Behavioral Analytics
Play style tendencies, coaching philosophy analysis, and archetype correlations
League-Wide Tendency Correlations
Position-Stratified Correlations (vs Impact)
| Tendency | Guard r (n) | Wing r (n) | Big r (n) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Driving Frequency | -0.082 (74) | +0.074 (149) | -0.188 (148) |
| Roll % (vs Pop) | +0.184 (74) | -0.088 (149) | -0.156 (148) |
| Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) | +0.276 (74) | +0.147 (149) | +0.033 (148) |
| Corner 3 % (vs ATB) | -0.081 (74) | +0.148 (149) | -0.044 (148) |
Bold = |r| > 0.15 and p < 0.05 (actionable correlation)
Denver Tendency Gaps vs League Average
| Position | Tendency | League Mean | Denver Mean | Gap (Δ) | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guard | Driving Frequency | 8.6 | 9.0 | +0.4 | |
| Guard | Roll % (vs Pop) | 26.2 | 15.0 | -11.2 | |
| Guard | Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) | 48.8 | 54.3 | +5.5 | |
| Guard | Corner 3 % (vs ATB) | 55.2 | 58.3 | +3.1 | |
| Wing | Driving Frequency | 9.6 | 7.7 | -1.9 | |
| Wing | Roll % (vs Pop) | 23.3 | 32.0 | +8.7 | |
| Wing | Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) | 58.7 | 70.0 | +11.3 | |
| Wing | Corner 3 % (vs ATB) | 60.6 | 57.0 | -3.6 | |
| Big | Driving Frequency | 9.2 | 7.0 | -2.2 | |
| Big | Roll % (vs Pop) | 65.2 | 54.8 | -10.4 | |
| Big | Catch & Shoot % (vs Pull-Up) | 80.8 | 76.0 | -4.8 | |
| Big | Corner 3 % (vs ATB) | 54.9 | 56.2 | +1.3 |
Actionable insight:
Tendency × Performance Correlations
All correlations with n ≥ 10. Bars show Pearson/Spearman r values across three outcomes (BPM, WS/48, Impact).
Archetype Performance Profiles
driver
Drive-First
Impact 49.7
n = | BPM +0.1
Top players:
- Devonte Bell (Chicago Jailbirds, Impact 81)
- Russell Boozer (Cincinnati Kings, Impact 73)
- Lukas Lanmuller (Boston Crusaders, Impact 72)
Balanced Driver
Impact 53.0
n = | BPM +0.6
Top players:
- Stanley Amakor (Chicago Jailbirds, Impact 87)
- Jacob Nazarian (Cincinnati Kings, Impact 72)
- Kostas Zonas (Vancouver Wolves, Impact 71)
Non-Driver
Impact 52.3
n = | BPM +0.5
Top players:
- Kavian Hawes (Kansas City Knights, Impact 85)
- Alzee Sessoms (Cleveland Giants, Impact 78)
- Veljko Pavlovic (Oklahoma City Barons, Impact 78)
shooter
C&S Specialist
Impact 51.4
n = | BPM +0.5
Top players:
- Stanley Amakor (Chicago Jailbirds, Impact 87)
- Veljko Pavlovic (Oklahoma City Barons, Impact 78)
- Russell Boozer (Cincinnati Kings, Impact 73)
Balanced Shooter
Impact 52.7
n = | BPM +0.6
Top players:
- Devonte Bell (Chicago Jailbirds, Impact 81)
- Alzee Sessoms (Cleveland Giants, Impact 78)
- Jacob Nazarian (Cincinnati Kings, Impact 72)
Pull-Up Heavy
Impact 50.8
n = | BPM +0.2
Top players:
- Kavian Hawes (Kansas City Knights, Impact 85)
- Lukas Lanmuller (Boston Crusaders, Impact 72)
- Derrick Lynch (Seattle Thunder, Impact 72)
roller
Roll Man
Impact 48.6
n = | BPM -0.0
Top players:
- Veljko Pavlovic (Oklahoma City Barons, Impact 78)
- Russell Boozer (Cincinnati Kings, Impact 73)
- Marco De Luca (Oklahoma City Barons, Impact 71)
Balanced Roller
Impact 52.1
n = | BPM +0.5
Top players:
- Kavian Hawes (Kansas City Knights, Impact 85)
- Devonte Bell (Chicago Jailbirds, Impact 81)
- Derrick Lynch (Seattle Thunder, Impact 72)
Pop Specialist
Impact 54.0
n = | BPM +0.8
Top players:
- Stanley Amakor (Chicago Jailbirds, Impact 87)
- Alzee Sessoms (Cleveland Giants, Impact 78)
- Lukas Lanmuller (Boston Crusaders, Impact 72)
Archetype Performance Comparison
Mean BPM and Impact by archetype. Error bars show 95% confidence intervals.
Denver Archetype Mix vs Top-3 Teams
| Archetype Category | Denver Count | Top-3 Avg | Gap |
|---|
Coaching Philosophy Correlations with Win%
| Philosophy | r with Win% | p-value | n |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pace And Space 🏆 | +0.562 | < 0.001 *** | 36 |
| Morey Ball 🏆 | +0.306 | 0.070 | 36 |
| Grit And Grind 🏆 | +0.226 | 0.185 | 36 |
| Triangle | +0.092 | 0.592 | 36 |
| Balanced | +0.085 | 0.623 | 36 |
| Post Centric | +0.054 | 0.756 | 36 |
| Seven Seconds | +0.022 | 0.897 | 36 |
| Perimeter Centric | -0.253 | 0.137 | 36 |
Philosophy × Win% Correlation Strength
Pearson r between roster-derived philosophy proficiency and team win%. Pace & Space dominates.
Coach-Roster Philosophy Alignment
Teams where declared HC philosophy differs from roster-inferred philosophy (mismatches flagged).
| Team | Declared (Coach) | Inferred (Roster) | Win% | Mismatch |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Devils | Unknown | Pace And Space | 27.7% | No |
| Austin Rockets | Unknown | Balanced | 57.8% | No |
| Baltimore Bullets | Unknown | Balanced | 57.3% | No |
| Boston Crusaders | Unknown | Morey Ball | 50.6% | No |
| Charlotte Drones | Unknown | Triangle | 48.2% | No |
| Chicago Jailbirds | Unknown | Pace And Space | 74.3% | No |
| Cincinnati Kings | Unknown | Morey Ball | 72.5% | No |
| Cleveland Giants | Unknown | Balanced | 62.8% | No |
| Dallas Predators | Unknown | Balanced | 38.6% | No |
| Denver Dragons | Unknown | Balanced | 35.4% | No |
| Detroit Mustangs | Unknown | Balanced | 64.0% | No |
| Houston Lightning | Unknown | Balanced | 31.3% | No |
| Indiana Stonecutters | Unknown | Pace And Space | 25.3% | No |
| Kansas City Knights | Unknown | Pace And Space | 73.8% | No |
| Las Vegas Scorpions | Unknown | Balanced | 61.5% | No |
| Los Angeles Fireballs | Unknown | Pace And Space | 57.6% | No |
| Louisville Colonels | Unknown | Balanced | 67.0% | No |
| Mexico City Jaguars | Unknown | Morey Ball | 57.8% | No |
| Miami Cyclones | Unknown | Balanced | 39.8% | No |
| Minneapolis Blizzards | Unknown | Pace And Space | 56.7% | No |
| Nashville Stars | Unknown | Balanced | 22.9% | No |
| New Orleans Hurricanes | Unknown | Morey Ball | 52.4% | No |
| New York Renegades | Unknown | Morey Ball | 42.2% | No |
| Oakland Tritons | Unknown | Balanced | 22.9% | No |
| Oklahoma City Barons | Unknown | Balanced | 67.8% | No |
| Philadelphia Warriors | Unknown | Pace And Space | 62.2% | No |
| Phoenix Vultures | Unknown | Morey Ball | 55.4% | No |
| Pittsburgh Vipers | Unknown | Balanced | 37.3% | No |
| Portland Lumberjacks | Unknown | Balanced | 66.3% | No |
| Salt Lake City Saints | Unknown | Balanced | 36.1% | No |
| San Diego Calaveras | Unknown | Pace And Space | 21.7% | No |
| Seattle Thunder | Unknown | Pace And Space | 77.6% | No |
| St Louis Skyhawks | Unknown | Balanced | 22.9% | No |
| Toronto Huskies | Unknown | Morey Ball | 30.1% | No |
| Vancouver Wolves | Unknown | Pace And Space | 68.8% | No |
| Washington Pilots | Unknown | Balanced | 32.5% | No |
Denver Dragons Coaching Evaluation
Current State
HC Philosophy:
Unknown
Roster-Inferred:
Balanced
Mismatch Status:
Yes - System and roster misaligned
Ideal Coaching Profile
Primary System:
Alternative:
Reasoning
Roster strongest in Balanced (score 20.0)
Recommendation Summary
Actionable Recommendations
3
Strongest Correlation
Biggest Denver Gap
Actionable Gap
2. Denver Guards are below league average in Roll % (vs Pop) (gap=-11.2). Target acquisition to close gap.
Evidence: Gap=-11.2, r=0.184 with BPM
Archetype Priority
3. Pop Specialist archetype has highest mean Impact (54.0).
Evidence: n=126, mean Impact=54.0
Coaching Philosophy
Coach philosophy (None) differs from roster strength (Balanced)
Evidence: Roster strongest in Balanced