JB Winn

JB Winn

B

Minneapolis Blizzards · Stretch Big / Mobile Big

College: North Carolina · Laurel, Maryland

Gritty paint-anchoring forward

An elite two-way center averaging 14.4 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 1.1 APG. Excels in strength (19 rating, 100th pctl), interior scoring (19 rating, 100th pctl) and post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by self-creation (5 rating, 3rd pctl) and ball handling (2 rating, 7th pctl).

67
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
26
Age
$15.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 14.4 79
RPG 6.9 85
APG 1.1 37
SPG 0.62 49
BPG 1.37 85
MPG 26.2 66
Shooting
FG% .478 59
3P% .421 86
FT% .689 18
TS% 0.596 67
Impact
Impact 67 95
Off Impact 60 89
Def Impact 62 90
Advanced
PER 15.4 62
WS 3.3 63
BPM -0.5 42
VORP 0.8 62

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Rim Protection 17 (coef=0.0122)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0145)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 7 (coef=0.0152)
Shoot Off Dribble 3 (coef=0.0071)
Passing 8 (coef=0.0053)
Free Throws 13 (coef=0.0045)
On-Ball Perimeter Defense 4 (coef=0.0043)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
12%
Roll : Pop
42:58
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
95:5
Corner 3 : Above the Break
70:30

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 0%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Solid starter score driven by exceptional on-court impact (EPM).

67 / 100 #29 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight +1.72z
EPM +4.53 (Off +3.04, Def +1.48)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight +1.06z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0823
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -0.57z
WS/48 residual: -0.0361 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
60
#75
Defense
62
#58
Confidence
99%
2149 min
Tendencies
Salary
$15.0M
Years Left
3
Expiry
End of 2051
Option
None
Status
Starter
Trade Value
0.546

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $15,000,000
2051-52 $15,000,000
Total Owed $30,000,000

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.650
Expected WM
2.478
Dev Residual
+0.1722
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.829
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
P
Prince Davis Cincinnati Kings 29 4.0 98.7% Stretch Big / Mobile Big
L
Langston Baker San Diego Calaveras 23 3.0 98.6% Post Bully / Helper
E
Ervin Rhinehart Miami Cyclones 26 4.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
L
Lukas Kempe Toronto Huskies 21 3.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
K
KeVaughn Whiting Seattle Thunder 29 4.0 98.6% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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