Lazar Dragovic
BLouisville Colonels · Roll-and-Cut Big / Helper
College: Ohio State · Serbia
Defensive forward
A star-level two-way center averaging 5.8 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 1.0 APG. Excels in post execution (19 rating, 100th pctl), 0.686 TS% (96th pctl) and three-point shooting (18 rating, 90th pctl). Limited by self-creation (6 rating, 6th pctl) and mid-range shooting (5 rating, 11th pctl).
61
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
29
Age
$6.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Inside Shooting 18 (coef=0.0145)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 17 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0122)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Ball Dominance 10 (coef=0.0069)
Passing 12 (coef=0.0053)
Mid-Range Shooting 5 (coef=0.0051)
Free Throws 12 (coef=0.0045)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
85:15
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
97:3
Corner 3 : Above the Break
68:32
Positional Fit
Guard
0%
Wing
0%
Big
70%
Player Impact Breakdown
Solid starter score driven by strong on-court impact (EPM).
61
/ 100
#77 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+1.23z
EPM +3.23 (Off +3.22, Def -0.00)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.57z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0509
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.60z
WS/48 residual: +0.0327 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
55
#131
Confidence
78%
912 min
Tendencies
Salary
$6.0M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.506
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.598
Expected WM
2.570
Dev Residual
+0.0287
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.685
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive