Tiago Fernandes

Tiago Fernandes

B

Nashville Stars · Versatile Big / Mobile Big

Póvoa de Lanhoso, Portugal

Steely back-to-basket forward

A fringe center averaging 10.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG, 0.8 APG. Excels in pick-and-roll execution (19 rating, 100th pctl), ball dominance (19 rating, 99th pctl) and post execution (18 rating, 97th pctl). Limited by help defense (6 rating, 2nd pctl) and off-ball defense (5 rating, 6th pctl).

39
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
23
Age
$12.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 10.6 64
RPG 6.4 84
APG 0.8 29
SPG 0.41 35
BPG 1.02 75
MPG 23.1 59
Shooting
FG% .426 26
3P% .373 63
FT% .842 61
TS% 0.521 19
Impact
Impact 39 10
Off Impact 46 28
Def Impact 45 23
Advanced
PER 13.3 39
WS -0.1 5
BPM -6.3 3
VORP -1.7 1

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Pick & Roll Execution 19 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 16 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0122)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 6 (coef=0.0134)
Endurance 7 (coef=0.0092)
Foul Drawing 8 (coef=0.0080)
Shoot Off Dribble 3 (coef=0.0071)
Passing 9 (coef=0.0053)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
13%
Roll : Pop
71:29
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
13:87
Corner 3 : Above the Break
9:91

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 0%
Big 80%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by modest on-court impact (EPM). Underperforms what his visible ratings predict.

39 / 100 #460 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.55z
EPM -1.46 (Off -1.00, Def -0.46)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.31z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0060
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -1.51z
WS/48 residual: -0.0912 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
46
#387
Defense
45
#403
Confidence
96%
1526 min
Tendencies
Salary
$12.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Team Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.370

Contract Breakdown

Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.531
Expected WM
2.442
Dev Residual
+0.0889
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.846
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
K
Kellen Hendy Detroit Mustangs 24 4.0 98.2% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
Ð
Ðorde Petrović Cleveland Giants 23 3.5 98.0% Roll-and-Cut Big / Anchor Big
N
Nikola Kojic Chicago Jailbirds 19 3.0 97.7% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
A
Ambrose Udoh Chicago Jailbirds 33 4.0 97.3% Interior Playmaker / Mobile Big
A
Amari Rollins Louisville Colonels 22 3.0 97.1% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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