Derrick Lynch
WSeattle Thunder · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: Stanford · Boise, Idaho
Smooth two-way forward
An elite two-way wing averaging 32.3 PPG, 8.1 RPG, 4.2 APG. Excels in interior scoring (19 rating, 100th pctl), 32.3 PPG (100th pctl) and stealing (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by first step (8 rating, 24th pctl).
73
Impact
2.5
CA
5
PA
26
Age
$30.0M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 17 (coef=0.0204)
Inside Shooting 19 (coef=0.0145)
Pick & Roll Execution 17 (coef=0.0152)
Offensive Rebounding 14 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0122)
Weaknesses
First Step 8 (coef=0.0008)
Gravity 10 (coef=0.0007)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
14%
Roll : Pop
38:62
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
47:53
Corner 3 : Above the Break
48:52
Positional Fit
Guard
70%
Wing
90%
Big
50%
Player Impact Breakdown
Star-level score driven by strong on-court impact (EPM).
73
/ 100
#9 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+1.32z
EPM +3.48 (Off +1.00, Def +2.49)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+2.09z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.1486
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.14z
WS/48 residual: +0.0054 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
65
#30
Defense
70
#18
Confidence
100%
3045 min
Tendencies
Salary
$30.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Player Option
Status
Franchise Player
Trade Value
0.627
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $30,000,000 | Player Option |
Win Model Development
WM Score
3.083
Expected WM
2.784
Dev Residual
+0.2993
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
3.208
PA Tier
High
Upside Gap
2.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive