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Kalen Smart

Kalen Smart

W

Washington Pilots · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

College: Michigan State · Nigeria, Nigeria

Fearless 3-and-d wing

A rotation scoring shooting guard averaging 16.5 PPG, 5.2 RPG, 5.2 APG. Excels in self-creation (20 rating, 100th pctl), ball handling (20 rating, 100th pctl) and interior scoring (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by post defense (1 rating, 4th pctl) and basketball IQ (11 rating, 14th pctl).

48
Impact
3.5
CA
4
PA
34
Age
$30.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 16.5 88
RPG 5.2 76
APG 5.2 91
SPG 1.44 82
BPG 0.32 50
MPG 32.9 92
Shooting
FG% .405 16
3P% .346 49
FT% .906 89
TS% 0.523 20
Impact
Impact 48 41
Off Impact 58 83
Def Impact 40 9
Advanced
PER 15.0 57
WS 2.3 50
BPM -0.7 39
VORP 0.9 64

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 17 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Ball Dominance 19 (coef=0.0069)
Weaknesses
Help Defense 12 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 6 (coef=0.0122)
Post Execution 3 (coef=0.0061)
Spacing 9 (coef=0.0059)
Post Defense 1 (coef=0.0057)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
18%
Roll : Pop
17:83
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
51:49
Corner 3 : Above the Break
29:71

Positional Fit

Guard 60%
Wing 70%
Big 0%

Player Impact Breakdown

Average score driven by weak hidden intangibles. Underperforms what his visible ratings predict. Offense is the primary value driver.

48 / 100 #325 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.12z
EPM -0.32 (Off +0.95, Def -1.37)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +0.51z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0467
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -1.24z
WS/48 residual: -0.0750 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
58
#98
Defense
40
#465
Confidence
100%
2695 min
Tendencies
Salary
$30.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Player Option
Status
Important Player
Trade Value
0.396

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $30,000,000 Player Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.593
Expected WM
2.783
Dev Residual
-0.1897
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.515
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
L
LaMarcus Coleman Cleveland Giants 29 4.0 98.9% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
T
Tenzin Ozer Louisville Colonels 31 3.5 98.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
D
Dimitris Karras Charlotte Drones 20 3.0 98.8% Glue Guy / Chaser
J
Jacob Nazarian Cincinnati Kings 28 3.5 98.8% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
I
Isaiah Harris Kansas City Knights 23 2.5 98.7% Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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