Andrej Lukic

Andrej Lukic

B

St Louis Skyhawks · Post Bully / Mobile Big

Priboj, Serbia

Feisty shot-blocking center

A fringe center averaging 7.7 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 1.5 APG. Excels in defensive rebounding (19 rating, 100th pctl), self-creation (19 rating, 100th pctl) and post defense (19 rating, 99th pctl). Limited by help defense (8 rating, 5th pctl) and gravity (5 rating, 6th pctl).

41
Impact
3.5
CA
3.5
PA
21
Age
$4.0M
Salary
Stat Value Pctl
Per Game
PPG 7.7 48
RPG 8.9 94
APG 1.5 48
SPG 0.54 44
BPG 1.57 88
MPG 26.7 68
Shooting
FG% .443 36
3P% .351 52
FT% .655 14
TS% 0.514 17
Impact
Impact 41 12
Off Impact 38 6
Def Impact 52 66
Advanced
PER 11.9 25
WS 1.8 44
BPM -2.2 24
VORP -0.1 20

Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)

Strengths
Defensive Rebounding 19 (coef=0.0204)
Offensive Rebounding 18 (coef=0.0145)
Rim Protection 16 (coef=0.0122)
Foul Drawing 19 (coef=0.0080)
Endurance 14 (coef=0.0092)
Weaknesses
Pick & Roll Execution 6 (coef=0.0152)
Help Defense 8 (coef=0.0134)
3PT Shooting 13 (coef=0.0122)
Isolation Execution 11 (coef=0.0096)
Passing 12 (coef=0.0053)

Play Style

Driving Frequency
18%
Roll : Pop
85:15
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
65:35
Corner 3 : Above the Break
4:96

Positional Fit

Guard 0%
Wing 0%
Big 70%

Player Impact Breakdown

Below-average score driven by modest on-court impact (EPM). Underperforms what his visible ratings predict. Defense is the primary value driver.

41 / 100 #449 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight -0.59z
EPM -1.58 (Off -1.42, Def -0.07)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight -0.24z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.0017
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight -1.00z
WS/48 residual: -0.0612 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
38
#477
Defense
52
#205
Confidence
99%
2192 min
Tendencies
Salary
$4.0M
Years Left
2
Expiry
End of 2050
Option
Team Option
Status
Rotation
Trade Value
0.368

Contract Breakdown

Season Salary Notes
2050-51 $4,000,000 Team Option

Win Model Development

WM Score
2.493
Expected WM
2.276
Dev Residual
+0.2171
Peak Age
33
Peak WM
2.873
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.0
Dev Status
Ahead of Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.

Win Model Trajectory

Most Similar Players

Player Team Age CA Similarity Archetype
L
Lukas Kempe Toronto Huskies 21 3.0 98.2% Roll-and-Cut Big / Mobile Big
L
LeAndre Kokal New York Renegades 25 4.0 98.2% Versatile Big / Mobile Big
L
Leonardo Bianchi Charlotte Drones 20 3.5 98.1% Post Scorer / Mobile Big
J
Javi Gonzalez Cleveland Giants 32 3.5 97.8% Post Scorer / Anchor Big
P
Petar Jovanovic Phoenix Vultures 20 2.5 97.7% Pick-and-Pop Big / Mobile Big

Predicted Archetype

Offensive
Defensive
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