict. Offense is the primary value driver.

62 / 100 #69 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +1.42z
EPM +3.74 (Off +4.14, Def -0.40)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.09z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0085
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight +0.66z
WS/48 residual: +0.0362 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
69
#9
Defense
45
#403
Confidence
100%
2464 min
Tendencies
Salary
$17.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.513

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.416
Expected WM
2.520
Dev Residual
-0.1033
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.499
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
T
Toso Benhayoune Salt Lake City Saints 24 3.0 98.0% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
B
Briggs Greenaway Austin Rockets 22 3.5 98.0% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
D
Denzel Cruz Dallas Predators 21 3.0 97.8% Slasher / Chaser
K
Kollin Unga New York Renegades 24 3.5 97.8% Glue Guy / Wing Stopper
W
Willie Bennett Las Vegas Scorpions 30 3.5 97.6% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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