Kinard Otero

Kinard Otero

W

Nashville Stars · Slasher / Wing Stopper

College: Kentucky · Mt. Vernon, Texas

Tenacious 3-and-d forward

A fringe wing averaging 11.2 PPG, 2.4 RPG, 3.3 APG. Excels in athleticism (17 rating, 94th pctl), endurance (16 rating, 90th pctl) and quickness (16 rating, 84th pctl). Limited by pick-and-roll execution (3 rating, 0th pctl) and defensive rebounding (6 rating, 16th pctl).

29
Impact
2.5
CA
3.5
PA
20
Age
$3.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 11.2 67
RPG 2.4 40
APG 3.3 76
SPG 1.26 75
BPG 0.11 31
MPG 26.6 67
Shooting
FG% .450 41
3P% .333 44
FT% .890 84
TS% 0.550 34
Impact
Impact 29 2
Off Impact 40 10
Def Impact 34 4
Advanced
PER 13.1 36
WS 1.1 36
BPM -3.5 14
VORP -0.8 5

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Help Defense 16 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 16 (coef=0.0122)
Athleticism 17 (coef=-0.0111)
Endurance 16 (coef=0.0092)
Post Defense 16 (coef=0.0057)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 6 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 5 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 4 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 11 (coef=0.0096)
Foul Drawing 11 (coef=0.0080)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
14%
Roll : Pop
38:62
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
47:53
Corner 3 : Above the Break
51:49

Positional Fit

Guard 20%
Wing 50%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Replacement-level score driven by weak on-court impact (EPM).

29 / 100 #495 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -1.11z
EPM -2.94 (Off -1.17, Def -1.77)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -1.72z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0969
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.74z
WS/48 residual: -0.0459 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
40
#461
Defense
34
#486
Confidence
99%
2019 min
Tendencies
Salary
$3.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Team Option
Status
Starter/Sixth Man
Trade Value
0.271

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $2,950,000 Team Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.002
Expected WM
2.241
Dev Residual
-0.2393
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.363
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
1.0
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
L
Lyles Heimuli Miami Cyclones 20 2.0 97.3% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
T
Tymon Culver St Louis Skyhawks 24 2.5 96.8% Primary Ballhandler / Point Of Attack
A
Atunaisa Calvert St Louis Skyhawks 25 2.5 96.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
E
Evann Fagan Philadelphia Warriors 26 2.5 96.6% Shot Creator / Point Of Attack
T
Tahj Rallis Philadelphia Warriors 27 4.0 96.5% Stationary Shooter / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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