Lonzo Waterman
WNew Orleans Hurricanes · Secondary Creator / Chaser
College: Cincinnati · Box Elder, South Dakota
Springy 3-and-d forward
A solid shooting guard averaging 11.0 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 3.1 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl), self-creation (19 rating, 100th pctl) and basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by post execution (2 rating, 17th pctl) and endurance (7 rating, 18th pctl).
55
Impact
4
CA
4
PA
25
Age
$2.5M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0145)
Athleticism 17 (coef=-0.0111)
Isolation Execution 18 (coef=0.0096)
Shoot Off Dribble 16 (coef=0.0071)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 9 (coef=0.0152)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0122)
Endurance 7 (coef=0.0092)
Foul Drawing 12 (coef=0.0080)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0061)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
5%
Roll : Pop
27:73
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
55:45
Corner 3 : Above the Break
60:40
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
80%
Big
50%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by solid win-model ratings.
55
/ 100
#163 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.05z
EPM +0.12 (Off +0.21, Def -0.09)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.54z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0491
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.85z
WS/48 residual: +0.0470 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
54
#173
Defense
54
#153
Confidence
81%
974 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.478
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.652
Expected WM
2.550
Dev Residual
+0.1020
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.806
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive