Garrick Chapman Jr
GLouisville Colonels · Secondary Creator / Point Of Attack
College: Maryland · Smyrna, Delaware
Imaginative 3-and-d wing
A rotation shooting guard averaging 4.4 PPG, 0.9 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in mid-range shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl), gravity (19 rating, 100th pctl) and strength (18 rating, 95th pctl). Limited by foul drawing (5 rating, 1st pctl) and post execution (2 rating, 17th pctl).
47
Impact
3
CA
3
PA
25
Age
$2.5M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
3PT Shooting 17 (coef=0.0122)
Pick & Roll Execution 13 (coef=0.0152)
Athleticism 16 (coef=-0.0111)
Ball Dominance 17 (coef=0.0069)
Shoot Off Dribble 15 (coef=0.0071)
Weaknesses
Offensive Rebounding 7 (coef=0.0145)
Help Defense 10 (coef=0.0134)
Rim Protection 4 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 10 (coef=0.0096)
Foul Drawing 5 (coef=0.0080)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
2%
Roll : Pop
15:85
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
49:51
Corner 3 : Above the Break
38:62
Positional Fit
Guard
60%
Wing
60%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by weak win-model ratings.
47
/ 100
#352 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
-0.19z
EPM -0.51 (Off +0.14, Def -0.63)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-0.91z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0447
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.31z
WS/48 residual: +0.0153 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
50
#275
Defense
45
#403
Confidence
53%
545 min
Tendencies
Salary
$2.5M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Backup/Rotation
Trade Value
0.393
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.205
Expected WM
2.215
Dev Residual
-0.0101
Peak Age
34
Peak WM
2.397
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0
Dev Status
Slightly Behind
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive