Brayden Burgess
WLos Angeles Fireballs · Secondary Creator / Wing Stopper
College: Louisville · Greenbelt, Maryland
Inventive 3-and-d wing
A solid shooting guard averaging 2.2 PPG, 0.7 RPG, 0.5 APG. Excels in self-creation (19 rating, 100th pctl), three-point shooting (19 rating, 100th pctl) and offensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl). Limited by strength (5 rating, 15th pctl) and post defense (3 rating, 21st pctl).
55
Impact
3
CA
3.5
PA
23
Age
$1.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Offensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0145)
3PT Shooting 19 (coef=0.0122)
Help Defense 15 (coef=0.0134)
Endurance 14 (coef=0.0092)
Foul Drawing 15 (coef=0.0080)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 10 (coef=0.0204)
Athleticism 11 (coef=-0.0111)
Ball Dominance 11 (coef=0.0069)
Post Execution 4 (coef=0.0061)
Post Defense 3 (coef=0.0057)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
5%
Roll : Pop
18:82
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
54:46
Corner 3 : Above the Break
62:38
Positional Fit
Guard
50%
Wing
60%
Big
0%
Player Impact Breakdown
Limited to 108 min — score regressed toward league average.
55
/ 100
#163 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+2.03z
EPM +5.35 (Off +5.56, Def -0.22)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
+0.26z
Ridge coefficient score: 0.0307
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+1.92z
WS/48 residual: +0.1094 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
56
#131
Defense
51
#239
Confidence
24%
108 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
1
Expiry
End of 2049
Option
None
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.462
Contract Breakdown
Free Agent — no remaining contract obligations.
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.563
Expected WM
2.375
Dev Residual
+0.1876
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.790
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive