Kyler Amundson
WHouston Lightning · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: Kentucky · Torrance, California
Long-armed 3-and-d wing
A rotation wing averaging 10.7 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 3.1 APG. Excels in help defense (19 rating, 100th pctl), basketball IQ (20 rating, 100th pctl) and first step (17 rating, 98th pctl). Limited by defensive rebounding (6 rating, 16th pctl) and foul drawing (10 rating, 17th pctl).
48
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
25
Age
$1.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Help Defense 19 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 18 (coef=0.0122)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 14 (coef=-0.0111)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0069)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 8 (coef=0.0145)
Isolation Execution 9 (coef=0.0096)
Endurance 8 (coef=0.0092)
Foul Drawing 10 (coef=0.0080)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
1%
Roll : Pop
22:78
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
27:73
Corner 3 : Above the Break
26:74
Positional Fit
Guard
30%
Wing
70%
Big
40%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by modest hidden intangibles.
48
/ 100
#325 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.04z
EPM -0.10 (Off -0.26, Def +0.15)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.13z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0057
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
-0.32z
WS/48 residual: -0.0215 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
50
#275
Defense
50
#274
Confidence
99%
2101 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.415
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.456
Expected WM
2.453
Dev Residual
+0.0038
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.606
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
On Track
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive