Lincoln Rutherford
GSt Louis Skyhawks · Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
College: Stanford · Tomball, Texas
Explosive 3-and-d guard
A star-level point guard averaging 7.5 PPG, 1.4 RPG, 5.2 APG. Excels in off-ball defense (19 rating, 100th pctl), first step (18 rating, 100th pctl) and ball handling (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by offensive rebounding (2 rating, 2nd pctl) and post defense (1 rating, 4th pctl).
56
Impact
3.5
CA
4
PA
30
Age
$23.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 17 (coef=-0.0111)
Isolation Execution 18 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 18 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 2 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 11 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 1 (coef=0.0122)
Post Execution 2 (coef=0.0061)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
12%
Roll : Pop
9:91
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
48:52
Corner 3 : Above the Break
76:24
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
60%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by solid on-court impact (EPM). Offense is the primary value driver.
56
/ 100
#142 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.64z
EPM +1.67 (Off +0.85, Def +0.83)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.04z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0168
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.57z
WS/48 residual: +0.0309 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
45
#403
Confidence
92%
1331 min
Tendencies
Salary
$23.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
Player Option
Status
-
Trade Value
0.472
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.247
Expected WM
2.543
Dev Residual
-0.2953
Peak Age
34
Peak WM
2.361
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive