AJ Vandervieren
WHouston Lightning · Glue Guy / Chaser
College: Stanford · Honolulu, Hawaii
Emerging forward
A rotation wing averaging 3.4 PPG, 2.1 RPG, 1.2 APG. Excels in athleticism (18 rating, 98th pctl), quickness (17 rating, 94th pctl) and mid-range shooting (16 rating, 87th pctl). Limited by ball dominance (6 rating, 1st pctl) and shoot off dribble (2 rating, 10th pctl).
45
Impact
2.5
CA
3
PA
22
Age
$1.8M
Strengths & Weaknesses (Win Model)
Strengths
Help Defense 15 (coef=0.0134)
Athleticism 18 (coef=-0.0111)
Rim Protection 14 (coef=0.0122)
Post Defense 15 (coef=0.0057)
Spacing 14 (coef=0.0059)
Weaknesses
Defensive Rebounding 9 (coef=0.0204)
Pick & Roll Execution 8 (coef=0.0152)
Inside Shooting 14 (coef=0.0145)
Endurance 6 (coef=0.0092)
Shoot Off Dribble 2 (coef=0.0071)
Play Style
Driving Frequency
10%
Roll : Pop
35:65
Catch & Shoot : Pull-Up
89:11
Corner 3 : Above the Break
77:23
Positional Fit
Guard
10%
Wing
50%
Big
40%
Player Impact Breakdown
Average score driven by weak win-model ratings.
45
/ 100
#397 of 503
On-Court Impact (EPM) — 60% weight
+0.24z
EPM +0.62 (Off +1.72, Def -1.12)
Win-Model Ratings — 25% weight
-1.78z
Ridge coefficient score: -0.1005
Hidden Intangibles — 15% weight
+0.66z
WS/48 residual: +0.0360 (actual vs predicted from ratings)
Offense
50
#275
Defense
46
#385
Confidence
79%
943 min
Tendencies
Salary
$1.8M
Years Left
3
Expiry
End of 2051
Option
Team Option
Status
Backup/Rotation
Trade Value
0.374
Contract Breakdown
| Season | Salary | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| 2050-51 | $1,750,000 | |
| 2051-52 | $1,750,000 | Team Option |
| Total Owed | $3,500,000 |
Win Model Development
WM Score
2.102
Expected WM
2.238
Dev Residual
-0.1355
Peak Age
30
Peak WM
2.364
PA Tier
Medium
Upside Gap
0.5
Dev Status
Behind Curve
Win Model Score = sum(rating * Ridge coefficient). Measures predicted win contribution from ratings — unbiased across positions.
Win Model Trajectory
Most Similar Players
Predicted Archetype
Offensive
Defensive